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3 Reasons I'm Never Selling This Dividend Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 10:45
Core Viewpoint - Realty Income is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in triple-net leases, providing a steady income stream and appealing to fixed income investors [1][2]. Group 1: Triple-Net Leases - Realty Income utilizes triple-net leases, where tenants are responsible for property taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs, allowing the company to collect consistent rent payments that typically increase with inflation [4][5][6]. - The company has a strong track record of managing tenant defaults and quickly filling vacancies, contributing to its financial stability [6]. Group 2: Tenant Resilience - A significant portion of Realty Income's tenants operates in recession-resistant industries, with grocery stores making up 10.8% and convenience stores 9.7% of its portfolio [7][8]. - The company maintains a high portfolio occupancy rate of 98.7%, indicating effective management and tenant selection [8]. Group 3: Dividend Growth - Realty Income is known for its monthly cash distributions, which have historically increased over time, marking 666 consecutive months of payouts and 133 dividend hikes [9][10][11]. - The company is classified as a Dividend Aristocrat, having raised its dividend for at least 30 consecutive years, showcasing its commitment to returning value to shareholders [11]. - With a forward dividend yield of 5.8%, Realty Income presents an attractive option for investors, especially in a climate of declining fixed income rates [12].
The Top 4 Performing Stocks in 2025 Were All From the Same Sub-Industry. Are They Still Buys for 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 10:00
Core Insights - The memory and storage industry experienced a significant boom in 2025, driven by the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) applications [1][2] - The top four performing stocks in the S&P 500 were all data storage companies, indicating a structural positive change in the industry [2][4] - Companies like SanDisk, Western Digital, Micron, and Seagate have shown remarkable year-to-date performance, with SanDisk leading at 569.6% [4] Company Performance - SanDisk (SNDK) achieved a performance of 569.6% YTD as of December 22, 2025 [4] - Western Digital (WDC) and Micron (MU) reported performances of 292.3% and 228.7% respectively, while Seagate (STX) had a performance of 208.8% [4] - Micron is the largest player in the sector, producing both NAND flash and DRAM memory, while Seagate competes with Western Digital in the HDD market [5] Industry Dynamics - The demand for DRAM, particularly high-bandwidth memory, surged due to the needs of AI model training, which requires rapid data processing [8] - The storage industry has seen a boom after years of underperformance, particularly in the HDD and NAND sectors, which were previously affected by oversupply and declining prices [9][12] - The consolidation in the DRAM industry, with only three major players, has contributed to the heightened demand and pricing power [8] Price Trends - The combination of constrained supply and increased demand has led to significant price spikes for HDDs and NAND flash, with NAND flash spot prices reportedly doubling since mid-2025 [15][16] - Historically, prices per bit in the memory sector tend to decrease, but the current situation represents a counter-trend boom, benefiting manufacturers' profit margins [16] Market Outlook - Despite the current boom, there are concerns about potential over-ordering and subsequent price declines as suppliers increase production to capture profits [20] - The AI era may lead to sustained demand, but skepticism remains regarding whether this cycle will differ from previous memory booms [21]
Prediction: 1 Hypergrowth Stock That Will Run Circles Around Nvidia Through 2030
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 09:35
Core Viewpoint - Micron Technology is positioned to outperform Nvidia over the next five years due to its strong growth potential in the memory chip market driven by AI demand [3][13]. Company Overview - Nvidia has seen significant gains, with a market cap exceeding $4.4 trillion, but its ability to replicate past performance may be limited due to its size and rising competition in the AI chip market [2][3]. - Micron Technology specializes in memory chips for various applications, including data centers and AI workloads, and is currently experiencing booming demand [4][6]. Financial Performance - Micron's revenue for Q1 fiscal 2026 reached $13.6 billion, a 57% year-over-year increase, with adjusted earnings rising 167% to $4.78 per share [8]. - The company's cloud memory business nearly doubled to $5.3 billion, driven by AI, and it expects Q2 revenue to jump to $18.7 billion, a 2.3 times increase year-over-year [9][10]. Market Trends - Global AI infrastructure spending is projected to reach $758 billion by 2029, with accelerated servers supporting AI workloads expected to grow at a 42% annual rate [11]. - Micron anticipates the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) market to grow at a 40% annual rate through 2028, potentially generating $100 billion in revenue by then [12]. Valuation and Growth Potential - Micron's PEG ratio is 0.53, indicating it is undervalued compared to its growth potential, while Nvidia's PEG ratio is 0.69 [14][15]. - If Micron achieves a conservative earnings growth rate of 10% in fiscal years 2029 and 2030, its share price could reach $872 by 2030, more than triple its current price [18][19].
2 Overlooked AI Stocks to Buy Before They Soar Up to 100% in 2026, According to Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 09:30
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts believe Upstart Holdings and Atlassian are undervalued, predicting significant gains for shareholders in the coming years, despite their recent stock declines [1]. Group 1: Upstart Holdings - Upstart is an AI lending platform that enhances credit risk assessment by analyzing over 2,500 variables, unlike traditional systems that rely on FICO Scores [4]. - The highest target price for Upstart is set at $80 per share, indicating a potential upside of 70% from its current price of $47 [5]. - Upstart's third-quarter financial results showed a 71% increase in total revenue to $277 million, with non-GAAP net income rising to $0.52 per diluted share from a loss of $0.06 per share last year [7]. - Wall Street anticipates Upstart's adjusted earnings to grow at an annual rate of 51% through 2026, making its current valuation of 33 times earnings appear reasonable [8]. Group 2: Atlassian - Atlassian is known for its work management software, particularly Jira, which is widely used across both technical and non-technical departments [9]. - The highest target price for Atlassian is set at $320 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 100% from its current price of $160 [5]. - Atlassian's first-quarter fiscal 2025 results reported a 21% revenue increase to $1.4 billion, with non-GAAP earnings rising 35% to $1.04 per diluted share [13]. - Wall Street expects Atlassian's adjusted earnings to grow at 22% annually through June 2027, with a current valuation of 41 times earnings considered reasonable [14].
Nike Stock Has Lost Value 4 Years Straight. Will 2026 Be Different?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 09:25
Core Insights - Nike's stock has significantly declined, losing approximately 65% of its value since the beginning of 2022, raising concerns among investors about its future performance [2][12] - The company is currently undergoing a turnaround strategy, focusing on its core strengths and aiming to improve margins and sales [12][17] Financial Performance - Nike's stock fell 29.8% in 2022, 7.2% in 2023, and 30.3% in 2024, with a year-to-date decline of 22.4% [1] - The current market capitalization of Nike is $89 billion, with a gross margin of 41.98% and a dividend yield of 2.68% [9] Strategic Direction - Nike's "Win Now" strategy emphasizes a return to its strengths in sports categories like running, football, and basketball, while reducing costs and revamping its product portfolio [12] - The company is facing challenges with its direct-to-consumer (DTC) business, which has struggled to resonate with cost-conscious consumers, leading to price cuts and margin compression [8][12] Investor Sentiment - Investor confidence in Nike has waned, shifting the perception of the company from a growth stock to one focused on turnaround potential [9][12] - Despite recent struggles, there is a belief that Nike could be a contrarian buy for long-term investors, especially given its established brand and potential for recovery [2][17] Market Context - The broader market context shows the S&P 500 hovering around all-time highs, contrasting with Nike's declining stock performance [1] - The upcoming holiday season is critical for Nike, as management expects slight revenue declines, which could further impact investor sentiment [16]
Buying This Pharmaceutical Stock Could Make You a Millionaire Retiree
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 09:10
Core Insights - Eli Lilly has emerged as a significant growth player in the pharmaceutical industry, particularly due to its leadership in the weight-loss drug market, delivering double-digit revenue growth [5][2] - The company's weight loss portfolio generated over $10 billion in revenue in the latest quarter, highlighting its strong market position [5][6] - Analysts predict that the weight loss drug market could approach $100 billion by the end of the decade, positioning Eli Lilly to benefit significantly from this growth [8] Company Overview - Eli Lilly's key products include tirzepatide, marketed as Mounjaro for type 2 diabetes and Zepbound for weight management, which have been prescribed for weight loss since 2022 [6][5] - The company has a market capitalization of $1.0 trillion and a gross margin of 83.03%, indicating strong financial health [7] - Demand for Lilly's drugs has been high, often surpassing supply, and the company is actively expanding its weight loss portfolio with new candidates like orforglipron and retatrutide [7][6] Market Potential - The weight loss drug market is expected to grow significantly, with analysts forecasting it to reach nearly $100 billion by the end of the decade, which presents a substantial opportunity for Eli Lilly [8] - The company's strategic focus on expanding its product offerings in this lucrative market could enhance its growth trajectory and revenue potential [7][8] Investment Strategy - Including Eli Lilly in a diversified portfolio of quality stocks is suggested as a strategy to potentially achieve significant retirement savings, with the company being a strong candidate for long-term investment [9]
Billionaire Ken Griffin Sells Amazon Stock and Buys an AI Stock Up 1,030% Since 2024 (Hint: Not Nvidia)
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 08:55
Group 1: Ken Griffin's Investment Moves - Ken Griffin sold 1.6 million shares of Amazon and purchased 388,000 shares of Palantir Technologies in the third quarter [2][5] - Citadel Advisors, managed by Griffin, has outperformed the S&P 500 by 8 percentage points over the last three years, making Griffin a notable figure for retail investors [1] Group 2: Amazon's Performance - Amazon's revenue increased by 13% to $180 billion in the third quarter, driven by growth in advertising and cloud computing [4] - Operating income rose by 23% to $21.7 billion, with operating margin expanding by 60 basis points [4] - Wall Street estimates an 18% annual earnings growth for Amazon over the next three years, making its current valuation of 33 times earnings appear reasonable [5] Group 3: Amazon's Business Segments - E-commerce: Amazon is the largest online marketplace in North America and Western Europe, utilizing AI for customer service and operational efficiency [6] - Advertising: Amazon is the third-largest ad tech company, leveraging generative AI tools for brand campaigns [6] - Cloud Computing: Amazon Web Services (AWS) is the largest public cloud provider, introducing new AI services and custom AI chips [6] Group 4: Palantir Technologies Overview - Palantir develops data analytics and AI platforms for various sectors, with a focus on ontology-based software [8] - The company was recognized by Forrester Research as the most capable AI/ML platform, surpassing major competitors [9] Group 5: Palantir's Financial Performance - Palantir's revenue rose by 63% to $1.1 billion in the third quarter, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of revenue acceleration [10] - Non-GAAP earnings more than doubled to $0.21 per diluted share, driven by strong demand for its AI platform [10] Group 6: Valuation Concerns for Palantir - Palantir's shares trade at 119 times sales, making it the most expensive stock in the S&P 500 [11] - The stock price has increased 11 times since January 2024, while revenue has increased less than 2 times, indicating a reliance on higher price-to-sales multiples [12] - Concerns exist that Palantir's valuation cannot continue to expand indefinitely, suggesting potential risks for future price corrections [13]
Meet the Little-Known Company Yielding Nearly 14% That Can Continue to Deliver Monthly for Income Seekers in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 08:51
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights PennantPark Floating Rate Capital as a potentially safe investment opportunity with a double-digit yield of 13.6%, making it an attractive option for income-seeking investors [11][21]. Company Overview - PennantPark Floating Rate Capital is a small-cap business development company (BDC) that invests in the equity and debt of middle-market companies, with a focus on generating high yields [11][12]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company had an investment portfolio valued at approximately $2.77 billion, with 91% of it tied up in loans [13]. Financial Performance - The weighted-average yield on PennantPark's debt investments was reported at 10.2%, significantly higher than the yield from 30-year Treasury bonds [13]. - The company has a diverse portfolio consisting of 164 holdings, with an average investment size of $16.9 million, which helps mitigate risk [17]. - 99.2% of its loan portfolio is first-lien secured debt, providing a layer of protection in case of borrower defaults [18]. Dividend Information - PennantPark offers a monthly dividend of $0.1025 per share, translating to an annual yield of 13.6% [21]. - The company's share price closed at $9.07, representing a 16% discount to its GAAP net asset value (NAV) per share of $10.83 [20]. Market Context - The article emphasizes the historical outperformance of dividend stocks compared to non-payers, with dividend stocks yielding an average annual return of 9.2% over the past 51 years, while non-payers yielded only 4.31% [6].
Prediction: This Will Be 2026's Top-Performing Artificial Intelligence Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 08:30
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia remains a leading AI stock with strong potential for growth as demand for AI computing power continues to rise [1][11] Group 1: Market Dynamics - AI hyperscalers are nearing completion of record capital expenditures for 2025, with expectations for even greater spending in 2026 [2] - The global data center capital expenditures are projected to reach $600 billion in 2025 and could increase to $3 trillion to $4 trillion by 2030, indicating significant market opportunities [10] Group 2: Company Performance - Nvidia has been a top-performing stock over the past three years, delivering excellent returns and is expected to continue this trend into 2026 [3][4] - The company is currently "sold out" of cloud GPUs, indicating strong demand that exceeds supply, which may lead clients to seek alternatives [9] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Despite concerns about rising competition from companies like AMD and Amazon, Nvidia's technology remains highly regarded for its flexibility and performance [6][7] - The perception of Nvidia's market dominance slipping is countered by the ongoing demand for its products and the overall growth in the AI computing sector [6][11] Group 4: Stock Valuation - Nvidia's stock is currently down approximately 15% from its all-time high, presenting a favorable entry point for investors [12] - The stock trades at 23 times next year's earnings, which is considered reasonable given the expected rapid growth in the AI sector [12][14]
What Is the Smartest Quantum Computing Stock to Buy in 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-26 06:00
Core Insights - Quantum computing stocks are gaining momentum as they outperform the S&P 500, with companies like IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum leading the charge [1] - Major tech companies, including Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft, are exploring quantum computing alongside their generative AI initiatives, indicating a broader interest in the technology [2] - Nvidia is developing a comprehensive quantum computing suite, positioning itself as a key player in the AI infrastructure era [3] Quantum Computing Landscape - Currently, quantum computing is primarily an exploratory field, with companies focusing on research and development rather than enterprise-level applications [5] - Pure-play quantum developers like IonQ and Rigetti are utilizing gate-based approaches, while D-Wave specializes in quantum annealing for optimization tasks [6] - The focus of these companies is on the physics of creating and configuring qubits within new computing architectures [7] Nvidia's Unique Position - Unlike its competitors, Nvidia aims to bridge the gap between software and hardware for quantum computing, rather than building its own quantum computers [9] - Nvidia's software platform, CUDA-Q, allows developers to create applications that operate across CPUs, GPUs, and QPUs, enhancing the integration of quantum computing [10] - The NVQLink interconnect facilitates seamless communication between QPUs and GPUs, reducing latency and bandwidth strain [10] Market Potential and Growth - Nvidia is well-positioned to benefit from increased capital expenditures in AI infrastructure, with hyperscalers projected to contribute nearly $500 billion in 2026 [14] - The AI infrastructure market is expected to grow to nearly $7 trillion by the end of the decade, presenting a long-term opportunity for Nvidia [14] - As quantum computing becomes more integral to AI, Nvidia's products like CUDA-Q and NVQLink may play a significant role in its growth narrative [16] Investment Outlook - Nvidia's stock is currently trading at a forward P/E multiple of 24, which is considered reasonable given its growth prospects [17] - Quantum computing is viewed as an additional growth pillar for Nvidia as AI continues to dominate the market [19] - The company is expected to experience valuation expansion as it heads into 2026, making it an attractive buy-and-hold opportunity for long-term investors [19]