Retail Industry Trends - Retail executives describe consumers as "resilient and choiceful," indicating a selective shopping behavior in a competitive market [2][7] - The industry anticipates shoppers will respond positively to bargains, suggesting a return to sales promotions [3] - Retailers are not significantly concerned about inventory levels, alleviating previous worries about product availability [2] Consumer Behavior - Consumers are expected to aggregate their spending around key shopping moments to capitalize on deals [2] - Kohl's anticipates shoppers will make an average of 15 store trips between November and January [2] - Consumers are trading down to lower-priced private label items instead of national brands [2] Retail Strategies - Retailers aim to simplify the shopping experience for consumers [1] - Retailers may adjust promotion durations or item selections to maintain profitability while meeting consumer demands [5] - Academy Sports CEO noted higher take rates on promotions compared to last year, indicating consumer responsiveness to deals [2][4]

Inflation Data Analysis - Headline CPI rose 03% month-over-month, slightly below expectations [1] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 02% month-over-month, also less than anticipated [1] - Year-over-year CPI stands at 3%, lower than the expected 31% but higher than the previous 29% [2] - Core CPI year-over-year also comes in at 3%, cooling slightly from the last reading of 31% [2] Market Reaction - Interest rates are moving down, and stocks are moving up in response to the lower-than-expected CPI data [2] - The market views the slowing labor market as a positive sign for potential Fed rate cuts [3] Economic Indicators & Consumer Behavior - Credit card activity is up over 75% year-over-year, outpacing inflation [7] - There's a growing trend of consumers paying with cash to receive discounts, potentially underreporting spending [8] - The stock market is considered by some as the most honest metric of the US economy, less influenced by political factors compared to surveys [6]

Market Impact of Sanctions - US sanctions on Russian oil producers could remove 15 million to 25 million barrels per day from the market [2] - Enforced sanctions could lead to significantly higher oil prices, potentially reaching $80-$90 per barrel [4][5] - Even with workarounds and continued flows to China, Russian oil exports could still decrease by at least 1 million barrels per day, leading to higher prices [8] Sanction Enforcement and Workarounds - The market is skeptical about the enforcement of sanctions, as workarounds are often found [3][5] - Sanctions are considered more impactful than tariffs because banks and insurance companies become cautious, affecting funding and business dealings [10][11][12] - New entities in the Middle East may emerge to trade sanctioned volumes [7] Geopolitical Factors and Market Sentiment - The Trump administration may have imposed sanctions due to low oil prices [9] - The EU is coordinating with the US on sanctions, despite potential impacts on Western energy prices [13][14] - The market is skeptical that the West has the appetite for high energy prices, influencing price expectations [15] Short-Term and Long-Term Price Outlook - Oil prices may grind higher in the short term, with Brent potentially trading at $70 again [15] - Many traders believe the rally is temporary due to an oversupplied market expected in 2026 [16][17] - If sanctions are enforced after the November 21st deadline, a material increase in prices could be seen into 2026, but a sell-off is expected after the near-term increase [17]

Ira Robbins, Valley Bank CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the banks' quarterly earnings results, state of regional banks, health of lending business, state of the consumer, and more. ...

All right. You put out a report a few weeks ago. You said the signs of a bubble are rapidly increasing valuations, high concentration, and also vendor financing.We're seeing all three. But then you go on to say it's not quite a bubble, at least not yet. So, if we're seeing that already, why isn't it a bubble.>> Well, there's an extent I think that we tend to see those factors playing out. And for sure we've had a strong period of returns uh particularly driven by tech stocks in the US. But the first thing t ...

Retirement Confidence and Planning - Over 80% of mass affluent adults in the US, Brazil, Mexico, and Japan are confident they'll cover essential costs in retirement [2] - Only 55% of respondents in the US and Brazil factored inflation into their retirement planning [3] - Many investors aren't ready for retirement despite the peak 65 being in full swing [5] Financial Concerns and Expectations - 54% of Americans believe their financial situation will improve during their lifetime, while the same share fear running out of savings once they retire [5] Key Economic Indicators - The September consumer price index (CPI) and 2026 cost of living adjustment for social security benefits will be released [1] Demographic Trends - Over 4 million adults in the United States are expected to reach age 65 this year and over the next two years [4] Survey Details - Credential's first global retirement pulse survey included more than 4,000 adults aged 30 and over with over $100,000 in investable assets or the equivalent [2]

Five things to know ahead of the opening bell. An update on the government shutdown now on day 24. Today, many federal employees are expected to miss their first full paycheck since the shutdown began.We're going to be speaking to House Minority Leader Hakee Jeff at 8:40 a. m. Eastern time.Shares of Intel are rising. The company returning to profitability in its most recent quarter. Revenue of 13.6% 6 billion, beating estimates of 13.1% billion.Fourth quarter guidance was roughly in line with expectations. ...

Intel shares uh trading higher. We're rich taxpayers. I mean uh the company reporting stronger than expected revenue signaling demand for its Core x86 processor for P uh PCs has returned.This is Intel's first quarterly release since the government took a stake in that chipmaker. And joining us now, Ray Wong, Constellation Research Chairman and AI for Forum co-founder. All right, Intel's back.Are they. >> Is it. Well, we're one quarter in and I think the real question is are people going to buy the new chips ...

Hello and welcome to cbc. com. I'm Frank Colin, anchor worldwide exchange.We are looking at ETF net inflows for the year that are now over $1 trillion. And I'm joined by Todd Rosenluth of Vetify to talk about all the action in ETFs. Todd, thank you so much for joining us.>> It's a pleasure to be with you. >> All right, based on the pace that we're at, we're at 1.06% trillion according to your data. We're well on pace to pass last year's record of 1.12% trillion.What does that say about ETFs and investor app ...

Trade War & Negotiation Dynamics - JP Morgan suggests expectations for the US-China trade talks should be tempered, viewing them as another data point in ongoing negotiations [3] - A positive outcome might involve discussions on key issues like fentanyl, soybeans, or rare earths, but a grand bargain is unlikely [4] - Any truce is expected to be temporary, given China's increased leverage since the 2017-2018 trade war [4] - China's development and use of leverage tools, such as the rare earth choke point, necessitate the US administration to offer concessions [4] Strategic Goals & Interdependence - Both the US and China share a long-term goal of reducing their dependence on each other while maintaining strategic choke points and trade relations [5][6] - Neither side wants a harsh decoupling or sharp economic downturn, as both are incentivized to prevent it [8] - The US seeks to reduce its dependence on China for rare earths, while China aims to decrease its reliance on the US for semiconductors and food [6] Market Impact & Outlook - The market can anticipate a muddling through with temporary truces as both countries pursue long-term goals [8] - Both sides recognize a "mutually assured destruction" scenario due to key choke points, incentivizing them to avoid sharp economic or market disruptions [8]