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PlanB· 2025-07-02 08:56
FYI: I still believe that bitcoin average price will be ~$0.5m this halving cycle (2024-2028).Note that S2F prediction is very rough (obviously because the prediction is made only using scarcity/S2F-ratio) with a $0.25m-$1m range (so $0.3m or $0.6m average would also be fine).PlanB (@100trillionUSD):Average bitcoin price 2020-2024 halving cycle was $34k. A bit below 2019 S2F prediction of $55k, but still in normal range and not bad given BTC<$4k when prediction was made. Refit of S2F with new data (below) s ...
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PlanB· 2025-07-01 11:52
Will bitcoin reach $200,000 before end of next year (2026)? ...
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PlanB· 2025-07-01 09:25
Bitcoin June closing price: $107,179 ... new monthly close ATH, like clockwork https://t.co/M1PDjdwyeV ...
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PlanB· 2025-06-26 13:01
Market Analysis - Bitcoin's RSI is currently at 70, indicating it may be approaching overbought territory according to traditional investors [1] - The typical RSI range for Bitcoin investors is 40-90, making an RSI of 70 only slightly above the average of 65 [1] Investment Considerations - Traditional investors may perceive Bitcoin as overbought at RSI 70, potentially leading to concerns [1] - Bitcoin investors may view RSI 70 as within a normal range, suggesting less concern about overbought conditions [1]
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PlanB· 2025-06-24 17:29
Bitcoin is so much more than just technology adoption.Note that the main reason why bitcoin was made is debasement, i.e. fiat money printing by central banks, resulting in (hyper)inflation and fiat money debasement. https://t.co/jncu6TRQoC ...
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PlanB· 2025-06-24 14:42
Hyperbitcoinization: gradually, then suddenly https://t.co/8dbEfnzgvc ...
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PlanB· 2025-06-23 14:16
Just to confirm bitcoin is still in a bull market🔴I see some people turning bearish and shorting, but the data tells a different story, a bullish story IMO. We just need some patience. https://t.co/KGGfgpN3mZ ...
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PlanB· 2025-06-16 09:28
Adoption S-curve only steepens on linear scale (red line). It looks like "the vertical" between 10% and 90% adoption is where all the action is.On log scale there is no vertical (blue line). Only exponential growth, until ~50% adoption: 1% -> 2% -> 4% -> 8% -> 16% -> 32% etc. https://t.co/zkpSr0m76b ...
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PlanB· 2025-06-16 07:17
RT Adam Back (@adam3us)@bradmillscan @saylor or alternatively it could be a transition period for a parabolic break out! 🟩🟩🟩🟩 where the S-cuver gets steeper, invalidating "diminishing return" theory, and breaking power-law, and then s2f models to the upside. that's my what-if anyway. ...
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PlanB· 2025-06-12 08:21
Bitcoin has tracked powerlaw very well.Question is: will we see a 2013,2017,2021-like bull run with RSI 80+ (red dots) and if so how high will BTC go from here, 100x like 2013, 10x like 2017, 4x like 2021, or 2x (to ~$200k) like most people think, or .. 5-10x in line with S2F? https://t.co/gqX9RY510y ...