PlanB

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X @PlanB
PlanB路 2025-10-20 13:07
Bears think $126k was the top, and btc will fall below $100k, and 2026 will be a bear market mainly because ... the 4 year cycle!?IMO that is a BIG misunderstanding. Yes, there is a 4y halving cycle that doubles S2F-ratio, and 6 months before until 18 months after a halving was very profitable last 3 cycles. But, 3 cycles is not enough for a reliable pattern, and it is absolutely not guaranteed that the top is again 18 months after the halving (Oct'25!). Also, S2F model says nothing about tops or bottoms, o ...
X @PlanB
PlanB路 2025-10-18 08:36
32% thinks $126k was the top63% thinks bitcoin will drop below $100,00068% thinks 2026 will be a bear marketBut why? Can you please explain to me your reasoning behind a big drop and/or a bear market from here (ideally with data and charts)? https://t.co/rzCZanpTtg ...
X @PlanB
PlanB路 2025-10-07 09:16
63% of people think bitcoin will drop below $100k.I would not be surprised if bitcoin will NOT drop below $100k again, as we see $100k resistance turn into $100k support, as Sept close was the 5th monthly close in a row above $100k. Same happened with $10k, $1k, $100 and $10. https://t.co/S69cFEOm3V ...