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电子行业简评报告:预计2025年晶圆代工产值增长20%
Capital Securities· 2024-09-23 09:00
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [20] Core Viewpoints - The wafer foundry output is expected to grow by 20% in 2025, outperforming the 16% growth in 2024. This growth is driven by the recovery of inventory levels in automotive and industrial control supply chains, alongside increased wafer consumption from Edge AI and ongoing Cloud AI deployments [3][4] - Advanced process technologies are expected to maintain strong growth momentum in 2025, with 3nm processes becoming mainstream for flagship PC CPUs and mobile application processors. The contribution of 7/6nm, 5/4nm, and 3nm processes to global wafer foundry revenue is projected to reach 45% in 2025 [4] Summary by Sections Wafer Foundry Growth - The average capacity utilization rate of wafer foundries is projected to be below 80% in 2024 due to weak demand in consumer electronics. However, the market is expected to recover in 2025 with a 20% increase in output [3][4] Advanced Process Technologies - The 3nm process capacity is entering an upward phase, and 2025 will see it become mainstream for key products. The utilization rates for 5/4nm processes remain high due to demand from mid-range and high-end smartphone chips [4] Market Performance - From September 16 to September 20, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.21%, while the CITIC Electronics sector fell by 0.14%. Year-to-date, the Shanghai Composite Index is down 8%, and the CITIC Electronics sector has decreased by 19.68% [5][7] Sector Performance - The top-performing sub-sectors in electronics from September 16 to September 20 include consumer electronics devices, panels, security, optical optoelectronics, and discrete devices, with respective gains of 5.89%, 2.61%, 2.04%, 1.33%, and 0.11% [11] Stock Performance - The top ten performing stocks in the electronics sector from September 16 to September 20 include Wavelength Optoelectronics, Huiwei Intelligent, and Shengxun Co., with respective increases of 25.3%, 18.8%, and 14.6% [14][15] Investment Recommendations - It is recommended to focus on semiconductor trends primarily related to computing power, storage, and PCB [17]
商社行业周报:8月社零环比表现乏力,舒适、生活感成短途游潮流
Capital Securities· 2024-09-20 06:14
[Table_Title] 商社周报:8 月社零环比表现乏力,舒适、生活感成短 途游潮流 [Table_ReportDate] 商贸零售 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.09.20 核心观点 [Table_Rank] 评级: 看好 [Table_Authors] 李田 分析师 SAC 执证编号:S0110522090002 litian11@sczq.com.cn [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势(最近 1 年) -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 19-Sep 1-Dec12-Feb 25-Apr 7-Jul18-Sep 商贸零售 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据 相关研究 [Table_OtherReport] 商社周报:中秋国庆临近,出境游短 途游景气、传统礼品市场承压 商社周报:五部门联合印发通知完善 市内免税店政策,政策驱动周度行情 商社周报:中报密集发布,关注结构 性机会 [Table_Summary] ⚫ 周度行情:本周(2024.9.9-2024.9.13)主要宽基指数下跌。上证综指 数下跌 2.23%,深证成指下跌 1.81%,创业板指下跌 0.19%。本周 (2024.9.9-2024. ...
汽车行业周报:以旧换新政策发力带动汽车销量增长
Capital Securities· 2024-09-19 08:30
[Table_Title] 汽车行业周报:以旧换新政策发力带动汽车销量增 长 [Table_ReportDate] 汽车 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.09.19 核心观点 [Table_Authors] 岳清慧 汽车首席分析师 SAC 执证编号:S0110521050003 yueqinghui@sczq.com.cn -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势(最近 1 年) 18-Sep 29-Nov 9-Feb21-Apr 2-Jul12-Sep 汽车 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据 相关研究 [Table_OtherReport] 汽车行业周报:多地提高以旧换新补 贴标准 汽车行业周报:24H1 申万汽车板块约 八成公司盈利 汽车行业周报:新一轮以旧换新政策 出台,中央资金支持力度强 [Table_Summary] l 以旧换新政策发力,带动行业销量增长 9 月 9 日,乘联会发布月度市场报告。数据显示,2024 年 8 月国内 乘用车市场零售销量为 190.5 万辆,同比下滑 1.0%,环比增长 10.8%。 其中,常规燃油车零售销量为 87.0 万辆,同比下滑 2 ...
三美股份:公司简评报告:制冷剂盈利修复,带动业绩大幅上涨
Capital Securities· 2024-09-19 07:30
[Table_Summary] [Table_Title] 制冷剂盈利修复,带动业绩大幅上涨 [Table_ReportDate] 三美股份(603379)公司简评报告 | 2024.09.19 [Table_Rank] 评级: 买入 核心观点 [Table_Authors] 翟绪丽 首席分析师 SAC 执证编号:S0110522010001 zhaixuli@sczq.com.cn 电话:010-81152683 [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势(最近 1 年) 资料来源:聚源数据 -0.5 0 0.5 1 19-Sep 1-Dec12-Feb 25-Apr 7-Jul18-Sep 三美股份 沪深300 | --- | --- | |---------------------------------|-------------| | [Table_BaseData] 公司基本数据 | | | 最新收盘价(元) | 28.59 | | 一年内最高 / 最低价(元) | 46.92/24.67 | | 市盈率(当前) | 32.71 | | 市净率(当前) | 2.83 | | 总股本(亿股) | 6. ...
农林牧渔行业简评报告:生猪价格短期承压,白羽鸡价格短期震荡
Capital Securities· 2024-09-19 00:00
[Table_Title] 1 生猪价格短期承压,白羽鸡价格短期震荡 [Table_ReportDate] 农林牧渔 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.09.18 [Table_Rank] 评级: 看好 [Table_Authors] 赵瑞 分析师 SAC 执证编号:S0110522120001 zhaorui@sczq.com.cn [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势(最近 1 年) -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 18-Sep 29-Nov 9-Feb21-Apr 2-Jul12-Sep 农林牧渔 沪深300 资料来源:聚源数据 相关研究 [Table_OtherReport] 毛鸡近一周价格窄幅震荡,生猪股处 于历史估值低位 7 月上市公司出栏量稳健,近一周猪 价呈震荡态势 猪价再创年内新高,7 月规模场出栏稳 健 核心观点 [Table_Summary] ⚫ 生猪养殖:据搜猪网,2024 年 9 月 13 日全国生猪出栏均价 19.49 元/公斤,单日跌幅 0.92%。分区域来看,福建、湖南、贵州等地猪 价小幅上涨,其余大多数区域猪价均以下跌为主。其中陕西、山西 等地跌势明显,下跌 0. ...
英飞凌推出12英寸氮化镓晶圆,有望降低成本
Capital Securities· 2024-09-18 02:03
[Table_Title] 英飞凌推出 12 英寸氮化镓晶圆,有望降低成本 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
电子行业简评报告:英飞凌推出12英寸氮化镓晶圆,有望降低成本
Capital Securities· 2024-09-18 02:00
[Table_Title] 英飞凌推出 12 英寸氮化镓晶圆,有望降低成本 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
电子行业简评报告:苹果华为新款手机同日发布,有望带来换机潮
Capital Securities· 2024-09-18 02:00
Investment Rating - The report gives an investment rating of "Positive" for the industry [1]. Core Insights - Apple launched the iPhone 16 series and the second-generation 3nm A18Pro chip on September 10, 2024, which is expected to drive a replacement wave for iPhones and create investment opportunities in the secondary market for Apple's supply chain [2][3]. - Huawei introduced the MateXT, a three-fold screen smartphone, on the same day, which is anticipated to replace some functions of tablets and PCs, potentially leading to a replacement wave in the smartphone market [3]. - The electronic sector's performance has been slightly stronger than the overall market, with the CSI 300 index down 2.23% from September 9 to September 13, while the CITIC electronic sector fell 2.35% during the same period [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Apple Product Launch - Apple held its fall product launch on September 10, 2024, introducing the iPhone 16 series, which includes four models: iPhone 16, 16 Plus, 16 Pro, and 16 Pro Max [2]. - The iPhone 16 Pro features a 5-level titanium design and the new A18Pro chip, which utilizes a second-generation 3nm process, enhancing performance and energy efficiency [2]. 2. Huawei Product Launch - Huawei's MateXT, a three-fold screen smartphone, was launched on September 10, 2024, with three versions priced at 19,999 yuan, 21,999 yuan, and 23,999 yuan for different memory configurations [3]. - The larger screen of the MateXT is expected to replace some functionalities of tablets and PCs, potentially driving a replacement wave in the smartphone market [3]. 3. Market Performance - From September 9 to September 13, the CSI 300 index decreased by 2.23%, while the CITIC electronic sector saw a decline of 2.35% [4]. - Year-to-date, the CSI 300 index is down 9.1%, and the CITIC electronic sector has decreased by 19.57% [4]. 4. Sector Performance - The electronic sub-sectors showed varied performance from September 9 to September 13, with PCB and components showing positive growth of 1.17% and 0.33%, respectively, while semiconductor equipment and passive components faced declines [10]. - The top-performing stocks in the electronic sector during this period included Huaying Technology, Defu Technology, and Fulede, with increases of 61.3%, 17.6%, and 10.8%, respectively [14][15].
光明乳业:持续深耕领鲜战略,期待后续经营改善
Capital Securities· 2024-09-14 13:03
[Table_Summary] [Table_Title] 持续深耕领鲜战略,期待后续经营改善 [Table_ReportDate] 光明乳业(600597)公司简评报告 | 2024.09.14 [Table_Rank] 评级: 增持 核心观点 [Table_Authors] 赵瑞 分析师 SAC 执证编号:S0110522120001 zhaorui@sczq.com.cn [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势(最近 1 年) 资料来源:聚源数据 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 14-Sep 26-Nov 7-Feb20-Apr 2-Jul13-Sep 光明乳业 沪深300 [Table_BaseData] 公司基本数据 总市值(亿元) 资料来源:聚源数据 | --- | --- | |---------------------------|------------| | | | | 最新收盘价(元) | 7.41 | | 一年内最高 / 最低价(元) | 10.32/7.38 | | 市盈率(当前) | 11.23 | | 市净率(当前) | 1.15 | | 总股本(亿股) | 13.78 | | ...
光明乳业:公司简评报告:持续深耕领鲜战略,期待后续经营改善
Capital Securities· 2024-09-14 12:40
[Table_Summary] [Table_Title] 持续深耕领鲜战略,期待后续经营改善 [Table_ReportDate] 光明乳业(600597)公司简评报告 | 2024.09.14 [Table_Rank] 评级: 增持 核心观点 [Table_Authors] 赵瑞 分析师 SAC 执证编号:S0110522120001 zhaorui@sczq.com.cn [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势(最近 1 年) 资料来源:聚源数据 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 14-Sep 26-Nov 7-Feb20-Apr 2-Jul13-Sep 光明乳业 沪深300 [Table_BaseData] 公司基本数据 总市值(亿元) 资料来源:聚源数据 | --- | --- | |---------------------------|------------| | | | | 最新收盘价(元) | 7.41 | | 一年内最高 / 最低价(元) | 10.32/7.38 | | 市盈率(当前) | 11.23 | | 市净率(当前) | 1.15 | | 总股本(亿股) | 13.78 | | ...