Market Performance - The real estate sector (CITIC) experienced a weekly change of +0.9%, while the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices changed by +1.1% and +2.7%, respectively, resulting in excess returns of -0.2% and -1.9%[47] - Among 29 CITIC industry sectors, real estate ranked 20th in performance[47] New Housing Market - In the week from February 21 to February 27, 2026, the new housing transaction area in 36 cities was 780,000 square meters, showing a month-on-month increase of +431.2% but a year-on-year decrease of -69.3%[11] - Cumulative new housing transactions from February 1 to February 27, 2026, totaled 3.407 million square meters, down -41.0% year-on-year[11] - Year-to-date cumulative transactions as of February 27, 2026, reached 9.001 million square meters, reflecting a year-on-year decline of -33.6%[11] Second-Hand Housing Market - For the same week, the transaction area for second-hand housing in 15 cities was 804,000 square meters, with a month-on-month increase of +749.4% but a year-on-year decrease of -55.8%[16] - Cumulative second-hand housing transactions from February 1 to February 27, 2026, amounted to 3.627 million square meters, down -24.7% year-on-year[16] - Year-to-date cumulative transactions as of February 27, 2026, reached 10.475 million square meters, showing a slight year-on-year decline of -1.5%[16] Inventory and Depletion - The cumulative inventory of new homes in 13 cities was 76.847 million square meters, unchanged month-on-month but down -3.2% year-on-year[25] - The new home depletion cycle in these cities was 24.8 months, with a month-on-month increase of +0.6 months and a year-on-year increase of +8.4 months[25] Land Market - From February 23 to March 1, 2026, the land transaction area in 100 cities was 1.8585 million square meters, reflecting a month-on-month increase of +2033.5% but a year-on-year decrease of -26.5%[40] - The average land price was 1,734 yuan per square meter, with a month-on-month increase of +262.0% and a year-on-year decrease of -13.6%[40] - Year-to-date cumulative land transaction area as of March 1, 2026, was 15.9928 million square meters, down -18.0% year-on-year[40] Investment Recommendations - Recommended mainland developers include Binjiang Group and China Merchants Shekou for A-shares, and China Overseas Development and Greentown China for Hong Kong stocks[10] - Suggested light-asset operation companies include Greentown Service for property management and China Resources Vientiane Life for commercial management[10]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年2月28日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 新鴻基地產發展有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年3月2日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 第 2 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00016 | | 說明 | | | | | | | 多櫃檯證券代號 | 80016 | RMB 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The report highlights positive signals from quality Hong Kong property companies, with New World Development showing revenue growth of 32% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 36.2% for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year. The core net profit, excluding fair value changes of investment properties, grew by 16.7% [3] - The report emphasizes that Hong Kong's real estate market is recovering, with a decrease in impairment provisions and a reduction in the fair value change of investment properties, indicating a positive trend in the market [3] - The report suggests that there is still room for price appreciation in Hong Kong property stocks, particularly for companies like New World Development, which has a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.68, lower than its peers [3] Summary by Sections Company Performance - New World Development's interim dividend increased by 3% to HKD 0.98 per share, reflecting a strong financial position [3] - The company has successfully acquired multiple land parcels, positioning itself to benefit from the recovery in the Hong Kong property market [3] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three main lines: 1. Companies with light historical burdens and strong land acquisition capabilities, such as China Resources Land and China Overseas Development [3] 2. Hong Kong property companies benefiting from market stabilization, including New World Development and Henderson Land [3] 3. Companies with stable cash flow and dividends, such as China Resources Mixc Lifestyle and Poly Property [3] Market Monitoring - The report notes a significant increase in new home transactions in key cities, with a 428.8% week-on-week rise in new home sales [3] - Inventory levels have decreased slightly, with a current de-stocking cycle of 20.9 months, indicating a potential improvement in market conditions [3] Capital Market Monitoring - The real estate sector saw a 0.6% increase in stock prices, underperforming the broader market [3] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the real estate sector is 65.75, significantly higher than the broader market's 14.13, indicating a high valuation relative to historical levels [3]

Market Overview - US stock indices experienced a decline on Friday, with the Hang Seng Index ADR closing at 26,438.20 points, down 192.34 points or 0.72% from the Hong Kong close [1] - The highest price for the ADR was 26,561.50, while the lowest was 26,387.05, with a trading volume of 35.1282 million [1] Major Blue-Chip Stocks - Most large-cap stocks fell, with HSBC Holdings closing at HKD 145.765, down 1.04% from the Hong Kong close [2] - Tencent Holdings closed at HKD 513.995, down 0.77% from the Hong Kong close [2] Stock Performance Summary - Tencent Holdings (00700) latest price: HKD 518.000, up 1.17% with an ADR price of USD 65.700, down 0.77% [3] - Alibaba Group (09988) latest price: HKD 142.900, down 0.07% with an ADR price of USD 144.110, down 1.38% [3] - HSBC Holdings (00005) latest price: HKD 147.300, up 1.59% with an ADR price of USD 93.160, down 1.04% [3] - Other notable stocks include AIA Group (01299) up 2.48%, and NetEase (099999) up 2.40% [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 164.37 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong revenue growth of HKD 52.7 billion for FY1H26, representing a year-on-year increase of 32%. The core net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 12.2 billion, up 17% year-on-year, while the interim dividend per share (DPS) was HKD 0.98, a 3% increase from the previous year [1][2]. - The impressive growth in core net profit is attributed to several factors, including the release of profits from mainland property development, sales of investment properties in Hong Kong, and a reduction in interest expenses [2][3]. - The company is actively expanding its land reserves in Hong Kong after reducing its debt levels, taking advantage of the recovery in the Hong Kong real estate market [3][4]. Revenue and Profitability - The property development segment in Hong Kong saw a 30% decline in sales to HKD 17.4 billion, but subsequent sales from the SIERRA SEA Phase II project contributed HKD 9 billion. The company expects total sales for FY26 to reach HKD 35 billion [3]. - The rental segment demonstrated resilience, with rental income and profits remaining stable despite pressures in the commercial real estate market. The rental yield per square meter in Hong Kong and mainland China only saw a slight decline of 1% year-on-year [4][5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for core net profit for FY26-28 is adjusted to HKD 23.3 billion, HKD 24.5 billion, and HKD 25.4 billion respectively, reflecting a 4% and 3% increase for FY26 and FY27, but a 6% decrease for FY28 due to adjustments in property price assumptions and rental yield expectations [5][34]. - The company’s net asset value (NAV) is estimated at HKD 635.1 billion, with a current share price reflecting a 38% discount to NAV. The target price is adjusted to HKD 164.37, considering the recovery trends in the Hong Kong real estate market [5][25].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market showed positive performance on February 27, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 249.52 points, or 0.95%, closing at 26,630.54 points. The total turnover for the day was HKD 288.42 billion [1]. Market Indices - The Hang Seng Index increased by 249.52 points, closing at 26,630.54 points, with a gain of 0.95% [1]. - The National Enterprises Index rose by 45.2 points, closing at 8,859.49 points, reflecting a gain of 0.51% [1]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index gained 28.51 points, closing at 5,137.84 points, with an increase of 0.56% [1]. Blue-Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings rose by 1.17%, closing at HKD 518 [1]. - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing increased by 0.87%, closing at HKD 419 [1]. - China Mobile saw a rise of 0.89%, closing at HKD 79.3 [1]. - HSBC Holdings increased by 1.59%, closing at HKD 147.3 [1]. Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings increased by 3.58%, closing at HKD 49.78 [1]. - Sun Hung Kai Properties rose by 7.12%, closing at HKD 146 [1]. - Henderson Land Development gained 2.9%, closing at HKD 35.44 [1]. Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China decreased by 0.22%, closing at HKD 4.64 [1]. - China Construction Bank fell by 0.12%, closing at HKD 7.99 [1]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China rose by 0.47%, closing at HKD 6.45 [1]. - Ping An Insurance increased by 0.22%, closing at HKD 68 [1]. - China Life Insurance rose by 0.64%, closing at HKD 31.58 [1]. Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation increased by 0.37%, closing at HKD 5.45 [1]. - China National Petroleum Corporation rose by 0.85%, closing at HKD 9.54 [1]. - CNOOC Limited saw an increase of 2.68%, closing at HKD 25.32 [1].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.95%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.56% [1] - New World Development saw a rise of over 7%, WuXi Biologics increased by over 5%, SenseTime rose nearly 5%, and China Shenhua Energy gained over 4% [1] - Longfor Group, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, and WuXi AppTec all experienced gains of over 3% [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market rebounded with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.95% to close at 26,630.54 points, with a total turnover of HKD 288.42 billion. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 0.51%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.56%. However, for the month, the Hang Seng Index fell by 2.76%, the China Enterprises Index by 4.91%, and the Tech Index by 10.15% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) reached a new high, closing up 7.12% at HKD 146, contributing 22.72 points to the Hang Seng Index. Morgan Stanley reported a 17% year-on-year profit growth for the first half of 2026, significantly above their expected 4% increase, driven by better-than-expected profits from mainland property developments [2] - Other blue-chip stocks included WuXi Biologics (02269) up 5.07%, China Shenhua Energy (01088) up 4.03%, while China Biologic Products (01177) fell by 1.63%, and Budweiser APAC (01876) dropped by 1.39% [2] Sector Highlights Technology Sector - Major tech stocks showed recovery, with Tencent rising by 1.17% and Meituan by 0.87%. The prices of tungsten and rare earth metals increased significantly, with Jiaxin International Resources surging over 15% to a new high [3] - The demand for rare earths is reportedly increasing, with suppliers in the aerospace and semiconductor sectors facing shortages [3] Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical sector saw most stocks rebound, with WuXi AppTec (02268) up 8.23% and Basilea Pharmaceutica (02616) up 7.05%. Recent earnings reports from several biotech firms showed strong performance, indicating a potential continuation of high growth in the sector [4] Power Sector - The power sector performed well, with Huaneng International (00902) rising by 6.54% and Datang International Power Generation (00991) up 6.43%. The recent announcement from the National Energy Administration regarding new power system construction capabilities has positively impacted this sector [5] Airline Sector - Major airlines experienced collective declines, with China Southern Airlines (01055) down 5.01% and China Eastern Airlines (00670) down 4.31%. The People's Bank of China announced a reduction in the foreign exchange risk reserve ratio, which may stabilize market expectations [6] MSCI Index Changes - The MSCI China Index will see changes post-market close, adding 37 new constituent stocks, including four Hong Kong stocks. This adjustment aims to enhance market representation and liquidity [7] Notable Stock Movements - JunDa Holdings (02865) surged by 23.69% due to its collaboration with a research institute on new battery technologies [8] - DCH Holdings (00179) rose by 17.4% as it enters the humanoid robot components market [9] - Lao Pu Gold (06181) saw a 3.58% increase following a successful promotional event [10] - Baidu Cloud (06608) issued a profit warning, predicting a significant decline in net profit due to increased investments in AI [11] - China Everbright Water (01857) fell by 12.5% after reporting a revenue decrease of 22% [12]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market rebounded with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.95% to close at 26,630.54 points, with a total turnover of HKD 288.42 billion. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 0.51%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.56%. However, for the month, the Hang Seng Index fell by 2.76%, the China Enterprises Index dropped by 4.91%, and the Tech Index decreased by 10.15% [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) reached a new high, closing up 7.12% at HKD 146, contributing 22.72 points to the Hang Seng Index. Morgan Stanley reported a 17% year-on-year profit growth for the first half of 2026, significantly above their expected 4% increase, driven by better-than-expected profits from mainland property developments. This marks the first increase in interim dividends in three years, indicating management's confidence [2] - Other blue-chip stocks included WuXi Biologics (02269) up 5.07%, China Shenhua Energy (01088) up 4.03%, while China Biologic Products (01177) fell by 1.63%, and Budweiser APAC (01876) dropped by 1.39% [2] Sector Highlights Technology Sector - Major tech stocks showed recovery, with Tencent rising by 1.17% and Meituan by 0.87%. The prices of tungsten and rare earth metals have shown a significant upward trend, with Jiaxin International Resources surging over 15% to a new high [3] Pharmaceutical Sector - The pharmaceutical sector saw most stocks rebound, with WuXi AppTec (02268) up 8.23%, and several companies reporting strong earnings. For instance, BeiGene reported a 40.4% year-on-year revenue increase for 2025, while Zai Lab's revenue for Q4 2025 grew by 17% [4] Power Sector - Power stocks performed well, with Huaneng International (00902) rising by 6.54%, and Datang International Power Generation (00991) up 6.43%. The recent announcement of pilot projects for new power systems by the National Energy Administration has positively impacted this sector [5] Airline Sector - Major airlines experienced collective declines, with China Southern Airlines (01055) down 5.01%, China Eastern Airlines (00670) down 4.31%, and Air China (00753) down 4.1%. The People's Bank of China announced a reduction in the foreign exchange risk reserve ratio, which may stabilize market expectations [6] MSCI Index Changes - The MSCI China Index will see changes post-market close, adding 37 new constituent stocks, including four Hong Kong stocks. This adjustment aims to enhance market representation and liquidity, with expected passive fund inflows following the changes [7] Notable Stock Movements - Junda Holdings (02865) surged by 23.69% after announcing a partnership with a research institute to develop new battery technologies [8] - DCH Holdings (00179) rose by 17.4% as it enters the humanoid robot components market, collaborating with well-known manufacturers [9] - China Everbright Water (01857) fell by 12.5% after reporting a 22% decrease in revenue for the year ending December 31, 2025 [12]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) met expectations for the first half of the fiscal year ending December 2026 and expressed a more optimistic outlook for the Hong Kong property business during the analyst briefing [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecast and Target Price - Goldman Sachs raised the earnings per share forecast for Sun Hung Kai Properties for the fiscal years 2027 to 2028 by 2% to 13% [1] - The target price for the stock was increased from HKD 159 to HKD 164 while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2: Dividend Policy and Management Confidence - The interim dividend for Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by 3% year-on-year to HKD 0.98, indicating enhanced management confidence in the business outlook [1] - The company maintains a dividend policy of distributing 40% to 50% of the basic net profit for the year, with an expected total annual dividend of HKD 3.96, representing a year-on-year increase of 6% assuming a 48% payout ratio [1]