Core Viewpoint - Kerry Properties (00683) has announced the renewal of a lease for its office spaces located in Kerry Centre, with a rental agreement set for two years starting from November 19, 2025, to November 18, 2027, at a monthly rent of approximately HKD 2.322 million [1] Group 1 - The lease renewal involves properties on the 3rd, 5th, 22nd, 25th, and 26th floors of Kerry Centre [1] - The company intends to continue using these properties for its corporate office in Hong Kong [1]

Core Viewpoint - Kerry Properties (00683) has announced the renewal of lease agreements for certain properties located in Kerry Centre, with a rental fee of approximately HKD 2.322 million per month, effective from November 19, 2025, to November 18, 2027 [1] Group 1 - The lease renewal involves properties on the 3rd, 5th, 22nd, 25th, and 26th floors of Kerry Centre [1] - The properties will continue to be used as the company's office in Hong Kong [1]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 關連交易 續訂嘉里中心租約 續訂租約 於二零二五年十一月十七日，本公司之全資附屬公司嘉里發展（作為租戶）已接納 Ubagan（作為業主）所作出之要約，就位於嘉里中心之該等物業續訂現有租約。租期 為兩年，由二零二五年十一月十九日起至二零二七年十一月十八日届滿（包括首尾兩 日）。 上市規則之涵義 Ubagan 由嘉里控股及本公司分別間接持有 60%及 40%權益，而嘉里控股為本公司之控 股股東。Ubagan 為嘉里控股之聯繫人，故屬本公司之關連人士。因此，根據上市規則 第十四A章，續約事項對本公司而言構成一項關連交易。 由於續約事項項下租金確認的使用權資產總值之一項或多項適用百分比率高於 0.1%但 所有適用百分比率皆低於 5%，故續約事項須遵守上市規則第十四A章項下之申報及公 告規定，惟可獲豁免遵守通函（包括獨立財務意見）及獨立股東批准之規定。 除租金外，本集團亦須向 Ubagan 支付可變付款額，對本公 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the stabilization of the residential balance sheet suggests a potential bottoming out in the real estate market, but the speed of improvement will determine the duration of this bottoming process [3][4] - The report highlights that since 2021, China's housing prices have cumulatively declined by 37%, which is longer than the average decline of 34% over 6.1 years in 42 countries, indicating that while the price drop is significant, the adjustment period in China is still relatively short [22][7] - The report identifies five major opportunities in the industry, including the stabilization of the residential asset-liability ratio, a decrease in the housing price-to-income ratio, improving rental yields, a bullish stock market potentially boosting wealth effects, and a deep clearing of supply-side issues [3][4] Group 2 - The industry outlook predicts a structural bottoming out, with opportunities arising for quality housing and commercial real estate, driven by policies focusing on demand recovery and high-quality development [3][4] - The report anticipates that the core cities will stabilize sooner due to healthier supply-demand relationships, with a forecast for sales volume and price declines to narrow in 2025-2026 [3][4] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, recommending specific companies in the quality housing and commercial real estate segments, as well as undervalued firms and property management companies [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a cautious optimism despite current challenges [2][3]. Core Insights - The investment side of the real estate sector continues to weaken, with significant declines in new construction and completion rates. For the period from January to October 2025, total real estate investment decreased by 14.7% year-on-year, with new construction down by 19.8% and completions down by 16.9% [1][20]. - The sales side shows a broader decline in sales volume and price. From January to October 2025, the sales area decreased by 6.8% year-on-year, with a more pronounced drop of 18.8% in October alone. The sales amount also fell by 9.6% year-on-year, with a 24.3% decline in October [2][33]. - Funding sources for real estate development are tightening, with total funding down by 9.7% year-on-year. In October, funding sources saw a significant drop of 21.9% compared to the previous month [35]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that the real estate sector is still in a bottoming phase, with core cities expected to stabilize sooner. Two major opportunities are highlighted: the potential shift of real estate companies towards manufacturing and the favorable conditions for quality commercial enterprises during a monetary easing cycle [2][3]. - Adjustments to the 2025 forecasts include a projected investment decline of 14.2% (previously 11.0%), new construction down by 18.0% (previously 15.1%), and completions down by 17.7% (previously 20.0%) [20][34].

Core Insights - The recent purchase of luxury properties by companies like 瑞慈医疗 and 嘉里建设 highlights the ongoing strength of the high-end real estate market in Shanghai, despite a broader industry downturn [2][6][8] - 瑞慈医疗's acquisition of a villa for approximately 1.99 billion yuan reflects a strategic long-term investment in a prime location, indicating confidence in future capital appreciation [3][4] - 嘉里建设's purchase of a property for 1.17 billion yuan and the subsequent strong sales performance of its 金陵华庭 project demonstrate robust demand for luxury housing in Shanghai [6][7] Company Actions - 瑞慈医疗's indirect subsidiary, 上海瑞慈瑞铂门诊部有限公司, purchased a residential unit in 云锦东方, with a total area of about 570.06 square meters at a price of 34.9 million yuan per square meter [3][4] - 嘉里建设's chairman, 郭孔华, acquired a 449 square meter unit in 金陵华庭 for 1.17 billion yuan, with expectations of generating approximately 23 million yuan in profit from the transaction [6][7] Market Trends - The luxury real estate market in Shanghai is experiencing significant growth, with high-end properties priced over 50 million yuan seeing a 27% increase in transactions year-on-year [2][8] - In the first three quarters of 2025, luxury properties accounted for nearly 80% of total transactions in 11 major cities across China, indicating a strong preference for high-value assets [8] - The recent sales performance of 金陵华庭, which sold out quickly at high prices, reflects a strong demand for luxury housing driven by affluent buyers seeking core assets [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of HKD 19.5 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 49%, driven by its diversified business model focusing on high-end residential development and quality IP leasing [1] Business Segments Property Development - The company achieved sales of HKD 16.2 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 130%, with mainland China and Hong Kong contributing 66% and 34% respectively [3] - In mainland China, the company is focusing on the Shanghai market, with the Jinling Huating project being a key driver, achieving sales of HKD 10.6 billion in the first half of 2025 [3] - In Hong Kong, sales were HKD 5.5 billion in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 5%, primarily relying on the luxury project Tiwai [3] IP and Hotel Operations - The company's IP value reached HKD 86.3 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with mainland China and Hong Kong accounting for 67% and 33% respectively [2] - Total IP and hotel area is 21.33 million square feet, with a projected increase of 36% by 2031, and a 7-year CAGR growth rate of 7% [2] - Rental income from IP decreased by 5.5% to HKD 2.502 billion, while hotel rental income fell by 3.3% to HKD 1.03 billion, attributed to a low market sentiment [2] Financial Performance and Dividends - The company maintains a robust financial position with total borrowings of HKD 59.6 billion, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, and a net debt ratio of 38.4% [4] - The company has consistently paid a dividend of HKD 1.35 since 2017, resulting in a high dividend yield of 6.9% [4] - Projected net profit for 2025-2027 is HKD 1.75 billion, HKD 1.62 billion, and HKD 4.03 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 116%, -7%, and 149% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan sets a target price of HKD 26.4 for Kerry Properties (00683), initiating coverage with a "Buy" rating, highlighting the synergy between high-end residential development and quality IP leasing [1] Group 1: Business Overview - Kerry Properties is expected to achieve a revenue of HKD 19.5 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 49%, with property development, IP rental, and hotel operations contributing 66%, 25%, and 9% respectively [2] - The company focuses on high-end residential properties and IP in key cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, and Hong Kong, with land reserves totaling 49.71 million square feet as of the end of H1 2025 [2] Group 2: IP and Hotel Operations - The total value of the company's IP as of H1 2025 is HKD 86.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with mainland China and Hong Kong accounting for 67% and 33% respectively [2] - The company plans to increase its IP and hotel area by 36% to 28.93 million square feet by 2031, with a projected 7-year CAGR of 7% from 2024 to 2031 [2] Group 3: Real Estate Development - In H1 2025, the company achieved sales of HKD 16.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 130%, with mainland China and Hong Kong contributing 66% and 34% respectively [3] - The Shanghai Jinling Huating project is a key driver for mainland sales, with significant sales figures and a strong market response [3] Group 4: Financials and Dividends - As of H1 2025, the company's total borrowing stood at HKD 59.6 billion, a decrease of 2% year-on-year, with a net debt ratio of 38.4% [4] - The company has maintained a stable dividend payout since 2017, with a dividend per share (DPS) of HKD 1.35 and a high dividend yield of 6.9% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan initiates coverage on Kerry Properties (00683) with a target price of HKD 26.4 and a "Buy" rating, highlighting the synergy between high-end residential development and quality IP leasing [1] Business Overview - Kerry Properties is expected to achieve a revenue of HKD 19.5 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 49%, with property development, IP rental, and hotel operations contributing 66%, 25%, and 9% respectively [2] - The company's land bank totals 49.71 million square feet, with 42% in development properties, 37% in investment properties, 11% in hotels, and 10% in properties held for sale, primarily located in mainland China and Hong Kong [2] IP and Hotel Operations - The company's IP value reached HKD 86.3 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with 67% from mainland China and 33% from Hong Kong [3] - Total IP and hotel area is 21.33 million square feet, with major cities accounting for 73% of the total area; rental income from IP and hotels showed slight declines due to market conditions, but occupancy rates remain above market averages [3] - The company plans to increase its IP and hotel area by 760,000 square feet by 2031, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% from 2024 to 2031 [3] Real Estate Development - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved sales of HKD 16.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 130%, with mainland China and Hong Kong contributing 66% and 34% respectively [3] - The Shanghai Jinling Huating project is a key driver for mainland sales, with significant sales figures and expected profitability due to relaxed price limits [3] - In Hong Kong, sales from luxury projects have been crucial, with the company focusing on high-end residential developments [3] Financial Health and Dividends - The company maintains a strong financial position with total borrowings of HKD 59.6 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, and a net debt ratio of 38.4% as of the first half of 2025 [4] - The company has consistently paid dividends since 2017, with a dividend per share (DPS) of HKD 1.35, resulting in a high dividend yield of 6.9% [4]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a high-end residential developer with a focus on premium commercial assets, anticipating a revaluation of its quality IP [6][7]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of HKD 19.5 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 49% [6]. - The financial outlook includes a forecasted net profit of HKD 1.75 billion in 2025, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 116% [6][7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: HKD 13.09 billion - 2024: HKD 19.5 billion - 2025E: HKD 20.17 billion - 2026E: HKD 15.08 billion - 2027E: HKD 24.44 billion - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at -10.3% for 2023, 49.0% for 2024, and 3.5% for 2025 [5]. - The net profit forecast is as follows: - 2023: HKD 3.24 billion - 2024: HKD 0.81 billion - 2025: HKD 1.75 billion - 2026: HKD 1.62 billion - 2027: HKD 4.03 billion - The projected net profit growth rates are 17.7% for 2023, 75.1% for 2024, and 116.1% for 2025 [5][6]. Business Structure - The company operates a diversified business model with revenue contributions from property development (66%), IP leasing (25%), and hotel operations (9%) [6][27]. - The geographical revenue distribution shows a focus on mainland China (66%) and Hong Kong (34%) [6][27]. Property Development - The company achieved a sales amount of HKD 16.2 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 130%, with mainland sales contributing HKD 10.6 billion [6][42]. - The company is focusing on high-end residential projects, particularly in Shanghai and Hong Kong, with significant sales from the Jinling Huating project [6][45]. IP and Hotel Operations - The company’s IP value reached HKD 86.3 billion in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 14% [6]. - The total area of IP and hotel operations is projected to increase by 36% by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% [6][7]. Financial Health and Dividends - The company maintains a healthy financial position with a net debt ratio of 38.4% as of the first half of 2025, expected to decrease to around 30% by the end of 2026 [6]. - The company has consistently provided dividends, with a dividend per share (DPS) of HKD 1.35 since 2017, resulting in a high dividend yield of 6.9% [6][7].