证券分析师 行 业 及 产 业 房地产 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 《房地产行业 2026 年投资策略：潮平待 风起，扬帆更远航》 2025/11/17 《好房子的另类破局之道，引领核心城市 五重共振——好房子专题报告系列之三》 2025/09/10 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 顾铮 A0230525120002 guzheng@swsresearch.com 研究支持 顾铮 A0230525120002 guzheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 顾铮 A0230525120002 guzheng@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 08 日 商业不动产REITs密集申报，上海收购 二手住房用于保租房 看好 —— 地产及物管行业周报（2026/1/31-2026/2/6） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 相关研究 ⚫ 地产行业数据：新房、二 ...

此外，项目至今累售587伙，占比逾97%，套现金额逾147亿港元，目前仅余少量三房、四房及部分顶层 特色单位可供出售。 免责声明：本文内容与数据由观点根据公开信息整理，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。 观点网讯：由嘉里建设、信置及港铁合作发展的香港黄竹坑"扬海"项目，于2月4日以招标形式售出3伙 向海大单位，总成交金额约1.9亿港元，包含3个住宅停车位。 据了解，本次售出的单位包括第1座(1B)31楼A室、第1座(1B)10楼A室及第1座(1B)31楼B室，实用面积 分别为1420平方呎、1420平方呎及941平方呎，涵盖四房双套房及三房一套房设计，均享有深湾海景。 ...

FF301 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00683 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 1 HKD | | 10,000,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | HKD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 1 HKD | | 10,000,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 10,000,000,000 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結 ...

智通财经APP获悉，截止2月4日收盘，有100只股票创52周新高，其中METROPOLIS CAP(08621)、亚势 备份(08290)、温岭工量刃具(01379)创高率位于前3位，分别为74.55%、63.89%、57.48%。 52周新高排行 | 股票名称 | 收盘价 | 最高价 | 创高率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | METROPOLIS | 0.048 | 0.096 | 74.55% | | CAP(08621) | | | | | 亚势备份(08290) | 0.032 | 0.059 | 63.89% | | 温岭工量刃具(01379) | 3.400 | 6.000 | 57.48% | | 亚洲联网科技(00679) | 1.500 | 1.550 | 46.23% | | 亚太金融投资(08193) | 0.500 | 0.690 | 25.45% | | 浦江中国(01417) | 0.325 | 0.335 | 24.07% | | 新威工程集团(08616) | 0.068 | 0.078 | 23.81% | | 信达国际控股(00111) | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a strategic shift among mainland real estate companies from development to commercial operations, with firms like China Resources Land and Joy City expected to benefit from this transition [9][41]. - The report categorizes real estate companies based on their rental income performance, identifying three distinct groups: those with stable growth, those with slight fluctuations, and those experiencing significant declines [21][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Differences in Commercial and Development Ratios Among Companies - Mainland real estate firms are adopting a "development + commercial" dual-driven model, with companies like New Town Holdings and Longfor Group transitioning towards commercial operations [14]. - Hong Kong-backed firms prefer a purer commercial operation model, focusing on quality over quantity in their projects [14]. 2. Comparison of Commercial Real Estate Operational Efficiency - Hong Kong-backed firms generally have fewer but higher-quality commercial projects, leading to better rental yields and resilience in occupancy rates compared to mainland firms [35]. - China Resources Land leads in shopping center rental efficiency due to its strategic positioning in major cities [35]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on mainland firms that are transitioning to commercial operations, particularly those benefiting from the rollout of commercial real estate REITs, such as China Resources Land and Joy City [41]. - It also recommends defensive stocks with high asset quality and competitive dividend yields, including Swire Properties, Kerry Properties, and Hang Lung Properties [41].

Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]

Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate industry as "Outperform" compared to the market [2] Core Insights - New home sales in December showed a month-on-month increase of 33.6%, with a year-on-year decline of 32.1%, indicating a narrowing of the decline compared to previous months [5] - The second-hand home sales saw a year-on-year decline of 30.7% in December, with a month-on-month increase of 12.7%, reflecting a worsening trend in the second-hand market [5] - The overall inventory of new homes decreased by 0.1% month-on-month and 8.3% year-on-year, with an average de-stocking period of 17.8 months [5] Summary by Sections New Home Sales - December new home sales area increased by 33.6% month-on-month, but decreased by 32.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 6.6 percentage points [5] - For the entire year of 2025, new home sales decreased by 14%, with a year-on-year decline of 13.7% across 40 cities [5] - First-tier cities experienced a year-on-year decline of 15.8%, while second-tier and third-fourth tier cities saw declines of 12.6% and 13.6% respectively [5] Second-Hand Home Sales - December saw a year-on-year decline in second-hand home sales of 30.7%, with a month-on-month increase of 12.7% [5] - The overall second-hand home sales for 2025 decreased by 4%, with first-tier cities still showing positive growth [5] Inventory and De-stocking - The inventory of new homes decreased by 0.1% month-on-month and 8.3% year-on-year, with a de-stocking period of 17.8 months [5] - Major cities like Shanghai and Hangzhou have de-stocking periods within 12 months [5] Land Market - The land market in December showed a month-on-month increase of 126.7%, but a year-on-year decline of 8.9% [5] - The average land price was 1392 RMB per square meter, with a year-on-year decrease of 10.3% [5] Real Estate Companies - The top 100 real estate companies saw a year-on-year sales decline of 20% in 2025, with December sales showing a narrowing decline of 26.7% [5] - The land acquisition amount for December decreased by 58.1% year-on-year, while the total acquisition amount for 2025 increased by 2.6% [5] Financing - The financing scale for the real estate industry decreased in December, but showed a year-on-year increase for the entire year [5] - The total issuance of domestic and foreign bonds and ABS in 2025 was 596.7 billion RMB, a 6% increase year-on-year [5] Policy - The central government emphasized stabilizing the real estate market and reducing the value-added tax on personal home sales to 3% [5] - Local policies have been adjusted to optimize purchase restrictions and loan policies in cities like Beijing [5] Sector Performance - The real estate sector underperformed compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index in December, with an absolute return of -4.0% [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable fundamentals in core cities, smaller firms showing significant breakthroughs, and commercial real estate companies exploring new consumption scenarios [5]

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00017 | 新世界发展 | (0) | 4.35% | 9.830 | 247.39亿 | | 00016 | 新鸿基地产 | | 3.93% | 119.000 | 3448.36 Z | | 00101 | 恒隆地产 | | 3.47% | 9.540 | 482.4 Z | | 01113 | 长实集团 | | 3.14% | 45.360 | 1587.5亿 | | 00083 | 信和置业 | | 3.01% | 11.650 | 1104.94亿 | | 00014 | 第遺兴业 | | 2.75% | 21.660 | 222.45 Z | | 00683 | 嘉里建设 | | 2.70% | 23.620 | 342.8 Z | | 01997 | 九龙合置业 | | 1.98% | 26.800 | 813.71亿 | | 00087 | 太古股份公司B | | 1.12% | 12.640 | 360.11亿 | | 00823 | 领展房 ...

Core Insights - The real estate market continues to face downward pressure, with all 70 cities experiencing a decline in second-hand housing prices for four consecutive months, indicating a "catch-up" phenomenon in first-tier cities [9][19] - The average year-on-year decline in new housing prices across 70 cities in 2025 was 3.8%, which is less than the 4.5% decline in 2024, marking three consecutive years of decline [4][12] - The average year-on-year decline in second-hand housing prices was 6.3% in 2025, also less than the 7.4% decline in 2024, indicating a persistent downward trend for four years [4][12] Real Estate Market Performance - In December 2025, new home prices in 70 major cities fell by 0.4% month-on-month, while second-hand home prices decreased by 0.7%, maintaining the same rate of decline as in November [4][12] - The total sales area in December was 93.99 million square meters, with a year-on-year decline of 15.6%, showing a slight improvement from the previous month's decline of 17.3% [12][13] - The total investment in real estate development in December was 419.7 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 35.8%, marking the largest single-month decline since 2000 [16][19] Housing Price Trends - In first-tier cities, new home prices fell by 0.3% month-on-month in December, with Shanghai showing a slight increase of 0.2%, while Beijing, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou experienced varying declines [5][9] - The average year-on-year decline in new home prices in first-tier cities was 1.8% in 2025, a reduction of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [5][9] - Second-hand home prices in first-tier cities fell by 0.9% month-on-month in December, with an average year-on-year decline of 4.2% [5][9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main lines: stable companies with high sales and land reserve ratios in core cities, smaller companies that have made significant breakthroughs in sales and land acquisition since 2024, and commercial real estate companies exploring new consumption scenarios [10][20] - Companies such as China Resources Land, Binjiang Group, and China Merchants Shekou are highlighted for their strong market positions [10][20] - The report anticipates potential policy adjustments by the end of Q1 2026, which could help stabilize the market [9][19]

格隆汇1月22日｜香港本地地产股普涨，其中，希慎兴业涨超5%，九龙仓置业、嘉里建设涨超4%，九 龙仓集团、新鸿基地产涨超3%，太古股份公司B涨近3%，长实集团、信和置业、太古地产、太古股份 公司A涨超1%。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00014 | 岩慎兴业 | 0 | 5.37% | 21.600 | 221.83亿 | | 01997 | 九龙仓置业 | | 4.81% | 26.600 | 807.64亿 | | 00683 | 嘉里建设 | | 4.58% | 22.840 | 331.48 乙 | | 00004 | 九龙仓集团 | | 3.49% | 24.940 | 762.17亿 | | 00016 | 新鸿基地产 | | 3.36% | 113.900 | 3300.57亿 | | 00087 | 太古股份公司B | | 2.81% | 12.460 | 354.98亿 | | 01113 | 长实集团 | | 1.57% | 43.960 | 1538.5亿 | | 0 ...