Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong real estate sector is experiencing a decline, with several major companies reporting significant stock price drops [2] Group 1: Company Performance - Vanke Enterprises has seen a decline of over 5% in its stock price [2] - Shimao Group's stock has dropped by more than 3% [2] - CIFI Holdings, Longfor Group, and China Overseas Grand Oceans Group have all experienced declines exceeding 2% [2]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of November 26, a total of 39 stocks reached their 52-week highs, with notable performances from Fire Rock Holdings (02975), Crocodile Garments (02977), and Aisuo Holdings (08585) showing significant increases in their high rates [1]. 52-Week Highs - Fire Rock Holdings (02975) achieved a closing price of 0.114 with a peak of 0.231, marking a high rate of 285.00% - Crocodile Garments (02977) closed at 0.085, reaching a high of 0.189, reflecting a high rate of 170.00% - Aisuo Holdings (08585) closed at 0.021, with a peak of 0.040, resulting in a high rate of 110.53% - Other notable stocks include: - Fulltech Electric Group Holdings (01750) with a high rate of 23.64% - Century United Holdings (01959) at 22.05% - Cassava Resources (00841) at 20.19% [1]. 52-Week Lows - The stock with the largest decline was Jia Jin Investment International (00310), which closed at 0.141, reaching a low of 0.137, resulting in a decline rate of -25.95% - Crown Central Properties (00193) closed at 0.168, with a low of 0.141, reflecting a decline rate of -18.02% - Lion Holdings (02562) had a closing price of 4.710, with a low of 4.680, showing a decline rate of -9.48% - Other significant declines include: - Huading Holdings (03398) at -7.14% - XL Two South Strategy - U (09799) at -5.96% [2].

Core Viewpoint - The real estate service concept stocks have seen a significant rise, with notable increases in share prices for various companies in both the A-share and Hong Kong markets [1][2]. Group 1: A-Share Market Performance - I Love My Home (000560) has seen its stock price surge and is currently at the upper limit of trading [1]. - Other companies such as Te Fa Service, Shi Lian Hang (002285), and others have also experienced upward movement in their stock prices [1]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market Performance - Sunac China has increased by over 7%, while Country Garden has risen by more than 5% [1]. - Other notable increases include: - Far East Horizon up by over 4% - Shimao Group, China Resources Land, and R&F Properties each up by over 3% [1]. - The following companies have reported specific percentage increases: - Sunac China: 7.52% increase, latest price at 1.430, market cap at 164.02 billion [2]. - Country Garden: 5.15% increase, latest price at 0.510, market cap at 142.74 billion [2]. - Far East Horizon: 4.59% increase, latest price at 0.114, market cap at 13.46 billion [2]. - Shimao Group: 3.70% increase, latest price at 0.280, market cap at 24.09 billion [2]. - China Resources Land: 3.34% increase, latest price at 30.300, market cap at 2160.67 billion [2]. - R&F Properties: 3.33% increase, latest price at 0.620, market cap at 23.26 billion [2]. - Vanke Enterprise: 3.45% increase, latest price at 4.200, market cap at 501.09 billion [2].

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong property stocks experienced a significant rally, with notable increases in share prices for several major companies in the sector [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Sunac China saw a rise of over 7%, reaching a latest price of 1.430 with a total market capitalization of 164.02 billion [2]. - Country Garden increased by 5.15%, with a latest price of 0.510 and a market cap of 142.74 billion [2]. - Yuan Long Group rose by 4.59%, priced at 0.114 and a market cap of 13.46 billion [2]. - Shimao Group and China Resources Land both increased by over 3%, with Shimao priced at 0.280 and a market cap of 24.09 billion, while China Resources Land had a price of 30.300 and a market cap of 2160.67 billion [2]. - R&F Properties and Vanke Enterprises also saw increases of 3.33% and 3.45%, respectively, with prices of 0.620 and 4.200, and market caps of 23.26 billion and 501.09 billion [2]. - Other companies like Jin Hui Holdings, Agile Group, and Longguang Group also reported gains, with increases ranging from 2.05% to 2.62% [2].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw significant gains with I Love My Home hitting the daily limit, while other companies like TeFa Service, ShiLian Hang, GuangDa JiaBao, ShenShen Fang A, and Vanke A also experienced notable increases. In the Hong Kong market, Sunac China rose over 9%, Country Garden increased by more than 5%, and Vanke Enterprises and Shimao Group both saw gains exceeding 3% [1]. A-Share Market - I Love My Home reached a daily limit increase [1] - TeFa Service, ShiLian Hang, GuangDa JiaBao, ShenShen Fang A, and Vanke A also surged [1] Hong Kong Market - Sunac China experienced a rise of over 9% [1] - Country Garden increased by more than 5% [1] - Vanke Enterprises and Shimao Group both rose over 3% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the real estate industry [7] Core Insights - The real estate industry is experiencing a low-level adjustment with accelerated differentiation among companies, where the overall revenue of sample companies decreased by 12.5% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders dropped by 161.6% [4][8] - The sales decline is narrowing, with top companies like Jianfa Real Estate, China Jinmao, and Yuexiu Property achieving growth against the trend [4][9] - The land market is showing a trend of quality improvement and reduced volume, with core city premium land transactions supporting a year-on-year increase in transaction value [4][9] Summary by Sections 1. Financial Performance: Weakness Continues, Differentiation Among Companies - In the first three quarters of 2025, the overall revenue of 23 sample companies decreased by 12.5% year-on-year, with state-owned enterprises showing a growth of 6.1% while private and mixed-ownership companies faced declines of 17.1% and 27.8% respectively [16] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for these companies fell by 161.6%, with state-owned enterprises experiencing a decline of 1595.6% [16][22] - The overall gross margin for the sample companies was 13.0%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points compared to the full year of 2024, while state-owned enterprises saw a recovery in gross margin [22][40] 2. Operational Performance: Sales Under Pressure, Land Market Quality Improvement - In the first three quarters of 2025, the cumulative sales amount of commercial housing nationwide decreased by 7.9% year-on-year, with a decline in sales area of 5.5% [9][43] - The top 100 real estate companies reported a cumulative sales amount of 24,948 billion, down 12.8% year-on-year, with the top 10 companies showing a decline of 11.7% [49][52] - The land market is characterized by a reduction in supply and an increase in transaction value, with the cumulative transaction amount reaching 13,304 billion, up 11.9% year-on-year [54][57] 3. Financing Environment: Marginal Improvement, State-Owned Enterprises at an Advantage - The bond issuance scale for real estate companies has stopped declining, with a year-on-year increase of 3.9% in the first three quarters of 2025 [10] - The average bond issuance interest rate has decreased from 5.5% in 2021 to 2.8% in the first half of 2025, indicating a recovery in market confidence [10][57] - The liquidity pressure remains, with significant differences in the financial health of various companies [10][57] 4. Investment Recommendations: Focus on Leading Companies in Core Areas - The report recommends focusing on leading companies that continue to acquire land in core areas of first-tier and strong second-tier cities, such as Greentown China, Jianfa International Group, and China Overseas Development [11][57] - Attention should also be given to companies with potential turnaround opportunities and those with core competitive advantages in the real estate intermediary sector [11]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong property stocks continue to rise, indicating a positive trend in the real estate sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Shimao Group (00813.HK) increased by 13.21%, reaching HKD 0.3 [1] - R&F Properties (02777.HK) rose by 5.36%, reaching HKD 0.59 [1] - China Resources Land (01109.HK) saw a gain of 4.45%, reaching HKD 30.96 [1] - Oceanwide Holdings (03377.HK) increased by 3.81%, reaching HKD 0.109 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese property stocks are experiencing a rise, driven by the implementation of new housing policies in various regions, particularly the promotion of "existing home sales" in Pingjiang County, Hunan Province, which is expected to stabilize the market in the long term [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Shimao Group (00813) increased by 13.21%, trading at 0.3 HKD - R&F Properties (02777) rose by 5.36%, trading at 0.59 HKD - China Resources Land (01109) saw a 4.45% increase, trading at 30.96 HKD - Oceanwide Holdings (03377) grew by 3.81%, trading at 0.109 HKD [1] Group 2: Policy Developments - On November 3, Pingjiang County in Hunan Province fully implemented existing home sales, marking it as the fourth region in China to do so after Xinyang, Jingmen, and Conghua District [1] - Zhongtai Securities reported that existing home sales can mitigate delivery risks and help stabilize the market, although it may not directly boost new home sales in the short term [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - GF Securities noted that there is currently a policy vacuum period, with no new statements from central or local governments ahead of year-end meetings [1] - Huang Qifan's proposals regarding the establishment of a reverse mortgage system for the elderly and other housing consumption models have garnered significant attention [1] - The exploration of new real estate models continues, with expectations for statements from the Political Bureau and the Central Economic Work Conference by year-end [1]

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Shimao Construction Co., Ltd. has disclosed significant legal issues and overdue debts, including a pending lawsuit involving a claim of 11.291 billion yuan, which may be related to the Shenzhen-Hong Kong International Center project [1][5] Group 1: Legal and Financial Issues - The company is facing a new lawsuit with a claim amount of 11.291 billion yuan, with the plaintiff being China CITIC Financial Asset Management Co., Ltd. [1] - The lawsuit is based on a contract dispute, and the first-instance hearing is scheduled for September 30, 2025 [1] - The company has also been involved in a land recovery situation, where 12 plots related to the Shenzhen-Hong Kong International Center are being evaluated for a compensation of only 6.8 billion yuan, significantly lower than the original acquisition cost [4][6] Group 2: Project Development and Challenges - The Shenzhen-Hong Kong International Center project was initially acquired for 23.943 billion yuan in December 2017, but the project has faced multiple delays and adjustments in height from 700 meters to below 500 meters [3][4] - Originally planned for completion by July 2025, the project has not progressed as expected, leading to speculation about government land recovery [4][6] - The project aims to be a comprehensive development including a conference center, hotel, and commercial spaces, but has been stalled due to financial difficulties and legal challenges [3][5] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company has reported continuous losses since 2022, with a net profit of -2.056 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, which is over 100% of its net assets at the end of 2024 [8] - The total contracted sales for the first ten months of 2025 were approximately 20.919 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 26.5% [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate stocks have shown signs of recovery, with significant increases in share prices for several companies, despite ongoing challenges in the market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of the latest report, Greentown China (03900) rose by 8.36% to HKD 8.94, R&F Properties (02777) increased by 5.66% to HKD 0.56, New World Development (01030) gained 4.04% to HKD 2.32, and Shimao Group (00813) climbed 3.85% to HKD 0.27 [1] - According to CRIC, the top 100 real estate companies achieved a sales turnover of CNY 253 billion in October 2025, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.1% but a year-on-year decrease of 41.9% [1] Group 2: Sales Performance - Cumulatively, the top 100 real estate companies reported a sales turnover of CNY 25,766.6 billion, which represents a year-on-year decline of 16%, with the rate of decline widening by 4.2 percentage points compared to the first nine months of the year [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley suggests that the large number of second-hand homes on the market may continue to suppress market sentiment, exerting pressure on real estate sales and prices for the remainder of the year [1] - CITIC Securities reports that the supply and demand situation in the real estate market has improved, indicating that adjustments have been sufficient, and forecasts a potential stabilization in the market in 2026 [1] - CITIC Securities also believes that 2026 could be a critical year for real estate companies to repair their balance sheets, with some firms possibly reaching a long-term profitability bottom [1]