国信证券发布研报称，中国黄金国际(02099)2025年前三季度业绩强劲，营收与净利润大幅增长并实现 扭亏，主要受益于金铜价格上涨及成本优化。公司金、铜产销量稳步提升，全年产量有望超指引。随着 甲玛矿逐步复产和未来产能扩张，成长性可期，当前股价对应PE为13.9/10.5/9.4X，考虑到公司拥有 金、铜产品组合，资源储量丰富，未来成长性较强，维持"优于大市"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The decline in gold prices has led to a significant drop in Hong Kong-listed gold stocks, with various companies experiencing losses of over 5% [1] Group 1: Market Impact - Gold prices continue to fall, with spot gold dropping 0.64% to below $4020 per ounce, influenced by diminishing expectations of a rate cut in the U.S. next month [1] - Major gold stocks in Hong Kong, such as Lingbao Gold and Tongguan Gold, have seen declines of over 5% and 4.6% respectively, reflecting the broader market trend [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - A new tax policy on gold has resulted in increased prices at Shenzhen's Shui Bei market, leading to a noticeable decrease in sales volume for gold jewelry stores [1] - Retailers in Shenzhen, such as Wu Zude, report a significant drop in daily sales from three to four hundred grams to less than 200 grams, indicating a slowdown in purchasing activity [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Hong Kong gold stocks experienced a decline, with Lingbao Gold falling over 6% [1] - Other companies in the sector, including Tongguan Gold, Zhaojin Mining, and China Gold International, also saw declines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The decline in gold prices has led to a significant drop in Hong Kong gold stocks, with major companies experiencing losses of over 5% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Lingbao Gold fell by over 5%, while Tongguan Gold and China Silver Group dropped by 4.6% [1] - Zijin Gold International decreased by 4%, and China National Gold fell by 3.6% [1] - Other companies such as Zhaojin Mining, Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zijin Mining also saw declines of over 2% [1][2] Group 2: Gold Price Trends - Spot gold prices have continued to decline, currently falling 0.64% to below $4020 per ounce [1] - Expectations for a rate cut in the U.S. next month are fading, contributing to the downward trend in gold prices [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - CICC's 2026 outlook suggests that the current gold bull market may not be over, with historical comparisons indicating that the current price increase and duration are still lower than the major upswings in the 1970s and 2000s [1] - In Shenzhen's Shui Bei market, the new gold tax policy has led to an increase in gold prices, causing frequent order cancellations among gold merchants [1] - A gold jewelry store owner in Shenzhen reported a significant drop in daily sales from 300-400 grams to less than 200 grams [1]

Group 1 - Gold stocks continue to decline, with Lingbao Gold down 5.66% at HKD 15.83, Tongguan Gold down 4.3% at HKD 2.67, China Silver Group down 4.55% at HKD 0.63, Zijin Mining International down 4.16% at HKD 133.7, and China Gold International down 3.73% at HKD 131.7 [1] - On Tuesday, gold prices extended their decline for the third consecutive day [1] - The market's expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December dropped from 70% to 40% [1] Group 2 - Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Philip Jefferson emphasized the need for caution in further rate cuts to avoid undermining anti-inflation efforts [1] - The labor market risks are skewed to the downside, but the need for a cautious approach remains as interest rates approach neutral levels [1] - CITIC Futures noted that as the Fed's stance turns more hawkish, the probability of a December rate cut decreases, leading to a continued adjustment phase for precious metals [1]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月18日 中国黄金国际（02099.HK） 优于大市 Q3 业绩表现亮眼，公司兼具高业绩弹性及高成长性 公司发布三季报：前三季度实现营收 9.25 亿美元，同比+99.83%；实现归母 净利润 3.41 亿美元，同比扭亏；其中，Q1/Q2/Q3 分别实现归母净利润 0.85/1.15/1.41 亿美元，Q3 环比+22.43%。公司 Q3 利润环比再次实现明显 提升，主要得益于金铜价格上涨以及甲玛矿销售折价系数提升。 核心产品产销量数据方面：公司前三季度实现黄金产量 4.02 吨，实现黄金 销量 4.21 吨。其中长山壕前三季度黄金产量约 2.12 吨，黄金销量约 2.34 吨；甲玛矿前三季度黄金产量约 1.90 吨，黄金销量约 1.87 吨。公司前三季 度实现铜产量 5.41 万吨，实现铜销量 5.33 万吨。公司 2025 年产量指引： 长山壕黄金产量指引约 2.4-2.6 吨；甲玛矿黄金产量指引约 2.15-2.3 吨， 铜产量指引约 6.3-6.7 万吨。全年的维度来看，公司金、铜产量超过指引的 可能性较高。 核心产品成本数据方面：长山壕前三季度黄金单位生产成本1639 ...

国信证券发布研报称，中国黄金（600916）国际(02099)2025年前三季度业绩强劲，营收与净利润大幅 增长并实现扭亏，主要受益于金铜价格上涨及成本优化。公司金、铜产销量稳步提升，全年产量有望超 指引。随着甲玛矿逐步复产和未来产能扩张，成长性可期，当前股价对应PE为13.9/10.5/9.4X，考虑到 公司拥有金、铜产品组合，资源储量丰富，未来成长性较强，维持"优于大市"评级。 公司前三季度实现黄金产量4.02吨，实现黄金销量4.21吨。其中长山壕前三季度黄金产量约2.12吨，黄 金销量约2.34吨;甲玛矿前三季度黄金产量约1.90吨，黄金销量约1.87吨。公司前三季度实现铜产量5.41 万吨，实现铜销量5.33万吨。公司2025年产量指引：长山壕黄金产量指引约2.4-2.6吨;甲玛矿黄金产量指 引约2.15-2.3吨，铜产量指引约6.3-6.7万吨。全年的维度来看，公司金、铜产量超过指引的可能性较 高。 成本数据方面 长山壕前三季度黄金单位生产成本1639美元/盎司;甲玛矿前三季度铜单位生产成本3.23美元/磅， Q1/Q2/Q3单位生产成本分别为3.41/3.19/3.13美元/磅，前三季度扣除副产品 ...

产销量数据方面 智通财经APP获悉，国信证券发布研报称，中国黄金国际(02099)2025年前三季度业绩强劲，营收与净利 润大幅增长并实现扭亏，主要受益于金铜价格上涨及成本优化。公司金、铜产销量稳步提升，全年产量 有望超指引。随着甲玛矿逐步复产和未来产能扩张，成长性可期，当前股价对应PE为13.9/10.5/9.4X， 考虑到公司拥有金、铜产品组合，资源储量丰富，未来成长性较强，维持"优于大市"评级。 国信证券主要观点如下： 整体业绩表现 中国黄金国际前三季度实现营收9.25亿美元，同比+99.83%;实现归母净利润3.41亿美元，同比扭亏;其 中，Q1/Q2/Q3分别实现归母净利润0.85/1.15/1.41亿美元，Q3环比+22.43%。公司Q3利润环比再次实现 明显提升，主要得益于金铜价格上涨以及甲玛矿销售折价系数提升。 公司前三季度实现黄金产量4.02吨，实现黄金销量4.21吨。其中长山壕前三季度黄金产量约2.12吨，黄 金销量约2.34吨;甲玛矿前三季度黄金产量约1.90吨，黄金销量约1.87吨。公司前三季度实现铜产量5.41 万吨，实现铜销量5.33万吨。公司2025年产量指引：长山壕黄金产量指引 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，黄金股集体走低，截至发稿，中国黄金国际(02099.HK)跌4.03%，报135.8港元；山东黄金 (01787.HK)跌3.46%，报33.52港元；赤峰黄金(06693.HK)跌2.96%，报29.54港元；紫金黄金国际 (02259.HK)跌2.54%，报138港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks collectively declined following a significant drop in spot gold prices, which fell nearly $180 from a historical high of $4,211, marking the largest single-day decline in recent times [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Gold International (02099) fell by 4.03%, closing at HKD 135.8 [1] - Shandong Gold (01787) decreased by 3.46%, closing at HKD 33.52 [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) dropped by 2.96%, closing at HKD 29.54 [1] - Zijin Mining International (02259) declined by 2.54%, closing at HKD 138 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - The market is adjusting its optimistic expectations for a December interest rate cut following hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, leading to profit-taking across risk assets, including gold and cryptocurrencies [1] - Dongwu Securities suggests that despite the current macroeconomic framework, there remains a medium-term bullish outlook for precious metals, indicating that the recent price correction may present a buying opportunity [1] - Copper Crown Jin Yuan Futures believes that the recent rebound in gold and silver prices has ended, and a new adjustment phase is expected, with attention on the upcoming non-farm payroll data [1]