Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks are experiencing a significant rise, driven by a stabilization in gold prices after a three-day decline, with key companies showing notable gains in their stock prices [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Gold International (02099) increased by 7.05%, reaching HKD 139.7 [1] - Shandong Gold (01787) rose by 6.63%, trading at HKD 34.4 [1] - Zijin Mining International (02259) saw a 6.34% increase, priced at HKD 140.9 [1] - Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818) gained 6.01%, with a stock price of HKD 29.3 [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - Gold prices stabilized after a decline, with spot gold nearing USD 4100 per ounce, currently at USD 4087 per ounce, reflecting a daily increase of 0.48% [1] - The "small non-farm" ADP weekly employment data indicated an average weekly decrease of 2500 jobs in the U.S. private sector as of November 1 [1] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. were reported at 232,000, with continuing claims slightly rising to 1.957 million [1] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The market is anticipating the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data [1] - Guotai Junan Securities suggests that in the long-term context of de-dollarization, gold's status as a monetary metal is increasing [1] - The U.S. interest rate cut cycle may lead to a weaker dollar, while central bank gold purchases remain strong, providing medium to long-term support for gold prices [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rising trend in gold stocks, with notable increases in share prices for companies such as China Gold International, Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and Zhaojin Mining [1] - As of the report, gold prices have stabilized after a three-day decline, reaching approximately $4,087 per ounce, reflecting a daily increase of 0.48% [1] - The article mentions the recent employment data from the U.S., indicating a decrease in private sector employment by an average of 2,500 jobs per week, which may influence market sentiment towards gold [1] Group 2 - The article discusses the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data release, which is a key focus for the market [1] - It notes that in the context of long-term de-dollarization, gold is increasingly viewed as a monetary metal, with strong support for its price due to ongoing central bank purchases [1] - The report suggests that the U.S. interest rate cut cycle may lead to a weaker dollar, further supporting gold prices in the medium to long term [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first three quarters, achieving $925 million in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 99.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of $341 million, marking a turnaround from losses [1][4] - The third quarter saw a net profit of $141 million, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.43%, driven by rising gold and copper prices and improved sales discount coefficients for the Jiamar mine [1][4] Revenue and Profit Data - Revenue for Q1, Q2, and Q3 was $273 million, $307 million, and $345 million respectively, with Q3 showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.29% [4] - Net profit for Q1, Q2, and Q3 was $85 million, $115 million, and $141 million respectively, with Q3 showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.43% [4] Production and Sales Data - The company produced 4.02 tons of gold and sold 4.21 tons in the first three quarters, with Q1, Q2, and Q3 production figures of 1.39 tons, 1.35 tons, and 1.28 tons respectively [6] - Copper production reached 54,100 tons with sales of 53,300 tons, with Q1, Q2, and Q3 production figures of 16,900 tons, 18,000 tons, and 19,200 tons respectively [6] Cost Data - The unit production cost for gold at the Changshanhao mine was $1,639 per ounce, with quarterly costs of $1,625, $1,612, and $1,689 per ounce [9] - The unit production cost for copper at the Jiamar mine was $3.23 per pound, with quarterly costs of $3.41, $3.19, and $3.13 per pound, showing continued cost optimization in Q3 [9] Future Production Guidance - The company has set production guidance for 2025, estimating gold production at Changshanhao to be between 2.4-2.6 tons and Jiamar mine gold production at 2.15-2.3 tons, with copper production guidance of 63,000-67,000 tons [6][11] - The company has already completed 82%-88% of its gold production guidance for Changshanhao and 83%-89% for Jiamar in the first three quarters [6]

Group 1: Key Recommendations - The report highlights the undervaluation of Luk Fook Holdings (00590.HK), a leading Hong Kong jewelry brand, emphasizing product innovation and channel transformation as new growth drivers [7][8] - For the fiscal year 2025, Luk Fook achieved revenue of HKD 13.341 billion, with 39.5% from mainland China and 60.5% from Hong Kong, Macau, and overseas markets [7][8] - The company has seen same-store sales growth of 5% and 10% in the second and third quarters of 2025, respectively, despite facing challenges from rising gold prices and changing consumer environments [7][8] Group 2: Industry Insights - The jewelry consumption logic has evolved to emphasize both fashion and value retention, with innovative design significantly enhancing the fashion appeal of gold products [8] - The report notes that the recent tax reform on gold in Hong Kong is expected to benefit the market by enhancing brand and price competitiveness, particularly in attracting mainland consumers [8] - The insurance industry has seen a 16.5% year-on-year increase in funds utilized, with a notable shift towards equity investments, indicating a robust demand for investment opportunities [14][19] Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - Luk Fook is projected to achieve net profits of HKD 1.501 billion, 1.787 billion, and 2.028 billion for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028, representing year-on-year growth rates of 36.48%, 19.08%, and 13.44% respectively [9] - China Gold International (02099.HK) reported a significant revenue increase of 99.83% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching USD 925 million, with a net profit of USD 341 million [25][26] - The report anticipates that China Gold will exceed its production guidance for gold and copper, with a strong outlook for future growth [26][27] Group 4: Strategic Developments - The report discusses the strategic acquisition by Electric Power Investment (002128.SZ) of Baiyin Coal Power, which is expected to enhance the company's capacity and profitability by approximately 38% in revenue and 27% in net profit [29] - Dazhonglin (603233.SH) has shown a 26% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by improved marketing strategies and cost management [30][31] - The education sector is undergoing significant changes, with a focus on AI-driven personalized learning solutions, which are expected to address the challenges of scalability and cost-effectiveness in education [19][20]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first three quarters, achieving a revenue of $925 million, a year-on-year increase of 99.83%, and a net profit of $341 million, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - The third quarter saw a net profit of $141 million, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.43%, driven by rising gold and copper prices and improved sales discount coefficients for the Jiamar mine [1] - The company has set ambitious production guidance for 2025, with gold production from the Changshanhao mine expected to be between 2.4-2.6 tons and from the Jiamar mine between 2.15-2.3 tons, alongside copper production guidance of 63,000-67,000 tons [1] Production and Cost Data - For the first three quarters, gold production was 4.02 tons and sales were 4.21 tons, while copper production was 54,100 tons and sales were 53,300 tons [1] - The unit production cost for gold at the Changshanhao mine was $1,639 per ounce, while the unit production cost for copper at the Jiamar mine was $3.23 per pound, with a decreasing trend in costs observed over the quarters [2] Operational Insights - The Changshanhao gold mine is nearing the end of its operational life, with a reduced production capacity of 40,000 tons per day, while the Jiamar mine is undergoing operational adjustments due to past incidents and is expected to resume full operations by mid-2027 [3] - The company is actively working on the construction of a third tailings storage facility, which will enhance the daily processing capacity once operational [3] Future Outlook - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting revenues of $1.277 billion, $1.440 billion, and $1.564 billion, with corresponding net profits of $502 million, $666 million, and $740 million, indicating strong growth potential [3]

Core Insights - Southbound funds increased their holdings in China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd by 535,200 shares on November 18, 2025, marking a 0.52% increase in total shares held [1][2] - Over the past five trading days, southbound funds have increased their holdings for five days, with a total net increase of 2,686,200 shares [1] - In the last twenty trading days, there have been twelve days of net increases, totaling 2,734,000 shares, bringing the total shares held by southbound funds to 103 million, which represents 25.93% of the company's issued ordinary shares [1][2] Company Overview - China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd is a Canadian-based mining company focused on gold and base metals, primarily engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and mining of mineral resources in China [2] - The company operates two mines: the Changshanhao Gold Mine located in Inner Mongolia and the Jiama Copper-Gold Polymetallic Mine situated in central Tibet [2] - The Changshanhao Gold Mine is approximately 210 kilometers northwest of Baotou City, primarily producing gold ingots with silver as a byproduct [2] - The Jiama project is a polymetallic deposit that includes copper, molybdenum, gold, silver, lead, and zinc, located about 60 kilometers east of Lhasa City along the Sichuan-Tibet Highway [2]

Market Performance - On November 18, gold stocks in Hong Kong and A-shares experienced significant declines, with Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) dropping 8.88%, Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) down 5.38%, and Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) falling 5.08% [2][3] - In A-shares, Zhongjin Gold (600489.SH) fell 3.51%, Zhaojin Gold (000506.SZ) decreased by 3.34%, and Hunan Gold (002155.SZ) dropped 3.1% [2][3] Gold Price Trends - Spot gold prices faced heavy selling pressure, briefly falling below $4000 per ounce for the first time since November 10, marking the fourth consecutive day of decline [4][5] - As of the latest update, spot gold was reported at $4041.62 per ounce [4] Influencing Factors - The decline in gold prices and stocks is primarily attributed to a strengthening US dollar and a cooling expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [5][6] - Recent comments from regional Federal Reserve presidents opposing further rate cuts have contributed to market sentiment, emphasizing ongoing inflation concerns [6][7] Market Outlook - Short-term adjustments in the gold market are expected to continue, with institutions predicting a return to a price correction phase following previous optimistic expectations [9][10] - Despite recent declines, gold prices remain elevated, with a year-to-date increase of over 53%, supported by factors such as loose monetary policy and geopolitical tensions [11] Industry Recognition - The "Hong Kong 100 Strong" list is set to launch, highlighting the importance of the gold sector in the Hong Kong market, with companies like Zijin Mining (02899.HK) and Lingbao Gold being notable participants [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have declined, leading to a general pressure on gold stocks at the market opening, with notable declines in several companies [1] Group 1: Gold Price Movement - Overnight gold prices faced downward pressure, with New York futures gold closing at $4,074.5 per ounce, reflecting a nearly 0.5% decrease [1] - Spot gold prices fell below $4,010 per ounce, with a decline approaching 2% [1] Group 2: Company Stock Performance - Lingbao Gold (03330) experienced a drop of 3.09% [1] - Zijin Mining International (02259) saw a decrease of 2.94% [1] - Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818) fell by 2.75% [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340) declined by 2.51% [1] - China Gold International (02099) decreased by 2.05% [1]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月18日 中国黄金国际（02099.HK） 优于大市 Q3 业绩表现亮眼，公司兼具高业绩弹性及高成长性 公司发布三季报：前三季度实现营收 9.25 亿美元，同比+99.83%；实现归母 净利润 3.41 亿美元，同比扭亏；其中，Q1/Q2/Q3 分别实现归母净利润 0.85/1.15/1.41 亿美元，Q3 环比+22.43%。公司 Q3 利润环比再次实现明显 提升，主要得益于金铜价格上涨以及甲玛矿销售折价系数提升。 核心产品产销量数据方面：公司前三季度实现黄金产量 4.02 吨，实现黄金 销量 4.21 吨。其中长山壕前三季度黄金产量约 2.12 吨，黄金销量约 2.34 吨；甲玛矿前三季度黄金产量约 1.90 吨，黄金销量约 1.87 吨。公司前三季 度实现铜产量 5.41 万吨，实现铜销量 5.33 万吨。公司 2025 年产量指引： 长山壕黄金产量指引约 2.4-2.6 吨；甲玛矿黄金产量指引约 2.15-2.3 吨， 铜产量指引约 6.3-6.7 万吨。全年的维度来看，公司金、铜产量超过指引的 可能性较高。 核心产品成本数据方面：长山壕前三季度黄金单位生产成本1639 ...

Overall Performance - China Gold International achieved revenue of $925 million in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 99.83% [1] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $341 million, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - Quarterly net profits for Q1, Q2, and Q3 were $85 million, $115 million, and $141 million respectively, with Q3 showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.43% [1] Production and Sales Data - The company produced 4.02 tons of gold and sold 4.21 tons in the first three quarters [1] - The Changshanhao mine contributed approximately 2.12 tons of gold production and 2.34 tons of sales, while the Jiama mine contributed about 1.90 tons of production and 1.87 tons of sales [1] Cost Data - The unit production cost for gold at the Changshanhao mine was $1,639 per ounce [1] - The Jiama mine's copper unit production costs were $3.23 per pound, with quarterly costs of $3.41, $3.19, and $3.13 per pound for Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively [1] Mining Operations - The Changshanhao gold mine operates as an open-pit mining operation with a designed mining and processing capacity of 60,000 tons per day, which was reduced to 40,000 tons per day following a mine plan update in July 2019 [1] - The open-pit mining operations are approaching the end of the mine's life, with underground operations expected to continue until approximately 2029 [1] Investment Outlook - The company has raised its full-year performance expectations, forecasting revenues of $1.277 billion, $1.440 billion, and $1.564 billion for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 68.8%, 12.7%, and 8.6% respectively [2] - Projected net profits for the same period are $502 million, $666 million, and $740 million [2]