| 衍生工具 | 其他類別產品 | 清結衍生工具合約 | 1,600 | 2025年 8 月29 日 | $62.6781 | $12,852.0900 | 3,448,200 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 衍生工具 | 其他類別產品 | 清結衍生工具合約 | 7,600 | 2025年 8 月29 日 | $62.8296 | $61,197.0200 | 3,440,600 | | 衍生工具 | 其他類別產品 | 清結衍生工具合約 | 27,600 | 2025年 8 月29 日 | $62.8346 | $1,732,092.4100 | 3,413,000 | | 衍生工具 | 其他類別產品 | 清結衍生工具合約 | 500 | 2025年 8 月29 日 | $62.8400 | $4,030.2000 | 3,412,500 | | 衍生工具 | 其他類別產品 | 清結衍生工具合約 | 2,800 | 2025年 8 月29 日 | $62.8196 | $22,541.2800 | 3,409,700 | | 衍生工具 ...

就新奧天然氣股份有限公司的股份的交易披露 執行人員接獲依據香港《公司收購及合併守則》規則 22 作出以下的證券交易的披露： 2025 年 9 月 1 日 透過協議安排進行私有化 | 交易方 | 日期 | | | 有關證券的 | 產品說明 | 交易性質 | | 與衍生工具 | 到期日或清結日 | 參考價 | 已支付／已收取的 | 交易後數額（包括 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 說明 | | | | 有關的參照 | | | 總金額 | 與其訂有協議或 | | | | | | | | | | 證券數目 | | | | 達成諒解的任何 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 人士的證券） | | Morgan | 2025 年 | 8 月 29 | 日 | 衍生工具 | 其他類別產品 | 客戶主動利便客戶 | ─ | 39,600 | 2027 年 5 月 10 日 | $18.8105 | $744,897.5028 | 0 | | Stanley ...

2025 年 9 月 1 日 透過協議安排進行私有化 就新奧能源控股有限公司的股份的交易披露 執行人員接獲依據香港《公司收購及合併守則》規則 22 作出以下的證券交易的披露： 完 交易披露 交易披露 註： Morgan Stanley Capital Services LLC 是與要約人有關連的第(5)類別聯繫人。 交易是為本身帳戶進行的。 | 交易方 | 日期 | | 有關證券的說 | 產品說明 | 交易性質 | 與衍生工具有 | 到期日或清結 | | 參考價 | 已支付／已收取 | 交易後數額（包 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 明 | | | 關的參照證券 | 日 | | | 的總金額 | 括與其訂有協議 | | | | | | | | 數目 | | | | | 或達成諒解的任 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 何人士的證券） | | Morgan | 2025年 | 8月29 | 衍生工具 | 其他類別產品 | 客戶主動利便客戶 | 7,500 | ...

| 交易方 | 日期 | | | 有關證券的說 | 交易性質 | 買入／賣 | 涉及的股份 | 已支付／已收取 | 已支付或已 | 已支付或已 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 明 | | 出 | 總數 | 的總金額 | 收取的最高 | 收取的最低 | | | | | | | | | | | 價（H） | 價（L） | | UBS AG | 2025 | 年 8 | 月 | 普通股 | 因全屬客戶主動發出且由客戶需求帶動的買賣 | 買入 | 7,000 | $443,104.9980 | $63.3007 | $63.3007 | | | 29 日 | | | | 盤所產生的 Delta 1 產品的對沖活動 | | | | | | | | | | | 普通股 | 因全屬客戶主動發出且由客戶需求帶動的買賣 | 賣出 | 30,300 | $1,903,654.9933 | $62.9320 | $62.7372 | | | | | | | 盤所產生的 Delta 1 產品的對沖活動 | ...

公司名稱: 新奧能源控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年9月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02688 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 300,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 300,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 300,000,000 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the gas industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a slight increase in raw gas demand leading to a minor rise in US gas prices, while European storage advancements have contributed to a decrease in gas prices [4][9]. - The overall supply-demand dynamics indicate a modest increase in raw gas demand, with US natural gas market prices rising by 3.3% week-on-week as of August 27, 2025 [16]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing integration of Jiufeng Energy and the gradual implementation of pricing reforms across the country, which are expected to enhance profitability and valuation recovery for city gas companies [35]. Price Tracking - As of August 29, 2025, the week-on-week changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH +3.3%, European TTF -6.6%, East Asia JKM -2.9%, China LNG ex-factory price 0%, and China LNG CIF price -6.2% [9][14]. - The average total supply of natural gas in the US increased by 0.1% week-on-week to 1,127 billion cubic feet per day, while total demand decreased by 3.5% to 1,025 billion cubic feet per day [16]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The report notes that the storage pace in Europe is slower than expected, leading to a week-on-week decrease in European gas prices by 6.6% [17]. - In China, the apparent consumption of natural gas from January to July 2025 increased by 0.3% year-on-year to 246.1 billion cubic meters, attributed to warmer winter conditions affecting heating gas demand [22][27]. Pricing Progress - The report states that 65% of cities have implemented residential pricing reforms, with an average price increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter [35]. - The introduction of a new pricing mechanism for provincial natural gas pipeline transportation is expected to lower costs for downstream users and promote industry growth [35]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing reforms, particularly highlighting New Energy, China Gas, and Kunlun Energy as key investment opportunities [4][35]. - It also suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling capabilities, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao [4].

Core Viewpoint - New Hope Energy reported a mixed performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue growth but a decline in net profit, indicating stable operations amidst market challenges [1] Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue reached 55.7 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.0% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.429 billion RMB, down 5.6% year-on-year - Core profit stood at 3.223 billion RMB, a slight decline of 1.2% year-on-year, aligning closely with forecasts [1] Business Segments - Retail gas volume showed stable operations, with 1H25 retail gas volume at 12.953 billion cubic meters, up 1.9% year-on-year, outperforming national natural gas consumption growth of -0.9% [1] - The company added 692,000 residential connections, a decrease of 10.7% year-on-year, and commercial gas volume increased by 2.4% year-on-year [1] Energy Efficiency and Smart Home Services - The company achieved a sales volume of 19.76 billion kWh in 1H25, a marginal increase of 0.1% year-on-year, with 374 operational projects, an increase of 18 from the end of 2024 [1] - Smart home service penetration reached 10.4%, with an average customer spending of 649 RMB per household, indicating growth in high-consumption areas [1] Profitability Forecasts - Core profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted downwards by 3.0%, 2.6%, and 1.5% to 7.0 billion, 7.46 billion, and 7.92 billion RMB respectively, with a projected CAGR of 4% over three years [2] - The target price has been revised to 68.0 HKD, based on a 10x 2025E PE ratio, reflecting a premium due to the smooth progress of the privatization process [2]

Group 1 - The core profit of the company slightly decreased by 1% year-on-year to 3.2 billion RMB, in line with market expectations [1] - Retail gas sales increased by 1.9% year-on-year, with commercial and residential gas sales growing by 2.4% and 1.3% respectively, while the retail gas gross margin remained stable at 10.2% [1] - The total installed capacity and operational capacity of the company's diversified energy business reached 15 GW and 13.9 GW, representing year-on-year growth of 9.2% and 8.5% respectively [1] Group 2 - The company expects a slight recovery in heating demand in the second half of 2025, predicting a 2.2% year-on-year increase in retail gas volume for the entire year [2] - The gross margin for the retail gas segment is anticipated to be around 10%, with new residential connections expected to decline by 8% to 1.49 million households [2] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 down by 0.1% and 1.8% respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4% from 2024 to 2027 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, but a decline in net profit, primarily due to decreased overseas LNG sales profits, while domestic business showed steady growth [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 55.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.43 billion yuan, down 5.6% [1] - Core profit for H1 2025 was 3.22 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.2% year-on-year, aligning with market expectations [1] - The company maintained a dividend of 0.65 HKD per share, unchanged from the previous year, with a core profit payout ratio of 21% [1] Business Segments - Domestic business showed steady growth with core profit of 3.10 billion yuan, up 0.7% year-on-year, while overseas LNG sales profit fell to 120 million yuan, down 33.8% [1] - Natural gas retail segment reported a gross profit of 3.092 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.5% year-on-year, with gas volume increasing by 1.9% to 12.95 billion cubic meters [1] - Connection business gross profit was 820 million yuan, down 0.5%, with new residential connections decreasing by 10.7% to 692,000 households [1] - The energy business reported a gross profit of 1.09 billion yuan, up 2.1%, with installed capacity increasing by 8.5% to 13.9 GW [1] - Smart home business gross profit was 1.47 billion yuan, an increase of 4.9%, with the average customer price rising to 649 yuan per household [1] Privatization and Valuation - The privatization of the company is progressing smoothly, with a transaction price of 59.924 billion HKD, corresponding to a 12x PE ratio based on 2024 core profit [1] - The implied price per share is 80 HKD, indicating a 27% upside from the closing price on the valuation date [1] - The major asset restructuring has been filed with the National Development and Reform Commission [1] Earnings Forecast and Investment Rating - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised down to 7.09 billion, 7.42 billion, and 7.80 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.4%, 4.6%, and 5.2% respectively [1] - The current PE ratios are 9.2, 8.8, and 8.4 times for the respective years [1] - The privatization pricing reflects a revaluation opportunity, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International has lowered the target price for XinAo Energy (02688) to HKD 63, citing a weak outlook for the second half of the year [1] Financial Performance - XinAo Energy's core profit for the first half of the year decreased by 1% year-on-year, while core profit from domestic operations saw a slight increase of 1% [1] - Retail natural gas sales increased by 1.9% year-on-year, with a notable acceleration in the second quarter to 4.1%, compared to just 0.3% in the first quarter [1] Profit Forecast Adjustments - The company has adjusted its core profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 downwards by 3% to 8% due to declining profits from natural gas sales and Integrated Energy (IE) business [1] - The target price was revised from HKD 65 to HKD 63 [1] Market Outlook - The overall outlook for XinAo Energy in the second half of the year is expected to be weak, influenced by macroeconomic challenges and structural changes in the economy [1] - Retail natural gas sales growth is anticipated to be moderate, supported mainly by large commercial and industrial customers [1] - Profit growth from the Integrated Energy segment may slow down due to reduced heat supply installation work and weak demand from industrial clients [1]