Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3666.44 points, above the six-month moving average, with a decline of 0.46% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares reached 23062.83 billion yuan [1] Stocks Breaking Six-Month Moving Average - A total of 21 A-shares have surpassed the six-month moving average today [1] - Notable stocks with significant deviation rates include: - Haiguang Information: 6.29% - AVIC Optoelectronics: 3.02% - Hongjing Technology: 3.01% [1] Detailed Stock Performance - The following stocks showed notable performance: - Haiguang Information (688041): Increased by 8.83% with a turnover rate of 3.39%, latest price at 152.49 yuan [1] - AVIC Optoelectronics (002179): Increased by 4.15% with a turnover rate of 3.55%, latest price at 40.66 yuan [1] - Hongjing Technology (301396): Increased by 4.98% with a turnover rate of 21.13%, latest price at 59.48 yuan [1] - Other stocks with smaller deviation rates include: - Sichuan Road and Bridge (600039): Increased by 0.72% with a turnover rate of 0.94%, latest price at 8.42 yuan [2] - Jike Technology (835579): Increased by 2.49% with a turnover rate of 10.49%, latest price at 29.66 yuan [2]

Market Overview - The military electronics sector increased by 0.86% on August 13, with Kesi Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3683.46, up 0.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11551.36, up 1.76% [1] Stock Performance - Kesi Technology (688788) closed at 80.61, up 9.79% with a trading volume of 116,600 shares [1] - Aerospace Changfeng (600855) closed at 18.42, up 9.64% with a trading volume of 819,500 shares [1] - Other notable performers include: - ST Aowei (002231) at 3.80, up 4.97% [1] - Leike Defense (002413) at 6.24, up 4.00% [1] - Hezhong Sijuan (002383) at 11.10, up 3.74% [1] Capital Flow - The military electronics sector experienced a net outflow of 509 million yuan from institutional investors and 170 million yuan from retail investors, while individual investors saw a net inflow of 679 million yuan [2][3] - The capital flow for key stocks includes: - Hezhong Sijuan (002383) with a net inflow of 1.22 billion yuan from institutional investors [3] - Leike Defense (002413) with a net inflow of 1.15 billion yuan [3] - Aerospace Changfeng (600855) with a net inflow of 97.51 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report rates the military industry as "Overweight" [5] Core Views - The military industry is expected to perform well in the long term due to increasing great power competition and rising defense expenditures [9][20] - Recent developments include the joint naval exercises between China and Russia, and the U.S. building a counter-drone defense system [8][20] - The report highlights the restructuring of China's aviation supply chain and the importance of domestic production capabilities in the aerospace sector [22][23] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Recommended stocks include: 1) Assembly: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760.SH), AVIC Xi'an Aircraft (000768.SZ), AVIC South Lake (688552.SH) 2) Components: AVIC Optoelectronics (002179.SZ), Guobang Electronics (603678.SH), Ruichuang Micro-Nano (688002.SH) 3) Subsystems: AVIC Aircraft (600372.SH), North Navigation (600435.SH) 4) Materials and Processing: Feilihua (300395.SZ), Guangwei Composite (300699.SZ), Huayin Technology (688281.SH) [5][9][10] Market Performance - The defense military index rose by 5.24% from August 4 to August 8, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.13 percentage points [11][12] - The military industry ranked 3rd out of 29 sectors during this period [12] Major News in the Military Industry - The joint naval exercises "Maritime Joint-2025" between China and Russia included real combat training and operational coordination [20][21] - The U.S. is developing a counter-drone defense system, with Ukraine being a testing ground for various technologies [8][9] - Japan is expanding its military influence through participation in multinational exercises, indicating a shift in its defense posture [28][30]

Group 1 - The AMAC Transportation Equipment Index (AMAC Transportation, H30064) experienced a decline of 0.59%, closing at 2971.02 points with a trading volume of 46.95 billion [1] - Over the past month, the AMAC Transportation Equipment Index has increased by 8.50%, by 17.92% over the last three months, and by 10.82% year-to-date [1] - The index is based on the classification guidelines from the China Securities Association and includes 43 industry classification indices, with a base date of January 1, 2009, set at 1000.0 points [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the AMAC Transportation Equipment Index include China CRRC (9.51%), China Shipbuilding (8.92%), AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (6.84%), Guangqi Technology (6.81%), China Heavy Industry (6.02%), Aero Engine Corporation of China (5.64%), AVIC Xi'an Aircraft (4.07%), AVIC Aircraft (3.12%), Aerospace Electronics (3.08%), and Chunfeng Power (2.99%) [1] - The market composition of the AMAC Transportation Equipment Index shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 75.55% and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 24.45% [1] - In terms of industry composition, the sample holdings of the AMAC Transportation Equipment Index are comprised of 92.06% in industrials and 7.94% in consumer discretionary [2]

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.34%, while the Shanghai Military Industry Index increased by 0.37%, closing at 8877.18 points with a trading volume of 45.532 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Military Industry Index has seen a 10.23% increase over the past month, a 19.66% increase over the past three months, and a year-to-date increase of 22.58% [1] - The index includes listed companies primarily engaged in the military industry, selected from the ten major military groups and other related firms, reflecting the overall performance of military industry stocks in the Shanghai market [1] Index Composition - The top ten weighted companies in the Shanghai Military Industry Index are: China Shipbuilding (9.78%), AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (7.89%), China Heavy Industry (6.59%), Aero Engine Corporation (6.39%), Aerospace Electronics (3.56%), AVIC Avionics (3.52%), China Power (3.07%), Ruichuang Micro-Nano (2.9%), Western Superconducting (2.89%), and AVIC High-Tech (2.53%) [1] - The index is fully composed of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with an industry composition of 77.78% in industrials, 11.88% in information technology, 5.55% in materials, 3.34% in communication services, and 1.44% in consumer discretionary [1] Index Adjustment - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December, with a sample adjustment ratio not exceeding 10% [2] - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with the sample changes, remaining fixed until the next scheduled adjustment unless special circumstances arise [2]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The military industry is currently experiencing a favorable comparative advantage within the overall market, with some core assets still undervalued despite high returns from certain key stocks [2][17]. Company Insights 中航光电 (AVIC Optoelectronics) - Achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% in revenue and 26% in profit over the past 20 years, driven by both military and civilian product lines [1][3]. - The company has implemented cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures, including expanding financial personnel and establishing cost centers [5]. - Expected performance for 2025-2027 is projected at 3.7 billion RMB, 4.2 billion RMB, and 4.9 billion RMB respectively, with current valuations at 22x, 19x, and 17x, indicating it is currently undervalued [1][6]. - Focused on the electric vehicle sector by partnering with key automotive manufacturers to achieve growth above industry averages [4]. 航发动力 (Aero Engine Corporation of China) - The only listed platform for military aircraft engines in China, with a relatively low market valuation compared to foreign counterparts [1][9]. - Anticipates significant growth in the aftermarket as aircraft deliveries increase during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a projected domestic revenue of approximately 45 billion RMB by 2024 [9]. - The potential aftermarket space is estimated to exceed 400 billion RMB over the next 20 years, indicating high growth certainty [9]. 中航西飞 (AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group) - Recently underwent a leadership change, with a younger management team expected to drive new development directions [11][12]. - Responsible for key components of the C919 aircraft, with a potential revenue increase of 12 billion RMB if 150 units are delivered annually [14]. - Engaged in international military trade, with high expectations for the export of the Y-20 transport aircraft [15][16]. Market Trends and Predictions - The optoelectronics sector is expected to enter a new phase of prosperity by Q4 2025, benefiting from improved fundamentals [7][8]. - The military industry is poised for a revaluation of assets as the 14th Five-Year Plan concludes and the centenary of the military approaches, with a focus on AI deployment and modernization [17]. Additional Considerations - The leadership changes at 中航西飞 indicate a strategic shift towards enhancing investor relations and increasing external communication [12]. - The challenges faced by the C919 project, including delays due to export restrictions on key technologies, have been largely resolved, with expectations for improved delivery rates in the second half of the year [13].

Group 1 - The core index, the China Securities National New Central Enterprise Technology Leading Index, has shown a 5.67% increase over the past month, an 8.63% increase over the past three months, and a 6.56% increase year-to-date [1] - The index is designed by Guoxin Investment Co., Ltd., selecting 50 listed companies from industries such as aerospace, defense, computer, electronics, semiconductors, and communication equipment to reflect the overall performance of central enterprise technology theme stocks [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Hikvision (9.16%), AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (6.8%), Changdian Technology (6.29%), AVIC Optoelectronics (6.08%), Shenzhen South Circuit (5.52%), Aero Engine Corporation of China (5.04%), AVIC Chengfei (3.63%), Guangxun Technology (3.42%), Shanghai Beiling (3.3%), and Lanke Technology (2.93%) [1] Group 2 - The index's holdings are primarily composed of 49.07% in information technology, 39.18% in industrials, and 11.76% in communication services [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Public funds tracking the index include various funds from E Fund, Yinhua, and Southern Asset Management, specifically designed to follow the China Securities National New Central Enterprise Technology Leading Index [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of re-evaluating the value of core assets at low levels, particularly in the context of the 14th Five-Year Plan, which is expected to drive significant growth in the military industry [6][100] - The report highlights the potential for companies like AVIC Optoelectronics, AVIC Engine, and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft to benefit from increasing demand and strategic expansions in their respective sectors [6][35][63] Summary by Sections AVIC Optoelectronics - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% in revenue and 26% in profit over the past 20 years, with a revenue of 20.686 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.04% [10][11] - AVIC Optoelectronics is expanding its product offerings from connectors to comprehensive interconnection solutions, enhancing its value proposition in the defense sector [17] - The company is also diversifying into civilian sectors, focusing on smart connected vehicles and communication systems, which are expected to drive future growth [18] AVIC Engine - The report notes that aviation engines are high-value consumables, with a significant long-term demand for maintenance and replacement driven by the existing fleet of military aircraft [40][50] - The potential market for military aviation engine aftermarket services is estimated to exceed 428.74 billion yuan over the next 20 years, with an average annual value of 21.44 billion yuan [50] - The report highlights the increasing share of maintenance services in the revenue of leading international engine manufacturers, indicating a similar trend may emerge in domestic companies [43][47] AVIC Xi'an Aircraft - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for large transport aircraft, with a focus on the Y-20 model, which is currently in high demand globally [97] - The new management team at AVIC Xi'an Aircraft is expected to enhance investor relations and improve communication with stakeholders, potentially leading to better market performance [72] - The lifting of the U.S. ban on the export of commercial aircraft engines to China is anticipated to accelerate the delivery schedule of domestically produced large aircraft [79] Overall Industry Outlook - The report suggests that the military industry is entering a phase of significant growth, driven by policy support, increased military spending, and technological advancements [100] - Companies are encouraged to focus on enhancing product capabilities, increasing market penetration, and improving average transaction values to capitalize on the expected growth [100]

Group 1: Industry Overview - Industrial automation is entering a mild downward cycle, with market growth expected to decline by -1% in 2025, -3% in 2026, and -2% in 2027, reflecting a downward adjustment from previous growth expectations [2] - Goldman Sachs has lowered the average target price (TP) and earnings per share (EPS) for the industry by 5%, with profit expectations for 2025-2027 being 3%-7% lower than the consensus median [2] - Only a few sectors, such as consumer electronics (foldable smartphones), batteries (solid-state technology), and AIDC, are expected to see capital expenditure expansion, while most manufacturing sectors will struggle with capacity utilization and output [2] Group 2: Company Drivers - In the context of industry growth slowdown, company-specific drivers are crucial, evaluated across six dimensions: favorable end-market positioning, domestic market share growth, product premiumization, overseas expansion, future industry positioning, and valuation attractiveness [4] - The key growth drivers for companies include increasing market share and expanding overseas business in the absence of end-market benefits [5] - The share of overseas revenue for covered companies is expected to rise from 23% to 25% between 2024 and 2027 [9] Group 3: Investment Strategy - A "defensive + AI" barbell strategy is recommended to cope with the softening of the FA sector, favoring selective defensive stocks [12] - Nari Tech is highlighted as a core beneficiary of smart grid investment, with expected revenue growth of 12% in 2025, driven by existing orders and potential budget increases from the State Grid [12] - Companies like AVIC Jonhon and China CRRC are also noted for their attractive dividend yields and growth prospects, despite slow growth in their main businesses [13] Group 4: Potential Opportunities - High-end product areas such as high-margin software, sensors, and after-sales services, as well as future industries like AI and robotics, present potential opportunities, although they face high technical barriers and commercialization challenges [11] - Companies like Sanhua and Kstar are identified as having significant growth potential in their respective sectors, with expected revenue and profit growth rates that outperform the market [14] Group 5: Cautious Outlook on FA Sector - Companies like Estun and Raycus are viewed with caution due to their reliance on weak demand sectors and expected declines in earnings per share [15] - Estun's revenue is heavily dependent on the photovoltaic and automotive sectors, which are facing challenges, while Raycus is experiencing stagnant market share and pressure on profit margins [15] Group 6: Stock Recommendations - A list of stocks with "Buy" ratings includes Nari Tech, Haitian, and Kstar, with target prices reflecting significant upside potential [16] - The report emphasizes the importance of evaluating companies based on their specific market dynamics and growth strategies in the current economic environment [16]

Core Viewpoint - The high-end equipment sector is experiencing mixed performance, with significant movements in specific stocks and a positive long-term outlook for the military industry driven by technological advancements and increased defense spending [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 7, 2025, the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-Index decreased by 0.80%, with stocks showing varied performance; 712 led with an increase of 8.65%, while Guorui Technology saw the largest decline [1]. - The high-end equipment ETF (159638) had a turnover rate of 4.57% and a transaction volume of 54.32 million yuan, with an average daily transaction volume of 63.18 million yuan over the past week [3]. Group 2: ETF Performance - The latest scale of the high-end equipment ETF reached 1.198 billion yuan, with a net value increase of 33.28% over the past year [3]. - Since its inception, the ETF has recorded a highest single-month return of 19.30%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and a maximum increase of 21.15% [3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Recent reports indicate that the domestic military construction is transitioning towards "intelligent and unmanned" systems, with global military trade demand expanding, suggesting a long-term growth cycle for the military industry [3]. - The recent successful launch of the Pakistan Remote Sensing Satellite 01 demonstrates the maturity and stability of China's aerospace technology, while the successful flight of the Kuaizhou-1A rocket reinforces the high prosperity of the aerospace equipment sector [3]. Group 4: Key Stocks - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-Index accounted for 46.03% of the index, with notable companies including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company and Aero Engine Corporation of China [4]. - The performance of key stocks varied, with AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company down by 2.36% and Aerospace Electronic Technology up by 2.08% [6]. Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Investors can consider the CSI High-End Equipment Sub-Index ETF linked fund (018028) for potential industry rotation opportunities [6].