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ADM(ADM) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.70 and total segment operating profit of $747 million for the quarter [4] - The trailing fourth quarter adjusted return on invested capital (ROIC) was 7% and cash flow from operations before working capital changes was $439 million [4][22] - The first quarter results were aligned with market expectations despite a dynamic external environment [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Carbohydrate Solutions segment operating profit was $240 million, down 3% year-over-year [18] - The Nutrition segment revenues were $1.8 billion, down 1% year-over-year, while operating profit increased by 13% to $95 million [20][21] - The Ag Services and Oilseeds segment operating profit was $412 million, down 52% compared to the prior year quarter [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Ag Services sub-segment operating profit was $159 million, down 31% year-over-year, primarily due to lower North American origination export volumes [14] - The crushing sub-segment saw operating profit drop to $47 million, down 85% year-over-year, with significant declines in global soybean and canola crush margins [15] - Equity earnings from the company's investment in Wilmar were $72 million, down 52% compared to the prior year quarter [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a self-help agenda aimed at delivering cost savings of $500 million to $750 million over the next three to five years [7] - Strategic decisions include the closure of the Cursea, South Carolina crush facility and the exit from domestic trading operations in China and Dubai [8] - The company is investing in automation and digitization across its global manufacturing network to improve efficiency and reliability [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed caution regarding the second half outlook for crush margin improvement due to current domestic crush replacement margins being below expectations [23] - The company remains confident in its ability to navigate the uncertain external landscape and is focused on operational performance and cost management [26][28] - Management highlighted the importance of clarity on Renewable Volume Obligations (RVOs) to support strong U.S. demand for crop-based vegetable oils [31] Other Important Information - The company returned $247 million to shareholders in the form of dividends during the quarter [22] - The Decatur East facility is expected to be fully operational by the end of the second quarter, with an anticipated impact of $25 million per quarter for Nutrition once fully ramped up [97] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for RVO and its influence on 2025 outlook - Management indicated that strong RVOs are crucial for the biofuel outlook and expect margins to improve in the second half of the year [37][39] Question: Specific RVO numbers and positive outcomes for ADM - Management mentioned that the industry is looking for around €25 billion in biomass-based biodiesel and conventional biodiesel to support internal consumption and export markets [47][49] Question: Clarification on RPO performance despite a weak environment - Management acknowledged that RPO margins are expected to be significantly lower compared to the prior year due to various market pressures [55] Question: Impact of tariffs and trade flow shifts - Management noted that the impact of tariffs has not been significant in Q1, with most products exempt from export tariffs to Mexico and Canada [60][62] Question: Signs of rationalization in the soy crush industry - Management stated that while they cannot speculate on others, they are actively managing their own capacity and expect some plant shutdowns in response to demand [68] Question: Commercialization of Argentine crops - Management expects Argentine farmers to begin regular commercialization of crops as they take advantage of tax benefits before they expire [76] Question: Volume growth expectations for Starches and Sweeteners - Management reiterated that overall demand remains solid, but there are pockets of weakness, particularly in Europe and exports to Mexico [80]
ADM(ADM) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.70 and total segment operating profit of $747 million for the quarter [5] - Trailing fourth quarter adjusted return on invested capital (ROIC) was 7% and cash flow from operations before working capital changes was $439 million [5][24] - Overall cash flow from operations decreased compared to the prior quarter due to lower total segment operating profit [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Carbohydrate Solutions segment operating profit was $240 million, down 3% year-over-year [20] - The Nutrition segment revenues were $1.8 billion, down 1% year-over-year, while operating profit increased by 13% to $95 million [22][23] - The Ag Services and Oilseeds segment operating profit was $412 million, down 52% compared to the prior year quarter [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Ag Services sub-segment operating profit was $159 million, down 31% due to lower North American origination export volumes [17] - Global trade results were lower compared to the same quarter last year, largely due to negative timing impacts [17] - Equity earnings from the company's investment in Wilmar were $72 million, down 52% compared to the prior year quarter [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on cost savings of $500 million to $750 million over the next three to five years, including workforce reductions and a review of third-party consulting spend [9] - Strategic decisions include the closure of the Cursea, South Carolina crush facility and the exit from domestic trading operations in China and Dubai [10] - The company is advancing automation and digitization across its global manufacturing network to improve reliability and efficiency [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the team's ability to navigate an uncertain external landscape while focusing on execution and cost management [12][31] - The company remains cautious about the second half outlook for crush margin improvement due to current domestic crush replacement margins being below expectations [26] - Management highlighted the importance of clarity on Renewable Volume Obligations (RVOs) to support strong U.S. demand for crop-based vegetable oils [34] Other Important Information - The company returned $247 million to shareholders in the form of dividends during the quarter [25] - The Decatur East facility is expected to be fully operational by the end of the second quarter, with an anticipated impact of $25 million per quarter for Nutrition once fully operational [99] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for RVO and its impact on 2025 outlook - Management indicated that strong RVOs are crucial for the biofuel outlook and expect margins to improve in the second half of the year [40][41] Question: Specific RVO numbers and positive outcomes for ADM - Management mentioned that the industry requires approximately €25 billion in biomass-based biodiesel and conventional biodiesel to support internal consumption and export markets [51][52] Question: Strength in RPO despite a weak environment - Management acknowledged that while RPO was better in the short run, overall expectations remain lower due to biodiesel margin pressures and increased refining capacity [58][59] Question: Trade flow shifts and impact of tariffs - Management noted that the impact of tariffs has not been significant in Q1, with most products exempt from export tariffs to Mexico and Canada [64][66] Question: Signs of rationalization in the soy crush industry - Management speculated that the industry may see plant shutdowns when demand is low, but emphasized the importance of clarity on RPO mandates for future capacity [73][74] Question: Commercialization of Argentine crops - Management expects Argentine farmers to become more regular in commercializing crops as they take advantage of government tax benefits before they expire [79] Question: Volume growth expectations for Starches and Sweeteners - Management reiterated guidance for slightly lower volumes than last year, with some weakness noted in specific markets [82][84] Question: Ethanol margins and performance - Management highlighted good risk management in ethanol operations, with expectations for margins to improve over the year [90] Question: Contribution from Decatur once fully operational - Management confirmed that the Decatur plant's impact will be felt in the second half of the year, with an expected contribution of $25 million per quarter [99]
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Surpasses Q1 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 13:20
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.70 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.69 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.46 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 1.45%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this agribusiness giant would post earnings of $1.07 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.14, delivering a surprise of 6.54%.Over the last four quarter ...
ADM(ADM) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-06 11:28
First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call May 6, 2025 Proprietary business information of ADM. Proprietary business information of ADM. Proprietary business information of ADM. 2 Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that involve substantial risks and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation, are forwa ...
ADM(ADM) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-06 11:04
ADM Reports First Quarter 2025 Results, Affirms Full-Year EPS Guidance Reported EPS of $0.61, Adjusted EPS of $0.70 2 1,2 CHICAGO, May 6, 2025—ADM (NYSE: ADM) today reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025. First Quarter 2025 Highlights "ADM delivered results aligned with our outlook and the market expectations for the first quarter. In a challenging and uncertain external environment, we advanced multiple aspects of our self-help agenda, including delivering operational improve ...
ADM Poised To Benefit As Soybean Prices Bottom
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-02 15:50
Editor's note: Seeking Alpha is proud to welcome Mining The Data as a new contributing analyst. You can become one too! Share your best investment idea by submitting your article for review to our editors. Get published, earn money, and unlock exclusive SA Premium access.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ADM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation fo ...
Archer Daniels to Report Q1 Earnings: What Should Investors Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) is expected to report declines in both earnings and revenues for the first quarter of 2025, with significant challenges in its Ag Services & Oilseeds segment contributing to this underperformance [1][4]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADM's earnings is 69 cents per share, reflecting a 52.7% decrease from the same quarter last year, with a 2.8% decline in the consensus mark over the past 30 days [2]. - Revenue estimates are set at $20.7 billion, indicating a 5.3% drop year-over-year [2]. Segment Performance - The Ag Services & Oilseeds segment is projected to see operating profits decline by approximately 50% in Q1 2025, with revenue estimates at $16.1 billion and adjusted operating profit at $454 million, representing year-over-year declines of 6.4% and 47.5%, respectively [7]. - In the Carbohydrate Solutions segment, operating profit is anticipated to decrease by 5-15% compared to the previous year [6]. - The Nutrition segment is expected to show slight growth, with revenue estimates at $1.9 billion, up 0.5% year-over-year, and operating profit anticipated to remain flat sequentially [8]. Market Conditions - ADM is facing tough market conditions, including sluggishness in the agriculture cycle, increased cost inflation, and weak demand for vegetable oil, which have negatively impacted its Crushing subsegment [4][5]. - The refining margins in the Refined Products and Other segment are under pressure due to increased supply of low-carbon intensity feedstock and weak demand from food customers in North America [5]. Valuation Perspective - ADM is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 11.01x, which is below its five-year high of 18.93x and the industry average of 14.14x, suggesting it offers compelling value for investors [11]. - Over the past three months, ADM's shares have declined by 3.5%, compared to a 7.2% decline in the industry [12].
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Rises Yet Lags Behind Market: Some Facts Worth Knowing
ZACKS· 2025-04-22 23:05
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) closed at $48.54 in the latest trading session, marking a +0.94% move from the prior day. The stock trailed the S&P 500, which registered a daily gain of 2.51%. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 2.66%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 2.71%.Prior to today's trading, shares of the agribusiness giant had gained 4.7% over the past month. This has outpaced the Consumer Staples sector's gain of 2.1% and the S&P 500's loss of 8.86% in that time.The upcomin ...
Earnings Preview: Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-04-22 15:07
The market expects Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if the ...
Admiral Group agrees to sell its U.S. motor business to JC Flowers
GlobeNewswire· 2025-04-22 11:09
Admiral Group agrees to sell its U.S. motor business to JC Flowers Admiral Group plc announces that it has entered into an agreement to sell its U.S. motor insurance business, including Elephant Insurance Company and Elephant Insurance Services (“Elephant”), to J.C. Flowers & Co. (“J.C. Flowers”), a global private investment firm dedicated to investing in the financial services industry, for an undisclosed cash consideration (before customary adjustments and transaction and related expenses) representing ap ...