Core Viewpoint - Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) is expected to report declines in both earnings and revenues for the second quarter of 2025, with earnings estimated at 88 cents per share, reflecting a 14.6% decrease year-over-year, and revenues projected at $21.1 billion, indicating a 5.1% dip from the previous year [1][2][11] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ADM's earnings is 88 cents per share, down 14.6% from the same quarter last year, with a 7.4% decrease in the consensus mark over the past 30 days [2] - Revenue expectations are set at $21.1 billion, which represents a 5.1% decline compared to the year-ago quarter [2] - In the last reported quarter, ADM had an earnings surprise of 1.5% but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by an average of 5.4% over the last four quarters [3] Segment Performance - The Ag Services and Oilseeds segment is facing challenges due to sluggish market conditions, including increased cost inflation and depressed vegetable oil demand, leading to expected lower results year-over-year [4][6] - The Ag Services and Oilseeds segment's revenues are estimated at $16.2 billion, suggesting a 6.7% year-over-year decline [8] - The Carbohydrate Solutions segment is projected to generate revenues of $2.9 billion, indicating a slight decline of 0.9% year-over-year [8] - Conversely, the Nutrition segment is expected to see revenues of $1.9 billion, reflecting a 0.8% year-over-year growth, driven by improvements in operational structure and capacity [9][11] Market Conditions and Management Outlook - Management has expressed caution regarding the second-half outlook for crush margin improvement, noting that current domestic crush replacement margins are below expectations [7] - There are signs of weakening customer demand in certain markets, leading to reduced volume expectations [7] - The company is actively managing productivity and innovation, focusing on food security and health trends, which is expected to support margins in the upcoming quarter [10] Valuation and Market Performance - ADM is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 12.29X, which is below both its five-year high of 18.93X and the industry average of 14.77X, indicating an attractive valuation opportunity [13] - Over the past three months, ADM's shares have increased by 13.4%, outperforming the industry growth of 11.6% [14]

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-投资动态- 梦龙拟向德国冰淇淋工厂投资数百万美元 日前，联合利华旗下的梦龙冰淇淋公司计划在德国黑森州Heppenheim的工厂投资数百万美元，以建立新生产线、冷库和能源基础设施。该厂生产其备受 欢迎的Langnese冰淇淋。 Heppenheim的梦龙冰淇淋生产线于2024年建立，每年产量超过20亿件，主要销往德国市场，以及部分欧洲国家。（品牌官方） 小编评： 于梦龙而言，这不仅是一次简单的产能扩张，而是新公司在高端化、可持续与供应链安全战上打响的"奠基之战"。 日前，澜沧古茶公告宣布拟以每股2.46港元配售2400万股H股，较7月25日收盘价折让16.61%，预计集资约5900万港元，用于补充营运资金。根据公告， 此次配售股份占扩大后总股本16%，净筹资金额约5804万港元。（观点网） 小编评： 近期港股市场频现折让配股案例，部分上市公司通过股权融资缓解现金流压力，澜沧古茶此举也可以进一步其巩固财务基础。 近日，ADM宣布已与日本知名食品企业朝日集团食品株式会社签署独家协议，负责推广和分销其专有乳酸菌类创新型后生元产品——格氏乳杆菌 CP2305。格氏乳杆菌CP2305为朝日集团所有，是其在多年对可尔必思 ...

Group 1 - Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) closed at $55.50, reflecting a -1.28% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.07% [1] - Prior to the latest trading session, ADM shares had increased by 7.5%, outperforming the Consumer Staples sector's decline of 0.29% and the S&P 500's rise of 5.71% [1] Group 2 - ADM's upcoming earnings report is scheduled for August 5, 2025, with an expected EPS of $0.88, indicating a 14.56% decline year-over-year, and projected revenue of $21.11 billion, down 5.13% from the prior-year quarter [2] - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $4.03 per share and revenue of $84.15 billion, representing year-over-year changes of -14.98% and -1.61%, respectively [3] Group 3 - Recent estimate revisions for ADM are linked to stock price performance, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the business outlook [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently ranks ADM at 3 (Hold), with a consensus EPS projection moving 0.44% lower in the past 30 days [5] Group 4 - ADM's Forward P/E ratio is 13.94, compared to the industry average of 16.48, suggesting that ADM is trading at a discount [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 3.14, while the average PEG ratio for Agriculture - Operations stocks is 1.73 [7] Group 5 - The Agriculture - Operations industry, part of the Consumer Staples sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 218, placing it in the bottom 12% of over 250 industries [8]

Core Insights - Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM), a major player in the agricultural trade sector, has closed its factory in Brazil due to the inability to find a buyer for the facility [1] Company Summary - ADM's decision to close the Brazilian factory highlights challenges in the agricultural sector, particularly in managing underperforming assets [1]

Market Overview - Volatility in the U.S. stock market is expected to continue due to uncertainty regarding interest rate cuts, new tariffs, and geopolitical tensions, complicating portfolio management for individual investors [1] Investment Strategy - Selecting inappropriate stocks can negatively affect returns, undermining investment goals; adhering to broker advice is suggested as brokers possess extensive knowledge of stocks and the broader economy [2] Recommended Stocks - Broker-friendly stocks identified for potential healthy returns include BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG), GXO Logistics (GXO), BrightView Holdings (BV), Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), and Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) [3][9] Screening Methodology - A screening strategy was developed to identify stocks based on improving broker recommendations and upward revisions in earnings estimates over the past four weeks, incorporating the price/sales ratio as a valuation metric [4] Screening Criteria - The screening criteria include: - Top 75 companies with net upgrades in broker ratings over the last four weeks [5] - Top 10 stocks with positive earnings estimate revisions for the upcoming quarter [5] - Bottom 10% of stocks based on price/sales ratio [5] - Stocks priced above $5 to attract investor interest [5] - Average daily volume exceeding 100,000 shares over the last 20 trading days [6] - Top 3000 stocks by market capitalization [6] Company Highlights - **BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 55.4% for 2025, with a projected revenue increase of 9.1% over 2024; currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [7][9] - **GXO Logistics (GXO)**: Benefits from increased e-commerce and cost-cutting efforts; projected revenue growth of 9.9% for 2025; currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [10][11] - **BrightView Holdings (BV)**: Largest commercial landscaper in the U.S., with expected earnings growth of 10.5% for 2025; currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 [12][13] - **Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)**: Performance driven by off-premise channels and technology upgrades; Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings revised upward by 1.7% [14][15] - **Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM)**: Focus on flexitarian diets and sustainable materials; currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 [16][17]

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Core Viewpoint - The announcement by President Trump regarding Coca-Cola's shift to real cane sugar has negatively impacted the stock prices of high fructose syrup producers, particularly Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) and Ingredion. Group 1: Company Impact - Shares of Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) fell nearly 3% in premarket trading and tumbled as much as 6% following the announcement [1][2] - Ingredion, another global ingredients provider, experienced a decline of more than 7% in its stock price as a result of the news [2] Group 2: Industry Reaction - The shift to real cane sugar in Coca-Cola's products is perceived as a positive move by President Trump, which may influence consumer preferences and market dynamics in the beverage industry [1][2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The pig price has retreated from its high, with the latest price at 14.94 CNY/kg and the average weight at 128.64 kg. The complete cost for leading enterprises has decreased to around 12 CNY/kg, indicating a potential for profit maintenance and valuation recovery [6][17][18] - The report emphasizes a shift from cyclical thinking to focusing on financial performance, suggesting that investment should transition from "cyclical thinking" to "quality and price" [18] - The report recommends focusing on companies with a "platform + ecosystem" model, highlighting DeKang Agriculture and Livestock as a representative, along with leading pig farming companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff Group [18] Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - The latest pig price is 14.94 CNY/kg, with a slight increase in average weight to 128.64 kg. The price of 15 kg piglets remains stable at around 530 CNY/head. The industry is experiencing a short-term rebound in prices after a slight decline [6][17] - The official number of breeding sows in May was 40.42 million, a year-on-year increase of 1.15%, indicating a stable production capacity [7][17] - The report suggests that the government's commitment to stabilizing pig prices is strong, and capacity regulation may continue to increase [7][17] 2. Poultry Industry - The price of parent stock chicks remains high, with the latest price at 47.93 CNY, a week-on-week increase of 5.25%. The price of broilers is 2.95 CNY/kg, down 12% week-on-week and 18% year-on-year [19] - The industry faces a "high capacity, weak consumption" contradiction, leading to a reduction in production capacity among breeding farms [19] - The report highlights two main lines of focus: quality imported breeding stock leaders and fully integrated industry leaders [19] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Hai Da Group, noting a cash flow turning point and high overseas growth potential. The demand for aquaculture feed is expected to recover in 2025 [20][22] - The report indicates that the domestic capital expansion phase has ended, and leading companies are entering a new phase of stable cash flow [21][22] 4. Pet Industry - The report discusses the impact of potential tariffs on the pet industry, suggesting that the actual impact will be limited due to high profit margins and overseas factory layouts [23] - Companies with strong performance in their own brands, such as Guibao and Zhongchong, are highlighted as key focuses [23] 5. Agricultural Products - The USDA report indicates a slight reduction in soybean planting area for 2025, with a forecast of 83.4 million acres, a year-on-year decrease of 4% [24] - The report emphasizes that agricultural products are less affected by tariffs, and a reduction in imports may help prices rise from low levels [24] 6. Market and Price Situation - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 3982 points, up 1.54% from the previous week. The Agricultural and Forestry Index closed at 2729 points, up 2.55% [25][28] - The report notes that the aquaculture sector performed the best with a 5.13% increase [25]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Agriculture – Operations industry is expected to benefit from continuous innovation and rising demand for health-conscious products, particularly alternative proteins [1] - The industry includes companies involved in the production, transportation, storage, processing, and distribution of agricultural commodities, as well as those engaged in dairy operations and food ingredient development [3] Growth Drivers - Key growth drivers include acquisitions, joint ventures, expansion strategies, advances in food processing, enhanced grain-handling techniques, and strong demand from emerging markets [1][5] - The U.S. Department of Agriculture projects agricultural exports of $170.5 billion for fiscal 2025, driven by stronger grain and feed exports, particularly corn [4] Challenges - The industry faces headwinds such as volatile commodity prices, rising input costs, trade uncertainties, and escalating operational expenses, which are squeezing margins and disrupting productivity [2][6] - Companies are managing higher selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses due to performance-related compensation and technology investments [7] Market Performance - The Zacks Agriculture – Operations industry has outperformed the Zacks Consumer Staples sector with a collective gain of 9.3% over the past year, while underperforming the S&P 500, which gained 11.5% [11] - The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank of 229, placing it in the bottom 7% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating dull near-term prospects [9][10] Company Highlights - **Mission Produce**: Engaged in sourcing and distributing avocados, mangoes, and blueberries, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings up 18% in the past 30 days [17][18] - **Corteva**: Positioned for above-market growth through innovation and a strong product pipeline, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings suggesting a 16.7% increase [21][23] - **Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)**: Focused on nutrition and sustainable materials, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings declining by 0.5% [25][26] - **Alico**: Benefits from strong consumption of not-from-concentrate orange juice, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for current fiscal-year sales suggesting a 20.5% growth [29][30]