Market Overview - The stock market is experiencing a new wave of uncertainty due to geopolitical tensions and weaker-than-expected economic data, particularly in U.S. retail sales for May [1][2] - The Israel-Iran conflict has escalated, contributing to investor unease [1] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is a focal point, with expectations that weak economic data may lead to a more dovish stance from policymakers [2] Investment Strategy - In the current volatile market environment, a value investing approach focusing on fundamentally strong companies with reasonable prices is recommended [3] - Companies with high earnings yields are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [3] Earnings Yield Insights - Earnings yield is a key metric for assessing potential returns, calculated by dividing earnings per share by stock price [4] - A higher earnings yield may indicate undervaluation, while a lower yield could suggest overvaluation [5] - Comparing earnings yield to the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds can help determine investment worthiness [5] Screening Criteria - The primary screening criterion is an earnings yield greater than 10% [6] - Additional parameters include estimated EPS growth exceeding the S&P 500 and an average daily trading volume of at least 100,000 shares [7][6] - Stocks must also have a current price of $5 or more [8] Selected Stocks - Five stocks with earnings yields above 10% and strong growth potential have been identified: - **Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN)**: Expected earnings growth of 226% and 81% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a Zacks Rank 1 [10] - **Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX)**: Projected earnings growth of 19.6% and 14% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, also with a Zacks Rank 1 [11] - **Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (HRTG)**: Anticipated earnings growth of 62% and 13% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a Zacks Rank 1 [12] - **Popular, Inc. (BPOP)**: Expected earnings growth of 17% and 20% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, holding a Zacks Rank 1 [13] - **Priority Technology Holdings Inc. (PRTH)**: Projected earnings growth of 108% and 34% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a Zacks Rank 1 [14]

Core Viewpoint - Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) has experienced a significant share price increase of 62.3% over the past three months, outperforming both the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500, driven by rising gold prices and strong operational performance [1][7]. Group 1: Stock Performance - ARMN shares have outperformed its peers, with B2Gold Corp. (BTG) and AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) gaining 37% and 44.5%, respectively, during the same period [1]. - Technical indicators show ARMN stock surpassed its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) on March 4, 2025, and is currently trading above the 200-day SMA, indicating a bullish trend [5][7]. Group 2: Production and Growth Prospects - ARMN reported an 8% year-over-year increase in gold production for the first quarter, positioning the company to meet its full-year production guidance of 230,000 to 275,000 ounces [10]. - The Segovia Operations in Colombia are a key contributor to ARMN's production, with ongoing expansion projects expected to enhance production rates significantly [11][12]. - ARMN aims for an annual production rate of approximately 500,000 ounces of gold following the commissioning of the Segovia plant expansion [12]. Group 3: Financial Health - ARMN ended the first quarter with a cash balance of $240 million and generated $40 million in cash flow, supporting its strategic growth initiatives [17]. - The company has successfully raised over $19.4 million from the exercise of in-the-money warrants, further strengthening its balance sheet for future investments [17]. Group 4: Valuation and Earnings Estimates - ARMN is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 4.44X, representing a 67% discount compared to the industry average of 13.49X [18]. - Earnings estimates for ARMN have been revised upward, with projected year-over-year increases of 226.5% and 80.6% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [21].

Core Insights - Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) reported an 8% year-over-year increase in gold production for Q1, reaching 54,763 ounces, positioning the company favorably for its full-year production guidance of 230,000-275,000 ounces [1][7]. Production Performance - The Segovia Operations in Colombia contributed significantly to the production increase, with a 6% year-over-year rise to 47,549 ounces, while the Marmato Upper Mine produced 7,214 ounces, marking a 23% increase over the previous quarter [2][7]. - The commissioning of the Segovia plant expansion is expected to boost production rates in the second half of 2025 [3][7]. Expansion and Future Outlook - Aris Mining is advancing its expansion projects, including the Segovia mill expansion and the Marmato Lower Mine development, which are anticipated to drive further production growth [3]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ARMN's earnings implies a year-over-year rise of 55.7% for 2025 and 226.5% for 2026, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [8]. Valuation and Market Performance - ARMN shares have surged 80% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 49% [6][7]. - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 4.34, which is approximately 67.8% below the industry average of 13.49X, indicating a strong valuation position [9].

Core Insights - Aris Mining Corp. (ARMN) has reported its best quarterly earnings since its inception in September 2022, driven by record gold prices [1][2] - The company is focused on becoming a leading gold mining entity in Latin America, currently operating two producing mines in Colombia and having three additional projects in Colombia and Guyana [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Aris Mining reported earnings of $0.16 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $0.02, but achieving a new quarterly earnings record [2] - Gold revenue increased by 47% year-over-year to $154.1 million, up from $105.2 million, with gold production rising by 8% compared to the previous year [2] - The realized gold price at Segovia was $2855 per ounce with an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $1570, resulting in a margin of $1285 per ounce [4] Expansion Plans - Aris Mining is advancing its expansion plans at its two producing mines, aiming to double gold production to over 500,000 ounces per year by the end of 2026 [3] Cash Flow and Debt - The company has $240 million in cash as of the end of Q1 2025, with plans to use some of it for mine expansion [5] - Total debt stands at $486 million, with a leverage ratio of 1.2x [5] Analyst Outlook - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for Aris Mining, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 increasing to $1.11 from $1.00, indicating a growth of 226.5% from the previous year [6] - For 2026, analysts expect an additional earnings growth of 80.6% to $2.01 [7] Market Performance - Aris Mining's shares have increased by 72.6% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which has risen by only 1.1% [10] - The company is considered undervalued with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.1, which is regarded as "dirt-cheap" [8][11]

Core Insights - Gold prices have decreased slightly from their all-time high in mid-April, but current prices remain elevated compared to previous record highs [1] Group 1 - The interest in gold discussions has diminished as prices are not consistently reaching new highs [1] - The current price of gold is still higher than the record highs observed earlier [1]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1][2]. Company Overview: Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) - Aris Mining Corporation currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong potential for outperformance in the market [3][4]. - Over the past week, ARMN shares have increased by 13.1%, outperforming the Zacks Mining - Gold industry, which rose by 7.12% during the same period [6]. - In a longer timeframe, ARMN's monthly price change is 17.25%, significantly higher than the industry's 1.9% performance [6]. - Over the past quarter, ARMN shares have surged by 73.17%, and they are up 52.87% over the last year, while the S&P 500 has seen declines of -2.26% and gains of 10.82%, respectively [7]. Trading Volume - ARMN's average 20-day trading volume is 1,116,527 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [8]. Earnings Outlook - Recent earnings estimate revisions for ARMN show positive momentum, with two estimates moving higher in the past two months, raising the consensus estimate from $0.90 to $1.11 [10]. - For the next fiscal year, two estimates have also increased, with no downward revisions noted [10]. Conclusion - Given the strong performance metrics and positive earnings outlook, ARMN is positioned as a solid momentum pick with a 1 (Strong Buy) rating and a Momentum Score of B [12].

Core Insights - The article discusses an active investing strategy focused on identifying breakout stocks within a specific price range, emphasizing the importance of support and resistance levels in making investment decisions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Breakout Stocks - Barclays PLC (BCS), NatWest Group plc (NWG), and Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) are highlighted as today's breakout stocks [1]. - BCS anticipates an earnings growth rate of 21.2% for the current year [7]. - NWG expects an earnings growth rate of 17.3% this year [9]. - ARMN projects an impressive earnings growth rate of 226.5% for the current year [10]. Group 2: Screening Criteria - The screening criteria for selecting breakout stocks include a percentage price change over four weeks between 10% and 20%, current price close to 52-week highs, and a Zacks Rank of 1 [6]. - Additional criteria include a beta for 60 months less than or equal to 2 and a current price less than or equal to $20 [7]. - These criteria narrow down the stock universe from over 6,853 to only nine potential candidates [7].

Market Overview - Recent market gains have been driven by easing U.S.-China trade tensions, softer inflation, and strong first-quarter 2025 results, but uncertainty persists [1] - Many companies are issuing cautious outlooks or withdrawing guidance due to rising costs, subdued consumer demand, and shaken business confidence [1] Tariff Impact - Although fears regarding tariffs have lessened, a 10% tariff remains a new baseline, indicating that trade-related pressures could re-emerge [2] - Economic indicators and earnings reports are expected to reveal the long-term effects of tariffs as the year progresses [2] Investment Strategy - Volatility remains in the market, and the current rally appears fragile, suggesting that value investing may be a prudent strategy [3] - Value investing focuses on fundamentally strong companies trading below their intrinsic worth, providing resilience amid market fluctuations [3] Value Stocks - Notable value stocks with high earnings yield include Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN), LATAM Airlines Group (LTM), Priority Technology Holdings Inc. (PRTH), Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc. (HRTG), and Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) [4] Earnings Yield Metric - Earnings yield, calculated as annual earnings per share (EPS) divided by market price, is a useful metric for identifying attractively valued stocks [5] - Stocks with higher earnings yield are considered undervalued compared to those with lower earnings yield [5] Stock Comparison - Earnings yield can be compared to prevailing interest rates, such as the 10-year Treasury yield, to assess relative value [6] - A stock with a yield lower than the 10-year Treasury yield is deemed overvalued, while a higher yield indicates undervaluation [7] Screening Criteria - An earnings yield greater than 10% is set as a primary screening criterion, supplemented by estimated EPS growth and average daily volume [8][9] - Additional parameters include a current price greater than or equal to $5 and stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) [10] Company Highlights - **Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN)**: Expected earnings growth of 226.5% and 80.6% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a Zacks Rank 1 and Value Score of A [12] - **LATAM Airlines Group (LTM)**: Projected earnings growth of 27.5% and 20% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, also with a Zacks Rank 1 and Value Score of A [13] - **Priority Technology Holdings Inc. (PRTH)**: Anticipated earnings growth of 108% and 34% for 2025 and 2026, with a Zacks Rank 1 and Value Score of A [14] - **Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc. (HRTG)**: Expected earnings growth of 62% and 13% for 2025 and 2026, with a Zacks Rank 1 and Value Score of B [15] - **Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY)**: Projected earnings growth of 195% and 28% for 2025 and 2026, with a Zacks Rank 1 and Value Score of B [16]

Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) could be a solid choice for investors given the company's remarkably improving earnings outlook. While the stock has been a strong performer lately, this trend might continue since analysts are still raising their earnings estimates for the company.The upward trend in estimate revisions for this company reflects growing optimism of analysts on its earnings prospects, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between ...

Group 1 - Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) closed at $5.73, with a 5.3% gain over the past four weeks, and a mean price target of $8.29 indicating a 44.7% upside potential [1] - The average price targets range from a low of $7.02 to a high of $10.08, with a standard deviation of $1.40, suggesting a 22.5% increase at the lowest estimate and a 75.9% upside at the highest [2] - Analysts show strong agreement on ARMN's ability to report better earnings than previously predicted, which supports the potential for stock upside [4][11] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ARMN's current year earnings has increased by 20.5% over the last 30 days, with two estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [12] - ARMN holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates, indicating strong potential for near-term upside [13]