Avery Dennison Corporation (NYSE:AVY) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 22, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company Participants s - Corporate Participant e - Corporate Participant d - Corporate Participant Deon M. Stander - President, CEO & Director Gregory S. Lovins - CFO, Senior VP & Principal Financial Officer John C. Eble - Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations William Gilchrist - Corporate Participant Conference Call Participants Anthony James Pettinari - Citigroup Inc., Research Division George Leon Staphos - Bof ...

Avery Dennison (AVY) Q2 2025 Earnings Call July 22, 2025 11:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsJohn Eble - VP - Finance & IRDeon Stander - President & CEOGreg Lovins - SVP & CFOGeorge Staphos - Managing DirectorMichael Roxland - MD - Equity ResearchJohn Dunigan - VP - Equity ResearchJosh Spector - Executive Director - Chemicals Equity ResearchWilliam Gilchrist - VP - IRConference Call ParticipantsJohn McNulty - MD - Chemicals AnalystGhansham Panjabi - Senior Research AnalystMatt Roberts - Research AnalystJeffrey ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $2.42, up 5% sequentially and comparable to the prior year, with strong free cash flow of nearly $190 million in the quarter [15][16] - Adjusted EBITDA margin was strong at 16.6%, up 20 basis points compared to the prior year [16] - Sales were down 1% on an organic basis compared to the prior year, primarily due to deflation-related price reductions [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Materials Group sales were down 1% on an organic basis, with high-value categories up low single digits and base business down low single digits [18][19] - Solutions Group sales were down 1% organically, with high-value categories up low single digits and base solutions down mid single digits [21] - The Solutions Group achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.1%, up 30 basis points compared to the prior year [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America saw low to mid single-digit growth in organic volume mix, while Europe was down low to mid single digits [19] - Apparel sales were down 6% in the quarter, with overall apparel and general retail categories experiencing reduced orders and inventory levels [6][10] - Food and logistics categories showed strong growth, with food sales up mid-teens collectively [10][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging its global scale, innovation, and go-to-market strategy to maintain competitive advantages in large growing markets [12][13] - There is an emphasis on expanding high-value categories and pursuing new projects in food and logistics [10][12] - The company plans to continue disciplined capital allocation, including share repurchases and dividends, while exploring M&A opportunities to enhance high-value category contributions [52][54] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism for the third quarter, expecting earnings per share to be comparable to the prior year amid trade policy uncertainties [12][15] - The company anticipates a normalization of growth in apparel and general retail categories over time, despite current softness [10][11] - Management remains confident in the long-term growth trajectory, particularly in high-value categories and emerging markets [13][72] Other Important Information - The company announced a 7% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.94 per share, continuing a decade-long trend of annual dividend growth [17] - The company is actively managing its global network to reduce inefficiencies and associated costs due to shifts in trade policies [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you speak to whether you see pent-up demand and potential quicker turnarounds in the second half? - Management noted continued retail sales volume softness in Europe and muted customer sentiment, with expectations of low single-digit demand in apparel and general retail overall [29][30] Question: What are your expectations for volumes in the back half of the year? - Management anticipates growth in Intelligent Labels in the third quarter and expects new programs to gain traction in the fourth quarter [38][42] Question: What impact do you expect from the closure of Kroger stores on your deployments? - Management stated that the rollout with Kroger continues as planned, with no significant impact from store closures on their deployments [78] Question: What are the expectations for growth in the Embellix business? - Management expects growth in the Embellix business to begin in the fourth quarter, driven by performance brands and upcoming sporting events [86][100] Question: How is the company managing tariff cost impacts? - Management indicated that they largely offset tariff-related costs in Q2 through strategic pricing and sourcing shifts, with expectations to continue this in Q3 [91][92]

Key Takeaways AVY reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.42, topping estimates but flat with the prior-year quarter. Revenues fell 0.7% y/y to $2.22B, missing estimates due to declines in organic sales. The Materials Group posted a 1% organic sales drop. Solutions Group saw a 0.8% decline.Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) has delivered adjusted earnings of $2.42 per share in second-quarter 2025, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.38. The bottom line was flat year over year.Including one-time items, the com ...

Financial Performance - The company reported net sales of $2.2 billion [16] - Organic sales decreased by 1.0% [16, 20, 29, 33] - Adjusted EPS was $2.42, comparable to the prior year [13, 16] - Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 20 bps to 16.6% [18] - Strong adjusted free cash flow (FCF) was $189 million [17] Segment Performance - Materials Group reported sales increased 0.2% to $1.6 billion [29] - Solutions Group reported sales decreased 2.6% to $670 million [33] - High-value categories delivered sales of approximately $1.0 billion, up low single digits (LSD) organically and up mid-single digits (MSD) excluding estimated impact of tariffs [19] - Base categories delivered sales of approximately $1.2 billion, down LSD organically [19] Outlook and Strategy - The company expects adjusted EPS of $2.24 to $2.40 in Q3 2025 [14, 42] - The company anticipates slight sales growth versus the prior year [44] - The company is targeting approximately 100% adjusted FCF conversion [44]

Exhibit 99.1 "The broader impact of trade policy changes is unclear. We are prepared for various scenarios and will continue to leverage our proven playbook to safeguard earnings, while driving key initiatives to deliver strong profitable growth over the cycle," added Stander. "Once again, I extend my gratitude to our agile, engaged, and talented team for their unwavering focus on excellence and dedication to addressing the current challenges at hand." ● 2Q25 Reported EPS of $2.41 ¡ Adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) ...

Core Insights - Analysts expect Avery Dennison (AVY) to report quarterly earnings of $2.38 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 1.7% [1] - Projected revenues for the quarter are $2.23 billion, down 0.2% from the same period last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' assessments [1] Earnings Estimates and Revisions - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions to the stock [2] - Empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [2] Key Metrics Forecast - The consensus estimate for 'Net Sales- Solutions Group' is $678.75 million, indicating a decline of 1.4% year-over-year [4] - Analysts project 'Net Sales- Materials Group' to reach $1.55 billion, suggesting a year-over-year increase of 0.5% [4] - The 'Adjusted Operating income (loss)- Solutions Group' is expected to be $67.09 million, down from $69.80 million in the same quarter last year [5] - The consensus for 'Adjusted Operating income (loss)- Materials Group' is $242.79 million, compared to $244.50 million a year ago [5] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Avery Dennison shares have returned +1.8%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by +5.4% [5] - Avery Dennison holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance will likely align with the overall market in the near term [5]

Key Takeaways Avery Dennison is set to report Q2 results before market open on July 22. Higher costs may weigh on margins despite stronger volumes in both major business segments. Currency impacts are expected to offset gains in the Label Materials and Intelligent Labels segments.Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) is scheduled to report second-quarter 2025 results before the opening bell on July 22, 2025.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVY’s second-quarter revenues is pegged at $2.23 billion, indicating a ...

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Avery Dennison (AVY) due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Avery Dennison is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.38 per share, reflecting a -1.7% change year-over-year, with revenues projected at $2.23 billion, down 0.2% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.25% over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Avery Dennison is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.42%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Avery Dennison was expected to post earnings of $2.32 per share but delivered $2.30, resulting in a surprise of -0.86% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - Avery Dennison does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider additional factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].

Company Overview - Avery Dennison Corporation (NYSE: AVY) specializes in producing and selling labeling and packaging materials, including tags, adhesives, and labels [1] - The company operates through two segments: Materials Group and Solutions Group [1] - Avery Dennison has a market capitalization of approximately $5.75 billion [1] Analyst Background - The analyst has over 10 years of experience in the investment arena, starting as an analyst and progressing to a management role [1] - The analyst holds a master's degree in Analytics from Northwestern University and a bachelor's degree in Accounting [1] - Dividend investing is a personal interest of the analyst, who aims to share insights with the Seeking Alpha community [1]