AutoZone(AZO)

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2 Green Flags for AutoZone Stock, and 1 Red Flag to Watch
The Motley Fool· 2025-09-27 07:54
Core Viewpoint - AutoZone presents a mixed investment case with promising growth strategies and a strong performance track record, but faces challenges with slowing growth and declining profitability metrics [1][11]. Group 1: Growth Strategies - AutoZone is focusing on expansion as a key growth strategy, opening 141 net new stores globally in the most recent quarter and 304 net new locations over the fiscal year, increasing its total to 7,657 stores [2][3]. - Same-store sales growth remains positive, with total company same-store sales rising 5.1% in the quarter, indicating that management is still investing in growth despite market pressures [3]. Group 2: Performance Track Record - Over the past five years, AutoZone's stock has gained 271%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which increased by 101%, showcasing its strong long-term investment potential [5]. - AutoZone addresses inelastic demand in car maintenance, which remains necessary even during economic pressures, positioning the company as a potential hedge against inflation [6][7]. Group 3: Profitability Concerns - Revenue growth is slowing, with net sales for fiscal year 2025 rising only 2.4% to $18.9 billion, while operating income fell 4.7% to $3.6 billion and net income declined 6.2% to $2.5 billion [9]. - Margins are under pressure due to rising costs, including a noncash LIFO charge that reduced gross margin by approximately 128 basis points, and operating expenses increased as a percentage of sales [10].
Here's Why You Should Retain AutoZone Stock in Your Portfolio Now
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 16:05
Core Viewpoint - AutoZone, Inc. is positioned for growth due to strong DIY and commercial business performance, alongside its omni-channel strategies, despite concerns regarding its balance sheet and rising interest rates [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - AutoZone has achieved record sales for 36 consecutive years, with fiscal 2025 revenues reaching $18.9 billion, a 2.4% increase year over year [2][8] - The company anticipates continued growth in fiscal 2026, driven by strong performance in DIY and commercial sectors, as well as improved parts availability [2] - In fiscal 2025, AutoZone's gross margin, operating profit, and earnings per share were impacted by a noncash $80 million LIFO accounting charge [8] Group 2: Expansion and Market Strategy - AutoZone is expanding its market penetration through the rollout of mega hubs, with 133 mega hub locations established by the end of fiscal 2025, aiming for over 200 in total [3] - The company plans to open 25-30 additional mega hub locations in the next fiscal year and is focusing on international growth, particularly in Mexico and Brazil, with a target of up to 500 store openings annually by 2028 [3] - The omni-channel strategy, including e-commerce initiatives like next-day shipping and in-store pickups, is enhancing customer engagement and driving traffic to its online platform [4] Group 3: Capital Allocation and Share Buyback - AutoZone executed a robust share repurchase program, buying back $1.5 billion in shares during fiscal 2025, with over $632.3 million remaining under repurchase authorization [5][8] - The company has repurchased more than 100% of its outstanding shares since 1998, reflecting a disciplined capital allocation approach [5] Group 4: Challenges and Concerns - AutoZone's capital expenditures in fiscal 2025 were approximately $1.4 billion, with similar spending expected in fiscal 2026, primarily for technology improvements and store expansion [6] - The company's total debt-to-capital ratio is 1.81, significantly higher than the industry average of 0.92, indicating high leverage [7] - Interest expenses rose by 2.7% year over year to $148 million in fiscal 2025, with projections for further increases in fiscal 2026 [7]
AutoZone: High ROIC, Steady Demand, Modest Buy On EPS Compression (NYSE:AZO)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-25 09:36
Dubai-based investor focused on building a resilient, income-generating portfolio with a long-term growth mindset. My approach is primarily long-only, blending dividend-paying equities, REITs, and other income strategies with selective growth opportunities. I believe in disciplined, fundamentals-driven investing, prioritizing capital preservation while compounding returns over time. Originally from India.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies m ...
AutoZone Stock: Stalled EPS Causes Breakdown, Creating Dip Opportunity (NYSE:AZO)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-25 06:43
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that investors may overemphasize cash flows and profits in the short term, while megatrends and technological advancements can provide valuable investment insights [1] - It highlights the importance of understanding macrotrends, futurism, and emerging technologies, alongside fundamentals and technicals, to identify investment opportunities [1] - The focus is on evaluating medium-sized companies and startups, with experience in international development and technology journalism contributing to a comprehensive investment analysis approach [1]
AutoZone makes harsh change customers will notice
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 01:37
Because of President Trump's tariff-policy decisions this year, AutoZone is under increasing pressure to significantly increase prices on many of the auto parts it sells in its 6,600 U.S. stores. The tariffs put in place so far have increased effective import taxes to 17.4%, the highest since 1935, according to Yale Budget Lab. That's a problem for auto-parts retailers, including AutoZone, because many auto parts are made in places like China, Germany and Japan. AutoZone at a glance: Annual revenue in f ...
AutoZone Navigates Growth During Tariff Pressures - AutoZone (NYSE:AZO)
Benzinga· 2025-09-24 18:14
Core Viewpoint - AutoZone reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $48.71, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $50.91, with quarterly sales of $6.242 billion, a 0.6% year-over-year increase, also falling short of expectations [1][5] Group 1: Financial Performance - Fourth-quarter earnings per share were $48.71, below the expected $50.91 [1] - Quarterly sales reached $6.242 billion, slightly missing the forecast of $6.245 billion [1] - Gross margin decreased by 98 basis points to 51.5%, primarily due to a 128 basis point LIFO impact from an $80 million non-cash charge [2] Group 2: Margin and Cost Pressures - Tariff-driven cost inflation is impacting margins, with LIFO headwinds expected to continue, projecting $120 million in the first quarter and $80–$85 million per quarter for the remainder of 2026 [3] - A larger commercial mix may exert pressure that merchandise margin gains could offset, with a forecasted 250 basis point drop to 50.5% in the first quarter [3] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Accelerated investments are anticipated to help increase the Pro-segment share above the current 5% [4] - First quarter SG&A is expected to deleverage to 33.5%, with SG&A per store rising by 4.8% [4] Group 4: Analyst Outlook - The analyst remains confident in AutoZone's resilience during recessions, potential share gains in DIY and Pro segments, and favorable pricing dynamics from inflation [5] - EPS estimates for fiscal 2026 were revised down to $152.93 from $166.90 based on fourth-quarter results [5] - AutoZone shares were trading higher by 2.62% to $4,228 at the time of publication [5]
AutoZone Navigates Growth During Tariff Pressures
Benzinga· 2025-09-24 18:14
AutoZone, Inc. AZO shares are trading higher on Wednesday.The company reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $48.71, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $50.91. Quarterly sales of $6.242 billion (+0.6% year over year) missed the Street view of $6.245 billion.AZO is building positive momentum. See the full breakdown here.BofA Securities analyst Robert F. Ohmes reiterated the Buy rating on AutoZone with a price target of $4,800.Also Read: Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Futures Gain Desp ...
AutoZone Pulls Into a Buy-the-Dip Opportunity
MarketBeat· 2025-09-24 12:14
Core Viewpoint - AutoZone's Q4 earnings report indicates a stable performance amidst macroeconomic challenges, with share buybacks significantly contributing to stock price gains and a bullish outlook for future growth [1][2][10]. Financial Performance - AutoZone reported Q4 revenue of $6.24 billion, reflecting a 0.5% increase year-over-year, which adjusts to a 6.9% growth when accounting for an extra week in the fiscal year [6]. - The company experienced a decline in net income to $837 million, with GAAP EPS at $48.71, but maintained a buyback ratio of approximately 53% [7]. Share Buybacks - The company reduced its share count by nearly 2% year-over-year in Q4 and by 3.2% for the year, enhancing leverage for investors [2]. - Persistent buyback activity has led to a shareholder deficit on the balance sheet, but this is overshadowed by its positive impact on stock price and cash flow [3]. Asset Management - At the close of fiscal 2025, AutoZone's cash declined by 8.8%, but this was offset by a $1 billion increase in current assets and a $2.2 billion increase in total assets, alongside a reduction in debt [4]. Growth Strategy - The company is accelerating store count openings and increasing inventory, which is expected to support future growth despite current margin pressures [3][8]. - Analysts forecast mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2026, with earnings expected to grow at an accelerated mid-teens pace [9]. Analyst Sentiment - AutoZone stock has a consensus Moderate Buy rating from 25 analysts, with a price target of $4,449.18, indicating a potential upside of 7.64% [10]. - The stock is projected to reach a new all-time high, with a high-end forecast of $4,925, representing a 20% upside [11].