Earnings Reports - AutoZone Inc. is expected to report quarterly earnings of $50.83 per share with revenue of $6.24 million [2] - Firefly Aerospace Inc. reported a second-quarter loss of $5.78 per share, an increase from a loss of $4.60 per share a year ago, with sales declining to $15.549 million from $21.071 million [2] - AAR Corp. is anticipated to post earnings of 98 cents per share on revenue of $688.72 million for the latest quarter [2] - Micron Technology Inc. is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.86 per share with revenue of $11.22 billion [2] Stock Performance - AutoZone shares decreased by 0.5% to close at $4,121.00 [2] - Firefly Aerospace shares fell by 12.4% to $43.38 in after-hours trading [2] - AAR shares increased by 0.5% to $77.28 in after-hours trading [2] - MBX Biosciences Inc. shares declined by 2.1% to $19.58 in after-hours trading [2] - Micron shares rose by 1% to $166.30 in after-hours trading [2]

Market Overview - Major indexes reached record-setting closing highs last week, but pre-market futures indicate a sell-off with the Dow down 170 points, S&P 500 down 22 points, Nasdaq down 92 points, and Russell 2000 down 5.5 points [1] - Bond yields remain flat, with the 10-year yield at 4.13% and the 2-year yield at 3.58% [1] Earnings Reports and Economic Data - No major earnings reports or economic data are expected today, as the market is in between quarterly earnings seasons [2] - Early Q3 earnings season is considered underway, with companies like FedEx already reporting [5] - Upcoming earnings reports include AutoZone, Micron, KB Home, and Costco [5] Economic Indicators - This week will see the release of New & Existing Home Sales figures for August, flash Services PMI from S&P and ISM, Retail/Wholesale Inventories, Durable Goods Orders, and the final print on Q2 GDP [6] - Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) for August will be released on Friday, which is the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation [6] Inflation Metrics - Headline PCE year over year is expected to increase by 10 basis points to +2.7%, following two months at +2.6% and a low of +2.2% in April [7] - Core PCE year over year is expected to remain at +2.9%, consistent with previous months [8] - The Fed's optimal inflation level is +2.0%, with the closest metric reaching +2.6% in April of this year [8]

Market Overview - Major indexes reached record-setting closing highs last week, but pre-market futures indicate a sell-off with the Dow down 170 points, S&P 500 down 22 points, Nasdaq down 92 points, and Russell 2000 down 5.5 points [1] - Bond yields remain flat, with the 10-year yield at 4.13% and the 2-year yield at 3.58% [1] Earnings Reports and Economic Data - No major earnings reports or economic data are expected today, as the market is in between quarterly earnings seasons [2] - Early Q3 earnings season is considered underway, with companies like FedEx already reporting [5] - Upcoming earnings reports include AutoZone, Micron, KB Home, and Costco [5] Federal Reserve Insights - Fed officials, including New York Fed President John Williams and others, will be speaking today [2] - Recent monetary policy decisions included a 25 basis points cut in interest rates, with Stephen Miran advocating for a more aggressive 50 basis points cut [3][4] - The Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), is set to be released, with expectations for a year-over-year increase to 2.7% for August [6][7] Inflation Metrics - Core PCE is expected to remain at 2.9%, with the Fed's optimal inflation level at 2.0% [8]

Group 1 - AutoZone is expected to announce earnings on September 23, 2025, with forecasted revenue of approximately $6.25 billion, reflecting a 1% increase from the previous year [2] - Projected earnings per share are around $51, which is roughly unchanged from last year, indicating stable performance [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $71 billion, with total revenue over the past twelve months at $19 billion, operating profits of $3.7 billion, and net income of $2.6 billion [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that AutoZone has recorded 20 earnings data points over the last five years, with 7 positive and 13 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 35% chance of positive returns [6] - The percentage of positive one-day returns drops to 25% when considering the last three years, indicating a potential decline in performance [6] - The median of positive returns is 3.7%, while the median of negative returns is -2.8%, highlighting the variability in post-earnings performance [6]

Economic Data Releases - This week will see the release of key economic indicators including the personal consumption expenditures price index, purchasing managers indexes, and home sales numbers [1] Company Earnings Reports - Companies such as CarMax, Cintas, and KB Home are scheduled to report their earnings this week [1]

Group 1 - Macquarie Asset Management's "Macquarie Core Equity Fund" reported a return of 11.94% in Q2 2025, outperforming the S&P 500 Index which rose by 10.94% [1] - The strong performance of the equity market was attributed to reduced concerns over potential tariffs from President Trump, leading to a pause in tariff implementation [1] - The fund's relative performance was primarily driven by sector selection (80%) and individual security selection (20%) [1] Group 2 - AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) had a one-month return of 0.54% and a 52-week gain of 36.82%, with a market capitalization of $69.137 billion as of September 18, 2025 [2] - Despite its defensive nature, AutoZone's shares lagged behind the benchmark returns during the quarter as investors shifted towards more offensive securities [3] - AutoZone was held by 65 hedge fund portfolios at the end of Q2 2025, a decrease from 67 in the previous quarter, indicating a slight decline in popularity among hedge funds [3]

Core Viewpoint - AutoZone is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts in the U.S., with a significant market presence and competition from other major players in the industry [1] Financial Performance Expectations - AutoZone is expected to release its quarterly earnings on September 23, 2025, with Wall Street estimating earnings per share (EPS) of $51.10 and projected revenue of approximately $6.25 billion, indicating a potential year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ending August 2025 [2] - The stock's movement will depend on the actual results compared to these estimates, with potential stock price increases if earnings surpass expectations, and declines if results fall short [3] Market Valuation Metrics - AutoZone has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 27.65, indicating how the market values its earnings [4] - The price-to-sales ratio stands at about 3.75, reflecting the market's valuation of its revenue [4] - The enterprise value to sales ratio is around 4.38, suggesting how the market values the company in relation to its sales, including debt [4] - The enterprise value to operating cash flow ratio is approximately 25.57, indicating how the market values its cash flow from operations [5] - AutoZone's earnings yield is about 3.62%, providing insight into the earnings generated per dollar invested [5] - The debt-to-equity ratio of approximately -3.07 highlights its capital structure and leverage [5] - The current ratio of around 0.84 indicates its ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets [5]

Group 1 - AutoZone is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on September 23, with expected earnings of $50.95 per share, a decrease from $51.58 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company projects quarterly revenue of $6.25 billion, slightly up from $6.21 billion a year earlier [1] - In the third quarter, AutoZone reported earnings per share of $35.36, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $37.17, while quarterly sales reached $4.46 billion, reflecting a 5.4% year-over-year increase [2] Group 2 - AutoZone's same-store sales grew by 3.2%, driven by strength in the domestic segment [2] - Analysts have provided positive ratings for AutoZone, with several raising their price targets significantly [5] - Raymond James analyst raised the price target from $4,200 to $4,900, while JP Morgan increased it from $4,200 to $4,850, indicating strong confidence in the stock [5]

Group 1 - AutoZone is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on September 23, with expected earnings of $50.95 per share, a decrease from $51.58 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company projects quarterly revenue of $6.25 billion, slightly up from $6.21 billion a year earlier [1] - In the third quarter, AutoZone reported earnings per share of $35.36, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $37.17, while quarterly sales reached $4.46 billion, reflecting a 5.4% year-over-year increase [2] Group 2 - AutoZone's same-store sales grew by 3.2%, driven by strength in the domestic segment [2] - Analysts have provided various ratings and price target adjustments for AutoZone, with Raymond James raising the price target to $4,900 and maintaining a Strong Buy rating [5] - Other analysts, including those from JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Barclays, and UBS, have also raised their price targets, indicating a generally positive outlook for the stock [5]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in AutoZone's earnings driven by higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates to influence stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - AutoZone is expected to report quarterly earnings of $51.10 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.2% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $6.23 billion, indicating a 0.4% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting stability in analyst expectations [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for AutoZone is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.89%, indicating a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [9][10]. - AutoZone's current Zacks Rank is 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, AutoZone was expected to post earnings of $36.78 per share but delivered only $35.36, resulting in a surprise of -3.86% [13]. - The company has not beaten consensus EPS estimates in any of the last four quarters [14]. Conclusion - While AutoZone does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [17].