Summary of Bristol-Myers Squibb Company FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE: BMY) - **Date**: September 08, 2025 - **Speakers**: Chris Boerner (CEO), Adam Lenkowsky (Chief Commercial Officer) Key Industry Insights - **Market Position**: The company is navigating a significant loss of exclusivity (LOE) exposure, focusing on growth through existing products and a robust pipeline of new molecular entities [2][4] - **Growth Portfolio**: Over 50% of the overall business is now from the growth portfolio, with notable products like Reblozyl, Breyanzi, Camzyos, and Eliquis showing strong performance [3][4] - **Pipeline Development**: Seven potential new molecular entities are expected to launch in the next two years, with a total of 10 new medicines and at least 30 lifecycle management opportunities anticipated by the end of the decade [4][5] Financial Discipline - **Cost Management**: The company has successfully reduced costs by approximately $250 million through AI investments in the supply chain, enhancing financial flexibility [5] - **Investment Strategy**: The focus is on smart investments that drive growth while stepping back from non-essential areas [5][6] Product Launches and Performance - **Cobenfi Launch**: The launch is progressing well, with over 2,000 total prescriptions (TRXs) weekly and positive feedback from prescribers. The company is targeting a broader prescriber base, with 60% access in commercial markets [20][22][24] - **Hospital and Retail Strategy**: A dedicated hospital team has been deployed to increase Cobenfi initiations, while the retail team focuses on enhancing prescribing frequency among lower-tier doctors [23][25] Research and Development (R&D) - **R&D Productivity**: The company is prioritizing internal R&D investments to ensure a high-functioning and efficient R&D engine, which is critical for success in the biopharma sector [10][12] - **aDep Program**: The aDep-2 trial is expected to have a data readout by the end of the year, with confidence in the scientific rationale for pursuing the program [14][16] Regulatory and Market Dynamics - **Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Initiatives**: The company has launched a DTC program for Eliquis, offering a 40% discount to patients, and is exploring similar opportunities across its portfolio [38][39] - **Policy Engagement**: Ongoing discussions with the administration regarding tariffs and the Most Favored Nation (MFN) policy, with a focus on ensuring fair pricing for innovative medicines [32][34] Future Opportunities - **Novoxaban Program**: This factor XIa inhibitor is positioned to offer a superior profile relative to Eliquis, with data readouts expected in acute coronary syndrome and secondary stroke prevention in the coming years [41][42] - **Immuno-Oncology Expansion**: The partnership with BioNTech for BNT327 is expected to enhance the company's position in the oncology space, with multiple studies already underway [51][53] Conclusion - **Growth Ambitions**: The company is optimistic about its growth trajectory, with a strong focus on executing its strategic plans and delivering on its pipeline of innovative products as it approaches the end of the decade [6][65]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Biopharma** industry in **North America** with a comprehensive analysis of the **US drug market** as per **IQVIA Rx** data [1][6]. Core Insights - The **Total Prescription Year-over-Year (YoY) growth** for the week ending **August 29, 2025**, was reported at **+1.7%**, a decrease from **+2.3%** the previous week and **+2.6%** over the past 12 weeks [1][2]. - The **rolling 4-week TRx YoY** change was **+2.3%**, while the **rolling 12-week TRx YoY** was **+2.6%** [2]. - The **Extended Unit (EUTRx)** weekly YoY growth was **+2.0%**, indicating stronger performance compared to the overall TRx YoY [2]. Company-Specific Developments - **Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)**: The drug **Cobenfy** for schizophrenia was approved on **September 26, 2024**. The current weekly scripts are approximately **2,210**, up from **2,160** the previous week. To meet the 2025 consensus expectations, Cobenfy needs to achieve **~129K TRx** at a net price of **~$1,200** [3]. - **Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)**: The drug **Journavx** for acute pain was approved on **January 30, 2025**. Current scripts are around **7,280**, with hospital scripts making up about **35%** of total scripts. To achieve projected sales of **$78 million**, approximately **349K total scripts** are needed [4]. - **Gilead Sciences (GILD)**: The drug **Yeztugo** was approved on **June 18, 2025**. The latest total TRx is approximately **470**, up from **390** the previous week. Projections for achieving consensus estimates for the second half of 2025 are discussed, with a focus on gross-to-net pricing adjustments [5]. Market Trends and Comparisons - A comparison of launches between **GILD's Yeztugo**, **Descovy**, and **Apretude** is provided, highlighting the uptake among different patient groups and the anticipated growth trajectory [5][9]. - The **GLP-1 franchise** from **Eli Lilly** shows significant growth, with **Mounjaro** and **Zepbound** experiencing **+66%** and **+233%** YoY growth respectively [20][23]. Additional Insights - The call includes a detailed analysis of **key products** and their respective YoY performance, with notable declines in some established drugs like **Humira** (-39%) and growth in others like **Skyrizi** (+44%) [20]. - The **COVID vaccine** tracking and **biosimilar adoption** analysis are also mentioned, indicating ongoing trends in the pharmaceutical landscape [12][28]. Conclusion - The conference call provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the biopharma industry in North America, highlighting both challenges and opportunities for key players in the market. The data reflects a mixed performance across various drugs, with some experiencing significant growth while others face declines.

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding macro trends and their influence on asset prices and investor behavior [1] - It highlights the author's extensive experience in asset management, particularly in equity analysis and research [1] - The goal of sharing insights is to empower investors and promote confidence in long-term investing [1] Group 1: Professional Background - The author has over 10 years of experience in asset management, focusing on equities and derivatives [1] - The educational background includes a BA in Financial Economics and an MA in Financial Markets [1] - The author has navigated various market conditions over the past decade, gaining valuable insights [1] Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The article advocates for accessible and inspiring investing, aiming to build confidence among investors [1] - It encourages readers to conduct their own research before making investment decisions [1] - The analysis and opinions shared are intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice [1]

Group 1 - The Health Care sector experienced a decline relative to the S&P 500 over the past year until July, but showed improvement in August [1] - The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF indicates a shift in performance for the sector, suggesting a potential recovery or positive trend [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of analyzing stock market sectors, ETFs, and economic data to identify investment opportunities [1] - It highlights the role of macro drivers in influencing asset classes such as stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and crypto [1]

Core Insights - JR Research is recognized as a top analyst in technology, software, and internet sectors, focusing on growth and GARP strategies [1] - The investment approach emphasizes identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities with robust price action to generate alpha above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment group Ultimate Growth Investing specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a focus on strong growth potential and contrarian plays [3] Investment Strategy - The strategy combines sharp price action analysis with fundamental investing, avoiding overhyped stocks while targeting battered stocks with recovery potential [2] - The investment outlook is typically 18 to 24 months for the thesis to materialize, aiming for robust fundamentals and attractive valuations [3] Target Audience - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with strong fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays [3]

Summary of Prothena's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Prothena - **Industry**: Biotechnology, specifically focused on neurodegenerative diseases and amyloidosis Key Points and Arguments 1. **Pipeline Updates**: Prothena has made significant progress in its pipeline, with Roche advancing prasinezumab for Parkinson's disease into a phase three study and Novo moving Kuramitug for ATTR cardiomyopathy into a phase three study as well [4][5] 2. **Restructuring**: The company underwent a restructuring to align its resources with ongoing partnership obligations and to focus on shareholder-friendly activities [13][14] 3. **Financial Milestones**: Prothena anticipates up to $105 million in clinical milestone payments in 2026, contingent on the progress of its partnered programs with Novo and Bristol Myers Squibb [8][16] 4. **Shareholder Returns**: Plans for a share repurchase program are in place, supported by the establishment of distributable reserves through an extraordinary general meeting [11][20] 5. **PRXO12 Data**: The recent data for PRXO12 indicated higher than expected ARIA events, prompting consideration of a transferrin-based approach to mitigate these issues while retaining the drug's efficacy [21][24] 6. **Partnerships**: Prothena has four partnership programs, with two in phase three and one in phase two, which are crucial for the company's future value creation [12][19] 7. **Roche Partnership**: The deal with Roche is valued at $755 million, with $135 million received to date. Roche sees a peak sales opportunity for prasinezumab exceeding $4 billion [32][33] 8. **Novo Partnership**: The partnership with Novo for Kuramitug is valued at $1.23 billion, with $100 million received so far. The next milestone payment is expected to be around $50 million [60][63] 9. **Clinical Development**: Prothena is focused on the clinical development of its partnered assets, with expectations for data releases from ongoing studies [39][70] Additional Important Content 1. **Market Potential**: The market for treatments targeting neurodegenerative diseases and amyloidosis is significant, with increasing demand for effective therapies [43][58] 2. **Competitive Landscape**: The competitive environment is intensifying, with multiple companies developing similar therapies, which could impact Prothena's market positioning [21][22] 3. **Regulatory Considerations**: The timeline for potential partnerships and clinical trials is uncertain, with ongoing discussions expected to take time [29][30] 4. **Scientific Insights**: Prothena's approach to targeting alpha-synuclein in Parkinson's disease is based on empirical data, focusing on the carboxy terminus of the protein for better efficacy [44][46] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from Prothena's conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, financial outlook, and ongoing clinical developments.

Group 1 - Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY) is recognized as one of the largest pharmaceutical companies globally, attracting significant attention from value investors recently [1] - BMY shares are perceived to be deeply discounted when compared to the overall U.S. stock market [1] Group 2 - Ian Bezek, a former hedge fund analyst, has extensive experience in conducting on-the-ground research in Latin American markets, focusing on countries like Mexico, Colombia, and Chile [2] - Bezek specializes in identifying high-quality compounders and growth stocks at reasonable prices in the U.S. and other developed markets [2]

Core Insights - Bristol Myers (BMY) has a robust oncology portfolio featuring key drugs such as Opdivo, Opdivo Qvantig, and Yervoy, which are crucial for the company's growth strategy [1][9] - Opdivo's sales in the U.S. are significantly driven by its successful launch in MSI-high colorectal cancer and ongoing growth in first-line non-small cell lung cancer, while international sales are supported by volume growth [2] - The European Commission approved the subcutaneous formulation of Opdivo for multiple solid tumor indications, enhancing its market presence [3] - Opdivo Qvantig has also received approval for subcutaneous use, with strong initial uptake in the U.S. across all indicated tumor types [4] - BMY anticipates global sales for Opdivo and Qvantig to grow in the mid to high single-digit range in 2025, supported by strong performance in the first half of the year [5] Competitive Landscape - The immuno-oncology market is highly competitive, with Merck's Keytruda and Roche's Tecentriq being significant competitors. Keytruda accounts for approximately 50% of Merck's pharmaceutical sales [6] - Roche's Tecentriq is approved for various oncology indications and has also received approval for subcutaneous administration, further intensifying competition [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - BMY's shares have declined by 13.6% year-to-date, contrasting with the industry's growth of 4.3% [8] - The company is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 7.60x forward earnings, which is below the industry average of 14.78x, indicating a potential undervaluation [10] - The bottom-line estimate for 2025 has increased to $6.50 from $6.41, while the estimate for 2026 has slightly decreased to $6.07 from $6.08 [11]

Core Insights - Healthcare stocks have remained stagnant since April, contrasting with a 27% rise in the S&P 500, which raises interest for contrarian investors [2] - Seven healthcare stocks offer yields up to 7.1%, indicating potential investment opportunities due to their underperformance relative to the broader market [2] Group 1: High Yield Healthcare Stocks - Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI) has a yield of 6.4% and operates skilled nursing and assisted living facilities, with a portfolio of 93,961 beds across over 1,000 properties [3] - OHI has shown progress by beating estimates for adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) and raising its full-year AFFO guidance, while also acquiring 57 properties [4] - LTC Properties (LTC) offers a 6.3% yield and is transitioning some contracts to RIDEA-structured contracts, which could enhance growth potential [7][8] - Healthpeak Properties (DOC) has a yield of 7.0% and a diversified portfolio, but may face growth challenges due to headwinds in its life sciences segment [10] - Sila Realty Trust (SILA) has a yield of 6.4% and has shown a nearly 20% total return since its IPO, with a strong financial position [11][12] - Siga Technologies (SIGA) offers a high yield of 7.1% but is concentrated on a single product, TPOXX, which limits diversification [13][21] - Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) has a yield of 5.3% and a market cap of nearly $100 billion, but has underperformed significantly over the past five years [14][15] - Pfizer (PFE) has a yield of 6.9% and is facing challenges with declining COVID drug sales and upcoming patent expirations, leading to a high yield not seen since the Great Recession [18][19] Group 2: Market Context and Challenges - The healthcare sector is facing uncertainties including potential cuts to Medicaid, health research funding, and initiatives aimed at lowering drug costs [6] - The overall healthcare market has underperformed compared to the S&P 500, with BMY experiencing a 25% decline in price over the past five years [15] - Pfizer is targeting over $7 billion in cost savings by the end of 2027, but its long-term prospects depend on the success of its product pipeline [19][20]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a strong investment outlook for the AI pharmaceutical industry, highlighting the imminent approval of the first AI-driven drug as a pivotal moment for investment opportunities [5]. Core Insights - The application of AI in drug development is transitioning from concept to reality, with multi-omics development expected to reduce costs and increase efficiency by 1000 times, marking the dawn of a new era in innovative drug development [12][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of computational power, data quality, and model development as critical factors driving the success of AI in pharmaceuticals [3][48]. - Major technology companies are entering the AI pharmaceutical space, with significant investments from top pharmaceutical firms, indicating a robust shift in the industry landscape [4][5]. Summary by Sections AI Application and Industry Transformation - AI applications in pharmaceuticals are moving towards practical implementation, with significant milestones such as the success of AlphaFold in protein structure prediction [12]. - The report notes that the AI pharmaceutical sector is on the verge of a transformative phase, driven by advancements in multi-omics applications [16]. Computational Power and Data Utilization - The availability of cloud computing resources from major tech companies like Amazon and Google is enhancing the computational capabilities necessary for AI applications in drug development [3]. - Innovations in federated learning are breaking down data silos, allowing for better data sharing while maintaining privacy, which is crucial for AI model training [37][39]. Industry Dynamics and Major Players - The entry of tech giants like NVIDIA and Google into the AI pharmaceutical space is reshaping the industry, with substantial investments in AI drug development [4]. - Leading pharmaceutical companies are also heavily investing in AI-related initiatives, with over $50 billion in significant transactions occurring in the past five years [4]. Investment Strategies - The report recommends focusing on companies with rich pipelines and strong validation capabilities, such as Insilico Medicine and Crystal Holding, as they are poised to benefit from the upcoming breakthroughs in AI drug approvals [5]. - It also suggests monitoring traditional pharmaceutical companies that are making significant strides in AI, such as CSPC Pharmaceutical Group and Fosun Pharma, for potential high returns [5].