Core Viewpoint - BOK Financial (BOKF) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on July 21, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for BOK Financial's quarterly earnings is $1.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 2%, while revenues are projected to be $517.95 million, an increase of 4.4% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.96%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for BOK Financial is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.17%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - BOK Financial currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat given the negative Earnings ESP [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, BOK Financial was expected to post earnings of $2.01 per share but delivered only $1.86, resulting in a surprise of -7.46% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Comparison - Private Bancorp of America, Inc. (PBAM), another player in the Zacks Banks - Southwest industry, is expected to report earnings of $1.79 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year increase of 32.6% [18]. - PBAM's revenues are projected to be $30.5 million, up 16.4% from the previous year, but it also has a negative Earnings ESP of -2.79% despite a Zacks Rank of 2 [19][20].

[Part I. Financial Information](index=4&type=section&id=Part%20I.%20Financial%20Information) [Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations](index=4&type=section&id=Management%27s%20Discussion%20and%20Analysis%20of%20Financial%20Condition%20and%20Results%20of%20Operations%20%28Item%202%29) BOK Financial's Q1 2025 net income decreased to $119.8 million due to lower brokerage revenue, despite increased net interest income and an expanded net interest margin of 2.78%, with strong capital ratios Q1 2025 Key Financial Performance (vs Q4 2024) | Metric | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Income | $119.8 million | $136.2 million | ($16.4 million) | | Diluted EPS | $1.86 | $2.12 | ($0.26) | | Net Interest Income | $316.3 million | $313.1 million | +$3.2 million | | Net Interest Margin | 2.78% | 2.75% | +3 bps | | Fees and Commissions | $184.1 million | $206.9 million | ($22.8 million) | | Period End Loans | $23.7 billion | $24.1 billion | ($0.4 billion) | | Period End Deposits | $38.3 billion | $38.2 billion | +$0.1 billion | [Performance Summary](index=4&type=section&id=Performance%20Summary) Q1 2025 net income fell to $119.8 million ($1.86/share) due to reduced brokerage revenue, despite net interest income growth and a 2.78% net interest margin, with strong capital ratios and no credit loss provision - Net interest margin expanded to **2.78%** from **2.75%** QoQ, as liabilities re-priced lower more quickly than assets[12](index=12&type=chunk) - Brokerage and trading revenue fell by **$24.4 million** QoQ due to lower trading volumes and margin compression from market volatility[12](index=12&type=chunk) - No provision for expected credit losses was necessary, as a worse economic outlook was offset by decreased loan balances and improved portfolio credit quality[12](index=12&type=chunk) - Period-end loan balances decreased by **$424 million** to **$23.7 billion**, primarily from a drop in commercial loans[12](index=12&type=chunk) - The Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio improved to **13.31%** at March 31, 2025, from **13.03%** at December 31, 2024[13](index=13&type=chunk) [Results of Operations](index=6&type=section&id=Results%20of%20Operations) Q1 2025 results showed net interest income rising to $316.3 million, offset by a $24.0 million decrease in other operating revenue, primarily from brokerage activities, with stable operating expenses and a 22.61% effective tax rate [Reportable Segments](index=14&type=section&id=Reportable%20Segments) In Q1 2025, all three segments—Commercial Banking, Consumer Banking, and Wealth Management—experienced a decline in net income before taxes, primarily driven by reduced loan spreads, lower deposit spreads, and decreased trading volumes, respectively Net Income Before Taxes by Segment (Q1 2025 vs Q4 2024) | Segment | Q1 2025 (in thousands) | Q4 2024 (in thousands) | Change (in thousands) | Change (%) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Commercial Banking | $139,983 | $160,393 | $(20,410) | (13)% | | Consumer Banking | $22,122 | $23,580 | $(1,458) | (6)% | | Wealth Management | $32,726 | $48,915 | $(16,189) | (33)% | | **Subtotal** | **$194,831** | **$232,888** | **$(38,057)** | **(16)%** | [Financial Condition](index=19&type=section&id=Financial%20Condition) As of March 31, 2025, total loans decreased to $23.7 billion, while deposits grew modestly, improving the loan-to-deposit ratio to 62%, with robust capital levels including a 13.31% CET1 ratio and a 1.40% allowance for credit losses [Explanation and Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures](index=38&type=section&id=Explanation%20and%20Reconciliation%20of%20Non-GAAP%20Measures) This section reconciles non-GAAP measures like tangible common equity ratio, pre-provision net revenue (PPNR), and efficiency ratio to GAAP equivalents, providing additional insight into capital strength and operational performance - The tangible common equity ratio, a non-GAAP measure, is used to indicate capital strength by excluding intangible assets. It was **9.48%** at March 31, 2025, up from **9.17%** at December 31, 2024[153](index=153&type=chunk)[155](index=155&type=chunk) - Pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) is used to assess the ability to generate earnings to cover credit losses. PPNR was **$154.8 million** for Q1 2025[153](index=153&type=chunk)[156](index=156&type=chunk) - The efficiency ratio, which measures operational effectiveness, was **68.31%** for Q1 2025 compared to **65.61%** for Q4 2024[153](index=153&type=chunk)[157](index=157&type=chunk) [Market Risk](index=39&type=section&id=Market%20Risk%20%28Item%203%29) The company manages primary market risks, including interest rate risk on non-trading and trading assets, through Asset/Liability Committee oversight, economic hedges for MSRs, and VaR/SVaR for trading, with a 200 bp rate increase projected to decrease NII by $38.0 million Interest Rate Sensitivity on Net Interest Income (Next 12 Months) | Rate Change | Impact on NII (in thousands) | Impact (%) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | +200 bp | $(38,000) | (2.76)% | | +100 bp | $(8,200) | (0.60)% | | -100 bp | $3,900 | 0.28% | | -200 bp | $12,600 | 0.92% | - The company uses VaR (Value at Risk) and SVaR (Stressed VaR) to measure and manage market risk for its trading portfolio. For Q1 2025, the average 10-day 99% VaR was **$3.4 million** and the average SVaR was **$13.2 million**[175](index=175&type=chunk)[177](index=177&type=chunk)[179](index=179&type=chunk) - The company has an independent Model Risk Management staff to validate models, ensuring they are conceptually sound and performing as expected[182](index=182&type=chunk) [Controls and Procedures](index=45&type=section&id=Controls%20and%20Procedures%20%28Item%204%29) The CEO and CFO concluded that disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of March 31, 2025, with no material changes to internal controls over financial reporting identified during Q1 2025 - The CEO and CFO concluded that the company's disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of the end of the reporting period[184](index=184&type=chunk) - No material changes to internal controls over financial reporting were identified during the first quarter of 2025[184](index=184&type=chunk) [Consolidated Financial Statements – Unaudited](index=46&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements%20%E2%80%93%20Unaudited%20%28Item%201%29) This section presents BOK Financial's unaudited consolidated financial statements for Q1 2025, including Statements of Earnings, Balance Sheets, and Cash Flows, with detailed notes on accounting policies, securities, loans, derivatives, and fair value measurements [Consolidated Statements of Earnings (Unaudited)](index=46&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Earnings%20%28Unaudited%29) For Q1 2025, net income attributable to shareholders was $119.8 million ($1.86/diluted share), up from $83.7 million ($1.29/diluted share) in Q1 2024, driven by higher net interest income and no significant AFS securities loss Consolidated Earnings Summary (Three Months Ended March 31) | Metric (in thousands) | 2025 | 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Interest Income | $316,251 | $293,572 | | Provision for credit losses | $0 | $8,000 | | Total other operating revenue | $186,041 | $161,701 | | Total other operating expense | $347,529 | $340,384 | | Net income attributable to BOKF shareholders | $119,777 | $83,703 | [Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)](index=48&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets%20%28Unaudited%29) As of March 31, 2025, total assets increased to $50.5 billion, driven by trading securities, while total loans decreased to $23.4 billion, and total deposits rose to $38.3 billion, contributing to a growth in shareholders' equity to $5.8 billion Balance Sheet Summary (in thousands) | Metric | March 31, 2025 | Dec. 31, 2024 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Assets | $50,472,189 | $49,685,892 | | Loans, net of allowance | $23,411,894 | $23,834,689 | | Total Deposits | $38,281,673 | $38,191,230 | | Total Liabilities | $44,697,811 | $44,134,935 | | Total Shareholders' Equity | $5,771,813 | $5,548,353 | [Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)](index=51&type=section&id=Notes%20to%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements%20%28Unaudited%29) These notes detail accounting policies, securities, loan portfolio analysis under CECL, derivative instruments, mortgage banking, commitments, contingencies, segment reporting, and fair value measurements, providing comprehensive financial disclosures - The company adopted ASU 2024-01 regarding stock compensation, which did not have a material effect. It is currently assessing the impact of new ASUs on income tax and expense disclosures[199](index=199&type=chunk)[200](index=200&type=chunk)[201](index=201&type=chunk) - Note 4 provides a detailed breakdown of the loan portfolio by type, risk grade, and vintage, and explains the methodology for the allowance for credit losses, which is based on a CECL model incorporating macroeconomic forecasts[222](index=222&type=chunk)[235](index=235&type=chunk)[242](index=242&type=chunk) - Note 11 details the fair value hierarchy (Levels 1, 2, and 3) and provides valuations for assets and liabilities measured at fair value on both a recurring (e.g., securities, derivatives) and non-recurring (e.g., collateral for nonaccruing loans) basis[304](index=304&type=chunk)[305](index=305&type=chunk)[318](index=318&type=chunk) [Quarterly Financial Summary – Unaudited](index=91&type=section&id=Quarterly%20Financial%20Summary%20%E2%80%93%20Unaudited%20%28Item%202%29) This section summarizes consolidated daily average balances for assets, liabilities, and equity, along with average yields and rates for interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities, providing insight into net interest income and margin drivers Q1 2025 Average Balances and Yields/Rates | Category | Average Balance (in thousands) | Tax-Equivalent Yield/Rate | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Earning Assets** | **$45,606,324** | **5.45%** | | Loans | $24,068,227 | 6.71% | | Available-for-sale securities | $12,962,830 | 3.82% | | **Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities** | **$35,896,315** | **3.42%** | | Interest-bearing deposits | $30,203,009 | 3.24% | | Other borrowings | $4,626,402 | 4.57% | [Quarterly Earnings Trends – Unaudited](index=94&type=section&id=Quarterly%20Earnings%20Trends%20%E2%80%93%20Unaudited) This section presents a summary table of key earnings statement line items for the last five consecutive quarters (Q1 2024 through Q1 2025), facilitating trend analysis of revenues, expenses, provisions, and net income Net Income Trend (Last 5 Quarters) | Quarter | Net Income Attributable to BOKF (in thousands) | | :--- | :--- | | Q1 2025 | $119,777 | | Q4 2024 | $136,154 | | Q3 2024 | $139,999 | | Q2 2024 | $163,713 | | Q1 2024 | $83,703 | [Part II. Other Information](index=95&type=section&id=Part%20II.%20Other%20Information) [Legal Proceedings](index=95&type=section&id=Item%201.%20Legal%20Proceedings) The company is a defendant in a class action lawsuit concerning its trustee role for municipal bonds, with a potential $31 million bondholder loss, though management believes no loss is probable - The company is a defendant in a class action lawsuit from 2016 concerning its role as a trustee for municipal bonds where an employee violated policies. The action remains stayed[277](index=277&type=chunk) - Management believes no loss is probable, but if it were, the estimated outstanding bond amount is approximately **$31 million**, which could be material[279](index=279&type=chunk) [Risk Factors](index=95&type=section&id=Item%201A.%20Risk%20Factors) No material changes to the risk factors previously disclosed in the company's 2024 Annual Report on Form 10-K were reported - No material changes from the risk factors disclosed in the 2024 Form 10-K were reported[330](index=330&type=chunk) [Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds](index=95&type=section&id=Item%202.%20Unregistered%20Sales%20of%20Equity%20Securities%20and%20Use%20of%20Proceeds) In Q1 2025, the company repurchased 10,000 shares at an average price of $98.45 under its public repurchase plan, with 1,532,980 shares remaining available under the current authorization - In Q1 2025, the company repurchased **10,000 shares** of its common stock at an average price of **$98.45** per share under its public repurchase program[332](index=332&type=chunk) - As of March 31, 2025, **1,532,980 shares** may yet be purchased under the existing five-million-share repurchase authorization from November 2022[332](index=332&type=chunk) [Other Information](index=95&type=section&id=Item%205.%20Other%20Information) No director or officer adopted, modified, or terminated Rule 10b5-1 trading plans during Q1 2025, though some participate in dividend reinvestment and 401(k) plans - No director or officer adopted, modified, or terminated any Rule 10b5-1 trading plans during Q1 2025[333](index=333&type=chunk) [Exhibits](index=96&type=section&id=Item%206.%20Exhibits) This section lists exhibits filed with the quarterly report, including CEO/CFO certifications under Sarbanes-Oxley Sections 302 and 906, and interactive data files (Inline XBRL) - Exhibits filed include CEO/CFO certifications under Sarbanes-Oxley Sections 302 and 906[335](index=335&type=chunk) - Interactive data files (XBRL) are included as Exhibit 101[335](index=335&type=chunk) [Signatures](index=97&type=section&id=Signatures) The report is signed on April 30, 2025, by Martin E. Grunst, EVP and CFO, and Michael J. Rogers, SVP and Chief Accounting Officer, for BOK Financial Corporation

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported earnings of $119.8 million, or EPS of $1.86 per diluted share for Q1 2025 [6] - Total capital levels improved, with TCE reaching 9.5% and CET1 at 13.3% [8] - Net interest income increased by $3.2 million, and net interest margin expanded by three basis points [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total fee income decreased by $22.8 million on a linked quarter basis, contributing $184.1 million to revenue [26] - Trading revenue was $23.3 million, down from $37.7 million in the prior quarter, with $10.6 million of fee revenue shifting to net interest income [28] - Mortgage banking revenue grew by 1.7% linked quarter, reaching $19.8 million [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Loan balances in the energy business decreased by 12.1% quarter-over-quarter [15] - The core C&I loan portfolio contracted by only 0.7%, but showed a year-over-year growth of 4.2% [17] - Commercial real estate loans increased by 2.1% quarter-over-quarter, primarily from multifamily housing and industrial projects [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to produce long-term, sustainable value for shareholders and has a disciplined approach to credit [11] - Plans to expand into the mortgage finance and warehouse lending business, with a launch expected in September to October [20] - The company is focused on maintaining strong credit quality and managing risks effectively [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating through market volatility and expects trading revenue to rebound in Q2 [45][46] - There is optimism regarding loan growth, particularly in the mortgage finance sector, despite some uncertainty in borrower behavior [60][64] - Credit quality remains strong, with minimal net charge-offs and a healthy allowance for credit losses [24] Other Important Information - Non-performing assets increased to $79 million, but this remains low compared to historical levels [22] - The company has a strong liquidity position, with a loan-to-deposit ratio of 62%, one of the lowest in its peer group [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Trading income dynamics and future expectations - The decline in trading revenue was entirely volume-driven, and a rebound is expected in Q2 [45] Question: Pressure on energy and healthcare loan balances - Management believes the pressure on energy loans is nearing its end, with positive early trends in April [50][51] Question: Provision guidance and loan growth - The company does not expect to grow the allowance for credit losses ratio over the year, given current credit quality [54] Question: Loan growth outlook and mortgage finance business - Pipelines are strong, and the mortgage finance business is expected to contribute positively to loan growth [60][64] Question: Flexibility in managing expenses - The company has flexibility to manage expenses based on revenue fluctuations, particularly in trading and investment banking [78][81] Question: Deposit growth outlook and funding costs - The company expects deposits to grow throughout the year, with a strong loan-to-deposit ratio allowing for continued deposit pricing management [90][93] Question: Energy portfolio and hedging activity - Current energy borrowers are well-hedged, and lower commodity prices may not significantly impact loan performance [98][100] Question: Trading interest revenue and future spreads - Guidance assumes that trading spreads will improve with potential rate cuts later in the year [124]

Core Viewpoint - BOK Financial (BOKF) reported quarterly earnings of $1.86 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.01 per share, and showing a decline from $1.91 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of -7.46% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $502.29 million for the quarter ended March 2025, which was 3.13% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, compared to $455.27 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, BOK Financial has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - BOK Financial shares have declined approximately 14.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has decreased by 10.2% [3] - The current estimate revisions trend for BOK Financial is unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.10 on revenues of $533.8 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $8.60 on revenues of $2.16 billion [7] - The outlook for the industry, particularly the Banks - Southwest sector, is favorable, ranking in the top 11% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential for better performance compared to lower-ranked industries [8]

Financial Performance - Net income for the first quarter of 2025 was $119.8 million, or $1.86 per diluted share, down from $136.2 million, or $2.12 per diluted share in the prior quarter[1]. - Net income attributable to BOK Financial Corporation shareholders rose to $119,777 thousand in Q1 2025, up 43% from $83,703 thousand in Q1 2024[45]. - Net income attributable to BOK Financial Corporation shareholders was $119,777,000, down from $136,154,000 in the previous quarter[49]. - Basic and diluted net income per share increased to $1.86 in Q1 2025, up from $1.29 in Q1 2024, representing a growth of 44.3%[45]. - Commercial Banking net income before taxes was $140.0 million, a decrease of $20.4 million from Q4 2024, with net interest income and fee revenue down by $22.9 million[36]. - Consumer Banking contributed $22.1 million to net income before taxes, a decrease of $1.5 million from the prior quarter, with average loans increasing by $59 million, or 3%[37]. - Wealth Management's net income before taxes was $32.7 million, down $16.2 million from Q4 2024, with average deposits increasing by $719 million, or 7%[38]. Revenue and Income Sources - Net interest income increased by $3.2 million to $316.3 million, with a net interest margin expanding to 2.78% from 2.75% in the previous quarter[1][3]. - Fees and commissions revenue decreased by $22.8 million to $184.1 million, primarily due to a $24.4 million drop in brokerage and trading revenue[1][7]. - Mortgage banking revenue increased by $1.7 million, supported by higher production as client demand begins to grow[9]. - Total other operating revenue for Q1 2025 was $186,041 thousand, an increase from $161,701 thousand in Q1 2024, marking a growth of 15.0%[45]. - Total other operating revenue decreased to $186,041 in Q1 2025 from $210,044 in Q4 2024, a decline of 11.43%[46]. Loan and Deposit Trends - Average outstanding loan balances rose by $44 million to $24.1 billion, driven by growth in commercial real estate loans and loans to individuals[1][4]. - Outstanding loans totaled $23.7 billion at March 31, 2025, a decrease of $424 million or 1.8% compared to December 31, 2024, primarily due to a decline in commercial loans[14]. - Total deposits increased to $38.3 billion at March 31, 2025, with interest-bearing transaction accounts increasing by $207 million[23]. - Period end deposits grew by $90 million to $38.3 billion, while average deposits increased by $540 million to $38.4 billion[1]. - The loan to deposit ratio was 62% at March 31, 2025, compared to 63% at December 31, 2024, indicating strong liquidity[22]. Asset Quality and Credit Risk - Nonperforming assets increased to $85 million, or 0.36% of outstanding loans, compared to $49 million, or 0.20%, at the end of the previous quarter[1]. - The allowance for loan losses to period-end loans was 1.18% in Q1 2025, slightly up from 1.17% in Q1 2024, showing a stable credit quality[62]. - The provision for credit losses was zero in Q1 2025, compared to $8,000 thousand in Q1 2024[45]. - Total nonaccruing loans increased to $83.520 million in Q1 2025, compared to $46.725 million in Q4 2024, marking an increase of 78.6%[61]. - The total provision for credit losses was reported as $0 in Q1 2025, down from $2 million in Q3 2024, suggesting improved credit conditions[61]. Capital and Equity - The tangible common equity ratio improved to 9.48% from 9.17% at the end of the previous quarter[1]. - The company's common equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 13.31% at March 31, 2025, up from 13.03% at December 31, 2024[25]. - Period end shareholders' equity increased to $5,771,813 in Q1 2025 from $5,548,353 in Q4 2024, an increase of 4.02%[47]. - Book value per share rose to $89.82 in Q1 2025, up from $86.53 in Q4 2024, an increase of 2.64%[47]. Market and Economic Conditions - The fair value of the available-for-sale securities portfolio increased by $251 million to $13.1 billion at March 31, 2025, with a net unrealized loss of $364 million[31]. - The trading securities portfolio totaled $5.9 billion at March 31, 2025, an increase from $4.9 billion at December 31, 2024[32]. - The total cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreased to 3.42% in Q1 2025 from 4.08% in Q1 2024, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 0.66%[60]. - The tax-equivalent net interest margin for BOK Financial Corporation increased to 2.78% in Q1 2025, up from 2.61% in Q1 2024, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 0.17%[60].

Group 1 - BOK Financial is perceived as a lender with high exposure to the energy sector, prompting a closer examination of its balance sheet [1] - The investment group European Small Cap Ideas focuses on high-quality small-cap investment opportunities in Europe, emphasizing capital gains and dividend income [1] - The group offers two model portfolios: the European Small Cap Ideas portfolio and the European REIT Portfolio, along with weekly updates and educational content [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific financial data or performance metrics related to BOK Financial or the investment group [1]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for BOK Financial, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates, which could significantly impact stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - BOK Financial is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.01 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +5.2% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $518.5 million, representing a 13.9% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a stable outlook from covering analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for BOK Financial is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.50%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [6][8]. - BOK Financial's current Zacks Rank is 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, BOK Financial exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $2.12 per share against an expected $1.97, resulting in a surprise of +7.61% [12]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters [13]. Industry Comparison - BancFirst, another player in the Southwest banking industry, is expected to report earnings of $1.58 per share, with a year-over-year change of +5.3% and revenues of $159.9 million, up 5.9% [17]. - BancFirst has an Earnings ESP of 2.22% but carries a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), complicating predictions for an earnings beat [18].

Company Overview - BOK Financial (BOKF) is headquartered in Tulsa and operates in the Finance sector, with a stock price change of -3.57% since the start of the year [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $0.57 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.22%, which is higher than the Banks - Southwest industry's yield of 1.16% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.57% [3] Dividend Performance - BOK Financial's current annualized dividend of $2.28 represents a 2.7% increase from the previous year [4] - Over the last 5 years, the company has increased its dividend 5 times, averaging an annual increase of 2.01% [4] - The current payout ratio is 28%, indicating that the company paid out 28% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BOK Financial's earnings in 2025 is $8.60 per share, with an expected increase of 4.37% from the previous year [5] Investment Considerations - BOK Financial is viewed as an attractive dividend play and a compelling investment opportunity, holding a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [7] - Income investors are generally attracted to dividends for various reasons, including tax advantages and reduced portfolio risk [6]

Core Viewpoint - BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF) is positioned for organic growth due to steady loan demand, robust deposit balances, and solid credit quality, although rising expenses are a concern [1]. Factors Aiding BOKF - **Loan & Deposits Growth**: BOKF has experienced continuous loan growth with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2% from 2018 to 2024, despite a decline in 2021. Deposits have shown a rising trend with a six-year CAGR of 7.1% [2]. - **Improving Asset Quality**: The company has seen a significant decline in non-performing assets with a negative CAGR of 24.6% over five years, and net charge-offs (NCOs) have also decreased with a negative CAGR of 40.9% during the same period [3]. - **Steady Capital Distribution**: BOKF has consistently increased dividends, with a 3.6% hike to 57 cents per share in October 2024. The company also has a share repurchase authorization of 5 million shares, with 1.54 million shares remaining as of December 31, 2024 [4]. What's Hurting BOK Financial - **Escalating Expenses**: Operating expenses have risen with a CAGR of 3.4% over the last six years, driven by investments in technology and increased employee compensation [5]. - **Loan Concentration**: A significant portion of BOKF's loan portfolio consists of commercial loans, which make up 62.3% of total loans as of December 31, 2024. This concentration may pose risks if the economic environment deteriorates [6]. BOKF Price Performance & Zacks Rank - BOKF shares have increased by 29.1% over the past year, slightly outperforming the industry average of 28.8% [7]. The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [9]. Peers Worth Considering - Other top-ranked bank stocks include BancFirst Corporation (BANF) and Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. (CFR), both of which have seen upward revisions in earnings estimates and significant share price gains over the past year [10][11].

Here are two stocks with buy rank and strong income characteristics for investors to consider today, February 25th:BOK Financial (BOKF) : This regional financial services company which provides various financial products and services in Oklahoma, Texas, New Mexico, Northwest Arkansas, Colorado, Arizona, and Kansas/Missouri, has witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 4% over the last 60 days.This Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) company has a dividend yield of 2.1%, compare ...