Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying undervalued stocks that are mispriced by the market, suggesting that investors should consider joining the investment group Out Fox The Street for insights and stock picks to capitalize on these opportunities by the end of 2025 [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Stone Fox Capital is identified as a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) based in Oklahoma, led by Mark Holder, a CPA with extensive experience in accounting and finance [2]. - Mark Holder has 30 years of investing experience, including 15 years as a portfolio manager, and he leads the investing group Out Fox The Street [2]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment group offers various features such as model portfolios, stock picks with identifiable catalysts, daily updates, real-time alerts, and community chat access for direct interaction with Mark Holder [2].

Core Insights - The article suggests that investing in CCL stock may be preferable to TRIP stock due to a discrepancy between valuation and performance [2] - CCL has a lower Price to Operating Income (P/OpInc) ratio compared to Tripadvisor, yet shows higher revenue and operating income growth [3] - The analysis indicates that Tripadvisor's stock may be overvalued relative to its competitors, particularly if there has been a consistent underperformance in revenue and operating income growth [6] Key Metrics Compared - Tripadvisor offers a platform with over 1 billion reviews and opinions across various sectors, including hotels, restaurants, and experiences [4] - The article emphasizes the importance of a multi-factor evaluation when assessing investments, suggesting that a broader analysis can mitigate stock-specific risks [5][7] - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio is mentioned as a strategy that has outperformed its benchmark, which includes the S&P 500, Russell 2000, and S&P midcap index [7]

Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is entering a new phase of recovery, focusing on free cash flow (FCF) as a key part of its operations, benefiting from record profitability, firmer pricing, and improved cost execution [1][2] - The company reported record net income of $2 billion for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by a 4.6% same-ship net yield growth and operational efficiencies [2] - Customer deposits reached $7.1 billion, indicating strong advanced bookings, with nearly half of 2026 bookings secured at higher prices [3][10] Financial Performance - CCL's fiscal third-quarter performance highlighted strong same-ship demand and broad-based pricing gains, contributing to the highest quarterly profitability in nearly two decades [2] - EBITDA is projected to exceed $7 billion in fiscal 2025, indicating a shift towards a more stable FCF profile supported by ongoing cost efficiencies [3] - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.91, significantly below the industry average of 16 [12] Competitive Landscape - Carnival's main competitors, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH), are focusing on capacity-driven growth, which presents a competitive challenge for CCL [4][7] - RCL is experiencing strong demand and pricing, with a 6% capacity growth entering 2026, while NCLH is also showing strong EBITDA performance despite higher costs [5][6] Market Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CCL's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year increase of 52.8% and 10.8%, respectively, with EPS estimates having risen in the past 60 days [15]

Core Viewpoint - Several stocks, including Amazon, Viking Therapeutics, and Carnival Corp., are currently underperforming the market but may present significant investment opportunities moving into 2026 [1][2]. Amazon - Amazon has a market capitalization of $2.4 trillion and has only increased by 3% this year, significantly lagging behind the S&P 500's 16% growth [4][6]. - The stock is trading at 32 times its trailing earnings, which is lower than the average of 42 times for the Technology Selector Sector SPDR ETF [5]. - Amazon's growth opportunities include advancements in artificial intelligence and a 20% growth in its cloud business for the most recent quarter [7]. - The overall growth rate for Amazon remains solid at 13%, indicating potential for long-term appreciation [7]. Viking Therapeutics - Viking Therapeutics has seen a 3% decline this year, primarily due to concerns over a high discontinuation rate for its weight loss pill, VK2735 [8][11]. - The stock has rebounded to around $39, close to its pre-sell-off levels, indicating recovery potential [9][10]. - Viking's injectable version of VK2735 is in phase 3 trials, with promising results, which could lead to significant business growth and acquisition interest if approved [11]. Carnival Corp. - Carnival Corp. has only risen by 4% this year and trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13, well below the S&P 500 average of 25 [13][16]. - The company has been posting record financial results, with operating profits reported in each of the past four quarters [16]. - Carnival's low-cost cruise offerings may attract consumers seeking affordable vacation options amid economic uncertainty, enhancing its market position [14].

Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corp. has made a significant recovery from the pandemic, achieving record-breaking numbers in revenue, bookings, and operating profits in Q3 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Carnival's stock has underperformed compared to the S&P 500, returning only 2.3% in 2025 against the index's 16.4% [2] - The company has paid down billions in long-term debt over the past few years, improving its financial standing [4] - Carnival has booked approximately half of its 2026 capacity as of Q3 2025, indicating strong demand despite economic challenges [10] Group 2: Credit Rating and Future Outlook - Carnival's credit rating has improved, with upgrades from Moody's to Ba2 in Q3 2025, just two upgrades away from investment-grade status [7] - Achieving investment-grade credit could allow Carnival to refinance debt at better terms, further enhancing its financial flexibility [8] - The potential for improved credit ratings and strong business performance could make 2026 a pivotal year for Carnival's stock [12] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The current economic climate has not deterred Carnival's performance, as consumers may be prioritizing experiences over other expenditures [11] - High earners may be opting for Carnival as a more affordable vacation option, contributing to the company's strong performance [11]

Core Viewpoint - Carnival Corporation & plc is set to hold a conference call on December 19, 2025, to discuss its fourth quarter financial results, which will be released on the same day [1]. Company Overview - Carnival Corporation & plc is the largest global cruise company and one of the largest leisure travel companies, operating a portfolio of renowned cruise lines including AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn [2].

In September, I wrote an article on cruise operator Carnival Corporation & plc ( CCL ) titled "Carnival: Upside Rises After Results". This upside was determined from the company's robust earnings in Q2 2025, its upgrade outlook for the year, attractive market multiples, and potentialManika is a macroeconomist with over 20 years of experience in industries including investment management, stock broking, investment banking. She also runs the profile Long Term Tips [LTT], which focuses on the generational oppo ...

In September, I wrote an article on cruise operator Carnival Corporation & plc ( CCL ) titled "Carnival: Upside Rises After Results". This upside was determined from the company's robust earnings in Q2 2025, its upgrade outlook for the year, attractive market multiples, and potentialManika is a macroeconomist with over 20 years of experience in industries including investment management, stock broking, investment banking. She also runs the profile Long Term Tips [LTT], which focuses on the generational oppo ...

Group 1 - Carnival (CUK, CCL, OCTPK: CUKPF) is being considered for investment due to its lower valuation multiples compared to peers, particularly Royal Caribbean (RCL) [1] - The company has a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, indicating potential undervaluation in the market [1] Group 2 - The analysis focuses on thematic investing, crisis investing, systematic options trading, and discretionary global macro strategies [1] - The analyst has extensive experience in private mergers and acquisitions, as well as trading publicly-traded equities and equity-based derivatives [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the author's transition from a potential career in politics to a focus on value investing, emphasizing the importance of risk management and long-term wealth growth [1] Group 1: Career Transition - The author initially pursued a career in politics but shifted to finance after facing challenges in 2019, recognizing the need for financial stability [1] - The decision to study value investing was driven by the desire to make money work effectively and to safeguard against future setbacks [1] Group 2: Professional Experience - From 2020 to 2022, the author worked in a sales role at a law firm, where they became the top-grossing salesman and managed a team, contributing to sales strategy [1] - The experience gained during this period was instrumental in assessing company prospects based on their sales strategies [1] Group 3: Investment Advisory Role - The author served as an investment advisory representative with Fidelity from 2022 to 2023, focusing on 401K planning [1] - Despite excelling in this role and passing Series exams ahead of schedule, the author felt constrained by Fidelity's reliance on modern portfolio theory, leading to a decision to leave after one year [1] Group 4: Current Endeavors - In November 2023, the author began writing for Seeking Alpha, sharing investment opportunities discovered through personal research and experience [1] - The articles serve as a platform for the author to communicate investment strategies and insights to readers, who are seen as partners in this journey [1]