Carnival (CCL)
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CCL's Booking Visibility Strengthens: Can Demand Hold Amid Macro Noise?
ZACKS· 2025-12-30 16:30
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) has demonstrated strong forward booking visibility for fiscal 2026, with approximately two-thirds of bookings already secured at historically high prices, indicating robust demand despite macroeconomic uncertainties [1][3][9] Booking and Demand - Customer deposits for CCL increased by 7% year over year, reaching an all-time high in Q4 of fiscal 2025, which serves as a strong demand indicator and enhances cash flow visibility [2][9] - The company has experienced record booking volumes for 2026 and 2027 over the past three months, extending visibility beyond the near term [1] Revenue Management - CCL has maintained disciplined revenue management and price integrity, allowing for yield growth without aggressive discounting, even as industry capacity expands [3] - Close-in demand remains strong, with higher ticket pricing and increased onboard spending contributing to improved revenue generation visibility [3][9] Competitive Positioning - Compared to peers, CCL's forward booking profile is notable for its depth and duration, suggesting a strong foundation heading into 2026 [6] - Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line also report strong demand, but CCL's multi-year booking visibility and elevated customer deposits provide a competitive edge [4][5][6] Stock Performance and Valuation - CCL shares have increased by 8.3% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average rise of 1% [7] - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.37, significantly lower than the industry's average of 17.31, indicating potential undervaluation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CCL's fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year increase of 9.3%, with EPS estimates having risen in the past 30 days [14]
2025-2026 "Winter Snow, Warm Sunshine - Meet in Shenyang" Ice and Snow Carnival Series & the 3rd Snow Football Village Super League Grandly Launches
Globenewswire· 2025-12-30 04:40
Core Insights - The launch of the "Winter Snow, Warm Sunshine - Meet in Shenyang" Ice and Snow Carnival Series and the 3rd Snow Football Village Super League marks the beginning of Shenyang's winter tourism season, emphasizing the integration of culture, tourism, sports, and commerce [1][3] Industry Development - Shenyang is developing a comprehensive industrial chain that encompasses ice-and-snow tourism, winter sports, ice-snow culture, and winter sports equipment, aiming to enhance the supply of winter projects and services [2] - The event is part of Shenyang's preparation for the 15th National Winter Games, positioning the ice-and-snow economy as a new growth driver for the region [2] Event Highlights - The 2025-2026 ice-and-snow season will feature nearly 300 activities focused on themes such as "snow fun & hot springs, theater performances & art exhibitions, and New Year folk customs," showcasing a blend of tradition and modern creativity [3] - The 3rd Snow Football Village Super League will involve over 100 teams from various districts and provinces, creating a new cultural tourism intellectual property (IP) for winter [3] Visitor Experience - The event includes a 400-meter-long snow slide, 40 ice-and-snow activities, regular fireworks displays, and a variety of local delicacies and warm beverages, enhancing the lively atmosphere of Shenyang's ice-and-snow economy [4]
Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Carnival vs. Viking
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-29 12:05
Core Insights - The cruise industry is thriving, with Carnival Corp. being the largest cruise line in the U.S. by fleet capacity and revenue, while Viking Holdings leads in river expeditions [1][2] Carnival Insights - Carnival is not the most valuable cruise line operator, as Royal Caribbean holds that title, nor is it the cheapest, with Norwegian Cruise Line trading at the lowest forward P/E in the industry [4] - Despite this, Carnival has shown strong performance, with a 10% increase in stock price following better-than-expected financial results [5] - The company has consistently exceeded analyst expectations, achieving double-digit percentage beats in 9 of the last 10 quarters, and has seen accelerated top-line gains after a slower fiscal third quarter [6] - Carnival has returned to profitability after being the last major operator to do so and has reinstated its quarterly dividend at a yield of 1.9%, which is higher than Royal Caribbean's 1.4% and Norwegian's lack of cash distribution [7][8] Viking Insights - Viking is trading at nearly 30 times forward earnings, indicating a higher valuation compared to Carnival, but is experiencing faster growth [7]
CCL vs. RCL: Which Cruise Stock Looks Stronger for 2026?
ZACKS· 2025-12-26 18:46
Core Insights - The cruise sector is transitioning from survival to execution, with strong travel demand and full ships, but financial health and growth strategies are now critical for distinguishing between successful and struggling companies [1] Carnival Corporation (CCL) - Carnival is focused on improving its financial position and converting demand into consistent free cash flow, having reduced debt by over $10 billion and achieved an investment-grade leverage profile by the end of 2025 [2][4] - In 2025, Carnival reported record revenues, yields, operating income, and EBITDA, with net income exceeding $3 billion, a 60% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand and higher ticket pricing rather than aggressive discounting [2][3] - For 2026, Carnival is about two-thirds booked at historically high prices, expecting continued yield growth supported by disciplined revenue management and unique private destinations [3] - Despite improvements, Carnival faces challenges with rising unit costs due to inflation and increased marketing spend, which may pressure margins [4] Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) - Royal Caribbean is entering 2026 with strong demand and pricing momentum, with record bookings and high load factors, indicating reliance on premium offerings rather than discounts [5][6] - The company is expanding its private destination portfolio significantly, which supports yield growth and onboard spending, enhancing its competitive edge [7] - RCL maintains financial discipline with moderate capacity and yield growth, ending the quarter with leverage below 3x and nearly $7 billion in liquidity, allowing for capital returns and growth funding [8] - The company anticipates strong profit growth in 2026, with earnings likely starting with a "$17 handle" [8] Financial Performance and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Carnival's 2026 sales and EPS indicates year-over-year increases of 4.1% and 9.3%, respectively, with recent upward revisions in earnings estimates [10] - For Royal Caribbean, the 2026 sales and EPS estimates imply growth of 9.4% and 14.5%, respectively, with stable earnings estimates over the past month [12] - Year-to-date, Royal Caribbean's stock has risen 27.2%, outperforming the industry's 7.3% growth, while Carnival's shares have increased by 25.4% [13] - RCL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.45, while CCL's forward earnings multiple is 12.95, indicating differing valuations [15] Conclusion - Overall, Royal Caribbean appears to have a slight advantage over Carnival as the industry shifts from recovery to execution, with stronger pricing power and margin support due to its newer ships and premium offerings [17][19]
You’ve Got a Treat With Carnival Corp (CCL) CEO, Says Jim Cramer
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-26 17:23
Group 1 - Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE:CCL) is one of the largest cruise ship companies in America, with shares up by 26% year-to-date and a notable 25% surge since early December [2] - Analysts have recently adjusted their price targets for Carnival Corporation; TD Cowen reduced its target to $35 from $37 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing pricing pressures [2] - Mizuho increased its price target for Carnival Corporation to $38 from $37, maintaining an Outperform rating, attributing the optimism to the company's latest earnings report [2] Group 2 - Carnival Corporation reported revenue of $6.3 billion and earnings per share of $0.34, both exceeding analyst estimates [2] - The company's full-year guidance of $2.48 also surpassed estimates of $2.44, indicating strong performance [2] - Jim Cramer discussed Carnival Corporation on Mad Money, labeling the stock as a "bargain" and highlighting the company's CEO, Josh Weinstein [3]
Wells Fargo Raises Carnival (CCL) PT to $38 on Strong 2026 Yield Guidance and EPS Beat
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-25 08:06
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation is currently viewed as a strong investment opportunity, with Wells Fargo raising its price target to $38 from $35, maintaining an Overweight rating following the Q4 2025 earnings report [1][3] - The company reported a net income of $454 million for Q4 2025, which is 2.5 times higher than the previous year and exceeded guidance by $154 million, contributing to a historic 2025 with a 60% increase in net income over 2024 [2] - For 2026, Carnival forecasts net income to exceed $3.45 billion, representing a 12% improvement over 2025 [2] Financial Performance - Carnival achieved quarterly revenues of $6.33 billion in Q4 2025, marking a 6.60% year-over-year increase, although it fell short of Street estimates by $43.17 million [3] - The company earned $0.34 per share, beating guidance by $0.09 [3] Future Outlook - Carnival provided strong yield growth guidance, addressing investor concerns regarding 2026 yields and competition in the Caribbean [1] - Management acknowledged potential headwinds for the upcoming year, including geopolitical uncertainties affecting ship deployments and the impact of a new loyalty program on yields [3] Company Overview - Carnival Corporation operates as a cruise company providing leisure travel services across North America, Australia, Europe, and internationally, through four segments: NAA Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour & Other [4]
Carnival Hits New 52-Week and 5-Year High: Time to Abandon Ship?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-24 16:41
Group 1: Market Overview - In recent trading, the NYSE saw 125 new 52-week highs compared to 47 new lows, while Nasdaq had 214 new lows against 166 new highs [2] - Carnival (CCL) is among the high-volume new 52-week highs on the NYSE, up 27% year-to-date, reaching its 19th new 52-week high at $32.89 [2] Group 2: Carnival's Valuation Metrics - Carnival's current enterprise value is $67.61 billion, with an EV/revenue multiple of 2.54, which is lower than the 3.22x multiple in 2017 [4] - The company's current enterprise value is 8.83 times its EBITDA, down from 11.13x at the end of 2017, indicating a 26% decrease [5] Group 3: Debt and Financial Health - As of November 30, Carnival's total debt stands at $27.99 billion, significantly higher than the $9.22 billion in 2017, representing a 203% increase [6] - Carnival's 2025 EBITDA reached a record $7.24 billion, up from $5.08 billion in 2017, but the total debt is now 3.87 times EBITDA compared to 1.81 times in 2017 [6] - The Altman Z-Score for Carnival has decreased from 2.89 in 2017 to 1.23 today, indicating a distressed financial condition [6]
Why Carnival (CCL) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 15:46
Company Overview - Carnival Corporation operates as a cruise and vacation company and is the largest cruise operator in the world, carrying nearly half of the global cruise guests [11] - The company is headquartered in Miami, FL, and operates in North America, Australia, Europe, and Asia [11] Investment Ratings - Carnival is currently rated as a 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of A, indicating a solid overall performance [11] - The Growth Style Score for Carnival is B, forecasting a year-over-year earnings growth of 7.6% for the current fiscal year [12] Earnings Estimates - For fiscal 2026, two analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards in the last 60 days, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.02 to $2.42 per share [12] - Carnival has an average earnings surprise of +160%, suggesting strong performance relative to expectations [12] Investment Potential - With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Growth and VGM Style Scores, Carnival is recommended as a potential investment for growth investors [12]
Can Carnival Sustain Yield Gains Amid Heavier Caribbean Supply?
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 15:16
Core Insights - Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is shifting towards a disciplined commercial execution phase, focusing on pricing integrity as part of its yield strategy [1] - The company is prioritizing revenue optimization over maximum occupancy, indicating a strategic shift from volume-driven tactics [1][4] Group 1: Revenue Strategy - CCL is entering 2026 with a significant increase in Caribbean supply, with non-Carnival industry capacity expected to rise by approximately 14%, leading to a cumulative growth of about 27% over two years [2][9] - In the fiscal fourth quarter, CCL reported a net yield increase of 5.4% year over year, surpassing prior guidance by 110 basis points, attributed to sustained demand and a more measured promotional environment [3][9] - For fiscal 2026, CCL forecasts net yields in constant currency to rise approximately 2.5% compared to 2025 levels, reflecting a focus on balancing ticket pricing, onboard spending, and guest mix [4] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - CCL's closest competitors, Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH), are adopting different strategies, with RCL focusing on yield quality and NCLH trading pricing for volume [5][6][7] - RCL is demonstrating strong demand and pricing resilience, leveraging differentiated assets to maintain pricing power despite increased capacity [6] - NCLH is increasing short Caribbean itineraries to attract families, which is lifting load factors but diluting blended pricing due to a higher mix of third and fourth guests per cabin [7] Group 3: Market Performance - CCL shares have gained 3.8% over the past three months, outperforming the industry's rise of 0.2% [10] - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.13, significantly below the industry's average of 17.83 [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CCL's fiscal 2026 earnings implies a year-over-year increase of 7.6%, with EPS estimates having risen in the past 60 days [14]
Carnival’s Dividend Return Marks the End of Survival Mode
Investing· 2025-12-24 05:40
Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis of Carnival Corporation, focusing on its financial performance and market position [1] - Carnival Corporation has shown signs of recovery post-pandemic, with increased bookings and revenue growth [1] - The company reported a revenue increase of 20% year-over-year, reaching $4.5 billion in the latest quarter [1] Group 2 - The cruise industry is experiencing a resurgence, with demand for travel and leisure activities on the rise [1] - Carnival Corporation is expanding its fleet and enhancing customer experiences to capture market share [1] - The company faces competition from other cruise lines, which may impact its market strategy and pricing [1]