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Coinbase: Seeds Of Growth Amidst Recent Challenges
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-14 12:45
Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN ) just announced Q1 earnings , and the S&P 500 just announced its inclusion in the titular Index. The market has received both events very well, and the stock was up 24% on MayI analyze securities based on value investing, an owner's mindset, and a long-term horizon. I don't write sell articles as those are considered short theses, and I never recommend shorting.Former advisory representative at Fidelity. I do my own investing now and share my research here.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we ...
Coinbase Soars 24% on S&P 500 Inclusion: What Lies Ahead for ETFs?
ZACKS· 2025-05-14 09:00
Group 1: Coinbase Stock Performance - Coinbase shares surged 24% on May 13, 2025, marking the largest one-day gain since the day after Donald Trump's election victory, following the announcement of its inclusion in the S&P 500 Index [1] - The stock experienced a rough year with drops of 26% in February and 20% in March, but the recent rally has brought the stock down only 0.1% year-to-date [6] - The stock soared 31% on November 6, 2024, after the election, due to expectations of a favorable stance toward cryptocurrency from the new administration [5] Group 2: S&P 500 Inclusion and Financial Performance - Coinbase was added to the S&P 500 Index, replacing Discover Financial Services, which is being acquired by Capital One Financial [1] - To qualify for the S&P 500, a company must be profitable in its latest quarter and cumulatively over the previous four quarters; Coinbase met these requirements with a net income of $65.6 million, down from $1.18 billion a year ago, while revenues rose 24% year-over-year to $2.03 billion [3][4] Group 3: ETF Exposure and Market Sentiment - Coinbase has significant exposure to ETFs, with several ETFs investing over 10% of their portfolios in COIN shares, leading to notable gains in these ETFs on May 13 [2] - The broader crypto market is experiencing a boom, with Bitcoin surpassing $100,000, which has positively impacted sentiment around Coinbase and other crypto-linked assets [8] Group 4: Strategic Moves and Future Outlook - Coinbase announced a $2.9 billion acquisition of Deribit, a major crypto derivatives exchange, which is expected to enhance its global presence and diversify revenue streams [9] - Analysts have cut their earnings estimates for COIN shares significantly over the past week, indicating potential concerns about the stock's future performance [10] - COIN shares are trading at a P/E ratio of 29.52X, significantly higher than the underlying industry average of negative 8.75X, raising concerns about overvaluation [11]
Buy the Surge in Coinbase (COIN) or First Solar (FSLR) Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-14 00:10
Group 1: Market Performance - Coinbase Global (COIN) and First Solar (FSLR) stocks surged over 20% following the announcement of a U.S. trade deal with China [1][2] - Coinbase's stock price increased significantly as it was added to the S&P 500, coinciding with Bitcoin's price rising above $100,000 [2] - First Solar's stock excitement is linked to potential tax credits of up to $10 billion from legislative changes in the Inflation Reduction Act [2] Group 2: Company Outlook - Coinbase anticipates short-term volatility in the crypto market but expects stability later in Q2 and into Q3 due to Bitcoin's post-halving cycle and clearer U.S. crypto regulations [5] - Coinbase's total sales are projected to increase by 10% in fiscal 2025 and by another 5% in FY26, reaching $7.65 billion, while annual earnings are expected to drop to $3.97 per share in FY25 before rebounding to $7.08 in FY26 [6] - First Solar expects a 15% increase in total sales this year, with a further 13% spike in FY26 to $5.46 billion, and EPS is projected to rise by 23% in FY25 and 49% in FY26 to $22.16 per share [9] Group 3: Analyst Sentiment - Analysts at J.P. Morgan noted that the new tax credit proposal aligns with bullish expectations for solar stocks like First Solar, contributing to the stock rally [11] - Wolfe Research upgraded First Solar to outperform, while Bernstein analysts predict Coinbase could see $16 billion in capital inflows following its S&P 500 addition [12] - Both Coinbase and First Solar currently hold a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with potential for upward earnings estimate revisions and buy ratings in the near future [13]
Coinbase jumps 22%, heads for biggest gain since post-election pop on S&P 500 inclusion
CNBC· 2025-05-13 16:51
Core Viewpoint - Coinbase Global Inc. has seen a significant increase in its stock price following its inclusion in the S&P 500, marking a notable rally for the company [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Coinbase shares surged over 20% on a recent Tuesday, marking the sharpest rally since the day after President Trump's election victory [1]. - The stock price increased by 31% on November 6, 2023, due to optimism regarding potential crypto-friendly policies from the incoming administration [3]. Group 2: S&P 500 Inclusion - S&P Global announced that Coinbase is replacing Discover Financial Services in the S&P 500, effective before trading on the following Monday [2]. - Stocks added to the S&P 500 typically experience a rise in value as funds tracking the benchmark include them in their portfolios [2]. Group 3: Political Contributions - Coinbase and CEO Brian Armstrong have been significant financial supporters in the 2024 campaign, contributing over $75 million to a PAC named Fairshake and its affiliates [4]. - Armstrong personally donated more than $1.3 million to various candidates [4].
Coinbase shares jump after S&P 500 inclusion
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-05-13 15:40
About this content About Angela Harmantas Angela Harmantas is an Editor at Proactive. She has over 15 years of experience covering the equity markets in North America, with a particular focus on junior resource stocks. Angela has reported from numerous countries around the world, including Canada, the US, Australia, Brazil, Ghana, and South Africa for leading trade publications. Previously, she worked in investor relations and led the foreign direct investment program in Canada for the Swedish government ...
Wall Street sets Coinbase stock price target for next 12 months
Finbold· 2025-05-13 10:07
Core Viewpoint - Coinbase is set to join the S&P 500, leading to a significant increase in its stock price, which rose by 9.34% from $207.22 to $226.57 [1][8]. Group 1: Stock Performance - COIN shares experienced a rally of 9.34% following the announcement of its inclusion in the S&P 500 [1][8]. - The average 12-month price target for COIN is now $255.10, indicating a potential 12.59% increase from the current price [4][8]. - Analysts have noted that the average price targets are somewhat outdated given recent developments in the cryptocurrency market [9]. Group 2: Analyst Recommendations - Analysts on TipRanks have a moderate 'buy' rating for Coinbase, with 11 positive recommendations and 12 neutral ratings [3]. - Following recent developments, five analysts revised their price targets, with Rosenblatt Securities maintaining a target of $260 and Needham adjusting theirs from $330 to $270 [10]. - Compass Point changed its recommendation from 'sell' to 'neutral' while keeping a price target of $195, while Barclays and Goldman Sachs raised their targets to $202 and $209, respectively [11].
Coinbase shares spike as crypto exchange set to join S&P 500, replacing Discover Financial
CNBC· 2025-05-12 21:28
Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, speaking on CNBC's Squawk Box outside the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 21st, 2025.Coinbase is joining the S&P 500, replacing Discover Financial Services in the benchmark index, according to a release on Monday. Shares of the crypto exchange jumped 8% in extended trading. The change will take effect before trading on May 19. Discover is in the process of being acquired by Capital One Financial.Since going public through a direct listing in 2021, Coinbas ...
Coinbase's Subscription Gains, Deribit Acquisition, Blockchain Revenue Strength Prompt Analyst Support
Benzinga· 2025-05-12 17:09
Wall Street analysts rerated Coinbase Global, Inc COIN on Friday after the company reported disappointing first-quarter results on Thursday.Rosenblatt analyst Chris Brendler maintained Coinbase Global with a Buy and a $260 price target.Needham analyst John Todaro reiterated Coinbase Global with a Buy and lowered the price target from $330 to $270.Also Read: Robinhood Stock Falls After Analysts Cite Weak Crypto Volumes And Market Headwinds In Q2 OutlookRosenblatt: Revenue of $2.03 billion missed consensus of ...
Coinbase: Q1 Miss Was Expected, Time To Excel Beyond Forecasts
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-12 09:51
Group 1 - Coinbase Global Inc. shares experienced a significant decline of 44% from the beginning of 2025 to an interim low on April 7 [1] - Following the initial coverage on April 10, the stock has rebounded, increasing by 16% [1] Group 2 - The analysis reflects a focus on identifying strong businesses at reasonable prices, with a particular interest in technology and cryptocurrency sectors [1]
Coinbase aims to become the No. 1 financial service app in the world in 10 years, CEO says
CNBC· 2025-05-11 10:47
Core Viewpoint - Coinbase aims to become one of the largest financial services companies globally within the next few years, leveraging the increasing adoption of crypto by traditional financial players [1][2]. Company Strategy - The company is focused on trading and payments across various customer segments, including retail, small and medium-sized businesses, institutions, and developers [1]. - Coinbase's goal is to be the number one financial services app in the world in five to ten years, believing that crypto is transforming financial services [2]. Product Expansion - Coinbase operates primarily as a cryptocurrency exchange but has expanded its offerings to include payments via stablecoins, rewards, staking, and custody services for institutional users [2]. - The company has over 200 institutional customers, including major players like BlackRock, Stripe, and PayPal [2]. Regulatory Environment - Recent regulatory changes have allowed U.S. banks to buy, sell, and act as custodians of crypto assets, indicating a shift towards more favorable conditions for crypto services [3]. - The loosening of regulatory constraints by the Trump administration and potential stablecoin legislation from Congress are encouraging traditional institutions to explore crypto-related services [4]. Market Trends - Armstrong predicts that all major banks will eventually integrate crypto into their operations, viewing it as essential technology for modernizing the financial system [5]. - Stablecoins have emerged as a significant revenue driver for Coinbase, with revenue from stablecoins increasing by 50% year-over-year and 32% quarter-over-quarter in the first quarter [6]. Competitive Positioning - Coinbase aims to make USDC the leading stablecoin, currently held by Tether's USDT, and believes that partnerships with banks will enhance its position in the market [7].