Coinbase’s fourth-quarter earnings fell short of Wall Street expectations on Thursday, but the price of COIN is surging Friday in the aftermath—and asset manager Bernstein says investors are overlooking the exchange’s resiliency. Despite being exposed to a volatile crypto market, Bernstein analysts led by Gautam Chhugani maintained an “outperform” rating for Coinbase in a Friday note. They reiterated a price target of $440 per share after lowering it from $510 per share last month, and described the stock a ...

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin and cryptocurrency are characterized by high volatility, making them unsuitable for risk-averse investors [1] Group 1 - Bitcoin's recent price decline has particularly affected first-time investors, highlighting the asset's inherent volatility [1] - The author, Gary Alexander, has extensive experience in technology and investment, contributing insights into the current trends in the industry [1]

The European Central Bank imposed a 7.55 million euro ($8.96 million) fine on French lender Crédit Agricole for failing to comply with its decision on climate-related and environmental risks, it said ... ...

Core Insights - Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has fallen out of the Bloomberg Billionaires Index as his wealth decreased by over $10 billion in the last seven months, from $17.7 billion in July to approximately $7.5 billion [1][2] Company Performance - Armstrong's wealth is primarily linked to his stake in Coinbase, whose stock price has dropped nearly 70% from its peak of $444.65 in July to close at $141.09 [2] - The cryptocurrency market is currently facing tough conditions, contributing to the decline in Coinbase's stock value [2] Market Context - Bitcoin is trading around $66,000, down nearly 50% from its record price of $126,000 in October, indicating a lack of clear narrative and stalled regulatory clarity in the sector [4] - Other cryptocurrency billionaires, including the Winklevoss twins, Michael Novogratz, and Michael Saylor, have also seen significant declines in their net worths, reflecting broader market challenges [5][6]

Core Insights - Coinbase Global, Inc. reported a fourth-quarter 2025 net operating earnings per share of 66 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 28.2%, and reflecting an 80.4% year-over-year decline, with a net loss of $2.49 per share [1] Operational Update - Total revenues for the quarter were $1.7 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.6%, and declining 21.5% year over year due to lower transaction revenues [2] - Total transaction revenues fell 36.8% year over year to $982.7 million, attributed to decreased consumer transaction revenues [2] - Subscription and services revenues increased 13.4% year over year to $727.4 million, driven by higher stablecoin revenues [3] - Total other revenues decreased 4.7% to $71 million [3] - Adjusted EBITDA was $566 million, reflecting a 56% year-over-year decline [3] Financial Update - As of December 31, 2025, Coinbase had cash and cash equivalents of $11.3 billion, up 21.2% from the end of 2024 [5] - Long-term debt increased 40.2% from 2024-end to $5.9 billion [5] - Shareholders' equity was $14.8 billion, up 44% from 2024-end [5] - Net cash provided by operating activities was $2.4 billion in 2025, a decline of 21.8% year over year [5] Q1 2026 Outlook - Coinbase expects subscription and services revenues to be between $550 million and $630 million, influenced by lower average USDC market capitalization and interest rates [6] - Technology and development, along with general and administrative expenses, are projected to be between $925 million and $975 million, remaining roughly flat quarter over quarter [6] - Sales and marketing expenses are expected to range from $215 million to $315 million [7] Full-Year Highlights - For the full year 2025, operating income per share was $4.45, down 53% year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 10.2% [10] - Total operating revenues doubled year over year to $7.1 billion but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.8% [10] - Total trading volume grew 156% to $5.2 trillion in 2025 [10]

Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. Subscribe to the Morning Minute on Substack. GM! Today’s top news: Crypto majors rising since early morning, BTC at $69K Coinbase misses Q4 earnings, revenue down 22% YoY CFTC names dozens of crypto execs to its Innovation Advisory Committee Solana announces Graveyard Hack to resurrect dead sectors Aave Labs shares new proposal to send 100 ...

Coinbase股价涨幅扩大，最新上涨15.1%。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Core Insights - Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) reported disappointing fourth-quarter 2025 results, missing Wall Street expectations on both earnings and revenue [1][4] - The stock experienced significant volatility, losing nearly 8% in the previous trading session and approximately 65% since early October 2025, primarily due to declining Bitcoin prices [2][4] Company Performance - In Q4 2025, Coinbase's earnings fell short of consensus estimates by 28.3%, while revenues missed by 0.6% year-over-year [4] - Transaction revenues increased by 13.5% year-over-year, but subscription and services revenues saw a significant decline of 36.8% [4] - Coinbase achieved an all-time high in USDC stored in its products, contributing to a market cap of about $75 billion for USDC [5] - The company increased its Bitcoin holdings by $39 million during the quarter, with a fair market value of its crypto assets held for investment at $2.0 billion and collateral valued at $823 million as of December 31, 2025 [5] Future Outlook - Coinbase aims to enhance stablecoin utility through deeper product integrations and scaling its payment infrastructure in 2026 [6] - For Q1 2026, the company anticipates generating subscription and services revenues between $550 million and $630 million, reflecting the impact of lower average crypto prices [6] ETFs Involving Coinbase - First Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry & Digital Economy ETF (CRPT) has net assets of $90.3 million and includes Coinbase as a significant holding, representing 10.21% of the fund [7][8] - iShares Blockchain and Tech ETF (IBLC) has assets worth $73 million, with Coinbase holding 8.21% of the fund [9] - Global X Blockchain ETF (BKCH) has net assets of $252.7 million, with Coinbase representing 7.89% of the fund [10] - Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF (BITQ) has assets under management of $336.7 million, with Coinbase holding 6.37% of the fund [11] - Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF (FDIG) has net assets of $268.4 million, with Coinbase representing 4.63% of the fund [12]

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) is recognized as a strong growth and high-margin stock, with Baird initiating coverage and setting a price target of $240, highlighting its position as the largest bitcoin exchange in the US and its capabilities in retail and institutional trading [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Coinbase Global Inc. is a leading financial technology company in the US that operates a major cryptocurrency exchange platform, allowing individuals and institutions to buy, sell, trade, store, and stake digital assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum [3]. Group 2: Investment Analysis - Baird has rated COIN shares as Neutral, indicating a balanced risk-reward ratio, particularly in light of recent trading volume declines following the cryptocurrency price slump on October 10 and concerns regarding the Clarity Act [2]. - The firm sees potential growth opportunities for Coinbase through its "Everything Exchange" program and an enhanced subscription revenue mix, suggesting a strategy to wait for a pullback before upgrading its outlook [2].

Core Insights - The current environment is unfavorable for investors involved in cryptocurrencies, with indications that the crypto winter may persist for an extended period [1]. Group 1: Analyst Background - Dilantha De Silva is a seasoned equity analyst with over 10 years of experience in the investment industry, focusing on small-cap stocks often overlooked by Wall Street [1]. - He has contributed articles to various investment platforms, including Seeking Alpha, GuruFocus, TipRanks, and ValueWalk, and has a notable following on Seeking Alpha [1]. - Dilantha is a CFA Level III candidate and holds qualifications from the Chartered Institute for Securities and Investment (CISI) [1]. Group 2: Market Context - The article suggests that empirical evidence points to a prolonged duration of the current downturn in the cryptocurrency market, referred to as the crypto winter [1].