So, what can we expect, Carter. >> Let's get right to it. Uh, you got five charts and they're identical.So, first one, >> which is so often the case, has nothing on it. It's the baseline. Let's put some things on it.So, uh, next iteration, what we know is that, of course, Disney uh, surged off its COVID low and then gave it all back. And what we have in technical pardon is a triple bottom annotated there. Uh the next iteration uh depicts another way to draw the lines which is to say this downtrend line in e ...

Corporate Performance - Cisco (CSCO) stock increased over 5% following its earnings report, which indicated progress in capturing AI spending from hyperscalers. The company raised its full-year forecasts for profit and sales, surpassing analysts' expectations [5] - Disney's (DIS) fourth quarter revenue fell short of estimates, resulting in an 8% decline in its shares, despite the company increasing its dividend. The market is now focused on the upcoming results from Applied Materials (AMAT) as the earnings season comes to a close [5] Economic Impact - The end of the 43-day US federal shutdown, signed into law by President Trump, is expected to have significant long-term effects, with the Congressional Budget Office estimating that US GDP could be approximately $11 billion lower by the end of 2026 than previously anticipated [2] - The uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook is complicating market expectations regarding interest rate cuts, with current pricing reflecting a roughly 50-50 chance of a reduction at the Federal Reserve's meeting next month, a significant shift from around 95% odds a month ago [4] Market Reactions - US stocks experienced declines, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite leading losses with a nearly 0.8% drop, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.5% and 0.2% respectively [1] - Wall Street remains concerned about the economic outlook, particularly after the White House indicated that reports delayed by the shutdown "will be permanently impaired" and likely never released, including key data on inflation and the jobs market [3]

So, what can we expect, Carter. >> Let's get right to it. Uh, you got five charts and they're identical.So, first one, >> which is so often the case, has nothing on it. It's the baseline. Let's put some things on it.So, uh, next iteration, what we know is that, of course, Disney uh, surged off its COVID low and then gave it all back. And what we have in technical pardon is a triple bottom annotated there. Uh the next iteration uh depicts another way to draw the lines which is to say this downtrend line in e ...

Core Insights - Walt Disney Co. is expected to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings, with analysts anticipating growth in its streaming business, theme parks, and sports segments [1][9] - Citi analysts have raised their price target for Disney stock to $145, highlighting investor focus on the streaming outlook and potential impacts from recent events [2][3] - A stronger-than-expected earnings report could enhance investor enthusiasm for Disney shares, which have underperformed compared to the S&P 500 this year [4][3] Financial Projections - Analysts project Disney will report earnings per share of $1.04, with revenue expected to rise less than 1% year-over-year to $22.75 billion, driven by direct-to-consumer and experiences segments [5] - Revenue from Disney's linear networks, including ABC and ESPN, is anticipated to decline compared to the previous year [5] Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street analysts are predominantly bullish on Disney stock, with all six analysts rating it a "buy" and a mean target price of $146, indicating a potential 25% upside from recent closing prices [6]

Core Insights - Disney is facing significant financial losses due to an ongoing carriage dispute with YouTube TV, costing the company tens of millions of dollars weekly [1][2] - The blackout of Disney channels, including ABC and ESPN, has lasted for 13 days, impacting YouTube TV subscribers [1][2] Financial Impact - Morgan Stanley estimates that the 14-day blackout will result in a $60 million revenue loss for Disney, translating to approximately $30 million per week or $4.3 million per day [2] - Each week of lost distribution is projected to decrease Disney's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) by $0.02 [3] Market Position - YouTube TV is identified as the third-largest multichannel provider in the U.S., highlighting its significance in the market [3] - Disney's stock is currently trading around $116 per share, with Morgan Stanley maintaining an overweight rating and a price target of $140 [6] Subscriber Compensation - In response to the blackout, YouTube TV is offering subscribers a $20 credit to compensate for the loss of Disney channels [6][7] Negotiation Status - Disney executives have indicated that YouTube TV is seeking preferential terms that are below market value, complicating negotiations [10] - Previous discussions aimed at restoring ABC for Election Day coverage were unsuccessful [10]

And now let's find out what to watch for in those Disney numbers tomorrow morning. Joining us now is Laura Martin. She's NEM's senior internet and media analyst.Has a buy rating and $125 price target. Laura, good to see you. I think it's been three and a half years since Disney last saw 125 and it was on the way down.So what's it going to take to to get it comfortably above that level. >> Um it's going to take moderating losses at linear networks. it's going to take really strong experiences or let's call i ...

Core Insights - Disney's stock is currently targeted at $125, a level not seen in three and a half years, indicating potential growth if certain conditions are met [1] Financial Performance - Moderating losses in linear networks, strong growth in theme parks, and successful ESPN flagship launch are critical for Disney to exceed the $125 price target [2] - Theme parks are projected to generate approximately $2 billion in operating income for the quarter, significantly surpassing the combined income of other segments [6] Strategic Considerations - The importance of linear networks is diminishing, with sports, particularly through ESPN, being the primary driver of value [4] - Disney's dual presence in cable networks and broadcasting positions it favorably in negotiations with sports leagues, which seek both reach and revenue [5] Management and Succession - An announcement regarding Bob Iger's successor is expected in the first calendar quarter of 2026, with the current frontrunner being the parks executive [7][9] Content Strategy - Concerns exist regarding the production of sequels like Toy Story 5, but the built-in audience may mitigate financial risks associated with new content [10][11]

As I said, Jim Stewart was here with us at Post 9 to look ahead to Disney uh tomorrow. The most important thing in your mind is what. >> The the numbers on streaming, the sports, and of course the regular streaming thing.This is like to me it's going to be an incredibly re revealing quarter because the first time Disney is all in on streaming. We've got the regular Disney stuff, Disney Plus, Hulu, and then we finally have ESPN going direct to consumer. So that I'd say the profit and revenue will be less rev ...

Core Insights - The upcoming quarter for Disney is expected to be revealing, particularly regarding streaming numbers as the company fully commits to its streaming strategy, including Disney Plus, Hulu, and ESPN direct-to-consumer [2][4] Streaming and Revenue - The focus will be on new subscriber numbers for ESPN, which is seen as more significant than profit and revenue figures for this quarter [2] - Disney's all-in approach to streaming marks a pivotal moment for the company, indicating a shift in its business model [2] Leadership Speculation - There is ongoing speculation about the potential for co-CEOs at Disney, with internal candidates being considered for the roles [4][5] - The possibility of co-CEOs could address the dual needs of managing the business and overseeing creative aspects, which have been challenging in the past [5][6] Internal Candidates - The two leading internal candidates are Dana, the creative chief, and Josh, who oversees theme parks, both of which are critical components of Disney's operations [6][7] - There is a belief that these candidates could learn the other side of the business, suggesting flexibility in leadership roles [6][7] External Search Considerations - There are no current indications that the search committee is looking outside the company for CEO candidates, but this could change [8] - The need for a leader who understands both creative and technological aspects of the business is emphasized, especially in light of recent challenges in Hollywood [8][9] Technology and Media Convergence - The convergence of technology and traditional media companies is highlighted, with mentions of Amazon and Netflix exploring opportunities in the media landscape [10] - This trend suggests that any external search for leadership may lean towards candidates with a strong technology background [10]

Core Insights - Disney reported mixed fourth quarter results, with declines in linear TV business offsetting gains in parks and streaming as CEO Bob Iger's turnaround approaches its conclusion [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the quarter was $22.46 billion, missing analyst expectations of $22.83 billion, and was roughly comparable to the previous year [2] - The entertainment division saw a 6% revenue drop, with linear network revenue falling 16% year over year and operating income dropping 21% due to cord-cutting and shifts in advertising [2][3] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter were $1.11, exceeding the expected $1.07, though down 3% from $1.14 a year ago [4] Future Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Disney expects double-digit adjusted EPS growth from 2025 and plans to double its share repurchase target to $7 billion [5] - The company announced a $0.50 increase in its cash dividend to $1.50 [5] Streaming and Parks Performance - Disney+ added 3.8 million subscribers in the quarter, surpassing the expected 2.4 million [6] - The direct-to-consumer segment, including Disney+ and Hulu, reported a profit of $352 million, up from $253 million a year ago [6] - Disney is targeting approximately $375 million in streaming profits for Q1 2026 and plans to merge Disney+ and Hulu next year [7]