Core Viewpoint - Defiance ETFs has launched the Defiance Daily Target 2X Long DKNG ETF (Ticker: DKNX), which offers investors 2X daily leveraged exposure to DraftKings Inc. (DKNG), targeting high-growth opportunities in the sports betting and gaming industry [1][3]. Company Overview - DraftKings Inc. is a leading digital sports entertainment and gaming company, providing sports betting, daily fantasy sports, and online gaming across regulated markets in the U.S. and internationally [3]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the expansion of legalized sports betting and increasing consumer engagement, leveraging technology-driven platforms and data analytics [3]. ETF Details - DKNX aims to deliver daily investment results of 200% of the daily performance of DraftKings Inc. through the use of derivatives such as swaps and options [2]. - The fund is designed for knowledgeable investors who understand the implications of seeking daily leveraged investment results [5]. - DKNX represents Defiance's commitment to innovative leveraged ETFs, allowing active investors to pursue targeted growth strategies [3][6].

Core Viewpoint - DraftKings reported better-than-expected earnings, leading to a significant rebound in its stock price, with analysts noting the company's resilience in the sports betting industry amid macroeconomic challenges [1][3]. Financial Performance - DraftKings' Q1 revenue reached $769.7 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $697.5 million; adjusted EPS loss was $0.51, better than the anticipated loss of $0.74 [1]. - The company raised its full-year revenue guidance for 2023 to a range of $3.14 billion to $3.24 billion, up from a previous estimate of $2.85 billion to $3.05 billion [1]. Market Position - DraftKings' market share in sports betting increased by 400 basis points year-over-year, while its iGaming market share stands at 26%, ranking first [3]. - User acquisition costs decreased by 27% compared to the same period last year, indicating improved efficiency [3]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Jefferies reiterated a "Buy" rating for DraftKings, with a target price increase from $15 to $22 by Deutsche Bank, maintaining a "Hold" rating [3][4]. - Barclays raised its target price from $23 to $24, also maintaining a "Hold" rating [3]. - TD Cowen increased its target price from $27 to $30, keeping a "Outperform" rating [3]. - Canaccord Genuity raised its target price from $30 to $34, maintaining a "Buy" rating [4]. - Wells Fargo adjusted its target price from $22 to $24, keeping a "Hold" rating [4]. - Morgan Stanley increased its target price from $26 to $29, maintaining an "Outperform" rating [4]. - Piper Sandler raised its target price from $25 to $30 [4]. - Roth MKM reiterated a "Sell" rating with a target price of $15, citing concerns over revenue growth slowing in 2024-25 [4][5]. Stock Performance - Following a 15.34% increase in stock price last Friday, DraftKings' stock rose by 0.40% to $24.679 in pre-market trading [6].

Company Performance - DraftKings (DKNG) stock decreased by 1.74% to $44.04, underperforming the S&P 500 which gained 0.07% [1] - Over the past month, DraftKings shares appreciated by 4.87%, slightly outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 4.6% but lagging behind the S&P 500's gain of 5.71% [1] Upcoming Financial Results - DraftKings is set to announce its earnings on August 6, 2025, with an expected EPS of $0.41, reflecting a 241.67% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is forecasted to be $1.42 billion, indicating a 28.28% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Annual Estimates - For the annual period, Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $1.33 per share and revenue of $6.28 billion, representing increases of 226.67% and 31.66% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Stock Performance - Recent changes in analyst estimates for DraftKings are crucial for investors, as positive revisions indicate a favorable outlook on the company's business health and profitability [3][4] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, currently ranks DraftKings at 3 (Hold) [5] Valuation Metrics - DraftKings has a Forward P/E ratio of 33.76, which is higher than the industry average of 22.76, indicating it is trading at a premium [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.69, compared to the industry average of 1.67, suggesting a more favorable growth expectation relative to its price [6] Industry Context - The Gaming industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 81, placing it in the top 33% of over 250 industries [7] - Historically, industries in the top 50% outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's strategy team highlights 15 stocks with short-term catalytic potential, indicating that S&P 500 index earnings growth in Q2 may exceed expectations [1] Earnings Expectations - The market anticipates a 5% year-over-year increase in S&P 500 Q2 earnings per share and over 4% revenue growth, but actual growth may be stronger [1] - The seven major tech companies are expected to see a 14% increase in net profit, while the remaining 493 constituents may experience a 3% decline [1] - Despite analysts lowering earnings expectations from April to May, the earnings revision has rebounded from -25% to approximately 1%, suggesting Q2 earnings will likely exceed expectations, aligning with the historical average of 4%-5% [1] Recommended Stocks - **argenx SE (ARGX.US)**: undervalued R&D pipeline, target price $700 [2] - **Atlassian (TEAM.US)**: continuous revenue growth potential over 20% and expected margin expansion, target price $320 [3] - **Chewy (CHWY.US)**: benefits from marketing and product optimization, expected revenue to maintain or exceed Q1 levels, target price $50 [4] - **CVS Health (CVS.US)**: advantages from competitor store closures and growth in pharmacy benefit management, target price $80 [4] - **DraftKings (DKNG.US)**: potential earnings inflection point in Q2, with actual licensing rates offsetting tax and regulatory pressures, target price $52 [4] - **Eaton Corporation (ETN.US)**: benefits from improved profit margins in U.S. electrical business, target price $375 [5] - **Eli Lilly (LLY.US)**: core products Mounjaro and Zepbound expected to contribute $8.2 billion in revenue, exceeding expectations may lead to 2025 guidance upgrades, target price $1,135 [5] - **F5 (FFIV.US)**: positive outlook due to demand growth in cloud and load balancing products, target price $305 [6] - **NVIDIA (NVDA.US)**: strong end-user demand and accelerated shipments of rack-level products supporting supply-side growth, target price $170 [7] - **Omada Health (OMDA.US)**: operational leverage through technology empowerment and multi-disease sales, target price $25 [8] - **Southwest Airlines (LUV.US)**: potential stock rebound if internal guidance is met and baggage fee impacts are confirmed as limited, target price $38 [9] - **Valley National Bank (VLY.US)**: expected net interest income growth of 3% quarter-over-quarter, target price $11 [10] - **Western Digital (WDC.US)**: undervalued gross margin expansion prospects, target price $85 [11] Cautious Outlook - **National Storage Affiliates Trust (NSA.US)**: cautious due to expected funds from operations (FFO) per share being below market and company guidance, target price $30 [12] - **Teradyne (TER.US)**: revenue and earnings per share forecasts for FY2026 are 7% and 14% below Wall Street expectations, target price $74 [13] Summary - Overall, Morgan Stanley's recommendations combine company fundamentals, industry trends, and market sentiment, providing diversified options for investors [14]

Core Insights - Light & Wonder (LNW) is currently viewed as a stronger investment option compared to DraftKings (DKNG) for value investors seeking undervalued stocks [1][3][7] Valuation Metrics - LNW has a forward P/E ratio of 17.65, significantly lower than DKNG's forward P/E of 33.50, indicating LNW may be undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for LNW is 0.63, while DKNG's PEG ratio is 0.64, suggesting LNW has a more favorable growth outlook relative to its valuation [5] - LNW's P/B ratio stands at 13.32, compared to DKNG's P/B of 45.31, further highlighting LNW's relative undervaluation [6] Earnings Outlook - LNW has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a stronger improvement in its earnings outlook compared to DKNG, which has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3][7] - The overall valuation metrics and earnings outlook position LNW as the superior value option in the gaming sector [7]

Core Points - DraftKings Inc. will release its second quarter 2025 results on August 6, 2025, after market close [1] - A conference call and audio webcast will be held on August 7, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. ET to discuss the results and business performance [2] Company Overview - DraftKings Inc. is a digital sports entertainment and gaming company, established in 2012, and is headquartered in Boston [3] - The company operates as a vertically integrated sports betting operator in the U.S., with mobile and retail sports betting in 28 states, Washington, D.C., and Ontario, Canada [3] - DraftKings also offers iGaming in five states and Ontario, and owns Jackpocket, a leading digital lottery app in the U.S. [3] - The daily fantasy sports product is available in 44 states and certain Canadian provinces [3] - DraftKings has partnerships with major sports leagues, including the NFL, NHL, PGA TOUR, WNBA, UFC, NBA, and MLB [3] - The company is committed to responsible gaming and provides educational resources for players [3]

Group 1: Trade Cycles Overview - Trade Cycles is a new trading strategy developed by TradeSmith, which identifies seasonal market trends with high accuracy [1][2] - The tool has become essential for quantitative analysis, helping to pinpoint optimal buying times based on historical data [2][3] Group 2: Seasonal Recommendations - The back-to-school season is projected to significantly boost sales for retailers, with companies like Carter's Inc. (CRI) potentially seeing a 30% increase, while Target Corp. (TGT) may experience a 5% revenue boost [6] - Despite the seasonal potential, Carter's and Target face challenges due to tariff threats, leading to negative sentiment and forecasts of profit declines [7] - Hanesbrands Inc. (HBI) is recommended as a more attractive investment opportunity, historically rising 5% on average during summer months, with a notable 60% surge between July and November in 2024 [8][9] Group 3: Enphase Energy Insights - Enphase Energy Inc. (ENPH) has shown a significant seasonal pattern, with stock surging 42% during summer months in the past, but facing a decline during President Biden's term [15][16] - Current market conditions suggest a favorable environment for Enphase, with shares trading at 16X forward earnings, significantly lower than the Biden-era average of 45X [17] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from increasing solar demand, with 69% of new electric generating capacity expected to be solar by 2025 [18][19] Group 4: Vail Resorts Analysis - Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN) typically sees stock price increases of 7.4% during the winter months, but the best buying opportunity is in September when season passes are sold at peak prices, leading to an average increase of 10.5% from September to November [22][23]

Core Insights - FTSE Russell recalibrates its U.S. indexes annually to reflect market changes, with the Russell 1000 Index seeing significant additions and exclusions in 2025 [1] - The reconstitution event was marked by a record 2.5 billion shares traded in 0.9 seconds, amounting to $102.4 billion in securities [2] Russell 1000 Additions and Exclusions - The Russell 1000 Index added 37 new constituents, including 19 companies promoted from the Russell 2000 Index and 18 new entrants, with notable IPOs like SailPoint, Inc. and Karman Holdings, Inc. [3] - Core Scientific, Inc. made a significant leap from being a micro-cap stock to entering the Russell 1000 directly [4] - Rivian was added to the Russell 1000, while other EV makers such as Nikola and Lucid were removed, along with green energy company Plug Power and Beyond Meat [5] Market Implications - Understanding the Russell reconstitution is essential for investors, with advice from LPL Financial suggesting patience and awareness of potential volatility due to various economic factors [6]

Core Insights - DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) is outperforming competitors in customer acquisition within the sports betting sector, showcasing strong user growth and retention strategies in Q1 2025 [1][5] Customer Acquisition and Marketing Efficiency - New customer acquisition met expectations, with a notable emphasis on the efficiency of scaling operations, optimizing marketing costs, and benefiting from brand equity and improved promotional targeting [2][4] - The company has achieved better gross margins and EBITDA performance despite facing challenging sports outcomes [2] Product Innovation and Engagement - Over 50% of the total handle in Q1 2025 originated from live betting, marking a significant milestone for DraftKings [3] - Successful integration of acquisitions like SimpleBet and Sports IQ has enhanced real-time wagering capabilities, leading to increased user engagement [3] - There is a notable rise in the adoption of parlay and same-game parlay bets, which are associated with higher structural hold rates [3] Profitability and User Maturity - Despite customer-friendly outcomes reducing actual sportsbook hold to 9.5%, structural hold increased to 10.4%, indicating strengthening profitability [4] - As newly acquired users mature, promotional intensity decreases while contribution profit rises, demonstrating effective management across jurisdictions [4] Competitive Landscape - DraftKings is gaining ground against FanDuel and BetMGM, with recent trends indicating a lead in live betting and product enhancements [6][7] - FanDuel, while still leading in market share, is experiencing pressure as DraftKings narrows the gap through efficient customer acquisition strategies [7] - BetMGM is lagging in sportsbook engagement despite strong iGaming performance, highlighting DraftKings' advantage in product innovation [8] Financial Performance and Valuation - DKNG shares have increased by 30.3% over the past three months, slightly trailing the industry's growth of 31.2% [9] - The company is currently trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 5.69X [12] - Zacks Consensus Estimates indicate a significant year-over-year earnings growth of 226.7% for 2025 and 61.3% for 2026 [15]

Group 1 - YieldMax® launched the YieldMax® DKNG Option Income Strategy ETF (NYSE Arca: DRAY) to generate current income through options-based strategies on DraftKings, Inc. (DKNG) [1] - DRAY is managed by Tidal Financial Group and does not invest directly in DKNG [1][2] - DRAY is the newest addition to the YieldMax® ETF family, which aims to deliver current income to investors [2] Group 2 - DRAY will be classified as a Group C ETF, with its first distribution expected to be announced on August 20, 2025 [2] - The distribution information for all outstanding YieldMax® ETFs includes various ETFs with different distribution rates and frequencies [3][4] - The YieldMax® ETFs have a gross expense ratio of 0.99%, with some exceptions having different management fees and acquired fund fees [7]