DraftKings(DKNG)

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DraftKings' March Madness Miss: Wall Street Sees +50% Upside
MarketBeat· 2025-05-23 14:26
Core Viewpoint - DraftKings has lowered its revenue guidance for 2025 and missed first-quarter revenue estimates, but the company still shows potential for growth despite recent challenges [4][5][10]. Group 1: Financial Performance - DraftKings reported revenue of just over $1.4 billion for the first quarter, reflecting a growth rate of 20%, which was slightly below the nearly 22% growth anticipated by analysts [4]. - The company has lowered its revenue guidance for 2025 to approximately $6.3 billion, a decrease of $150 million from previous estimates [5]. - Monthly unique payers (MUPs) have increased significantly from about 900,000 at the end of 2020 to 4.3 million in the most recent quarter, indicating strong user growth [2][13]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Analyst Outlook - Despite the lowered guidance, DraftKings' stock rose over 2% after the earnings release, suggesting that investor sentiment remains relatively stable [11]. - The average drop in price targets among analysts was less than 1%, with new price targets averaging over $55 per share, indicating a potential upside of 55% compared to the closing price on May 21 [12]. - Analysts maintain a Moderate Buy rating for DraftKings, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite recent setbacks [15]. Group 3: Industry Context and Future Potential - The March Madness betting outcomes negatively impacted DraftKings, as higher-seeded teams won 82% of the time, leading to significant losses for the company [10]. - The company expects its adjusted gross margin to increase by 300 basis points in 2025 compared to 2024, indicating potential for improved profitability [13]. - DraftKings currently operates online sports betting in about half of the U.S. states, presenting substantial opportunities for future expansion [14].
DraftKings: Keep Your Eyes On The Profitability Prize
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-20 18:58
Group 1 - The company aims to invest in firms with strong qualitative attributes, purchasing them at attractive prices based on fundamentals, and holding them indefinitely [1] - The investment strategy involves managing a concentrated portfolio to avoid underperformers while maximizing exposure to high-potential winners [1] - The company plans to publish articles on selected companies approximately three times a week, including extensive quarterly follow-ups and constant updates [1] Group 2 - The company may rate high-quality firms as 'Hold' if their growth opportunities do not meet the required threshold or if the downside risk is deemed too high [1]
DraftKings(DKNG) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-19 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The preliminary voting results indicated that proposals one, two, three, and four were approved by more than 95% of the total voting power, while proposal five was rejected, receiving less than 4% of the total voting power [16]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific data or metrics related to individual business lines were discussed during the meeting [15]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific market data or metrics were provided in the meeting [15]. Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The company did not provide detailed comments on its strategy or competitive landscape during this meeting [15]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management did not offer specific insights regarding the operating environment or future outlook during the meeting [15]. Other Important Information - The meeting included a proposal from the New York City Comptroller's office regarding the disclosure of director gender, race, and ethnicity, which was ultimately rejected [10][12][16]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Were there any appropriate questions received during the meeting? - There were no appropriate questions received regarding the business of this shareholder meeting [15].
Why DraftKings Share Price Could Soar to Multi-Year Highs
MarketBeat· 2025-05-13 11:02
Core Viewpoint - DraftKings' stock price has rebounded from a 9-month low, with expectations of reaching multi-year highs by the end of 2025 due to strong business performance, leverage building, and a healthy balance sheet [1] Financial Performance - DraftKings reported a 19.5% revenue growth in Q1, totaling $1.41 billion, driven by user engagement, new users, and acquisitions like Jackpocket [5] - Monthly unique players (MUP) increased by 28%, with a 20.1% rise in Sportsbook revenue, 14.5% in iGaming, and 45.7% in Other segments [5] - Adjusted earnings were $0.12, maintaining financial health despite a slight revenue miss compared to consensus [7] Market Opportunities - The acquisition of Jackpocket presents both challenges and opportunities, as it initially lowers revenue per user but offers potential for margin improvement over time [3] - The expected entry into Missouri and the growth potential of iGaming, which currently serves only 11% of the U.S. population, are significant growth drivers [4] Stock Forecast and Analyst Ratings - The 12-month stock price forecast for DraftKings is $55.04, indicating a 45.10% upside, with a Moderate Buy rating based on 28 analyst ratings [6] - Analysts have mixed responses, with some adjusting price targets, but the average target remains above current levels, suggesting potential for future gains [10][11] Trading Dynamics - The stock is showing bullish momentum, with critical resistance near $38.25, and could potentially retest all-time highs by late summer or early fall [12]
Do I Still Think DraftKings Is 1 of the Best Stocks to Buy Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-11 09:25
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the lack of investment positions held by Parkev Tatevosian and The Motley Fool in the mentioned stocks, emphasizing their disclosure policy and potential compensation for promoting services [1] Group 1 - Parkev Tatevosian, CFA, has no position in any of the stocks mentioned [1] - The Motley Fool also has no position in any of the stocks mentioned [1] - The disclosure policy of The Motley Fool is highlighted, indicating transparency in their operations [1] Group 2 - Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may receive compensation for promoting its services [1] - The opinions expressed by Parkev Tatevosian are stated to be his own and not influenced by The Motley Fool [1]
Unfavorable Sports Outcomes Have Negatively Affected DraftKings' Outlook: Analyst
Benzinga· 2025-05-09 17:56
Core Viewpoint - Needham analyst Bernie McTernan maintains a Buy rating on DraftKings Inc. with a price forecast of $65 despite the company missing revenue and earnings estimates for the first quarter [1] Financial Performance - DraftKings reported first-quarter revenue of $1.41 billion, missing the Street consensus estimate of $1.44 billion [1] - The company reported earnings per share of 12 cents, which also fell short of the Street consensus estimate of 22 cents per share [1] Guidance Revision - The company lowered its full-year revenue guidance from a range of $6.3 billion to $6.6 billion to a new range of $6.2 billion to $6.4 billion [2] - Full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance was cut from $900 million to $1.0 billion to a new range of $800 million to $900 million [3] Factors Affecting Performance - Unfavorable sports outcomes negatively impacted the company's first-quarter results, leading to the downward revision of full-year 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance [3] - Despite the challenges, the company highlighted strong underlying trends driven by a higher structural hold and efficient use of promotional spending [4] Market Sentiment and Growth - The reported 16% growth in online sports betting handle is expected to improve sentiment on DraftKings shares, especially compared to Flutter Entertainment's 8% growth [5] - Ongoing product enhancements, particularly in in-play betting, are likely contributing to DraftKings' outperformance in handle growth [5] Stock Performance - DraftKings shares increased by 3.46% to $36.57 as of the last check on Friday [6]
DraftKings Cuts 2025 Outlook, Says Favored Teams Winning Drives Lower Margins
PYMNTS.com· 2025-05-09 15:51
Core Insights - DraftKings' Q1 2025 earnings were affected by a high win rate for favored teams during March Madness, impacting sportsbook margins, yet revenue increased by 20% year-over-year to $1.41 billion [1][4] - The company is focusing on AI and unique betting features to enhance product offerings and customer experience, positioning itself as an innovator in the industry [1][6] Financial Performance - Q1 revenue reached $1.41 billion, a 20% increase from $1.18 billion in Q1 2024 [4] - DraftKings lowered its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to between $6.2 billion and $6.4 billion, down from $6.3 billion to $6.6 billion [8] - Adjusted EBITDA guidance was revised to between $800 million and $900 million, reduced from $900 million to $1 billion [8] Customer Metrics - Monthly unique payers increased to an average of 4.3 million in Q1, reflecting a 28% year-over-year growth [11] - Strong customer retention and acquisition were noted, aided by the acquisition of Jackpocket [11] Strategic Initiatives - The company is investing in AI to drive operational efficiency and enhance customer support [6] - Recent product enhancements, including micro-betting features and proprietary jackpots, have differentiated DraftKings in a competitive market [5][7] Market Context - The high win rate of favored teams during March Madness resulted in a record 82% win rate for high seeds, which negatively impacted DraftKings' sportsbook margins [3][10] - The company believes that the recent volatility in outcomes is random and not indicative of structural issues [2][10]
DraftKings(DKNG) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-09 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated $1,409,000,000 in revenue for Q1 2025, representing a 20% year-over-year growth [12] - Adjusted EBITDA for the same period was $103,000,000 [12] - The company revised its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance to $6,200,000,000 to $6,400,000, down from the previous guidance of $6,300,000,000 to $6,600,000, due to customer-friendly outcomes in March [14] - Adjusted gross margin increased to 45%, up more than 100 basis points year-over-year [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sportsbook handle increased 16% year-over-year to $13,900,000,000, consistent with expectations [13] - Structural sportsbook hold percentage improved to 10.4%, an increase of 60 basis points year-over-year [13] - Actual sportsbook hold percentage was 9.5%, impacted by customer-friendly outcomes during the NCAA basketball tournament [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that online gaming remained resilient in mature jurisdictions during economic downturns, with strong customer metrics consistent with forecasted trends [10] - The company experienced a headwind of $170,000,000 to revenue and $111,000,000 to adjusted EBITDA due to customer-friendly outcomes year-to-date [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing product offerings and optimizing promotional deployment to drive higher structural sportsbook hold percentages [7] - The management emphasized the importance of M&A as part of an overall strategy to create shareholder value, citing past acquisitions that have yielded positive results [21] - The company is exploring international expansion opportunities but remains focused on growth within the U.S. market [67] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that recent volatility in sports outcomes is random and not indicative of a fundamental change in the market [24] - The company expects to generate free cash flow of about $750,000,000 in fiscal year 2025 [17] - Management remains optimistic about the rest of 2025, highlighting strong customer engagement and product improvements [121] Other Important Information - The company completed Q1 with $1,100,000,000 in cash after repurchasing shares [10] - Promotional reinvestment as a percentage of gross gaming revenues was more efficient year-over-year [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on M&A boundaries and strategy - Management views M&A as part of an overall evaluation for shareholder value creation, citing successful past acquisitions [21] Question: Concerns over structural hold versus actual hold - Management is confident that structural hold and actual hold will converge over time, despite recent unfavorable outcomes [24] Question: Handle growth trends and expectations - Management noted a slight slowdown in handle growth in April but expects high single digits to low double-digit growth moving forward [31] Question: iGaming growth rates and promotional strategies - Management believes iGaming growth should be higher, with significant improvements made in product and marketing leading to accelerated growth [34] Question: Market share in basketball and live betting performance - Management indicated that they gained market share in basketball, driven by significant growth in live betting options [45] Question: Advertising spend and efficiency - Management noted softening in digital advertising costs, allowing for potential increased spending in that area [79] Question: Capital allocation and share repurchases - Management confirmed a commitment to a $1,000,000,000 buyback program, having repurchased $140,000,000 in Q1 [108]
DraftKings(DKNG) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-09 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated $1,409 million in revenue for Q1 2025, representing a 20% year-over-year growth [10] - Adjusted EBITDA for the same period was $103 million [10] - Revenue guidance for FY 2025 has been revised to $6,200 million to $6,400 million, and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $800 million to $900 million [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sportsbook handle increased by 16% year-over-year to $13,900 million, consistent with expectations [11] - Structural sportsbook hold percentage improved to 10.4%, up 60 basis points year-over-year [11] - Promotional reinvestment as a percentage of gross gaming revenues became more efficient year-over-year, contributing to an adjusted gross margin increase of over 100 basis points to 45% [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Customer-friendly sports outcomes negatively impacted revenue by $170 million and adjusted EBITDA by $111 million year-to-date [13] - Handle growth in the NCAA tournaments was significant, with higher seeds winning at an 82% rate, the highest in history [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing product offerings and optimizing promotional strategies to improve structural hold and efficiency [5][10] - There is a strong emphasis on live betting, which has seen significant growth, contributing to overall handle increases [54] - The company is exploring M&A opportunities selectively, focusing on creating shareholder value [19][68] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of online gaming during economic downturns, citing strong customer metrics [7] - The company anticipates continued growth in handle and structural hold, with expectations for Q2 revenues to increase approximately 25% year-over-year [15] - Management acknowledged the impact of customer-friendly outcomes but remains optimistic about future performance normalizing [22] Other Important Information - The company completed Q1 with $1,100 million in cash after repurchasing shares [7] - There is a focus on leveraging AI across the organization to improve efficiency and customer service [40][94] Q&A Session Summary Question: M&A Strategy - Management views M&A as part of an overall strategy to create shareholder value, with recent acquisitions yielding positive results [19] Question: Structural Hold vs. Actual Hold - Management is confident that recent unfavorable outcomes are random and that structural hold and actual hold will converge over time [22] Question: Handle Growth Trends - There has been a slight deceleration in handle growth moving into April, but overall growth remains strong [30] Question: iGaming Growth Rates - Management expects iGaming growth to accelerate, with April showing a year-over-year growth of 26% [33] Question: Live Betting Dynamics - Live betting has become a significant portion of total handle, with expectations for continued growth [53] Question: Advertising Spend Efficiency - The company is seeing efficiencies in digital advertising spend, which may allow for increased investment in that area [78] Question: International Expansion Plans - While international expansion is not a current necessity, management is open to opportunities that align with their growth strategy [68] Question: Jackpocket Integration - The company is actively working on integrating Jackpocket into its platform, with expectations for profitability despite market challenges [116]
DraftKings(DKNG) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-09 11:05
Financial Performance - Revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2025, increased by $233.8 million, or 19.9%, to $1,408.8 million compared to $1,175.0 million for the same period in 2024[200] - Net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2025, improved to $(33.9) million from $(142.6) million in the same period in 2024[199] - Adjusted EBITDA for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was $102.6 million, a significant increase from $22.4 million in the same period in 2024[199] - Adjusted Earnings Per Share for the three months ended March 31, 2025, improved to $0.12 from $0.03 in the same period in 2024[200] - Adjusted Earnings Per Share for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was $0.12, compared to $0.03 for the same period in 2024[222] - Net loss decreased by $108.7 million to $33.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to a net loss of $142.6 million for the same period in 2024[233] Revenue Breakdown - Sportsbook Handle increased by $1,879.0 million, or 15.7%, to $13,880.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $12,001.4 million in the same period in 2024[212] - Sportsbook Net Revenue Margin increased by 0.3 percentage points to 6.4% for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to 6.1% in the same period in 2024[213] - iGaming revenue increased by $53.5 million, or 14.5%, to $423.5 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $370.0 million in the same period in 2024[214] - Other revenue increased by $32.4 million, or 46%, to $103.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, primarily due to the inclusion of revenue from Jackpocket[215] Costs and Expenses - Cost of revenue increased by $133.7 million, or 18.8%, to $843.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $710.1 million in the same period of 2024[225] - Cost of revenue as a percentage of revenue decreased by 0.5 percentage points to 59.9% for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to 60.4% for the same period in 2024[226] - Sales and marketing expense increased by $3.0 million, or 0.9%, to $343.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $340.7 million in the same period of 2024[227] - General and administrative expense decreased by $9.9 million, or 5.7%, to $164.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $174.3 million in the same period of 2024[229] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2025, were $1,119.7 million, sufficient to meet current working capital and capital expenditure requirements for at least twelve months[234] - Net cash used in operating activities was $119.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $70.4 million in the same period of 2024[240] - Net cash used in investing activities was $39.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, a slight decrease from $39.2 million in the prior year[241] - Net cash provided by financing activities increased to $372.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $30.6 million used in the same period of 2024[242] - The company had cash and cash equivalents of $1,544.981 million at the end of the period, up from $1,483.257 million at the end of the previous year[240] Debt and Financing - The company entered into a senior secured revolving credit facility of up to $500.0 million, with $490.0 million available for borrowing as of March 31, 2025[236] - A new class of incremental term loans was established under the credit agreement, totaling $600.0 million, with principal payments of 1.00% per annum required[237] - As of March 31, 2025, the company had $839.9 million in non-cancelable purchase obligations, with $317.8 million payable in the remainder of 2025[238] - The stock repurchase program authorized up to $1.0 billion, with 3.7 million shares repurchased for $142.3 million during the three months ended March 31, 2025[239] Market and Risk - The company expects to achieve profitability on a consolidated Adjusted EBITDA basis as total contribution profit exceeds fixed costs, influenced by the percentage of the U.S. adult population with access to its product offerings[198] - There were no significant changes in market risk exposure during the three months ended March 31, 2025[246] - No changes were made to critical accounting estimates during the three months ended March 31, 2025[245]