Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Automotive Replacement Parts industry is facing challenges due to evolving vehicle technology, which increases complexity and repair costs, while also pressuring supply chains to adapt quickly. However, the aging U.S. vehicle fleet is expected to support strong demand for replacement parts, as consumers focus on maintaining older vehicles rather than purchasing new ones [1]. Industry Overview - The Zacks Automotive - Replacement Parts industry includes companies involved in the production, marketing, and distribution of replacement components for the automotive aftermarket. Key components include engine, steering, drive axle, suspension, brakes, and gearbox parts. The market is less exposed to downturns as consumers prioritize maintenance over new purchases [2]. Factors Influencing Industry Dynamics - Evolving technology is creating significant challenges for the automotive supply chain, as modern vehicles require specialized knowledge and equipment for maintenance and repair. This complexity can lead to longer repair times and higher costs, particularly with the rise of electric and autonomous vehicles [3]. - The shift towards e-commerce is forcing companies to invest heavily in digital capabilities to remain competitive, which can pressure near-term cash flows despite enhancing long-term growth prospects [4]. - The average age of vehicles in the U.S. has increased to 12.8 years in 2025, up from 12.6 years in 2024, leading to higher demand for replacement parts as owners delay new purchases [5]. Industry Performance and Valuation - The Zacks Automotive – Replacement Parts industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 197, placing it in the bottom 20% of approximately 250 Zacks industries, indicating weak near-term prospects [6][7]. - Over the past year, the industry has underperformed compared to the Auto, Tires, and Truck sector, losing 19.5% against the sector's growth of 12.2% and the S&P 500's return of 15.7% [9]. - The industry is trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 6.89X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 17.81X and the sector's 22.03X, with historical trading ranges between 6.04X and 12.15X over the past five years [12]. Notable Companies - **Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM)**: A leading supplier of replacement parts, Dorman's Light Duty segment introduced new automotive repair solutions, creating over 12 million new sales opportunities. The company revised its 2025 net sales forecast to a growth of 7-9% year-over-year, up from 3-5% [14]. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dorman's 2025 earnings implies an 18.1% year-over-year growth [15]. - **Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP)**: A major manufacturer of automotive replacement parts, SMP's acquisition of Nissens is expected to yield $8-$12 million in annualized cost savings within 24 months. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMP's 2025 sales and earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 19.8% and 16.7%, respectively [19][20]. - **Douglas Dynamics, Inc. (PLOW)**: Specializing in snow and ice control equipment, Douglas's Solutions segment reported a 5.4% increase in net sales and a 39.8% growth in adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2025. The company raised its 2025 net sales forecast to $630-$660 million [23]. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Douglas's 2025 sales and earnings suggests year-over-year growth of 13.3% and 46.9%, respectively [24].

Core Insights - Chipotle has launched the 'A Little Extra' Dorm Collection in collaboration with Urban Outfitters, aimed at enhancing the college experience for students [1][5] - The Chipotle U Rewards program offers college students benefits such as 1,000 bonus points upon enrollment and 20% more points on every purchase, facilitating quicker access to free meals [2][4][6] Group 1: Chipotle U Rewards - The program is designed to provide a personalized digital experience for Gen Z students, rewarding them for their loyalty and engagement with the brand [4] - Students can enroll in Chipotle U Rewards starting today, with the program emphasizing special offers tied to significant milestones in their college journey [2][4] - Members earn 12 points for every $1 spent at Chipotle, accelerating their ability to redeem rewards [6] Group 2: 'A Little Extra' Dorm Collection - The collection features items inspired by Chipotle's menu, including bean bag chairs, a throw blanket resembling a tortilla, and a desk light shaped like a chip bag [5] - The collaboration aims to resonate with Gen Z's desire for individuality and self-expression in their living spaces [5][10] - The collection will be available for purchase starting August 20 at select Urban Outfitters locations and online [5][9] Group 3: Company Background - Chipotle Mexican Grill operates over 3,800 restaurants across multiple countries and is committed to serving responsibly sourced food without artificial ingredients [9] - Urban Outfitters, founded in 1970, operates over 200 stores and focuses on empowering individuality through a unique blend of products and creativity [10]

Core Viewpoint - Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) has reached a significant support level and is considered a good investment opportunity from a technical perspective due to a recent "golden cross" formation [1][3]. Technical Analysis - DORM's 50-day simple moving average has recently broken above its 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish breakout [1]. - A golden cross is characterized by three stages: the stock price bottoms out, the shorter moving average crosses above the longer moving average, and the stock maintains upward momentum [2]. Performance Metrics - Over the past four weeks, DORM has gained 25.7% [3]. - The company currently holds a 2 (Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank, suggesting potential for further breakout [3]. Earnings Outlook - DORM's positive earnings outlook for the current quarter strengthens the bullish case, with no earnings estimates decreasing in the past two months and two revisions higher [3]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DORM has also increased, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [3]. Investment Consideration - Investors are encouraged to monitor DORM for potential gains due to its key technical level and favorable earnings estimate revisions [5].

Company Overview - Dorman Products (DORM) currently holds a Momentum Style Score of A, indicating strong potential for momentum investing [3] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting favorable market performance [4] Price Performance - DORM shares have increased by 17.16% over the past week, outperforming the Zacks Automotive - Replacement Parts industry, which rose by 10.3% [6] - Over the past month, DORM's price change is 27.3%, significantly higher than the industry's 2.51% [6] - In the last quarter, DORM shares have gained 23.48%, and over the past year, they have increased by 44.88%, while the S&P 500 has only moved 10.12% and 19.99%, respectively [7] Trading Volume - The average 20-day trading volume for DORM is 249,607 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [8] Earnings Outlook - Over the past two months, two earnings estimates for DORM have been revised upwards, increasing the consensus estimate from $7.82 to $8.40 [10] - For the next fiscal year, two estimates have also moved upwards with no downward revisions [10] Conclusion - Considering the strong price performance, positive earnings outlook, and favorable momentum indicators, Dorman Products is positioned as a solid momentum pick with a 2 (Buy) rating and a Momentum Score of A [12]

Company Performance - Dorman Products (DORM) has seen a significant increase in its stock price, rising 24% over the past month and reaching a new 52-week high of $150.24 [1] - Year-to-date, Dorman Products has gained 15.5%, outperforming the Zacks Auto-Tires-Trucks sector, which declined by 8.5%, and the Zacks Automotive - Replacement Parts industry, which fell by 8.2% [1] Earnings and Revenue - Dorman Products has a strong track record of positive earnings surprises, having met or exceeded earnings consensus estimates in the last four quarters [2] - In the latest earnings report on August 4, 2025, Dorman Products reported an EPS of $2.06, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.76, and beat the revenue estimate by 4.53% [2] - For the current fiscal year, Dorman Products is projected to post earnings of $8.15 per share on revenues of $2.13 billion, reflecting a 14.31% increase in EPS and a 5.98% increase in revenues [3] - For the next fiscal year, the expected earnings are $8.79 per share on revenues of $2.23 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of 7.85% in EPS and 4.77% in revenues [3] Valuation Metrics - Dorman Products currently trades at 18.4 times the current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is a premium compared to the peer industry average of 14 times [7] - On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock trades at 16.5 times, while the peer group's average is 8.5 times [7] - The company has a Value Score of B, a Growth Score of C, and a Momentum Score of A, resulting in a combined VGM Score of B [6] Zacks Rank - Dorman Products holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), supported by a solid earnings estimate revision trend [8] - The recommendation is for investors to select stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, indicating that Dorman Products is well-positioned for potential gains [8] Industry Comparison - In comparison to industry peers, Douglas Dynamics, Inc. (PLOW) also shows strong performance with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of A [9] - Douglas Dynamics reported a 35.71% earnings surprise in the last quarter and is expected to post earnings of $2.16 per share on revenues of $644.1 million for the current fiscal year [10] - The Automotive - Replacement Parts industry is performing well, ranking in the top 41% of all industries, suggesting favorable conditions for both Dorman Products and Douglas Dynamics [11]

Core Viewpoint - Dorman Products (DORM) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Performance - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of earnings estimate revisions, which have shown a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, Dorman Products is expected to earn $8.15 per share, with a 6.7% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the past three months [8]. Investment Implications - The upgrade reflects an improvement in Dorman Products' underlying business, suggesting that investor sentiment may drive the stock price higher [5][10]. - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks based on earnings estimates, with only the top 20% receiving a "Strong Buy" or "Buy" rating, indicating a strong potential for market-beating returns [9][10].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net sales for Q2 2025 grew 8% year over year to $541 million, driven by strong volume growth from increased customer demand, particularly in the light duty business [6][20] - Adjusted operating margin for Q2 2025 was 16.3%, a 70 basis point increase over the previous year [7][21] - Adjusted diluted EPS for the quarter was $2.06, reflecting a 23% year over year increase [8][21] - Operating cash flow in Q2 was $9 million, significantly impacted by higher tariff costs and additional investments in inventory [8][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Light Duty business net sales increased 10% year over year in Q2, with segment operating margin rising to 18.5%, a 140 basis point improvement [22][23] - Heavy Duty segment achieved 1% growth despite market pressures, with a slight positive operating margin of 80 basis points [25] - Specialty Vehicle segment saw a 3% decline in net sales, but engagement in UTV and ATV ridership remained strong [26][27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Vehicle miles traveled increased year over year, and the average age of light duty vehicles rose to 12.8 years, contributing to strong volume growth [10] - Market conditions in the trucking and freight industry remained soft, with tariffs creating economic uncertainty [11][25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on diversifying its supplier base and implementing cost-saving measures to mitigate tariff impacts [13][14] - Long-term investments in product development and productivity initiatives are expected to drive sales growth and margin expansion [11][25] - The company aims to leverage its asset-light model and diversified supply chain as competitive advantages [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about continued momentum through 2025, despite existing uncertainties [9][31] - The company anticipates net sales growth in the range of 7% to 9% for 2025, an increase from previous guidance [15] - Adjusted diluted EPS guidance was raised to a range of $8.6 to $8.9, reflecting strong performance and pricing strategies [18] Other Important Information - The company paused share repurchases to preserve cash amid tariff-related uncertainties [28] - Total liquidity at the end of the quarter was $656 million, up from $642 million at the end of 2024 [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the incremental margins for every dollar of sales recovery in the heavy duty segment? - Management indicated that the heavy duty business is more manufacturing-weighted, facing absorption issues when volume is challenged, but expects mid-teen operating profit levels when normalized [34][36] Question: What is the impact of tariffs by segment? - Management noted that the light duty segment has less exposure due to a diversified supply chain, while heavy duty has a modest impact from tariffs [37][38] Question: Can you elaborate on light duty customer POS and inventory? - Management confirmed that sell-out was low single digits, but sell-in growth was strong, with no significant inventory buy-ahead observed [44][46] Question: What initiatives are driving margin growth in light duty? - Management highlighted supply chain diversification, productivity improvements, and a focus on new products as key drivers of margin growth [57][59] Question: What is the capital allocation strategy? - The company aims to manage debt, invest internally for returns, pursue strategic M&A, and opportunistically repurchase shares [61]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated net sales for Q2 2025 grew 8% year over year to $541 million, driven by strong volume growth from increased customer demand, particularly in the light duty business [6][19] - Adjusted operating margin for Q2 2025 was 16.3%, a 70 basis point increase over the previous year [7][20] - Adjusted diluted EPS for the quarter was $2.06, reflecting a 23% year over year increase [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Light Duty business net sales increased 10% year over year in Q2, with segment operating margin rising to 18.5%, a 140 basis point improvement [21][22] - Heavy Duty segment achieved 1% net sales growth despite market pressures, with a slight positive operating margin of 80 basis points [23] - Specialty Vehicle segment saw a 3% decline in net sales compared to the previous year, but maintained strong engagement in UTV and ATV ridership [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Vehicle miles traveled increased year over year, and the average age of light duty vehicles rose to 12.8 years, contributing to strong volume growth [9] - Market conditions in the trucking and freight industry remained soft, impacting the Heavy Duty segment [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on diversifying its supplier base and implementing cost-saving measures to mitigate tariff impacts [12][13] - Long-term investments in product development and productivity initiatives are expected to drive sales growth and margin expansion [10][24] - The company aims to leverage its asset-light model and diversified supply chain as competitive advantages [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the future, citing strong performance in the first half of 2025 and an improved outlook for the remainder of the year [14][30] - The company anticipates net sales growth in the range of 7% to 9% for 2025, an increase from previous guidance [14] - Adjusted diluted EPS guidance was raised to a range of $8.6 to $8.9, reflecting strong performance and pricing strategies [16] Other Important Information - Operating cash flow in Q2 was $9 million, significantly impacted by higher tariff costs and increased inventory investments [27] - The company paused share repurchases to preserve cash amid market uncertainty [27][28] - Total liquidity at the end of the quarter was $656 million, up from $642 million at the end of 2024 [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the incremental margins for every dollar of sales recovery in the heavy duty segment? - Management indicated that the heavy duty business is more manufacturing-weighted, and they expect mid-teen operating profit levels when normalized [34] Question: What is the impact of tariffs by segment? - Management noted that the light duty segment has less exposure due to a diversified supply chain, while heavy duty has a modest impact from tariffs [35][36] Question: Can you elaborate on light duty customer POS and inventory? - Management stated that sell-out was low single digits, but inventory levels were in line with historical data, with no significant pre-buying ahead of tariffs [40][41] Question: What initiatives are driving margin growth in light duty? - Management highlighted supply chain diversification, productivity improvements, and a focus on new products as key drivers of margin growth [52][54] Question: What is the capital allocation strategy? - The company aims to manage debt, invest internally for returns, pursue strategic M&A, and opportunistically repurchase shares [56]

DORMAN PRODUCTS, INC. could affect the Company's business, reputation, results of operations, financial condition, and stock price is included in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), including in the "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" sections of the Company's most recently filed periodic reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q and subsequent filings. The Company is under no obligation to, and expressly ...

Core Insights - Dorman Products reported quarterly earnings of $2.06 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.76 per share, and showing an increase from $1.67 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +17.05% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $540.96 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.53% and up from $502.95 million year-over-year [2] - Dorman Products has consistently outperformed consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters, achieving this four times [2] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Dorman Products' stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on recent earnings and future expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.96 on revenues of $522.91 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.82 on revenues of $2.1 billion [7] Industry Context - The Automotive - Replacement Parts industry, to which Dorman Products belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 22% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [8] - The correlation between near-term stock movements and earnings estimate revisions suggests that investors should monitor these revisions closely to gauge future performance [5][6]