Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW) is included among the 15 Dividend Stocks Paying 4%+ Yield in 2025. Citi Highlights Weakening Polyethylene Market, Trims DOW Price Target On November 19, Citi reduced the firm’s price target on Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW) to $23 from $25 and maintained a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm also lowered its estimates for other chemical companies due to price discounting in polyethylene. It noted that these discounts point to weakening demand and a negative outlook for PE-exposed companies in ...

Core Insights - Dow Inc. closed at $23.11, reflecting a +1.09% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.09% [1] - The materials science sector saw a 3.44% gain over the past month, slightly trailing the Basic Materials sector's 3.88% gain and outperforming the S&P 500's 1.89% gain [1] Earnings Performance - Upcoming earnings release is anticipated, with a consensus estimate projecting revenue of $9.53 billion, indicating an 8.45% decline from the same quarter last year [2] - For the annual period, earnings are expected to be -$0.99 per share and revenue at $40.03 billion, reflecting declines of -157.89% and -6.82% respectively from the previous year [2] Analyst Estimates - Changes in analyst estimates for Dow Inc. are crucial as they reflect the evolving business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [3] Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), has a strong track record, with 1 stocks averaging a +25% annual return since 1988 [5] - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate for Dow Inc. has increased by 0.55%, and the company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] Industry Context - The Chemical - Diversified industry, part of the Basic Materials sector, currently ranks 217 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 13% of over 250 industries [6] - The Zacks Industry Rank evaluates the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with top-rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF (BITW) provides retail investors and financial advisors with access to a diversified range of cryptocurrencies, marking a significant development in the cryptocurrency investment landscape [1][2]. Group 1: ETF Details - BITW includes 10 digital assets: Bitcoin, ether, XRP, Solana, Chainlink, Litecoin, Cardano, Avalanche, Sui, and Polkadot, making it the first ETF from a major crypto asset manager to include Cardano, Avalanche, Sui, and Polkadot [2]. - The ETF was converted from an index fund and starts trading with $1.5 billion in assets, offering advantages such as increased trading flexibility, tax efficiency, and lower fees compared to traditional funds [4]. - BITW allocates 90% of its holdings to Bitcoin, ether, Solana, and XRP, capping the combined weight of all other tokens at 10%, and will be rebalanced monthly [8]. Group 2: Market Context - The ETF launch follows the SEC's approval of several spot bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, prompting asset managers to seek approvals for ETFs tracking a broader range of digital assets [5]. - The cryptocurrency market has recently experienced pullbacks, with Bitcoin trading as low as $85,000, over 30% off its record high of approximately $126,000 [6]. - Despite the risks associated with smaller coins, the ETF offers potential diversification similar to broad index funds, appealing to investors seeking comprehensive exposure to digital assets [7]. Group 3: Company Background - Bitwise manages over $15 billion in client assets and offers a suite of more than 40 digital asset investment products [9].

European Companies - BASF Group reported Q3 2025 sales of €15.23 billion (approximately $17.7 billion), down 3.2% year-on-year from €15.739 billion. Operating profit (EBIT) increased by 11.4% to €278 million, while net profit fell by 40% to €172 million [1] - LyondellBasell's Q3 2025 sales and other revenues were $7.727 billion, down from $8.604 billion year-on-year. The company reported a net loss of $890 million compared to a net profit of $573 million in the same period last year [2] - INEOS Group Holdings reported Q3 2025 revenue of €3.418 billion (approximately $3.97 billion), down from €4.273 billion year-on-year. Operating profit decreased to €113 million from €339 million, with a net loss of €56.5 million compared to a profit of €283 million last year [3] - Evonik Group's Q3 2025 sales were €3.391 billion (approximately $3.94 billion), down from €3.832 billion year-on-year. Adjusted EBITDA fell to €448 million from €577 million, with a net loss of €106 million compared to a net profit of €223 million [4] - Covestro reported Q3 2025 sales of €3.171 billion (approximately $3.68 billion), down 12% from €3.603 billion. EBITDA decreased by 15.7% to €242 million, with a net loss of €47 million compared to a net profit of €33 million last year [5] - DSM-Firmenich's Q3 2025 sales were €3.07 billion (approximately $3.57 billion), down 5% from €3.244 billion. Adjusted EBITDA remained stable at €540 million [6] - Sika reported Q3 2025 sales of CHF 3.078 billion (approximately $3.4 billion), down 3.8% from CHF 3.915 billion. EBITDA decreased to CHF 1.645 billion from CHF 1.702 billion, with net profit falling to CHF 871 million from CHF 923 million [8] - Henkel's Q3 2025 sales fell by 6.3% to €5.147 billion, with the adhesives technology division reporting sales of approximately $3.145 billion, down 3.3% year-on-year [9] - Arkema's Q3 2025 sales were €2.187 billion (approximately $2.54 billion), down 8.6% from €2.394 billion. EBITDA fell by 23.8% to €310 million, with adjusted net profit down 53.6% to €78 million [10] - Syensqo reported Q3 2025 sales of €1.517 billion (approximately $1.76 billion), down 7.1% from €1.633 billion. EBITDA decreased by 12.8% to €326 million, with net profit down 31.8% to €110 million [11] - LANXESS reported Q3 2025 sales of €1.338 billion (approximately $1.55 billion), down 16.3% from €1.598 billion. EBITDA fell by 35.6% to €105 million, with a net loss of €77 million compared to a profit of €1 million last year [12] - Solvay's Q3 2025 sales were €1.044 billion (approximately $1.21 billion), down 9.7% from €1.156 billion. EBITDA decreased by 10.3% to €232 million, with net profit down 15% to €88 million [13] - Clariant reported Q3 2025 sales of CHF 906 million (approximately $1.03 billion), down 9% from CHF 991 million. EBITDA increased by 14% to CHF 159 million [14] Asian Companies - Rongsheng Petrochemical reported Q3 2025 revenue of ¥79.185 billion (approximately $11.2 billion), down 5.67% year-on-year. Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥286 million, up 1427.94% [15] - SABIC's Q3 2025 revenue was SAR 34.333 billion (approximately $9.147 billion), down from SAR 36.88 billion year-on-year. Operating profit decreased to SAR 1.663 billion from SAR 2.477 billion, with net profit falling to SAR 1.135 billion from SAR 1.763 billion [16] - Hengli Petrochemical reported Q3 2025 revenue of ¥53.496 billion (approximately $7.67 billion), down 17.98% year-on-year. Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥1.972 billion, up 81.47% [17] - Wanhua Chemical reported Q3 2025 revenue of ¥53.324 billion (approximately $7.54 billion), up 5.52% year-on-year. Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥3.035 billion, up 3.96% [18] - Mitsubishi Chemical Group reported H1 2025 revenue of ¥1,799.124 billion (approximately $11.5 billion), down 10.5% year-on-year. Operating profit decreased by 19.6% to ¥86.489 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders up 169% to ¥110.132 billion [19] - Taiwan Chemical announced Q3 2025 revenue of NT$69.576 billion (approximately $2.22 billion), down from NT$86.899 billion. The company reported a net profit of NT$1.78 billion, compared to a net loss of NT$1.918 billion last year [20] - Nanya Plastics reported Q3 2025 revenue of NT$64.2 billion (approximately $2.04 billion), down from NT$66.4 billion. Operating profit increased to NT$1.04 billion from NT$990 million, with net profit rising to NT$4 billion from NT$490 million [21] - Formosa Plastics reported Q3 2025 revenue of NT$41.718 billion (approximately $1.33 billion), down from NT$50.492 billion. The company reported a net loss of NT$2.685 billion, compared to a loss of NT$3.092 billion last year [22] - Asahi Kasei Corporation reported H1 2025 revenue of ¥1,486.368 billion (approximately $9.54 billion), down slightly from ¥1,490.334 billion. Operating profit increased to ¥108.915 billion from ¥107.454 billion, while net profit decreased to ¥60.248 billion from ¥66.266 billion [23] - Dongfang Shenghong reported Q3 2025 revenue of ¥31.245 billion (approximately $4.5 billion), down 11.91% year-on-year. The company reported a net loss of ¥260 million [24] - Shin-Etsu Chemical reported H1 2025 revenue of ¥1,284.522 billion (approximately $8.24 billion), up 1.4% year-on-year. Operating profit decreased by 17.7% to ¥333.935 billion, with net profit down 12.3% to ¥257.844 billion [25] - Toray reported H1 2025 revenue of ¥1,234.31 billion (approximately $7.92 billion), down 4.6% year-on-year. Operating profit decreased by 19.1% to ¥642.99 billion, with net profit down 33.5% to ¥369.35 billion [26] - Hengyi Petrochemical reported Q3 2025 revenue of ¥27.925 billion (approximately $3.95 billion), down 7.07% year-on-year. Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥4.4079 million, up 102.21% [27] - LG Chem reported Q3 2025 sales of ₩111.962 trillion (approximately $76.24 billion), down 11.3% from ₩126.2 trillion. Operating profit increased by 38.9% to ₩6.797 trillion, while net profit fell to ₩4.470 trillion from ₩10.13 trillion [28] American Companies - Dow reported Q3 2025 net sales of $9.973 billion, down from $10.879 billion year-on-year. Net profit attributable to common shareholders was $62 million, down from $214 million [36] - Ecolab reported Q3 2025 net sales of $4.165 billion, up from $3.999 billion year-on-year. Operating profit decreased by 27% to $760 million, with net profit down 21% to $585 million [37] - DuPont reported Q3 2025 net sales of $3.072 billion, up from $2.862 billion year-on-year. The company reported a net loss of $123 million, compared to a profit of $455 million last year [39] - Westlake Corporation reported Q3 2025 net sales of $2.838 billion, down from $3.117 billion. The company reported an operating loss of $766 million, compared to a profit of $180 million last year [40] - IFF reported Q3 2025 net sales of $2.694 billion, down from $2.925 billion year-on-year. Operating profit decreased by 9% to $226 million, with net profit down to $40 million from $58 million [41] - Celanese reported Q3 2025 net sales of $2.419 billion, down from $2.648 billion. The company reported an operating loss of $1.275 billion, compared to a profit of $245 million last year [42] - Eastman Chemical Company reported Q3 2025 sales of $2.202 billion, down from $2.464 billion. Net profit attributable to the company was $47 million, down from $180 million [43] - Huntsman Corporation reported Q3 2025 revenue of $1.46 billion, down from $1.54 billion. The company reported a net loss of $25 million, compared to a loss of $33 million last year [44] Industrial Gases - Linde plc reported Q3 2025 sales of $8.615 billion, up from $8.356 billion year-on-year. Operating profit increased to $2.367 billion from $2.086 billion, with net profit rising to $1.929 billion from $1.55 billion [45] - Air Liquide reported Q3 2025 revenue of €6.599 billion (approximately $7.66 billion), down from €6.762 billion year-on-year [46] - Air Products & Chemicals reported Q4 2025 sales of $3.167 billion, down from $3.188 billion. The company reported an operating profit of $16.8 million, down from $242.4 million last year, with a net profit of $4.9 million compared to $195 million [47] Crop Science - Syngenta Group reported Q3 2025 revenue of $6.4 billion, down 6% year-on-year. EBITDA increased by 28% to $900 million [48] - Bayer Group reported Q3 2025 sales of €9.66 billion, down from €9.968 billion. EBIT loss was €543 million, compared to a loss of €382.2 million last year, with a net loss of €963 million compared to a loss of €4.183 billion last year [49] - Corteva, Inc. reported Q3 2025 net sales of $2.618 billion, up from $2.326 billion year-on-year. The company reported a net loss of $320 million, compared to a loss of $524 million last year [50] Fertilizers - Nutrien reported Q3 2025 sales of $6.007 billion, up from $5.348 billion year-on-year. Net profit increased to $469 million from $25 million [51] - Yara International ASA reported Q3 2025 revenue of $4.108 billion, up from $3.654 billion. Operating profit increased to $470 million from $309 million, with net profit rising to $320 million from $286 million [52] - The Mosaic Company reported Q3 2025 net sales of $3.452 billion, up from $2.811 billion. Operating profit increased to $340 million from $115 million, with net profit rising to $411 million from $122 million [53] - CF Industries reported Q3 2025 net sales of $1.659 billion, up from $1.37 billion. Net profit attributable to common shareholders was $353 million, compared to $276 million last year [54] Coatings - PPG Industries reported Q3 2025 net sales of $4.082 billion, up from $4.032 billion year-on-year, with net profit remaining stable at $444 million [55] - AkzoNobel reported Q3 2025 revenue of €2.547 billion (approximately $2.96 billion), down from €2.668 billion. The company reported an operating loss of €29 million, compared to a profit of €259 million last year, with a net loss of €194 million compared to a profit of €163 million last year [56] - Nippon Paint Holdings reported YTD revenue of ¥1,318.378 billion (approximately $8.467 billion), up 7.8% year-on-year. Operating profit increased by 36.4% to ¥190.579 billion, with net profit rising by 38.6% to ¥134.336 billion [57] - Sherwin-Williams reported Q3 2025 net sales of $6.358 billion, up from $6.163 billion. Net profit increased to $833 million from $806 million, with the paint retail group reporting sales of $3.837 billion, up 5.1% [58] - Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. reported Q3 2025 net sales of $1.288 billion, down from $1.32 billion. Operating profit increased to $204 million from $193 million, with net profit rising to $110 million from $101 million [59] - Three Trees reported YTD revenue of ¥9.392 billion (approximately $1.33 billion), up 2.69% year-on-year. Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥744 million, up 81.22% [60]

Core Insights - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is up nearly 13% year to date, with leading stocks not being pure AI plays but rather companies like Caterpillar, Goldman Sachs, and IBM [1][2][3] Caterpillar (CAT) - Caterpillar has seen a significant stock increase of approximately 66.3% year to date, driven by strong global demand for construction and mining equipment [4] - Despite a decline in adjusted profits to $4.95 per share on $17.6 billion in sales, sales rose by 10% due to higher end-user equipment volumes [5] - The U.S. infrastructure push and lower interest rates have contributed to a substantial backlog, indicating sustained revenue visibility [6] - Caterpillar is also pivoting towards AI-enabling infrastructure, with partnerships that position it as a beneficiary of the tech boom [7] - Analysts view Caterpillar as a hybrid play, justifying a forward earnings multiple of 27 times [8] Goldman Sachs (GS) - Goldman Sachs ranks second among Dow leaders with a stock increase of over 49% year to date, attributed to a rebound in dealmaking and economic stability [9] - The third-quarter earnings were $12.25 per share on $15.2 billion in revenue, surpassing estimates [9][10] - The firm has advised on over $1 trillion in announced M&A volume this year, benefiting from sustained trading revenues and a healthy growth outlook [10] - Goldman Sachs' institutional focus allows it to capture upside from corporate optimism, driving shares to an all-time high of $856 [11] IBM (IBM) - IBM has achieved a 40% year-to-date gain, with shares nearing record closing highs of approximately $308 [12] - The turnaround is driven by software and consulting segments, with third-quarter revenue up 7% to $16.3 billion at constant currency [12] - The watsonx AI platform and Red Hat integration have boosted bookings and hybrid cloud adoption, with a consulting backlog of $31 billion [13] - IBM is also making strides in quantum computing and has raised full-year guidance to 5% growth and $14 billion in free cash flow [14]

Company Overview - Dow Inc. operates as a major global commodity chemical producer, focusing on olefins and polyolefins, with approximately 75% of its asset base concentrated in the U.S. and significant exposure to export markets, particularly EMEA and India [2] Financial Performance - Dow's annual EBITDA is estimated to be around $2.5–$3 billion, which is insufficient to sustainably cover both capital expenditures and interest expenses, leading to reliance on asset sales [5] - The company recently completed a $3 billion partial divestiture of U.S. midstream assets, which has improved liquidity to $4.6 billion, although further dividend reductions may be necessary [5] Profitability and Market Position - Dow's core profitability is primarily derived from olefins and polyolefins, with a higher sensitivity to global trade dynamics due to its olefin exposure [3] - The company's Intermediates segment, which includes propylene oxide and ethylene oxide chains, is smaller compared to peers, limiting its exposure to construction and vehicle fuels [3] Capital Allocation Strategy - Management employs a disciplined, countercyclical capital allocation strategy, investing more during downturns and less during high-margin cycles, reflecting an understanding of the chemical industry's cyclicality [4] Risks and Liabilities - Dow faces significant environmental and pension liabilities, contributing to structural risk [6] - The company's financial flexibility is constrained, with liquidity pressures stemming from an oversized dividend and limited operating cash flow coverage [4]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry, particularly companies like Dow, has faced significant challenges over the past year, leading to poor stock performance and dividend cuts, which have negatively impacted shareholder returns [1][2][3]. Group 1: One-Year Performance - Dow's stock price fell approximately 20% from December 2024 to March 2025 due to an industrywide slowdown [2]. - Following the announcement of a dividend cut from $0.70 to $0.35 per share, Dow's stock dropped an additional 20% [2]. - As of December, Dow's one-year price change was negative 46.3%, contrasting sharply with the S&P 500's increase of 13.1% during the same period [3]. Group 2: Market Capitalization and Key Metrics - Dow's current market capitalization stands at $17 billion, with a current stock price of $22.94 [4][5]. - The company has a gross margin of 6.92% and a dividend yield of 8.84%, despite the recent dividend reduction [5]. Group 3: Three-Year and Five-Year Performance - Over three years, Dow's stock has seen a negative return of 53.4%, with a total return basis of negative 44.2% [6]. - The S&P 500 has outperformed Dow significantly, with a 67.4% increase in absolute terms during the same period [7]. - In the five-year timeframe, Dow's return is negative 55.5% on an absolute basis and negative 41.6% on a total return basis, trailing the S&P 500 by approximately 142 percentage points [8]. Group 4: Historical Context and Future Outlook - Dow's total returns were competitive with the broader market until early 2023, but the stock plateaued while the market continued to rise [9]. - The recent dividend cut may position Dow for future success once the chemical industry recovers, although the timing of such recovery remains uncertain [9].

Core Insights - Dow Inc. is a leading U.S.-based materials-science and chemical company with a market capitalization of $17 billion, providing solutions across various industries including packaging, construction, automotive, and consumer goods [1][2] Company Overview - Dow is classified as a "large-cap stock" due to its market cap exceeding $10 billion, highlighting its size and influence in the materials sector [2] - The company focuses on materials innovation, performance, and sustainability, offering foundational solutions for thousands of end-products globally [2] Stock Performance - Dow's stock is currently trading approximately 46.1% below its 52-week high of $44.04, with a 45.8% decline over the past 52 weeks and a 40.8% drop year to date [3][4] - In contrast, the S&P 500 Index has increased by 13.2% over the past year and 16.5% in 2025, indicating significant underperformance by Dow's stock [4] Recent Earnings and Market Reaction - On October 23, Dow's stock surged nearly 13% following the release of third-quarter earnings, despite missing revenue expectations with sales of $9.97 billion [5] - The stock rally was attributed to a narrower-than-expected adjusted loss of $0.19 per share and effective cost-cutting measures, with the company securing over half of its targeted $6.5 billion in near-term cash support [5] - Increased production volumes from new polyethylene and alkoxylation facilities along the U.S. Gulf Coast contributed to margin improvement [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of transforming and upgrading traditional industries to support high-quality development in Suzhou, aligning with national policies and local initiatives [1][2] - The focus is on promoting intelligent, green, and integrated industrial development, which is essential for optimizing traditional industries and strengthening the real economy [1][2] - The local government aims to create a first-class business environment to attract foreign investment and support sustainable development in enterprises like Shagang Group and Dow's Zhangjiagang production base [2] Group 2 - The initiative includes a systematic approach to advancing the "five revitalizations" in rural areas, with a strong emphasis on achieving common prosperity through industrial revitalization [1] - There is a call for local departments to concentrate efforts on economic growth, project production, and attracting high-quality investments as the year-end approaches [2] - The importance of adhering to central and provincial policies for technological upgrades and the development of smart, green, and service-oriented manufacturing is highlighted [2]

Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal research and due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in relation to complex financial instruments like cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations, and users are encouraged to consult competent advisors [1]. Group 2 - The website highlights the high risk associated with cryptocurrencies and CFDs, noting that they are complex instruments that can lead to significant financial losses [1]. - Users are advised to carefully consider their understanding of these instruments and their ability to bear potential losses [1]. - The website encourages thorough research before making any investment decisions and warns against investing in financial instruments without a full understanding of their workings and associated risks [1].