Gamified mobile learning company Duolingo (DUOL 1.35%) has been a market-crushing investment. The stock closed its first day of trading in 2021 at $139 per share. As of this writing, just four years later, it's trading at over $520 per share, up 276% and trading near an all-time high. For perspective, the S&P 500 is up just 34% during this time.Duolingo is outrunning the market for at least two simple reasons. First, it's growing like a weed. Second, it's actually quite a profitable business. The end result ...

Core Insights - Duolingo's stock has increased by 164% over the past 12 months due to strong financial performance and growth potential [1] - The company reported record levels in revenue, bookings, and net income for 2024, with revenue rising 41% to $748 million and net income increasing from $14 million to $89 million [3] - In Q1 2025, revenue jumped 38% year over year to $231 million, and bookings also increased by 38% to $272 million [4] Financial Performance - Monthly active users (MAU) reached 130.2 million, a 33% increase year over year, while daily active users rose by 49% to 46.6 million [5] - The paid subscriber penetration rate improved from 8.6% to 8.9% year over year, indicating better user engagement [6] - The adjusted EBITDA margin improved by approximately 900 basis points to 27.2% for Q1 2025 [4] Market Opportunity - The online language learning industry is projected to be worth $47 billion by 2025, representing a small portion of the $6 trillion global education spending [7] - With 2 billion people worldwide learning a new language, Duolingo has significant room for growth, as less than 10% of its MAUs are paying subscribers [8] Strategic Initiatives - Duolingo is expanding its offerings by adding new subjects like music and math to attract a broader audience [9] - The introduction of artificial intelligence, including enhancements to the virtual assistant Lily, aims to improve learning outcomes and user experience [10] Valuation Concerns - Duolingo's stock is considered expensive, with a price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 250 and a price-to-sales ratio of 30 times trailing revenue [11] - The high valuation carries risks, as any negative developments could lead to a significant contraction in valuation [12]

海外行业报告 | 行业动态研究 Duolingo 2025Q1 业绩点评 证券研究报告 营收月活均超预期，Max 订阅占总订阅 7% 事件： 业绩情况：Duolingo 公布 2025Q1 季报，营业收入 2.3 亿美元，同比增长 38%，超越市场预期 3.7%。一季度公司毛利率为 71.1%，较 2024 年同期 73.0% 同比下降，主要系 Duolingo Max 高级订阅层级扩展带来的生成式 AI 成本 增加，导致订阅毛利率下降。调整后 EBITDA 为 6280 万美元，较去年同期 的 4400 万美元大幅增长；调整后 EBITDA 利润率分别为 27.2%，去年同期 为 26.3%；净利润为 3510 万美元，显著高于去年同期的 2700 万美元 作者 孔蓉 分析师 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110521020002 kongrong@tfzq.com 李泽宇 分析师 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110520110002 lizeyu@tfzq.com DAU、MAU 增长迅速，Max 订阅占总订阅 7%：一季度日活跃用户（DAUs） 为 4660 万，同比增长 49%；月活跃用户（MAUs）为 1 ...

When deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock, investors often rely on analyst recommendations. Media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts often influence a stock's price, but are they really important?Before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage, let's see what these Wall Street heavyweights think about Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) .Duolingo currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.94 ...

Duolingo (DUOL) FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Duolingo - **Industry**: Mobile Learning Platform - **Key Offerings**: Language learning, math, music, and chess courses - **User Metrics**: - 130 million monthly active users - 47 million daily active users - Over 10 million subscribers - **Financial Projections**: Expected to generate over $1 billion in bookings with 28% adjusted EBITDA margins and $360 million in free cash flow in the current year [2][2][2] Key Points and Arguments User Growth and Engagement - Duolingo's freemium model effectively converts users into subscribers, with a strong user growth trajectory, particularly in mature markets [5][6] - Daily Active Users (DAUs) are expected to grow by 40% to 45% in Q2, following a near 60% growth in the same quarter last year [5][6] - The company employs a two-pronged approach for user acquisition: 1. **Social Media Strategy**: Viral content and user-generated content enhance brand visibility [7][8] 2. **Resurrected Users**: Engaging users who have previously stopped using the app contributes significantly to user growth [9][10] Retention Strategies - Duolingo focuses on optimizing user retention through various strategies, including daily engagement nudges and app improvements [11][12] - A dedicated team runs experiments to enhance user experience and retention metrics [12][13] Market Expansion - 46% of DAUs are currently learning English, with a goal to increase this to over 60% by enhancing advanced English content and introducing new features like video calls [21][22][24] - The Duolingo Score, an English proficiency measure, is expected to further drive user engagement and retention [26] Subscription Tiers and Monetization - The introduction of the Max subscription tier, priced at twice the Super tier, is aimed at increasing platform Lifetime Value (LTV) [28][30] - The Family Plan has shown strong retention characteristics and is expected to grow as marketing efforts increase [37][39] - Recent price increases for new subscribers are part of a broader strategy to optimize ARPU while maintaining user conversion rates [41][46] AI and Content Creation - Generative AI is being leveraged for content creation, allowing for rapid expansion of course offerings [56][57] - The company is focused on maintaining incremental margins while investing in growth through AI [59] New Product Verticals - Duolingo has recently launched chess as a new offering, aiming to replicate the success seen in language learning by gamifying the experience [70][73] - The integration of chess into the main app allows for leveraging existing user engagement mechanics [73][74] Additional Insights - The company has a strong historical ethos of prudent spending and organic growth, which contributes to its operational leverage [66][67] - Future strategies will involve experimenting with alternative payment methods and assessing their impact on user conversion and retention [60][62] This summary encapsulates the key insights from Duolingo's FY conference, highlighting the company's growth strategies, user engagement tactics, and future opportunities in the mobile learning space.

Core Insights - The S&P 500 has experienced volatility in 2025, initially dropping 19% from its peak due to President Trump's tariffs but has since recovered to an 8% decline from its high [1] - Duolingo's stock has surged 54% in 2025, largely unaffected by the trade war as its subscription-based model is not subject to tariffs [2][3] Company Performance - Duolingo reported 130.2 million monthly active users (MAU) at the end of Q1, a 33% increase year-over-year, with growth accelerating from 32% in the previous quarter [5] - The company achieved a record 10.3 million paying subscribers, marking a 40% year-over-year increase, indicating strong user engagement and perceived value in paid features [6] - Duolingo generated $230.7 million in revenue during Q1, a 38% year-over-year increase, exceeding management's forecast [9] - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been raised to a high of $996 million, up from $978.5 million, contributing to a 25% stock gain since the Q1 report [10] Profitability and Cost Management - Operating expenses were $140.5 million in Q1, a 32% increase year-over-year, but slower than revenue growth, resulting in a 30% increase in net income to $35.1 million [11] - Marketing costs were minimal at $26.6 million, allowing more investment in research and development for new features [12] Valuation and Investment Considerations - Duolingo's stock has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 29.5, significantly higher than its historical average of 15.8, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 248, compared to the S&P 500's 22.5 [14][16] - Future earnings estimates suggest a forward P/E of 83 for 2025 and 63 for 2026, indicating potential for growth despite current high valuations [17] - While the stock is considered expensive, long-term investors may benefit from growth catalysts like AI and the Max subscription [19]

Investors: Deborah Belevan, IRC, CPA ir@duolingo.com Media: Sam Dalsimer press@duolingo.com About Duolingo Duolingo is the leading mobile learning platform globally. Its flagship app has organically become the world's most popular way to learn languages and the top-grossing app in the Education category on both Google Play and the Apple App Store. With technology at the core of everything it does, Duolingo has consistently invested to provide learners a fun, engaging, and effective learning experience while ...

JPMorgan analyst Bryan M. Smilek reiterated the Overweight rating on Duolingo, Inc. DUOL, with a price forecast of $500.Smilek stated that he continues to see significant potential for Duolingo to deliver strong user growth over multiple years.The analyst noted that motivations for language learning vary by geography and language. Duolingo's 2024 Language Learning Report identifies education, social connections, entertainment, travel, and career advancement as common drivers. This highlights the diversity o ...

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) appears an attractive pick given a noticeable improvement in the company's earnings outlook. The stock has been a strong performer lately, and the momentum might continue with analysts still raising their earnings estimates for the company.Analysts' growing optimism on the earnings prospects of this company is driving estimates higher, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions an ...

Duolingo (NASDAQ: DUOL ) has transformed to a small language app to an all-encompassing educational app largely as a result of generative AI. The results have been incredibly impressive, as monthly active users have increased roughly 5x from 2020 to 130 million monthly"AWS Certified AI Practitioner Early Adopter"I am a DevOps Engineer for a major, wholly owned subsidiary of a large-cap Fortune 500. I am a true subject-matter expert on the actual buildout, deployment, and maintenance of AI tools and applicat ...