Core Viewpoint - Energy Transfer is positioning itself for slow and steady growth in the coming years, despite its challenging past, which may deter conservative dividend investors [1]. Group 1: Historical Challenges - In 2020, Energy Transfer cut its distribution in half, which was a significant blow to dividend investors during the pandemic, while competitors like Enterprise Products Partners and Enbridge continued to increase their distributions [2]. - In 2016, Energy Transfer's attempt to acquire Williams Companies raised concerns when management warned of a potential dividend cut, leading to the issuance of convertible securities that favored insiders [4]. Group 2: Current Position and Future Outlook - The current CEO is different from the one involved in the Williams deal, and the distribution is now growing again, exceeding pre-2020 levels, with a target growth rate of 3% to 5% annually [5]. - Energy Transfer's current distribution yield is 7.4%, and with a 3% growth rate, the total return could exceed 10%, aligning with investor expectations for market returns [6]. - The current distribution is $1.33 per unit, which could grow to $1.79 with a 3% growth rate or $1.82 with a 5% growth rate over the next decade [7].

With just one subscription to Beyond the Wall Investing , you can save thousands of dollars a year on equity research reports from banks. You'll keep your finger on the pulse and have access to the latest and highest-quality analysis of this type of information.Energy Transfer LP ( ET ) is set to report its earnings in about 3 weeks on February 17th, and while it's not usually actively moving onOakoff Investments is a personal portfolio manager and a quantitative research analyst with 5 years helping reader ...

Core Insights - Oil prices have experienced significant gains this month, driven by geopolitical tensions and supply concerns, but have also faced sharp daily reversals, creating a challenging environment for energy investing [3][4] - Broker-recommended stocks such as Expand Energy, Energy Transfer LP, and Archrock, Inc. are highlighted as potential investment opportunities amid the volatility [1][9] Group 1: Oil Market Dynamics - Brent crude has recently surpassed $70 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate has crossed the mid-$60s, indicating multi-month highs and double-digit percentage gains on a monthly basis [3] - Daily price swings have been notable, with prices pulling back by more than 1% in single sessions, influenced by risk-off sentiment, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and changing expectations regarding supply disruptions [4] - Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions have contributed to volatility, with fears of military action and potential disruptions to shipping routes increasing risk premiums [5] Group 2: Company Insights - **Expand Energy**: The largest natural gas producer in the U.S., focused on exploration and production, particularly in the Haynesville and Appalachian regions. It has a strong broker support with 25 out of 30 brokers recommending Strong Buy [13][15] - **Energy Transfer LP**: A major energy partnership with a diversified midstream network, owning extensive infrastructure across the U.S. It has no Strong Sell ratings and a favorable average brokerage recommendation of 1.50 [17][18] - **Archrock, Inc.**: A leading energy infrastructure company specializing in midstream natural gas compression, operating the largest compression fleet in the U.S. It has a favorable average brokerage recommendation of 1.55, with seven out of eleven brokers rating it as Strong Buy [21][22]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The global natural gas industry has undergone a complete cycle from demand collapse and low prices to supply shocks and price surges, leading to a structural reshaping of global trade patterns [2][13] - By 2025, the global natural gas market is expected to be in a state of "tight balance" with demand growth slowing to 0.9% and supply remaining tight due to reliance on North American LNG projects [2][4] - The LNG market is entering a "super expansion cycle" from 2026 to 2030, with an expected cumulative addition of approximately 202 million tons of LNG capacity, primarily concentrated in North America and the Middle East [3][47] Summary by Sections 1. Review of 2020-2024: From Supply Shock to Structural Reshaping of Trade Patterns - The global natural gas industry experienced extreme price fluctuations, with TTF spot prices rising from an average of about 4-5 USD/MMBtu in 2020 to 80-90 USD/MMBtu in August 2022, before falling back to around 10 USD/MMBtu by 2025 [13] - The EU's LNG import share increased from 9% in 2021 to about 19% in 2023, while the US became the largest LNG exporter with 88.4 million tons in 2024 [22] 2. Current Situation in 2025: Tight Balance and Regional Demand Differentiation - The global natural gas market is characterized by a "tight balance" with demand growth slowing to approximately 0.9%, driven by high prices and macroeconomic uncertainties [2][4] - North American LNG supply is expected to increase significantly, with major contributions from projects like Plaquemines and Corpus Christi [32][35] 3. Outlook for 2026-2030: Supply Side - LNG "Super Expansion Cycle" - 2026 is projected to be a critical turning point for the global LNG "super expansion cycle," with an expected cumulative addition of about 202 million tons of LNG capacity, representing a 40% increase from 2025 [3][47] - The supply landscape is shifting from a "multi-polar" to a "US-Qatar dual-core" model, enhancing the pricing power of LNG in global markets [3][47] 4. Outlook for 2026-2030: Demand Side - Moderate Growth and Regional Differentiation - Global natural gas demand is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 1.56% from 2025 to 2030, with significant growth in the Asia-Pacific region, particularly driven by China [4][41] - European demand is anticipated to decline due to renewable energy substitution and decarbonization policies, while North American demand growth is projected to be below 1% [4][41] 5. US Gas Prices: Price Upcycle Driven by LNG Exports and Power Demand - The US natural gas market is transitioning from a tight balance to a shortage, with Henry Hub prices expected to rise significantly by 2027, supported by LNG exports and power demand from data centers [5][6] - The cost of new natural gas wells in the US is projected to stabilize between 3-3.5 USD/MMBtu, providing a long-term price floor for Henry Hub [5][6]

Core Insights - Dividend stocks are favored by investors, particularly Boomers and older Gen X, due to their ability to provide steady passive income and total return potential [1][2] - Total return includes interest, capital gains, dividends, and distributions, exemplified by a stock purchased at $20 with a 3% dividend yielding a total return of 13% when the price rises to $22 [1] - Anticipation of two rate cuts in 2026 suggests that investors should consider high-yield dividend stocks now [1] Dividend Stocks Overview - Since 1926, dividends have contributed approximately 32% to the S&P 500's total return, with capital appreciation accounting for 68% [4] - A study indicates that dividend stocks delivered an annualized return of 9.18% from 1973 to 2023, significantly outperforming non-payers at 3.95% [4] Featured Companies - **Altria Group Inc.**: Offers a 7.30% dividend yield and is a major player in the tobacco industry, selling primarily through wholesalers [5][6] - **Apple Hospitality REIT Inc.**: Owns a large portfolio of upscale hotels, providing an 8.10% monthly dividend [9][10] - **Energy Transfer L.P.**: A leading midstream energy company with a 7.97% distribution, owning over 114,000 miles of pipelines [11][12] - **Healthpeak Properties Inc.**: Focuses on healthcare real estate with a 7.56% dividend, managing properties across various healthcare segments [17][18] - **Verizon Communications Inc.**: A telecommunications giant with a 6.71% dividend, showing strong financial metrics and consistent dividend growth over 20 years [19][20]

Core Insights - The midstream sector is demonstrating strong financial health at the start of 2026, with numerous companies announcing increases in distributions and dividends, reinforcing its position as a reliable income source for investors [1] Payout Growth Across Midstream - Williams (WMB) raised its quarterly cash dividend to $0.525 from $0.50, a 5% increase [1] - Plains All American (PAA/PAGP) increased its quarterly distribution to $0.4175 per unit, reflecting a 9.9% rise [1] - Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) raised its distribution to $0.55, nearly a 1% increase [1] - ONEOK (OKE) announced a 4% sequential increase to $1.07 per share [1] Broad Sector Momentum - Energy Transfer (ET) increased its quarterly distribution to $0.335, a 3.1% year-over-year rise from $0.325 [1] - Hess Midstream (HESM) raised its payout to $0.7641, marking a 9.0% year-over-year increase [1] - Sunoco LP (SUN) announced a distribution of $0.9317, a 5.1% year-over-year increase [1] - Genesis Energy (GEL) raised its distribution by $0.015 to $0.18 per unit, a 9.1% increase [1] - Kinetik (KNTK) raised its payout to $0.81, reflecting a 4% sequential increase [1] - Delek Logistics (DKL) increased its payout to $1.125, representing a 1.85% year-over-year rise [1] ETF Exposure - Energy Transfer, Enterprise, Hess Midstream, Genesis, Delek Logistics, Sunoco, and Plains are included in both the Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP) and the Alerian Energy Infrastructure ETF (ENFR) [1] - AMLP tracks the Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index (AMZI), while ENFR tracks the Alerian Midstream Energy Select Index (AMEI) [1] - Williams, ONEOK, and Kinetik operate as C-corps, with only ENFR holding them [1]

Key Takeaways ET has raised its quarterly distribution 16 times in last five years, signaling strong financial health.The firm emphasizes capital discipline, balance sheet strength and sustainable distribution coverage.ET trades at 9.15X EV/EBITDA, below the industry average of 10.76X, suggesting relative undervaluation.Energy Transfer LP (ET) stands out as a compelling income-focused investment, highlighted by an increase in its quarterly cash distribution over the past five years. The firm has raised its ...

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Core Insights - Master limited partnerships (MLPs) provide significant yields, with Enterprise Products Partners yielding 6.7% and Energy Transfer yielding 7.4%, compared to the S&P 500's 1.1% dividend yield [1] Group 1: MLPs Overview - MLPs offer advantages such as high passive income but require investors to deal with Schedule K-1 tax forms, complicating tax filings [2] - The Alerian MLP ETF tracks the Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index, providing diversification across energy midstream sector MLPs and has an 8% distribution yield based on the last 12 months [4] Group 2: Alerian MLP ETF Details - The Alerian MLP ETF charges an expense ratio of 0.85%, which is higher than many oil stock ETFs, but offers tax simplicity by processing K-1s and providing a single Form 1099 to shareholders [5] - The fund's asset allocation includes 29.4% in petroleum pipeline transportation, 24.3% in natural gas pipeline transportation, and 21.1% in gas gathering and processing [7] Group 3: Top Holdings and Performance - The ETF has significant exposure to Energy Transfer, which constitutes 12.5% of its assets, and generates about 90% of its earnings from fee-based sources, ensuring stable cash flow for high-yield distributions [8]

Energy Transfer ( ET ) is still one of my biggest holdings right now and I have no intention of changing this, only to increase it. It has continued to perform well and the marketMy name is Andres Veurink and I have been in the financial markets for over a decade at this point, spending the majority of that in a hedge fund here in Rotterdam, working my way up as an analyst. My work relfect rigourious standards as I myself have a very high standard as to what I invest my money in. My preferred sectors to fol ...