Core Insights - Flutter Entertainment, the owner of FanDuel, announced that the UK government's plans to increase online gaming taxes will significantly impact its adjusted EBITDA, estimating a reduction of approximately $320 million in fiscal 2026 and $540 million in 2027 [1] Financial Impact - The anticipated adjusted EBITDA impact for fiscal 2026 is about $320 million [1] - The projected adjusted EBITDA impact for fiscal 2027 is around $540 million [1]

Core Viewpoint - The UK Government's recent changes to online gaming taxation will significantly impact Flutter Entertainment's adjusted EBITDA, with expected impacts of approximately $320 million in fiscal 2026 and $540 million in fiscal 2027 [1][2]. Tax Changes and Financial Impact - Effective from April 2026, the iGaming tax will increase by 19 percentage points to 40 percent, while from April 2027, the sports betting tax (excluding horse racing) will rise by 10 percentage points to 25 percent [5]. - The adjusted EBITDA impact for Flutter is projected to be $320 million in 2026 and $540 million in 2027, with first order mitigation expected to be around 27% in 2026 and 37% in 2027 [2][6]. Mitigation Strategies - Flutter anticipates that direct first order mitigation, including reduced operational, promotional, and marketing spend, will account for approximately 20% of the gross impact in the first six months post-implementation, increasing to about 40% thereafter [2]. - The company expects to leverage its scale and market position to achieve material second order mitigation benefits, potentially gaining market share and improving operational efficiencies [2][3]. Industry Context - The tax increases are viewed as detrimental to the industry, potentially benefiting illegal gambling operators who do not pay taxes and do not invest in safer gambling practices [3]. - The UK's remote gaming duty is now higher than in countries like the Netherlands, which has previously seen a rise in illegal gambling following tax increases [3]. Company Overview - Flutter Entertainment is a leading online sports betting and iGaming operator with a diverse portfolio of brands, including FanDuel, Sky Betting & Gaming, and PokerStars, generating $14,048 million in revenue globally for fiscal 2024, a 19% year-over-year increase [9].

Core Insights - Flutter Entertainment is the world leader in online sports betting and igaming, with 13.9 million average monthly players globally in 2024 [1] - The company has a market cap of $33.8 billion and reported $15.43 billion in revenue over the past four quarters [2] - The online sports betting market is projected to grow from $53.78 billion in 2023 to $93.31 billion by 2030, reflecting a five-year CAGR of 11.65% [4] Company Performance - Flutter's stock has seen a significant decline, dropping 37% since late August and 25% year-to-date, attributed to increased investment spending, regulatory changes, and unfavorable sporting event outcomes [7] - In Q3 2025, Flutter reported revenue of $3.79 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, and adjusted EPS of $1.64, exceeding analyst expectations [8] - As of September 30, Flutter had $1.73 billion in cash and liquid assets [8] Analyst Recommendations - Analyst Trey Bowers from Wells Fargo maintains an optimistic long-term outlook for Flutter, citing its strong market position and cash generation capabilities [9] - Bowers rates Flutter shares as Overweight (Buy) with a price target of $272, indicating a potential upside of 41% [9] - Flutter has a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 24 recent analyst reviews, with an average target price of $311.43, suggesting a one-year gain of 61% [10] Industry Trends - The online sports betting sector is experiencing rapid growth, leading to a shift in investor sentiment away from traditional casino companies [4] - Sportradar, a key player in the sports tech industry, provides essential data services for the online betting market, enhancing engagement and betting activities [12] - Sportradar's revenue for Q3 2025 was €292 million, up 14.5% year-over-year, with a profit of €22 million [14]

Core Insights - Missouri's legal sports betting is set to launch statewide on December 1, with analysts predicting a competitive online sports betting market due to the state's population ranking 19th in the U.S. [1] - The first-year betting volume in Missouri is expected to reach between $3.5 billion and $4 billion, coinciding with a busy sports event period and aggressive promotional activities from major betting companies [1] - The legalization of sports betting in Missouri was approved by voters through Amendment 2 in November 2024, allowing for online and physical betting under the regulation of the Missouri Gaming Commission [1] Group 1 - Major players in the Missouri market are expected to include FanDuel and DraftKings as early leaders in betting volume, with BetMGM, Caesars Entertainment, bet365, and Fanatics also holding significant market shares [1] - DraftKings holds one of the two unlinked mobile operating licenses in Missouri, allowing statewide operations without mandatory partnerships with casinos or teams, focusing on same-game parlays and live betting options [2] - Circa Sports unexpectedly received the second unlinked license, known for its precise odds and higher betting limits [2] Group 2 - BetMGM has obtained a temporary license and plans to launch statewide online operations, supported by a market access agreement with Century Casinos [3] - Caesars Sportsbook will begin operations on launch day through existing ownership of Missouri casinos, emphasizing its rewards program for cross-selling between its app and physical casinos [3] - Other notable operators include bet365, which is partnering with the St. Louis Cardinals, and Fanatics, which has secured an online betting license through a market access agreement with Boyd Gaming [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in shares of DraftKings Inc and Flutter Entertainment PLC is seen as unwarranted by analysts, who believe both companies have significant opportunities in the prediction markets space, estimated at $5 billion [1][3][6]. Company Analysis - DraftKings has an Outperform rating with a price target of $48, while Flutter Entertainment also holds an Outperform rating with a price target of $330 [1][2]. - The total addressable market (TAM) for DraftKings and Flutter in prediction markets is estimated at $5 billion, which includes $4.4 billion for sports prediction markets and $600 million for non-sports prediction markets [4]. - Analysts estimate that DraftKings and Flutter could achieve market shares of 14% and 16%, respectively, in prediction markets in states where online sports betting is not yet legalized [5]. Market Context - Since the end of August, DraftKings and Flutter have seen market capitalizations decrease by approximately $10 billion and $20 billion, respectively [6]. - The market is currently pricing in a worst-case scenario regarding the TAM, assuming that all states legalize online sports betting without allowing the launch of prediction markets [6]. - DraftKings shares closed at $29.44, down 1.83%, while Flutter shares closed at $191.79, down 0.79%, reflecting year-to-date declines of 18.9% and 24.7%, respectively [7][8].

Core Insights - FanDuel has launched "Pass The Leg," a multi-user parlay builder that enhances social interaction in sports betting, coinciding with Thanksgiving [1][3][4] Group Features - The feature allows users to collaboratively build a parlay by inviting friends and family to contribute picks, making it a shared experience [2][3] - Each participant can place individual bets using their own funds and benefit from a dedicated Profit Boost for the group parlay [2][4] Market Position - "Pass The Leg" is the first true multi-user parlay-building experience offered by a major U.S. sportsbook operator, catering to the demand for more interactive betting experiences [3][4] - FanDuel aims to integrate social elements into the betting experience, reflecting how fans engage in group chats and gatherings [4] Operational Details - The feature is available exclusively for the three NFL games on Thanksgiving Day, allowing a minimum of three legs and up to twenty-five total legs in a parlay [3][4] - FanDuel operates across all 50 states with approximately 17 million customers and 25 retail locations, indicating a strong market presence [5]

Core Insights - The article compiles significant research calls from Wall Street, highlighting upgrades and downgrades of various companies that investors should be aware of [1] Upgrades - Wells Fargo upgraded Merck (MRK) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $125, increased from $90, citing business development and pipeline progress as key factors for revenue growth in the early 2030s [2] - Wolfe Research upgraded Morgan Stanley (MS) to Outperform from Peer Perform with a price target of $198, anticipating accelerated revenue growth from investment banking share gains and organic growth in wealth management [3] - HSBC upgraded Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) to Buy from Hold with a price target of $228, reduced from $265, viewing the recent share selloff as a buying opportunity [3] - BofA upgraded Booking Holdings (BKNG) to Buy from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $6,000, believing that concerns regarding disintermediation risks from Google and OpenAI are overstated [4] - Wedbush upgraded Carvana (CVNA) to Outperform from Neutral with a price target of $400, increased from $380, suggesting that the recent share pullback is overdone [5] Downgrades - UBS downgraded JFrog (FROG) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $65, up from $48, indicating that while AI-related benefits are significant, the larger revenue impact is likely 12-18 months away [6] - Jefferies downgraded Exact Sciences (EXAS) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $105, up from $90, due to the pending acquisition by Abbott, which is seen as a win for Exact Sciences [6] - Evercore ISI downgraded QuantumScape (QS) to In Line from Outperform with a price target of $12, up from $8, citing valuation concerns as shares have risen 200% year-to-date [6] - UBS downgraded Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ) to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $188, up from $163, stating that the stock appears fairly valued after a strong Phase 3 GEA update and a 25% stock increase [6] - TD Cowen downgraded PureCycle Technologies (PCT) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $9, down from $16, due to delays in orders and growth plans, prompting a more cautious stance [6]

Core Insights - Flutter Entertainment plc (NYSE:FLUT) is experiencing a competitive environment for account openings, leading to a decline in stock performance despite being a strong company [1] - The company reported mixed earnings, with soft revenue attributed to adverse gambling outcomes, but higher than expected earnings [1] - Flutter is expanding into the predictions market with the launch of FanDuel Predicts in partnership with the CME Group [1] Company Overview - Flutter Entertainment operates well-known brands in sports betting and online gaming, including FanDuel, PokerStars, Betfair, and Paddy Power [1] - The company is navigating a challenging market environment characterized by intense competition [1] Financial Performance - The latest earnings report indicated soft revenue due to unfavorable gambling outcomes [1] - Despite the revenue challenges, Flutter achieved higher than expected earnings [1] Strategic Initiatives - Flutter is entering the predictions market, similar to recent moves by competitors like DraftKings [1] - The launch of FanDuel Predicts is set for next month, indicating a proactive approach to market expansion [1]

The NBA, MLB and NFL have all worked with betting companies to put restrictions on prop bets — wagers placed on a specific statistic within a game ...

Group 1: DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment - Wells Fargo initiated coverage of DraftKings (DKNG) with an Equal Weight rating and a price target of $31, expressing a bullish outlook on domestic online sports betting growth but indicating a wait for a better entry point due to near-term pressures and competition [1] - Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) was also initiated with an Overweight rating by Wells Fargo [1] Group 2: Carnival and Cruise Line Industry - Carnival (CCL) received an Overweight rating and a price target of $37 from Wells Fargo, which views the cruise sector as the most compelling within its gaming, leisure, and lodging coverage [1] - Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) and Royal Caribbean (RCL) were similarly initiated with Overweight ratings by Wells Fargo [1] Group 3: Cybersecurity Companies - Berenberg initiated coverage of Okta (OKTA) with a Buy rating and a price target of $145, considering both Okta and SentinelOne (S) as misunderstood stories with potential for re-rating [1] - CrowdStrike (CRWD) was initiated with a Hold rating and a price target of $600, with Berenberg noting that the market has already priced in its position at the top of the revenue duration curve [1] - Berenberg also started coverage of Rapid7 (RPD) and Qualys (QLYS) with Hold ratings [1] Group 4: Optical Communications - Mizuho initiated coverage of Lumentum (LITE) with an Outperform rating and a price target of $290, highlighting its role as a leading supplier in optical communications and lasers, benefiting from surging demand in artificial intelligence [1]