Fourth Quarter 2025 Investor Supplement Key Financial & Metrics Highlights First Quarter and Full Year 2026 Guidance | | Q1 2026 | Full Year 2026 | | --- | --- | --- | | Total Revenue (millions) | $168.0 - $174.0 | $700.0 - $720.0 | | Non-GAAP Operating (3) Income (millions) | $14.0 - $18.0 | $50.0 - $60.0 | | Non-GAAP Net Income (4)(5) per share | $0.07 - $0.10 | $0.23 - $0.29 | Exhibit 99.2 Calculations of Key and Other Selected Metrics – Quarterly (unaudited) Product Innovation and Developments Customer ...

Group 1 - DA Davidson lowered the price target on Fastly (FSLY) to $9 from $11.50 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the shares ahead of its Q4 results [1] - The firm is optimistic about the setup for the quarter, citing recent price action and positive management commentary regarding traffic growth and pricing during intra-quarter conversations and investor meetings [1]

Core Insights - The fourth-quarter 2025 earnings for Internet stocks were significantly influenced by the acceleration of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption and substantial infrastructure investments, with major tech companies increasing capital expenditures, notably Meta's spending nearly doubling to $115-$135 billion for 2026 to support AI initiatives [1][4] - AI-driven demand led to strong revenue growth, particularly benefiting software analytics companies and cloud computing providers, while social media platforms saw revenue boosts from strong advertising demand and improved AI-powered recommendation algorithms [1][4] Company Performance - Meta Platforms (META) experienced a strong fourth-quarter performance, benefiting from increased AI integration across its services, which reach over 3.58 billion users daily, and an improved recommendation system that enhances user engagement [2] - Spotify Technology is expected to report fourth-quarter revenues of €4.5 billion, reflecting a 13% year-over-year growth, with significant user engagement driven by AI-driven personalization and a 54% surge in video podcast consumption [12] - Fastly anticipates fourth-quarter revenues between $159-$163 million, with a non-GAAP EPS of 4-8 cents, supported by accelerating security revenue and successful cross-sell initiatives [14] - Akamai Technologies is projected to benefit from robust growth in Cloud Infrastructure Services, with annual recurring revenue growth of 40-45%, driven by major contract wins and AI-driven demand [16] - Five9 expects sequential revenue growth towards a guided $297.7 million midpoint, fueled by strong backlog conversion and a 41% year-over-year surge in enterprise AI revenue [18] Market Dynamics - The digital advertising market showed resilience, benefiting from improved targeting technologies that enhanced return on investment for advertisers, while cloud infrastructure demand continued to expand as enterprises accelerated digital transformation initiatives [5] - The Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle has supported growth-oriented Internet stocks, creating a more favorable financial environment, alongside seasonal market patterns that historically boost fourth-quarter performance [6] - Despite these positive dynamics, tariff-related uncertainties and economic deceleration concerns pose challenges, particularly for advertising-dependent business models and traditional software application companies [7][8]

Group 1 - Fastly Inc. (NASDAQ:FSLY) is recognized as one of the best tech stocks under $10 to buy, with a recent price target increase from $10 to $11 by Piper Sandler while maintaining a Neutral rating [1] - Following the analyst report, Fastly's stock price rose by 4.57% from $10.07 on January 6 to $10.53 on January 7, but subsequently fell sharply by 11.59% to $9.31 on January 9 [1] - RBC Capital analyst reaffirmed a Hold rating with a $10 price target on January 13, while Citi lowered its price target from $12 to $10 on January 16, maintaining a Neutral rating amid adjusted outlook targets [2] Group 2 - Fastly Inc. provides real-time content delivery network services, including load balancing, image optimization, video on demand, and managed edge delivery [3]

Fastly (FSLY) shares soared 5.1% in the last trading session to close at $10.28. The move was backed by solid volume with far more shares changing hands than in a normal session. This compares to the stock's 4.2% loss over the past four weeks.Fastly benefits from the introduction of additional security and AI enhancements on the platform, including API Discovery, providing help to the clients to constantly identify and secure their APIs whenever traffic flows through the Fastly platform.This cloud software ...

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgency to invest now [1][13] - The energy demands of AI technologies are significant, with data centers consuming as much energy as small cities, leading to concerns about power grid strain and rising electricity prices [2][3] Investment Opportunity - A specific company is highlighted as a critical player in the AI energy sector, owning essential energy infrastructure assets that are poised to benefit from the increasing energy demands of AI [3][7] - This company is not a chipmaker or cloud platform but is positioned to profit from the surge in electricity demand driven by AI data centers [3][6] Market Position - The company is described as a "toll booth" operator in the AI energy boom, collecting fees from energy exports and benefiting from the onshoring trend due to tariffs [5][6] - It has a unique footprint in nuclear energy, which is considered vital for America's future power strategy [7][14] Financial Health - The company is noted for being debt-free and holding a significant cash reserve, amounting to nearly one-third of its market capitalization, which positions it favorably compared to other energy firms burdened by debt [8][10] - It also has a substantial equity stake in another AI-related company, providing indirect exposure to multiple growth engines in the AI sector [9][10] Market Sentiment - There is a growing interest from Wall Street in this company, as it is seen as undervalued and capable of delivering real cash flows while being tied to critical infrastructure [8][10] - The company is trading at less than 7 times earnings, making it an attractive investment opportunity in the context of AI and energy [10][11] Future Outlook - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive rapid advancements and innovation, reinforcing the notion that investing in AI is backing the future [12][13] - The combination of AI infrastructure needs, energy demands, and the onshoring boom presents a unique investment landscape that the company is well-positioned to navigate [14]

Company Overview - Datadog offers a cloud observability and security platform that enables enterprises to monitor infrastructure, applications, logs, and user experience in a unified manner, becoming essential for companies managing complex systems in hybrid cloud and AI-heavy environments [2] - Datadog's Q3 2025 revenue increased by 28% year-over-year to $886 million, with a non-GAAP operating income of $207 million, reflecting a 23% margin and free cash flow of $214 million [5] - Recent partnerships include an integration with Contrast Security and an expanded collaboration with AWS, aimed at enhancing AI, observability, and security capabilities [6] Market Dynamics - The global enterprise software market is projected to reach approximately $1.43 trillion by 2026, representing a 15.2% increase from the previous year, driven by significant investments in AI [4] - Established software companies are facing pressure on growth and profit margins as IT budgets increasingly shift towards AI-first software and automated solutions [4] Valuation and Performance - Datadog's stock trades at a forward P/E of about 252x, significantly higher than the sector average of 25.5x, indicating a premium valuation that leaves little room for error [1] - Despite a 15% decline over the past 52 weeks and a 12.48% year-to-date drop, Datadog's valuation remains demanding [1] Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street analysts maintain a positive outlook on Datadog, with a consensus rating of "Strong Buy" and an average price target of $205.48, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 72.64% from its current price of $119.02 [7] - Analysts express concerns about AI-related disruptions affecting Datadog and similar companies, prompting a reevaluation of their long-term earnings potential [3]

Core Insights - Fastly's Chief Technology Officer, Artur Bergman, sold 40,000 shares for approximately $409,200, which aligns with his established trading pattern and reflects a reduction in his direct holdings [5][7] - The company reported record revenue of $158.2 million in Q3, up from $137.2 million the previous year, although it still faced an operating loss of $28.8 million [8] - Fastly's stock price has increased, reaching a 52-week high of $12.59, making it a less favorable time for new investments [9][10] Company Overview - Fastly provides edge cloud infrastructure, focusing on performance, security, and developer flexibility for global enterprises [6] - The company's strategy aims to expand its programmable edge capabilities to capitalize on growth in digital transformation and cloud-native application delivery [6] Trading Activity - Bergman's recent sale of 40,000 shares is double the median size of his previous transactions, indicating a shift in his trading activity as his direct ownership has decreased [4] - Post-transaction, Bergman retains 2,730,579 shares directly and has a total economic exposure of 7,180,828 shares, including indirect holdings [3][5] Market Context - The sale occurred during a period of rising stock prices, suggesting that it is part of a prearranged trading plan to avoid insider trading accusations [7] - Fastly's elevated price-to-sales ratio indicates that it may not be the best time to buy shares, with recommendations to wait for a price drop before investing [9][10]

Core Insights - Cloudflare (NET) and Fastly (FSLY) are prominent players in the content delivery network (CDN) market, with Cloudflare focusing on global expansion and Fastly emphasizing high-performance, programmable solutions [1][2] Cloudflare Overview - Cloudflare's CDN offers a globally distributed, high-performance platform that enhances content delivery while ensuring secure web connectivity [3] - The company employs techniques such as tiered caching and Argo smart routing to optimize delivery efficiency, supporting advanced protocols like HTTP/3 [3] - Cloudflare serves approximately 80% of leading AI companies globally, which has led to increased enterprise adoption and long-term commitments [4] - The company has over 55 revenue-generating products, with its security solutions like Magic Transit and Zero Trust gaining traction [5] - Cloudflare's AI inference strategy maximizes system efficiency, leading to a projected 21.3% year-over-year earnings growth for 2025, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 60 days [6] Fastly Overview - Fastly's Managed CDN provides customers with control and flexibility, allowing dedicated server setups within private networks [9][10] - The platform includes DDoS protection, bot management, and advanced rate limiting, enhancing its appeal to large streaming companies [10][11] - Fastly's security revenue has grown by 30% year-over-year, driven by platform expansion and AI integration [12] - The company faces a challenge with $188.6 million in convertible senior notes maturing in March 2026, which may complicate refinancing due to high interest rates [13] Stock Performance and Valuation - In the last three months, Fastly's shares increased by 21.6%, while Cloudflare's shares decreased by 7.3% [14] - Cloudflare trades at a forward sales multiple of 26.23X, whereas Fastly trades at a significantly lower multiple of 2.34X [15] Conclusion - Cloudflare is viewed as a safer investment option due to its larger scale, broader product portfolio, and stronger enterprise traction, with a clearer pathway for AI monetization translating into earnings growth [17]

Core Insights - The latest performance report of North American software sector provides reassurance to the market, with median revenue CAGR for SaaS and infrastructure software companies remaining stable at 15% for 2024-2026, while the average increased from 15% to 16% [1] - Net Revenue Retention (NRR) rates remain stable, with notable performances from Cloudflare and Rubrik, indicating strong customer retention and upsell potential [1] - The software industry is expected to achieve a second acceleration in growth as generative AI and Agentic AI transition from concepts to strategic necessities for businesses by 2026 [1] Revenue Performance - Revenue growth rates for the covered companies show a median CAGR of 15% for 2024-2026, with the average slightly increasing to 16% [1] - The industry has not seen significant downward revisions in revenue expectations for two consecutive quarters, indicating stability [1] Profitability Metrics - Operating Profit Margin (OPM) is expected to see a modest increase, with the median rising from 1.0% to 1.2% and the average from 2.3% to 2.6% for 2024-2026 [2] - More than half of the companies in the sample did not experience any changes in operating profit margins, reflecting a cautious approach to cost-cutting [2] - Companies are focusing on reinvesting AI-driven efficiency gains into sales and R&D rather than further reducing costs [2] Individual Company Analysis - Rubrik leads the sector with a revised revenue CAGR of 34% for 2024-2026, alongside significant improvements in operating profit margin and free cash flow rate [3] - DigitalOcean shows exceptional sales efficiency, with its sales efficiency metric increasing significantly, allowing it to advance its growth targets by a year [3] - Fastly has demonstrated a strong recovery, with upward revisions in revenue growth guidance and improvements in multiple performance metrics [4] Market Trends - The overall industry is showing positive momentum, with average revenue exceeding expectations by 2.3% and profit exceeding expectations by 2.8% [5] - Check Point and Fastly have notably outperformed expectations, with Check Point achieving its fastest growth rate since 2012 [5] Strategic Outlook - Citigroup maintains a preference for companies with large scale, stable growth, and high efficiency, highlighting Datadog, CrowdStrike, and Zscaler as leaders [6] - The competitive landscape in the AI sector is expected to shift significantly by 2026, favoring companies with strong customer resources, technology reserves, and cash flow [6] - Investors are encouraged to focus on established growth leaders rather than speculative turnaround stocks [6]