Core Insights - Generac Holdings Inc. has faced significant stock price decline following a disappointing quarterly report, leading to a reduction in its forecast due to insufficient natural disasters impacting its core generator business [1] Company Overview - Generac Holdings Inc. specializes in manufacturing and distributing energy technology products, which include residential and industrial generators, battery storage systems, smart home solutions, and outdoor power equipment [2] Investment Perspective - While Generac is recognized as a potential investment, there are other AI stocks that are perceived to offer greater upside potential and lower downside risk, suggesting a competitive investment landscape [3]

Core Insights - Generac Holdings Inc. reported third-quarter earnings of $1.1 billion in revenue and $1.82 in earnings per share, both of which fell short of FactSet estimates of $1.2 billion and $2.18 respectively [2] - The company attributed its poor performance to fewer hurricanes, but there are concerns about other underlying issues, including high borrowing costs [3] Company Performance - Generac's revenue for the third quarter was $1.1 billion, missing estimates by $100 million [2] - Earnings per share were reported at $1.82, which was $0.36 below the expected $2.18 [2] Market Commentary - Jim Cramer expressed skepticism about Generac's explanation for its performance, suggesting that reliance on borrowing in a high-interest-rate environment could be problematic [3] - Cramer indicated that while Generac has potential, other AI stocks may offer better investment opportunities with higher returns and lower risks [3]

Core Insights - Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) reported Q3 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.83, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.25 and down from $2.25 in the prior-year quarter [1][9] - Net sales were $1.11 billion, a decrease of 5% compared to $1.17 billion in the prior-year quarter, also missing the consensus estimate of $1.2 billion [2][9] - The company has revised its 2025 revenue expectations to flat growth, down from an earlier guidance of 2-5% increase [3] Financial Performance - Net income margin is now expected to be 6%, reduced from the previous guidance of 7.5-8.5% [4] - Adjusted EBITDA margin is estimated to be 17%, down from the previous range of 18-19% [4] - Free cash flow conversion from adjusted net income is now expected to be 80%, compared to the earlier guidance of 90-100% [4] Segment Performance - Domestic revenues fell 8% year over year to $938.1 million, with acquisitions contributing a 1% benefit [7] - International revenues increased by 11% year over year to $185.5 million, aided by a 3% favorable impact from foreign currency fluctuations [8] - Residential product revenues decreased by 13% year over year to $627 million, while C&I revenues rose by 9% to $358 million [10] Margin and Operating Metrics - Gross profit was $426.9 million, down from $472.3 million in the prior-year quarter, with respective margins of 38.3% and 40.2% [11] - Operating income decreased by 38.9% year over year to $103.1 million, and adjusted EBITDA fell to $193 million from $232 million a year ago [12] Cash Flow and Liquidity - The company generated $118.4 million of net cash from operating activities in Q3, with free cash flow totaling $96.5 million [13] - As of September 30, 2025, GNRC had $300 million in cash and cash equivalents, with long-term borrowings and finance-lease obligations totaling nearly $1.36 billion [13] - GNRC has a new share buyback authorization of up to $500 million for the next 24 months [14]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overall net sales decreased 5% year-over-year to $1.11 billion from $1.17 billion [5][25] - Residential net sales declined 13% to $627 million compared to $723 million in the prior year [25] - Commercial and industrial (C&I) product sales increased 9% to $358 million from $328 million in the prior year [25] - Adjusted EBITDA margin decreased to 17.3% from 19.8% in the prior year [28] - GAAP net income was $66 million, down from $114 million in the prior year [30] - Diluted net income per share decreased to $1.12 from $1.89 in the prior year [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home standby and portable generator shipments grew sequentially but were below seasonal expectations, with a mid-teens decline year-over-year [5][6] - Sales of residential energy technology solutions grew significantly, driven by energy storage systems in Puerto Rico [13] - C&I product sales growth was led by domestic telecom and industrial distributor channels, with international sales increasing 11% [19][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The power outage environment was significantly below long-term averages, resulting in lower demand for home standby and portable generators [5][6] - International sales benefited from favorable foreign currency impacts, contributing to an 11% increase in total international sales [19][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its presence in the data center market, with a backlog for large megawatt generators doubling to over $300 million [6][20] - New product rollouts include next-generation home standby generators and energy storage systems, aimed at enhancing market share and sales growth [12][15] - The company plans to recalibrate investment levels in response to a contracting market environment expected in 2026 due to reduced federal incentives [16][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the low outage environment is temporary and expects a return to normal conditions, which will support growth in residential products [53][54] - The company anticipates a contraction in the solar and storage market in 2026 but remains optimistic about long-term growth driven by rising electricity prices and declining technology costs [16][56] - Management emphasized the importance of aggressive capacity expansion and investment in the C&I business to capitalize on unique market opportunities [24][76] Other Important Information - The company expects free cash flow for fiscal 2025 to be approximately $300 million, providing flexibility for future investments [36] - Total debt outstanding at the end of the quarter was $1.4 billion, with a gross debt leverage ratio of 1.8 times [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: What have you learned about the data center market opportunity? - Management highlighted a structural deficit in backup power supply for data centers and ongoing productive conversations with hyperscalers, indicating optimism for future orders [43][45] Question: How should we think about 2026 with the current moving parts? - Management acknowledged the weak outage environment but expressed confidence in a return to growth in residential products, supported by an expanding dealer network and improved close rates [51][54] Question: What are the biggest challenges in adding capacity quickly? - Management noted successful rapid product line integration in Wisconsin and ongoing upgrades to facilities to support increased capacity, emphasizing a strong financial position to support these efforts [79][81]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overall net sales decreased 5% year-over-year to $1.11 billion from $1.17 billion [5][25] - Residential net sales declined 13% to $627 million compared to $723 million in the prior year [25] - Commercial and industrial (C&I) product sales increased 9% to $358 million from $328 million in the prior year [26] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $193 million, representing 17.3% of net sales, down from $232 million or 19.8% in the prior year [28] - GAAP net income was $66 million compared to $114 million in the prior year [31] - Diluted net income per share was $1.12, down from $1.89 in the prior year [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home standby and portable generator shipments grew sequentially but were below seasonal expectations, with a mid-teens decline year-over-year [5][6] - Sales of residential energy technology solutions grew significantly, driven by energy storage systems in Puerto Rico [13] - C&I product sales growth was driven by domestic telecom customers and initial shipments of large megawatt generators to data center customers [26][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International sales increased 11% to $185 million, benefiting from favorable foreign currency impacts [30] - The backlog for large megawatt generators doubled to over $300 million in the last 90 days, indicating strong demand in the data center market [20][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its presence in the data center market, with plans for capacity expansion and investments to support growth [22][23] - New product rollouts, including next-generation home standby generators, are expected to drive future sales growth [12][14] - The company plans to recalibrate investment levels in response to a contracting market environment in 2026 due to reduced federal incentives [16][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the low outage environment has negatively impacted demand for home standby and portable generators, but structural trends indicate future growth potential [23][53] - The company anticipates a contraction in the solar and storage market in 2026 but remains optimistic about long-term opportunities due to rising electricity prices and declining technology costs [16][56] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capitalize on the growing data center market and improve operational efficiencies [22][76] Other Important Information - The company expects free cash flow of approximately $300 million for fiscal 2025, providing flexibility for future investments [36] - Adjusted EBITDA margin expectations for the full year 2025 have been reduced to approximately 17% due to unfavorable sales mix and operating expense deleverage [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: What have you learned about the data center market opportunity? - Management highlighted a structural deficit in backup power supply for data centers and ongoing productive conversations with hyperscalers, indicating optimism for future orders [43][45] Question: How should we think about 2026 with the current moving parts? - Management noted that while the residential product category faced challenges due to low outage activity, they expect growth in 2026 with improved close rates and a return to normal outage levels [51][54] Question: What are the biggest challenges in adding capacity quickly? - Management acknowledged the challenges in supply chain and manufacturing operations but expressed confidence in their ability to bring new products online effectively [79][81]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overall net sales decreased 5% year-over-year to $1.11 billion from $1.17 billion [4][24] - Residential net sales declined 13% to $627 million compared to $723 million in the prior year [24] - Commercial and industrial (C&I) product sales increased 9% to $358 million from $328 million in the prior year [25] - Gross profit margin was 38.3%, down from 40.2% in the prior year [26] - Adjusted EBITDA was $193 million, representing 17.3% of net sales, compared to $232 million or 19.8% in the prior year [27] - GAAP net income was $66 million, down from $114 million in the prior year [28] - Diluted net income per share was $1.12, compared to $1.89 in the prior year [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home standby and portable generator shipments grew sequentially but were below seasonal expectations due to a low power outage environment [4][5] - Global C&I product sales increased 9%, driven by domestic telecom and industrial distributor channels [4] - Sales of residential energy technology solutions grew significantly, led by energy storage systems in Puerto Rico [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International sales increased 11%, benefiting from strong C&I product shipments in Europe and initial shipments to data center customers in Australia [17] - The backlog for large megawatt generators doubled to over $300 million in the last 90 days, indicating strong demand in the data center market [5][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging new products and marketing capabilities to drive market share gains and significant sales growth [14] - Plans to recalibrate investment levels in response to a contracting market environment expected in 2026 due to reduced federal incentives [14] - The company aims to expand capacity and capabilities for C&I products, particularly in the data center market, with expectations of doubling C&I product sales over the next three to five years [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the low outage environment has negatively impacted demand for home standby and portable generators, but structural trends indicate ongoing challenges with power reliability [21][22] - The company anticipates a contraction in the solar and storage market in 2026 but remains optimistic about long-term growth due to rising electricity prices and declining component costs [14][59] - Management expressed confidence in the data center market's growth potential, with significant backlog and ongoing discussions with hyperscalers [19][46] Other Important Information - The company expects consolidated net sales for the full year 2025 to be approximately flat compared to the prior year, with a shift in sales mix impacting gross and adjusted EBITDA margins [32][33] - Free cash flow is projected to be approximately $300 million for fiscal 2025, providing flexibility for future investments [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: What have you learned about the data center market opportunity? - The company sees a unique opportunity in the data center market due to supply constraints and ongoing demand for backup power solutions [44][45] - Conversations with hyperscalers are productive, and the company is optimistic about becoming an approved supplier [46] Question: How should we think about 2026 with the current moving parts? - Management indicated that the weak outage environment is temporary and expects a return to growth in residential products if outages normalize [53][55] - The company anticipates a contraction in the solar and storage market but remains confident in long-term growth potential [59][60] Question: What are the biggest challenges in adding capacity quickly? - The company is confident in its ability to bring new products online and has made significant upgrades to its facilities to support this [87] - Supply chain constraints are not expected to be a major issue, as the engine partner has ample capacity [88]

Core Insights - Generac Holdings reported revenue of $1.11 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.1% and an EPS of $1.83, down from $2.25 a year ago [1] - The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.2 billion by 7.44%, and the EPS also missed the consensus estimate of $2.25 by 18.67% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from Residential products was $626.71 million, significantly below the average estimate of $714.3 million, marking a year-over-year decline of 13.3% [4] - Revenue from Other products was $129.37 million, slightly above the average estimate of $127.9 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 5.3% [4] - Revenue from Commercial & Industrial products reached $358.27 million, exceeding the average estimate of $352.7 million, with a year-over-year increase of 9.2% [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Generac Holdings have returned +13.6%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.8% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Generac Holdings reported quarterly earnings of $1.83 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.25 per share, representing an earnings surprise of -18.67% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.11 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.44% [2] - Generac Holdings has outperformed the S&P 500 with a 22.6% gain since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's 17.2% gain [3] Earnings Performance - The company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters [2] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $2.50 on $1.24 billion in revenues, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.56 on $4.44 billion in revenues [7] Market Outlook - The estimate revisions trend for Generac Holdings was unfavorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] - The outlook for the Manufacturing - General Industrial industry, to which Generac belongs, is currently in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact stock performance [8]

Core Insights - Premarket trading is showing notable activity with significant price movements indicating potential trading opportunities before the market opens [1] Premarket Gainers - Cambium Networks Corporation (CMBM) has seen a remarkable increase of 306%, trading at $2.51 [3] - Teradyne, Inc. (TER) is up 21%, currently priced at $176.00 [3] - Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) has risen by 18%, trading at $134.50 [3] - Jamf Holding Corp. (JAMF) is up 15%, with a price of $12.85 [3] - CSG Systems International, Inc. (CSGS) has increased by 14%, trading at $79.00 [3] - Olympic Steel, Inc. (ZEUS) is also up 14%, currently priced at $34.20 [3] - Beta Bionics, Inc. (BBNX) has risen by 12%, trading at $27.20 [3] - Sonim Technologies, Inc. (SONM) is up 10%, currently priced at $12.49 [3] - Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) has increased by 9%, trading at $16.67 [3] - Interlink Electronics, Inc. (LINK) is also up 9%, currently priced at $6.85 [3] Premarket Losers - Stride, Inc. (LRN) has experienced a significant decline of 41%, trading at $89.44 [4] - Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) is down 29%, currently priced at $44.71 [4] - Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (AKBA) has decreased by 26%, trading at $2.26 [4] - Avantor, Inc. (AVTR) is down 17%, currently priced at $12.40 [4] - GlucoTrack, Inc. (GCTK) has seen a decline of 13%, trading at $6.29 [4] - Tigo Energy, Inc. (TYGO) is down 13%, currently priced at $2.20 [4] - Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) has decreased by 9%, trading at $172.00 [4] - Polar Power, Inc. (POLA) is down 8%, currently priced at $3.71 [4] - Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) has seen a decline of 7%, trading at $20.50 [4] - Anteris Technologies Global Corp. (AVR) is also down 7%, currently priced at $4.46 [4]

Core Viewpoint - Power equipment maker Generac has lowered its full-year net sales growth forecast due to weaker demand for home standby and portable generators, attributed to a decline in power outages, resulting in a 9% drop in shares [1] Company Summary - Generac has revised its net sales growth forecast downward, indicating challenges in the market for home standby and portable generators [1] - The decline in power outages has significantly impacted demand for Generac's products, leading to the forecast adjustment [1] Industry Summary - The overall market for power equipment, particularly in the home standby and portable generator segment, is experiencing reduced demand due to fewer power outages [1]