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特朗普杀死新能源
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-11 00:23
出品|虎嗅ESG组 作者|陈玉立 头图|视觉中国 本文是#ESG进步观察#系列第138篇文章 本次观察关键词:新能源产业 随着特朗普《大而美法案》的通过,美国联邦政府结束了长期以来对太阳能和风能的支持, "我不希望风力发电机摧毁我们的家园,"特朗普在6月29日接受福克斯新闻采访中说道:"我也不希 望这些太阳能发电设施绵延数英里,甚至遮盖半座山,那丑陋至极。" 在特朗普的眼中,"大而美"法案的通过是"上任至今最大的胜利",其原因不只是该法案囊括了特朗普 政府诸多极具争议性的经济政策,更是将拜登时代主推新能源的政治遗产进行了彻底清算。 取而代之的,是特朗普对于化石燃料的拥护。在六月末,特朗普表示美国将依靠石油、天然气、煤炭 和核能来满足日益增长的能源需求。 这份法案造成了更深层的分裂。就在上周,马斯克宣布成立"美国党",声称要"还给人民自由"。而特 朗普反呛道:"这是因为《大而美法案》取消了许多让特斯拉受益匪浅的补贴。" 马斯克与特朗普的隔空互怼仅是法案影响的一面,在硬币的另一面,这份法案对美国甚至全球新能源 产业的影响是巨大的。 另一方面,针对电动汽车领域,《大而美法案》决定自9月30日起终止7500美元的新车 ...
国际原子能机构:扎波罗热核电站仍与最后一条主电源线相连
news flash· 2025-07-10 19:56
当地时间10日,国际原子能机构总干事格罗西表示,在7月4日所有场外电源中断后,目前扎波罗热核电 站仍与其最后一条主电源线相连。据国际原子能机构记录,此次停电事件是自2022年2月以来,扎波罗 热核电站的第九次停电,迫使核电站依靠备用柴油发电机供电近四个小时。停电期间使用的应急柴油发 电机燃料箱已得到补充,目前的燃料可在发生场外断电时,供柴油发电机运行约20天。本月4日,扎波 罗热核电站新闻处通报称,由于750千伏高压线路中断导致扎波罗热核电站失去外部供电。(央视新闻) ...
特朗普杀死新能源
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-10 11:20
Core Points - The passage of Trump's "Big and Beautiful Act" marks a significant shift away from federal support for solar and wind energy, favoring fossil fuels instead [1][10] - The act is expected to have a profound impact on the U.S. and global renewable energy industries, leading to a decline in clean energy investments and potential job losses [2][9] Summary by Sections Impact on Renewable Energy - The "Big and Beautiful Act" tightens tax incentives for clean energy, particularly affecting investments in wind and solar power, which have historically relied on these tax credits [2] - The act stipulates that solar and wind projects operational after 2027 will no longer receive tax credits, indicating a potential decline in U.S. clean energy investments [2] - Consulting firm Rhodium Group estimates that the cancellation of clean energy tax incentives could reduce the construction of solar, wind, and storage projects by 57% to 72% by 2035 [8] Electric Vehicle Sector - The act terminates the $7,500 tax credit for new electric vehicle purchases and the $4,000 credit for used electric vehicles, likely leading to a decrease in electric vehicle penetration in the U.S. [2][3] - Experts suggest that the act will harm not only U.S. electric vehicle companies but also allies like South Korea and Japan, which have invested in U.S. manufacturing [3] Foreign Entity Restrictions - The act imposes strict restrictions on investments from "Prohibited Foreign Entities" (PFE), which includes companies from countries like China, Russia, and Iran, limiting their access to energy tax credits [4][5] - Companies must ensure that over 60% of their components are sourced outside of China to qualify for tax credits, a requirement that will increase to 85% by 2030 [4] Economic and Political Implications - The act is seen as a move towards protectionism, aiming to bolster domestic industries while weakening foreign competition, particularly from China [5] - The act's implementation may freeze project financing in the clean energy sector, as the time from project initiation to operation can span several years [5][8] Broader Consequences - The act is expected to increase electricity prices for consumers, with average household electricity costs projected to rise by 7.3% and business costs by 10.6% [8] - The shift away from clean energy initiatives may hinder global climate governance efforts, as the U.S. is a major carbon emitter [8][10]
25年二季报高景气赛道前瞻:产业赛道与主题投资风向标
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-10 10:45
Market Review - The A-share market rose by 1.22% during the week of June 30 to July 4, with strong performance in the glass and innovative drug sectors [2] - The average daily trading volume for the A-share market was 1.4384 trillion yuan, a decrease of 45 billion yuan from the previous week, indicating high market activity [2] - The average number of rising stocks decreased to 2,610, down by 1,012 from the previous week, reflecting a weakening profit effect [2] High Prosperity Sectors Outlook for Q2 2025 - High-growth potential sectors identified for Q2 2025 include optical modules, diesel generators, innovative drugs, and deep-sea technology [2] - The optical module sector is expected to maintain high growth due to increased data transmission rate requirements [29] - The diesel generator market is anticipated to see a rise in both volume and price as AIDC construction accelerates [37] - The innovative drug sector is benefiting from BD transactions and supportive policies, which are expected to enhance growth opportunities [39] - Deep-sea technology is showing high prosperity trends supported by policy initiatives [43] Key Themes - The "anti-involution" policy aims to promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity, facilitating high-quality industry development [3][47] - Deep-sea technology is positioned as a critical pillar of the marine economy, driving economic acceleration [3][54] - The global regulatory framework for stablecoins is rapidly taking shape, providing new opportunities for the internationalization of the renminbi [3][50] Policy Dynamics - The central bank is enhancing financial support for the real economy, with a focus on emerging industries and technology standards [4] - Recent policies emphasize the importance of high-quality development in the marine economy and the establishment of a unified national market [4][59] Industry Trends - The artificial intelligence sector is advancing with initiatives like the global multi-center plan for AI pathology models [5] - The TMT sector is seeing the introduction of the first national 6G industry policy in Beijing [5] - The biopharmaceutical sector is experiencing growth with increased clinical trials and innovations in brain-machine interfaces [5] - The deep-sea economy is being reinforced by the establishment of leadership groups to enhance industry coordination [5] - The high-end manufacturing sector is benefiting from the lifting of EDA export restrictions to China [5]
国家能源局发布一批重点行业标准,含电化学储能/压缩空气储能电站
文 | 国家能源局 近期,国家能源局围绕保障能源安全和绿色低碳转型,促进新技术、新产业、新业态发展,集中发 布了一批重点行业标准。 一、引领能源新技术、新产业、新业态发展 (一)《分布式调相机并网技术规定》。适用于新建或改扩建分布式调相机的并网设计和测试,规 定了分布式调相机的并网原则,并在无功电压控制、运行适应性、二次系统以及测试与评价等方面 提出了技术要求。标准的发布实施,可促进分布式调相机科学有序接网,规范分布式调相机并网的 技术要求,支撑 "沙戈荒"大型新能源基地开发和安全运行。 (二)《多能互补项目经济评价规范》。适用于多能互补项目经济评价,规定了多能互补项目经济 评价的总体原则、基本规定、经济和财务评价的方法、参数、内容和要求;同时,根据不同电源的 运行特点,规定了合理确定不同电源和项目的总成本费用和效益的要求和方法。标准的发布实施, 可为多能互补项目提供统一的经济评价框架和方法,弥补我国多能互补项目经济评价规范的空白, 提高多能互补项目决策的科学化水平,提升项目经济评价的一致性和准确性。 (三) 《电化学储能电站并网验收技术规范》。 适用于通过 10kV(6kV)及以上电压等级并网的 新建、改建 ...
国家能源局发布一批重点行业标准
国家能源局· 2025-07-10 07:43
(三)《电化学储能电站并网验收技术规范》。适用于通过 10kV(6kV)及以上电压等级并网的 新建、改建和扩建的电化学储能电站的并网验收,规定了电化学储能电站并网验收条件、验收程 序、验收职责范围、验收内容及技术要求等。标准的发布实施,可规范电化学储能电站在生产准备 阶段的并网验收程序,有助于提升安全稳定运行水平。 (四)《压缩空气储能电站地下储气库设计规范》。适用于新建、扩建、改建的压缩空气储能电站 地下储气库设计,规定了压缩空气储能电站地下储气库选址及布置、稳定性分析、支护设计、结构 设计、主要设备等内容。标准的发布实施,弥补了国内压缩空气储能电站地下储气库技术标准的空 白,对于规范地下储气库设计和建设具有重要意义。 (五)《压缩空气储能电站设计规范》。适用于单台发电机组容量为 10MW及以上非补燃式压缩空 气储能电站的设计,规定了压缩空气储能电站的电力系统、站址选择、总体规划及总平面布置、主 机系统及设备、储换热系统及设备、主厂房区域布置、储气系统、辅助工艺系统及设备、电气设备 等方面的要求。标准的发布实施有助于提高压缩空气储能电站设计规范化水平和设备兼容性,降低 投资风险。 (六)《煤矿 5G通信系统 ...
电力设备新能源行业点评:三部委推动国家级零碳园区申报,节能风电拟投建500MW工业园区铁合金绿电消纳项目
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-10 07:06
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electric equipment and renewable energy industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the National Energy Administration have jointly issued a notice to promote the construction of national-level zero-carbon parks, encouraging local departments to recommend suitable parks for this initiative [3] - The energy-saving wind power company has approved an investment of 2.09 billion RMB to construct a 500MW green power supply project in Inner Mongolia, which is expected to connect to the grid by the end of December 2026 [4] - The national encouragement of zero-carbon parks and green electricity direct connection projects will benefit the demand for distribution equipment at the park level and incremental distribution network equipment, particularly for DC technology [1][3] Summary by Sections National-Level Zero-Carbon Park Initiative - The notice requires local departments to recommend up to two parks for national-level zero-carbon park construction by August 22 [3] - It emphasizes the development and utilization of renewable energy in and around the parks, supporting the matching of parks with nearby non-fossil energy generation resources [3] Investment Projects - The energy-saving wind power project will install 50 wind turbines with a capacity of 10MW each and includes the construction of a 220kV booster substation and a 75MW/300MWh energy storage system [4] - The generated electricity will be consumed by two ferroalloy companies in the Beijing-Mongolia cooperation industrial park [4] Company Recommendations - Investment suggestions include companies such as Teruid and Sifang Co., with projected net profits for 2024 at 9.2 billion RMB and 7.2 billion RMB respectively [2][6]
【中国那些事儿】欧洲积极推动绿色转型 中国新能源企业能发挥重要作用
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 04:11
Core Insights - The European Union is actively promoting energy transition to reduce dependence on imported traditional fuels and aims to increase the share of renewable energy in final energy consumption from 32% to 42.5% [1] - China's renewable energy companies have become indispensable partners in Europe's energy transition, providing high-quality solutions and expertise in fields like photovoltaics [1] Group 1 - China has made significant advancements in energy technology over the past 15 years, leading in solar panels, wind turbines, electric vehicles, and battery technology [3] - TotalEnergies has heavily procured Chinese-made solar panels and deployed Chinese wind turbines in its global projects [3] - At the 2025 European International Solar Energy Exhibition, Chinese companies received widespread acclaim for their cutting-edge products and system integration capabilities [3] Group 2 - In 2024, China's photovoltaic module exports are projected to reach 235.93 GW, a 13% increase year-on-year, with China accounting for 55% of the global new installed capacity [3][4] - Chinese enterprises are deepening cooperation with European companies by establishing local production facilities, enhancing ties between Chinese and European industries [4] - Local collaborations in Central and Eastern Europe have led to the development of several sustainable energy projects, including Croatia's largest photovoltaic project [4] Group 3 - Approximately 85% of solar panels in the Portuguese market are manufactured in China, with products receiving top quality certifications [4] - The CEO of the Portuguese Renewable Energy Association emphasized that achieving Portugal's 2030 solar installation goals heavily relies on Chinese expertise [4][5] - Strengthening cooperation with China is deemed crucial for European countries to meet their energy targets [5]
2024年中国电力设备出海白皮书:新周期开启,出海正当时
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2025-07-09 12:13
2024年中国电力设备出海白皮书 ——新周期开启,出海正当时 2024 China Power Equipment Overseas Industry 2024中国電力設備海外産業 精简版 www.leadleo.com 研究区域范围:全球及中国地区 研究周期:2023年-2024年 概览标签:电力设备、变压器、高压开关、电线电缆、智能电表 报告主要作者:文上 2024/12 1 www.leadleo.com 400-072-5588 ©2022 LeadLeo 报告提供的任何内容(包括但不限于数据、文字、图表、图像等)均 系头豹研究院独有的高度机密性文件(在报告中另行标明出处者除外 )。 ,任何人不得以任何方式擅自复制 、再造、传播、出版、引用、改编、汇编本报告内容,若有违反上述 约定的行为发生,头豹研究院保留采取法律措施,追究相关人员责任 的权利。头豹研究院开展的所有商业活动均使用"头豹研究院"或"头豹 "的商号、商标,头豹研究院无任何前述名称之外的其他分支机构, 也未授权或聘用其他任何第三方代表头豹研究院开展商业活动。 报告说明 在能源转型以及发达经济体老旧电网设备更新等因素推动下,欧洲、 亚洲、美洲 ...
王中林:协同创新照亮鄂尔多斯转型之路
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the integration of traditional and innovative energy solutions, particularly in the context of coal and distributed energy systems [1][2] - Wang Zhonglin proposes a "dual-track parallel" strategy, highlighting that coal supports 64% of the national electricity, while distributed energy acts as a local energy circulatory system [2] - The importance of conceptual transformation is stressed, showcasing examples of off-grid solar charging stations and self-powered irrigation systems at the expo [2] Group 2 - The discussion on industrial upgrades in Ordos focuses on the role of smart technology, with intelligent sensor networks providing real-time geological risk warnings and AI optimizing mining operations to reduce energy consumption by 30% [3] - Innovations such as 5G inspection robots and AI algorithms for autonomous decision-making in mining equipment are highlighted as practical implementations of these concepts [3][4] - The event serves as a platform for collaboration between academia and industry, facilitating the transition of technologies from research to practical applications in mining [4] Group 3 - Wang Zhonglin expresses aspirations for the upcoming 20th expo, including a desire for technology transaction volumes to exceed 10 billion, the establishment of "Mine Hong + AI" initiatives along the Belt and Road, and the vision for Ordos to become a model city for distributed energy [4]