Guidewire(GWRE)

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Guidewire Rises 17% YTD: Where Will the Stock Head From Here?
ZACKS· 2025-03-25 12:00
Core Viewpoint - Guidewire Software (GWRE) has shown resilience in its stock performance, achieving a year-to-date gain of 17.2% while the Internet-Software industry has declined by 0.8% [1]. Price Performance - GWRE's stock gained 3.1% recently, closing at $197.45, which is 10% below its 52-week high of $219.59 [4]. Growth Catalysts - The increasing demand for Guidewire Cloud is a significant growth driver as insurers shift from legacy systems to cloud-based solutions [5]. - In Q2 of fiscal 2025, Guidewire secured 12 deals, including four for InsuranceSuite Cloud, indicating strong market interest [6]. - The company has raised its revenue outlook for fiscal 2025 to between $1.164 billion and $1.174 billion, up from previous guidance [7]. - Subscription revenues are now forecasted at $653 million, with total subscription and support revenues expected to reach $718 million [7]. - Annual recurring revenues (ARR) for fiscal 2025 are projected to be between $1 billion and $1.01 billion, an increase from the previous estimate [8]. Profitability Improvements - Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 65.2% from 62.7% year-over-year, with the subscription and support segment's gross margin rising to 69.2% from 65.1% [9]. - Non-GAAP operating income for Q3 of fiscal 2025 is estimated to be between $36 million and $42 million, with annual estimates between $175 million and $185 million [10]. Liquidity Position - Guidewire generated $86 million in operating cash flow in Q2 of fiscal 2025, exceeding expectations, with free cash flow nearly at $82.2 million [11]. - As of January 31, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $1,412.4 million against long-term debt of $672.8 million, indicating a strong liquidity position [12]. Challenges - The transition to a cloud-based model may negatively impact short-term revenue, particularly in service revenues [13]. - Total operating expenses increased by 8.1% year-over-year to $167.4 million, raising concerns about profitability due to higher costs [14]. - Guidewire is expanding its global footprint, but currency exchange rate fluctuations could pose risks to financial performance [15]. Valuation - GWRE's stock is trading at a premium with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 13.05X compared to the industry's 5.08X [18]. Estimate Revisions - Analysts have revised estimates upward for the current quarter but downward for the current year over the past 60 days [19]. Investment Strategy - Strong financial performance and market demand make Guidewire an attractive investment opportunity, but caution is advised due to its premium valuation and mixed analyst ratings [21]. - Other stocks in the same industry with better rankings include Digital Turbine, Freshworks, and Five9, which may present alternative investment opportunities [22].
Market Overreacts, But Guidewire's Growth Story Remains Strong
MarketBeat· 2025-03-13 12:31
Core Viewpoint - Guidewire Software's stock price decline post-Q2 results is seen as a disconnect from its growth potential, with improved earnings quality and raised guidance indicating deep value relative to its growth outlook [1] Financial Performance - Guidewire reported Q2 net revenue of $298.48 million, reflecting a 20.2% year-over-year increase, surpassing consensus estimates by 100 basis points [4] - Subscription and Support revenue grew by 35%, while Services revenue increased by 26%, although there was weakness in legacy Licenses [4] - Adjusted income doubled, with a 12% increase in adjusted net income and an 11% rise in adjusted earnings, alongside guidance that exceeded expectations [5] Market Position and Valuation - The stock is trading at nearly 90 times its 2025 earnings forecasts, which is over three times more expensive than the S&P 500 and more than double leading tech companies [2] - Analysts forecast a solid double-digit CAGR through 2035, suggesting that current earnings estimates may be conservative [2] Analyst Sentiment - The 12-month stock price forecast for Guidewire is $206.08, indicating a 16.93% upside, with a moderate buy rating based on 13 analyst ratings [6] - Post-Q2 release, several price target increases align with a potential 25% to 30% upside from critical support levels [6] Business Model and Customer Engagement - Guidewire's platform is noted for its ease of use and scalability, which are essential for attracting and retaining major insurers [3] - The company has successfully utilized AI capabilities to enhance customer service, completing 90% of wildfire-related payouts within two months [3] Guidance and Future Outlook - The company raised its Q3 and full-year 2025 guidance, with analysts adjusting their estimates and stock price targets accordingly [5] - Despite recent institutional selling, the company maintains a strong balance sheet with ample cash and low leverage, supporting a positive growth outlook [7]
Is Guidewire Software (GWRE) Stock Outpacing Its Computer and Technology Peers This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-03-07 15:40
Investors interested in Computer and Technology stocks should always be looking to find the best-performing companies in the group. Has Guidewire Software (GWRE) been one of those stocks this year? A quick glance at the company's year-to-date performance in comparison to the rest of the Computer and Technology sector should help us answer this question.Guidewire Software is a member of the Computer and Technology sector. This group includes 604 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of #6 ...
Guidewire's Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-03-07 14:35
Core Insights - Guidewire Software, Inc (GWRE) reported non-GAAP earnings per share of 51 cents for Q2 fiscal 2025, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.9% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $289.5 million, a 20% year-over-year growth, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.3% and exceeding its own guidance range [2] Financial Performance - Annual recurring revenues (ARR) reached $918.1 million, up 6.3% year-over-year, with expectations for fiscal 2025 ARR now projected between $1 billion and $1.01 billion [3] - Total revenues for fiscal 2025 are expected to be between $1.164 billion and $1.174 billion, an increase from earlier guidance [4] - Non-GAAP operating income is estimated to be between $175 million and $185 million, up from previous expectations [5] Revenue Breakdown - Subscription and support revenues, accounting for 61.4% of total revenues, increased by 35% year-over-year to $177.8 million [7] - License revenues decreased by 10% year-over-year to $63.7 million, representing 22% of total revenues [7] - Services revenues rose by 26% year-over-year to $47.9 million, making up 16.6% of total revenues [7] Margin Analysis - Non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 65.2% from 62.7% year-over-year, with subscription and support segment gross margin increasing to 69.2% [8] - Services' non-GAAP gross margin improved to 6.3% from negative 11.2% in the previous year [8] Cash Flow and Expenses - Total operating expenses rose by 8.1% year-over-year to $167.4 million, while non-GAAP operating income was reported at $53.9 million compared to $25.7 million in the prior year [9] - As of January 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $1,412.4 million, down from $1,480.4 million as of October 31, 2024 [10] Future Outlook - For Q3 fiscal 2025, revenues are expected to be in the range of $283-$289 million, with ARR anticipated between $942 million and $947 million [11]
Guidewire(GWRE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 01:03
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) finished at $918 million, reflecting strong sequential additions with a net new ARR of $45 million [24][25] - Total revenue was $289 million, up 20% year over year, exceeding the high end of the outlook [26] - Subscription and support revenue reached $178 million, showing a 35% year over year growth [26] - Gross profit was $189 million, representing a 25% year over year growth, with an overall gross margin of 65% [27] - Operating profit for the quarter was $54 million, ahead of expectations due to higher gross profit and lower operating expenses [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Closed twelve cloud deals in Q2, including four full insurance suite deals and six cloud migrations [13][15] - Services revenue finished at $48 million, aligning with expectations, while services gross margin improved to 6% from negative 11% a year ago [26][27] - The company welcomed five new customers, including one in Brazil and one in Belgium, indicating geographical expansion [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales activity was concentrated in North America and Europe, with about a third of deals in Europe [16] - The company noted strong growth in cloud deployments, with 26,000 Guidewire-focused practitioners across 38 system integrators [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to transition 100% of its on-prem customer base to its cloud platform, emphasizing the importance of modern systems for agility and competitiveness in the insurance industry [12][51] - The Guidewire Marketplace now has over 500 applications, indicating a robust ecosystem for cloud applications [20] - The company is focused on maintaining a high-functioning insurance market, especially in light of recent catastrophic events [10][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the property and casualty insurance industry despite recent catastrophes [17] - The company raised its ARR outlook for fiscal year 2025 to between $1 billion and $1.01 billion, reflecting a growth of 16% to 17% year over year [34] - Management highlighted the importance of generative AI and machine learning in enhancing productivity and efficiency within the insurance sector [73][76] Other Important Information - The company retired an additional $100 million of its 2025 convertible notes, limiting share dilution risk [30][33] - Operating cash flow ended the quarter at $86 million, ahead of expectations due to strong collections [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: How much adaptability and interoperability comes into play in conversations with carriers? - Management noted that modern platforms bring agility to operations, enabling better management of indemnity and expense ratios [50][51] Question: How do you balance margin outperformance with reinvestment opportunities? - Management emphasized a focus on growth while maintaining margin expansion, with plans for increased hiring in targeted investment areas [56][58] Question: How do you view the situation with state-backed property insurers? - Management stated that these insurers operate similarly to traditional insurance companies and expressed excitement about serving this segment [137][140] Question: What is the outlook for services gross margins? - Management indicated that while they expect some improvement in services margins, the primary focus remains on ensuring successful software implementations [92][94] Question: How is the cloud conversation evolving across geographical footprints? - Management observed a step-up in cloud deals globally, with successful implementations across various regions [111][113]
Guidewire(GWRE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 04:55
Guidewire Software (GWRE) Q2 2025 Earnings Call March 07, 2025 12:55 AM ET Company Participants Alex Hughes - VP - IRMike Rosenbaum - CEOJeff Cooper - CFOAlexei Gogolev - Executive DirectorRishi Jaluria - Managing DirectorAlexander Sklar - Vice PresidentAdam Hotchkiss - VP - Emerging Software Equity ResearchParker Lane - Managing Director - Equity ResearchAaron Kimson - Vice President Conference Call Participants Dylan Becker - Research AnalystKen Wong - Managing Director & Senior AnalystJoe Vruwink - Senio ...
Compared to Estimates, Guidewire Software (GWRE) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-03-07 00:00
For the quarter ended January 2025, Guidewire Software (GWRE) reported revenue of $289.48 million, up 20.2% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.51, compared to $0.46 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $285.69 million, representing a surprise of +1.33%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -1.92%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.52.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with W ...
Guidewire Software (GWRE) Misses Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-03-06 23:30
Core Viewpoint - Guidewire Software reported quarterly earnings of $0.51 per share, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.52 per share, but showing an increase from $0.46 per share a year ago [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $289.48 million for the quarter ended January 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.33% and up from $240.9 million year-over-year [3] - Over the last four quarters, Guidewire Software has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates four times [2][3] Stock Performance - Guidewire Software shares have increased approximately 17.1% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a decline of -0.7% in the S&P 500 [4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating expectations for it to outperform the market in the near future [7] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.42 on revenues of $278.33 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.06 on revenues of $1.16 billion [8] - The estimate revisions trend for Guidewire Software is favorable, which may influence stock movements in the near term [6][7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Guidewire Software belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 46% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [9]
Guidewire(GWRE) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-03-06 23:08
Financial Performance - Total revenue for the three months ended January 31, 2025, was $289,480,000, representing a 20.1% increase from $240,897,000 in the same period of 2024[18]. - Subscription and support revenue increased to $177,838,000, up 35.1% from $131,642,000 year-over-year[18]. - Net loss for the three months ended January 31, 2025, was $(37,277,000), compared to a net income of $9,687,000 in the same period of 2024[20]. - The company reported a gross profit of $179,152,000 for the three months ended January 31, 2025, compared to $142,406,000 in the same period of 2024, an increase of 25.8%[18]. - Total revenue for the six months ended January 31, 2025, was $552,381,000, a 23.2% increase from $448,304,000 in the same period of 2024[45]. - The company reported free cash flow of $14.9 million for the six months ended January 31, 2025, compared to a negative free cash flow of $12.9 million for the same period in 2024[138]. Assets and Liabilities - Total current assets rose to $1,478,126,000 as of January 31, 2025, compared to $1,295,534,000 as of July 31, 2024, marking a 14.1% increase[16]. - Total liabilities increased to $1,274,053,000 as of January 31, 2025, compared to $883,562,000 as of July 31, 2024, reflecting a significant rise of 44.3%[16]. - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $697,488,000 as of January 31, 2025, from $547,992,000 as of July 31, 2024, a growth of 27.2%[16]. - The company’s total stockholders' equity decreased to $1,268,736,000 as of January 31, 2025, down from $1,342,732,000 as of July 31, 2024, a decline of 5.5%[16]. - Cash, cash equivalents, and investments increased to $1,412,434,000 as of January 31, 2025, from $1,129,453,000 as of July 31, 2024[213]. - Working capital improved to $919,445,000 as of January 31, 2025, compared to $457,899,000 as of July 31, 2024[213]. Expenses - Operating expenses for the three months ended January 31, 2025, were $167,429,000, up from $154,816,000 in the same period of 2024, indicating an 8.1% increase[18]. - Research and development expenses were $70,268,000 for the three months ended January 31, 2025, compared to $65,458,000 in the same period of 2024, a rise of 12.5%[18]. - The company recognized a total interest expense of $4.1 million for the three months ended January 31, 2025, compared to $1.7 million for the same period in 2024, representing a 143% increase[5]. - General and administrative expenses increased by $1.5 million during the three months ended January 31, 2025, driven by professional services costs of $1.0 million[191]. - Sales and marketing expenses increased by $6.3 million during the three months ended January 31, 2025, mainly due to personnel costs of $5.8 million[187]. Revenue Recognition - Subscription revenue for the six months ended January 31, 2025, reached $314,517,000, up 41.2% from $222,722,000 in the prior year[45]. - The company recognized revenue of approximately $62.1 million related to gross deferred revenue during the three months ended January 31, 2025[55]. - License revenue decreased by $7.3 million (10%) for the three months ended January 31, 2025, primarily due to customer migration from term licenses to subscription services[159]. - Services revenue increased by $9.8 million (26%) for the three months ended January 31, 2025, attributed to higher utilization of services employees and more new subscription implementation projects[160]. - The recurring license and support or subscription contract value recognized as services revenue was $4.6 million during the six months ended January 31, 2025[135]. Strategic Focus and Market Position - The company is focused on enhancing its technology platform, which integrates core operations, digital engagement, and AI applications, aimed at improving business decision-making for insurance carriers[30]. - The Company’s core products include InsuranceSuite Cloud, InsuranceNow, and InsuranceSuite for self-managed installations, which support the entire insurance lifecycle[115]. - The Company has localized its suite of products to meet various international regulatory, language, and currency requirements, enhancing its global reach[115]. - The partnership with third-party system integrators (SI) is crucial for facilitating new sales and implementations, allowing for increased efficiency and reduced costs[126]. - The company continues to invest in product development and cloud operations to enhance current products and introduce new ones, which is critical for maintaining competitive advantage and revenue growth[124]. Risks and Challenges - The company faces risks related to expanding into new markets and managing lengthy sales cycles, which could impact revenue and ARR growth rates[127]. - Global economic disruptions, including inflation and geopolitical instability, may adversely affect the company's financial results and customer payment capabilities[130]. - Seasonal variations in license revenue are observed, particularly with increased customer orders in the fourth fiscal quarter, impacting revenue recognition dynamics[128]. Stock and Shareholder Information - The Company has not repurchased any shares during the three and six months ended January 31, 2025, with $138.2 million remaining available for future share repurchases[112]. - The weighted average shares used in computing diluted net income (loss) per share were 83,705,700 for the three months ended January 31, 2025[72]. - The Company recognized a gain of $3.7 million from the sale of equity interest in an investee during the three months ended January 31, 2025[68].
Guidewire(GWRE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-06 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an ARR of $918 million, reflecting a net new ARR addition of $45 million, consistent with the previous year's Q4 performance [16][17] - Total revenue reached $289 million, up 20% year-over-year, exceeding the high end of the outlook [17] - Subscription and support revenue was $178 million, showing a 35% year-over-year growth [17] - Operating profit for Q2 was $54 million, surpassing expectations due to higher gross profit and lower operating expenses [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company closed 12 cloud deals, including four full InsuranceSuite deals and one InsuranceNow deal, indicating strong cloud adoption [10] - Six cloud migrations were completed in the quarter, with two involving expansions into new business lines or core modules [11] - Services revenue was $48 million, aligning with expectations, while services gross margin improved to 6% from negative 11% a year ago [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America and Europe led the geographical distribution of deals, with about a third of the deals occurring in Europe [11] - The company welcomed five new customers in Q2, including one in Brazil and one in Belgium, highlighting international expansion [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to transition 100% of its on-premise customer base to its cloud platform, emphasizing the importance of cloud capabilities [11] - The management highlighted the critical role of a well-functioning property and casualty (P&C) insurance market in providing financial support during catastrophic events [8] - The company is focusing on enhancing its cloud ecosystem and increasing the number of cloud applications available through its marketplace [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the P&C insurance industry, stating it is designed to absorb catastrophes like the recent California wildfires [12] - The company raised its ARR outlook for fiscal year 2025 to between $1 billion and $1.01 billion, reflecting a growth of 16% to 17% year-over-year [21] - Management noted that the visibility into the second half of the year is strong, driven by ramping deals and a healthy pipeline [22] Other Important Information - The company retired an additional $100 million of its 2025 convertible notes, reducing potential share dilution [20] - The cash flow from operations for the quarter was $86 million, ahead of expectations due to strong collections [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does adaptability and interoperability come into play for carriers? - Management noted that modern platforms provide agility, enabling insurers to manage indemnity and expense ratios more effectively [28] Question: How do you balance margin outperformance with reinvestment opportunities? - Management emphasized a focus on growth while maintaining margin expansion, with plans for increased hiring in R&D [36] Question: Is the return of large insurers to California a tailwind for Guidewire? - Management indicated that the repricing of insurance policies in California could be beneficial, as it highlights the importance of effective risk management [40] Question: How is the company leveraging data for customer value? - Management expressed optimism about the potential of generative AI to enhance productivity and efficiency in various insurance processes [46][49] Question: What is the outlook for services gross margins? - Management expects gradual improvement in services gross margins, with a focus on ensuring successful software implementations [62] Question: How is the cloud migration conversation evolving geographically? - Management reported strong momentum in cloud deals across various regions, indicating a shift from a North America-centric approach to a more global presence [75] Question: What is the status of non-core insurance suite opportunities? - Management confirmed that the non-core business remains healthy, with analytics products performing well [80]