Core Points - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. will release its financial results for Q2 2025 on July 24, 2025, before market opens [1] - A conference call to discuss the results will be held on the same day at 8:00 AM (ET), hosted by the CEO and CFO [1] - Investors can access the call via specific phone numbers and a replay will be available from July 24 to August 7, 2025 [2] Company Overview - Keurig Dr Pepper is a leading beverage company in North America with over 125 brands and annual revenue exceeding $15 billion [4] - The company holds leadership positions in various beverage categories, including carbonated soft drinks, coffee, tea, and more [4] - It operates the 1 single-serve coffee brewing system in the U.S. and Canada and focuses on innovative partnerships in emerging growth platforms [4]

Core Insights - Keurig is enhancing the at-home iced coffee experience with the introduction of the K-Brew + Chill™ brewer, which utilizes QuickChill Technology™ to brew hot coffee and then flash-chill it for a refreshing iced finish [1][2] - The collaboration with Chillhouse aims to combine coffee enjoyment with self-care, offering a stylish iced coffee experience alongside limited-edition nail designs [2][3] Company Overview - Keurig Dr Pepper is a leading North American beverage company with over 125 brands and annual revenue exceeding $15 billion, holding a top position in various beverage categories including coffee [5] - Chillhouse, founded in 2017, focuses on self-care and wellness, offering services and products that promote at-home self-care rituals [6] Marketing and Promotion - The partnership includes a promotional event at the Chillhouse Café in NYC, transforming it into the "Keurig Chillzone" from June 25 to July 25, featuring exclusive iced beverages and custom manicures [3] - Consumers can receive a discount on the K-Brew + Chill™ brewer and a free set of Chill Tips with their purchase, enhancing the marketing strategy through direct consumer engagement [7]

Core Insights - The K-Mini Mate™ Brewer is set to launch exclusively at Target in June, with plans for nationwide availability through Keurig.com and other major retailers in the fall [1][5] - The new brewer is designed for compact spaces while maintaining high-quality coffee brewing capabilities, making it suitable for various environments such as small kitchens, apartments, and offices [3][4] Product Features - The K-Mini Mate™ Brewer is compatible with any Keurig K-Cup® pod and features a one-cup removable reservoir, brewing up to 12 ounces of coffee [3] - It is designed to fit travel mugs easily, enhancing its portability and convenience [3] Market Positioning - Priced at $79.99, the K-Mini Mate™ Brewer aims to provide value to consumers amid rising costs and inflation, offering consistent quality for various lifestyles [4][5] - The product is available in three color options: Matte Black, Glamping Green, and Red Rocks, catering to different consumer preferences [4] Company Overview - Keurig Dr Pepper is a leading beverage company in North America with over 125 brands and annual revenue exceeding $15 billion [6] - The company holds a leadership position in multiple beverage categories, including single-serve coffee systems, and focuses on innovative partnerships to drive growth in emerging categories [6]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry is characterized by strong growth potential driven by rising consumer demand for healthier, functional, and eco-friendly beverages [1] - Companies are innovating and diversifying their portfolios to capture new market opportunities [1] - The industry is experiencing a digital transformation with brands adopting direct-to-consumer channels and subscription models to enhance customer relationships [1] Current Challenges - The industry faces persistent headwinds such as elevated input costs, supply-chain disruptions, and tariff-related uncertainties that pressure margins [2] - Rising packaging and freight expenses, along with volatile commodity prices, challenge profitability [2] - Newly imposed U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico create additional financial pressure and uncertainty [6] Consumer Trends - There is a significant shift in consumer preferences towards healthier beverage options, including drinks made with natural ingredients and reduced sugar [4] - Plant-based beverages and functional drinks that promote hydration and energy are gaining popularity among health-conscious consumers [4] - Companies are expanding into adjacent categories, such as ready-to-drink alcoholic beverages, to capitalize on these trends [4] Digital Growth & Innovation - The industry is leveraging digital transformation to enhance consumer engagement and boost growth [5] - Brands are investing in direct-to-consumer platforms and subscription-based models to secure recurring revenue [5] - Product innovation remains a key growth driver, with companies refining their portfolios and launching new products [5] Financial Performance - The Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 63, placing it in the top 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating bright near-term prospects [8] - The industry has underperformed the Consumer Staples sector and the S&P 500 Index over the past year, with a collective growth of 0.4% compared to the sector's 3.5% and the S&P 500's 11.9% [10] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.68X, compared to the S&P 500's 21.97X and the sector's 17.75X [13] - Over the past five years, the industry's P/E ratio has ranged from a high of 23.8X to a low of 17.22X, with a median of 21.45X [13] Notable Companies - **Coca-Cola (KO)**: Positioned for long-term growth through strategic transformation and digital investments, with a projected sales growth of 2.4% and earnings growth of 2.8% for 2025 [17][18] - **Zevia (ZVIA)**: Focused on zero-sugar, naturally sweetened drinks, with a projected sales growth of 3.4% and earnings growth of 38.7% for 2025 [21][22] - **Monster Beverage (MNST)**: Continues to perform well in the energy drinks category, with projected sales growth of 5.9% and earnings growth of 14.8% for 2025 [24][25] - **Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)**: Expected to benefit from growth in the Refreshment Beverages segment, with projected sales growth of 5.6% and earnings growth of 6.3% for 2025 [28][29] - **Primo Brands (PRMB)**: Specializes in healthy hydration with a projected sales growth of 145.6% and earnings growth of 52.5% for 2025 [33]

Core Insights - The analyst has a strong background in equity research and investment analysis, with a focus on the U.S. equity market and consumer staples sector, indicating a belief in the resilience of defensive stocks for long-term investment opportunities [1]. Group 1: Analyst Background - The analyst holds certifications as FMVA and FPWMP, which provide skills in financial statement analysis, valuation modeling, and investment portfolio construction [1]. - Participation in the CFA Research Challenge has equipped the analyst with practical experience in equity analysis and industry research [1]. - The analyst graduated in 2024 with a CGPA of 3.6 from the Faculty of Business at Alexandria University [1]. Group 2: Professional Experience - The analyst has worked with a confidential client, preparing investment reports across various sectors including healthcare, consumer staples, and industrials, enhancing the ability to evaluate companies across diverse industries [1]. - In 2023, the analyst joined AIESEC, further developing leadership, communication, and teamwork skills through global exchange and project collaboration [1].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies Core Insights - Recent sales growth trends for non-alcoholic beverages have decelerated slightly, with overall dollar sales growth up +3.4% year-over-year for the two weeks ending May 17, 2025, compared to previous periods [1] - Pricing growth has softened to +2.7%, while volume growth remains stable at +0.7% year-over-year [1] - Energy drinks continue to show strong sales growth at +8.3% year-over-year, although this is a slight deceleration from previous periods [7] Summary by Category Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs) - Dollar sales growth in CSDs was up approximately +LSD% and stable sequentially, with pricing growth slightly stronger but offset by weaker volumes [2] - Coca-Cola Company and Pepsico Inc reported dollar sales growth of +2.7% and +0.3% respectively, with volume declines [9] Bottled Water - Dollar sales trends in bottled water were stable sequentially, with growth around +LSD% and stable pricing and volume growth [2] Energy Drinks - The energy drink category saw dollar sales growth of +8.3% year-over-year, with volume growth at +6.7% [7] - Monster Energy Co. (excluding Bang) reported dollar sales growth of +9.5% year-over-year, driven by stable volume growth [7] Salty Snacks - Dollar sales trends for salty snacks modestly accelerated to -0.9% year-over-year, with volume growth at -2.1% [8] - Pepsico Inc's salty snack sales growth was down -3.3% year-over-year [8] Specific Company Trends - PEP's dollar sales growth modestly accelerated sequentially, while MNST (excluding Bang) showed strong and stable growth at +HSD% [3] - KO's dollar sales growth remained stable at +MSD%, with stable volumes and pricing growth [3] - KDP's dollar sales growth was stable at +LSD%, with stronger pricing growth offset by softer volumes [3]

Industry Overview - The global beverage industry is transforming, with a focus on health-conscious and convenience-driven products, moving beyond traditional carbonated soft drinks [1][2] - The competition is primarily between Coca-Cola Company (KO) and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), each with distinct strengths and strategies [1][2] Coca-Cola Company (KO) - Coca-Cola has over 130 years of brand equity and operates in more than 200 countries, commanding a significant market share across various beverage categories [2][5] - Approximately 30% of Coca-Cola's volume comes from low- or no-calorie beverages, aligning with consumer health preferences [5] - The company's "all-weather" business strategy includes a diverse product range, from classic sodas to health-focused options, and adapts pricing and packaging to consumer affordability [6] - Coca-Cola invests in digital innovation and marketing personalization, utilizing platforms like Studio X for localized marketing and enhancing consumer experiences through connected packaging [7] Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) - KDP has established itself as a significant player in the beverage industry, with a diverse portfolio that includes carbonated soft drinks, premium coffee, and energy beverages [8][10] - The company's strategy balances short-term execution with long-term brand building, focusing on innovation and expanded distribution [10] - KDP is attuned to emerging demographics and trends, introducing brands that resonate with younger, health-conscious consumers and leveraging data-driven marketing for brand relevance [11] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Coca-Cola's 2025 sales and EPS indicates year-over-year growth of 2.4% and 2.9%, respectively [12] - In contrast, KDP's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest a higher growth of 5.6% and 6.1% [14] - Coca-Cola trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.45X, above the industry average, while KDP trades at a lower multiple of 16.19X, indicating it as a more value-oriented option [15][17] Stock Performance - Over the past year, Coca-Cola stock has gained 13.7%, outperforming KDP and the broader industry's decline [17] - Despite KDP's lower valuation, Coca-Cola's stronger stock performance and growth trajectory provide it with an edge [17][19] Conclusion - Coca-Cola maintains a commanding edge in global scale, brand equity, and consumer loyalty, despite KDP's rising influence and innovation [18][19] - For investors seeking stability and long-term value creation, Coca-Cola is positioned as the stronger choice [19]

Core Insights - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is currently undervalued with a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 16.04X, lower than the industry average of 18.31X and the sector average of 17.39X [1][4] - KDP shares have appreciated 5.9% in the last three months, outperforming the Zacks Beverages - Soft Drinks industry's growth of 1% and the broader Consumer Staples industry's return of 3.5% [4] Valuation Picture - The stock offers compelling value to investors seeking exposure to the consumer staple sector [4] Performance Analysis - KDP's strong performance in Q1 2025 is attributed to its consumer-focused innovation model, which has driven market share gains in key categories such as liquid refreshment beverages, K-Cup pods, and brewers [6][10] - The company achieved a 4.8% year-over-year increase in net sales, or 6.4% on a constant-currency basis, in Q1 2025, with a 3.6% rise in volume/mix and a 2.8% benefit from favorable pricing [10] Segment Growth - The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment saw sales reach $2.32 billion in Q1 2024, marking an 11% year-over-year increase, supported by an 8% rise in volume/mix and a 3% increase in net price realization [11] - Strong performance in liquid refreshment beverages was driven by brands like Peñafiel and core offerings such as Dr Pepper and Crush, with the acquisition of GHOST enhancing the energy drink portfolio [12] Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for KDP's 2025 earnings has increased by a penny in the past 30 days, indicating positive sentiment [13] - For 2025, the consensus estimates imply 5.61% and 6.25% year-over-year growth in sales and EPS, respectively [13] Strategic Initiatives - KDP's growth reflects a strategic combination of innovation, brand activity, and strong commercial execution, with a focus on cost efficiency and disciplined capital management [7] - The company has strengthened its distribution network with new territory expansion in Tennessee and enhanced its Direct Store Delivery network in Mexico [9]

Group 1 - Keurig has launched its first-ever "Price Lock Event," allowing new auto-delivery subscribers to lock in K-Cup® pod prices through the end of 2025, providing stability against market fluctuations [1][2] - The Price Lock Event runs from April 23 to May 23, with no commitment required, allowing consumers to skip, swap, or cancel anytime while benefiting from locked-in pricing [2][4] - New subscribers can save 25% and secure their discounted price through the end of the year, with an option to purchase starter kits for $49.99, which includes premium brewers and locked-in beverage pricing [6] Group 2 - Keurig Dr Pepper is a leading beverage company in North America with annual revenue exceeding $15 billion and a diverse portfolio of over 125 brands [4] - The company holds leadership positions in various beverage categories, including coffee, and has the 1 single-serve coffee brewing system in the U.S. and Canada [4] - Keurig aims to enhance beverage experiences while making a positive impact on communities and the planet, driven by its purpose to "Drink Well. Do Good." [4]

Core Insights - Hispanic consumers are reducing grocery spending across various categories, impacting companies like Coca-Cola, Constellation Brands, and Colgate-Palmolive [1][4][19] - The U.S. Latino economy grew to $3.6 trillion in 2022, indicating significant purchasing power among Hispanic consumers [3] - Concerns over immigration policies and economic conditions are leading to decreased consumer confidence and spending among Hispanic shoppers [4][5][7] Company Impact - Constellation Brands reported a weaker-than-expected outlook for fiscal 2026, attributing it to tariffs and reduced spending from Hispanic consumers [6] - Coca-Cola is experiencing decreased traffic from Hispanic shoppers, partly due to a boycott linked to immigration policy concerns [14][15] - Colgate-Palmolive noted a 2.3% decline in North American volume for Q1, with lower traffic from Hispanic consumers affecting overall business [19] Market Trends - Hispanic consumers are driving a decline in consumer net purchase intent, with a notable drop in spending on non-alcoholic beverages and cooking oils [4][11][17] - The Latino unemployment rate increased to 5.2% in April, contributing to consumer concerns and spending pullback [7] - Social gatherings, a key area for Hispanic consumers' beer consumption, are declining, further impacting sales in the beverage sector [8]