Core Insights - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 24, with projected revenues of $4.14 billion, reflecting a 5.5% increase year-over-year [1] - The consensus estimate for KDP's earnings per share (EPS) is 49 cents, indicating an 8.9% growth from the previous year's 45 cents [2] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - KDP's second-quarter revenue is anticipated to be $4.14 billion, up 5.5% from the same period last year [1][8] - The expected EPS of 49 cents represents an 8.9% increase compared to the prior-year quarter [2][8] Segment Performance - The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment is projected to be a key growth driver, with sales expected to reach $804 million, a 12.8% year-over-year increase [6] - The carbonated soft drinks (CSD) category, including brands like Dr Pepper and Canada Dry, is gaining market share due to innovations [5] - The Coffee segment is forecasted to see a decline in unit sales by 10.8% due to inflation and weak demand [8][9] Strategic Initiatives - KDP's strong performance is attributed to brand strength, strategic pricing, and innovation-led growth [4] - The recent acquisition of GHOST energy is expected to enhance market presence and contribute to sales growth [4][5] International Growth - KDP anticipates improved international growth driven by pricing strategies and strong brand performance in markets like Mexico and Canada [7] Valuation Metrics - KDP's stock is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.03x, below historical highs and industry averages, indicating potential value for investors [10] - KDP shares have increased by 7.2% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 5.9% [11]

Core Insights - Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) is expanding its presence in the energy drinks market through a diverse portfolio that includes acquisitions and partnerships, such as GHOST Energy and C4, while also supporting emerging brands like Bloom Sparkling Energy and Black Rifle Energy [1][2]. Group 1: Energy Drinks Portfolio - KDP's energy drinks portfolio achieved a 6.4% constant currency net sales growth in Q1 2025, with GHOST Energy contributing 4.8 points to volume mix growth and experiencing double-digit retail growth [3][9]. - The multi-brand strategy allows KDP to target different consumer niches, enhancing credibility and diversifying risk, with brands like C4 appealing to performance-focused consumers and Bloom targeting female consumers [2]. Group 2: Growth Outlook - KDP anticipates continued high growth in energy and sports hydration categories, supported by favorable consumption trends and planned innovations across its brands, despite macroeconomic uncertainties [4]. - The energy drink segment's growth is expected to mitigate challenges in other areas, such as coffee, reinforcing KDP's leadership in the broader beverage market [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - KDP's shares have appreciated by 3.1% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Beverages - Soft Drinks industry's decline of 2.0% and the broader Consumer Staples industry's return of 1.1% [5]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 15.93X, which is below the industry's average of 17.99X, indicating it is undervalued compared to peers [10].

Core Viewpoint - The consumer staples sector is viewed as a safe investment during economic uncertainty, as it includes companies that produce essential goods that people need daily [1][5]. Group 1: Definition and Characteristics of Consumer Staples - Consumer staples stocks consist of companies that produce or sell basic goods, such as groceries and personal-care items [6]. - The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) categorizes the Consumer Staples sector as including food and staples retail, food and beverage production, and household and personal product manufacturing [7]. - These stocks are considered defensive, generating stable revenues and producing significant free cash flow, often returned to shareholders as dividends [8]. Group 2: Investment Rationale - Investors are drawn to consumer staples stocks because they provide a steady demand for necessities, making them less sensitive to economic fluctuations [8]. - Historical performance shows that consumer staples outperformed the S&P 500 during major downturns, such as the Great Recession and the COVID-19 crash [10]. - Despite their defensive nature, consumer staples may have limited growth potential during economic expansions, as demand for basic goods does not significantly increase [11]. Group 3: Identifying Quality Consumer Staples Stocks - A quality screen for consumer staples stocks includes criteria such as being part of the S&P Composite 1500, having a long-term estimated earnings-per-share growth rate of at least 5%, and having at least five covering analysts [12][13][14]. - Stocks should also have a consensus Buy rating of 2.5 or less and a dividend yield of at least 1.5% to ensure they provide better income than the S&P 500 [15][16]. Group 4: Recommended Consumer Staples Stocks - The following companies are highlighted as strong consumer staples stocks based on the outlined criteria: - Dollar General (DG): Long-term EPS growth of 6.5%, consensus rating of 2.39, dividend yield of 2.1% [16] - Tyson Foods (TSN): Long-term EPS growth of 19.6%, consensus rating of 2.29, dividend yield of 3.5% [16] - Kroger (KR): Long-term EPS growth of 6.1%, consensus rating of 2.16, dividend yield of 1.8% [16] - Sysco (SYY): Long-term EPS growth of 6.1%, consensus rating of 2.10, dividend yield of 2.6% [16] - Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP): Long-term EPS growth of 7.2%, consensus rating of 1.91, dividend yield of 2.7% [16] - Philip Morris International (PM): Long-term EPS growth of 11.4%, consensus rating of 1.88, dividend yield of 3.0% [16] - Coca-Cola (KO): Long-term EPS growth of 6.1%, consensus rating of 1.62, dividend yield of 2.9% [16]

A Texas judge ruled that Keurig Dr. Pepper can end its partnership with the distribution and bottling operations in California and Nevada that also serves rival Coca-Cola https://t.co/AtdDFR9MtX ...

Core Points - Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. will release its financial results for Q2 2025 on July 24, 2025, before market opens [1] - A conference call to discuss the results will be held on the same day at 8:00 AM (ET), hosted by the CEO and CFO [1] - Investors can access the call via specific phone numbers and a replay will be available from July 24 to August 7, 2025 [2] Company Overview - Keurig Dr Pepper is a leading beverage company in North America with over 125 brands and annual revenue exceeding $15 billion [4] - The company holds leadership positions in various beverage categories, including carbonated soft drinks, coffee, tea, and more [4] - It operates the 1 single-serve coffee brewing system in the U.S. and Canada and focuses on innovative partnerships in emerging growth platforms [4]

Core Insights - Keurig is enhancing the at-home iced coffee experience with the introduction of the K-Brew + Chill™ brewer, which utilizes QuickChill Technology™ to brew hot coffee and then flash-chill it for a refreshing iced finish [1][2] - The collaboration with Chillhouse aims to combine coffee enjoyment with self-care, offering a stylish iced coffee experience alongside limited-edition nail designs [2][3] Company Overview - Keurig Dr Pepper is a leading North American beverage company with over 125 brands and annual revenue exceeding $15 billion, holding a top position in various beverage categories including coffee [5] - Chillhouse, founded in 2017, focuses on self-care and wellness, offering services and products that promote at-home self-care rituals [6] Marketing and Promotion - The partnership includes a promotional event at the Chillhouse Café in NYC, transforming it into the "Keurig Chillzone" from June 25 to July 25, featuring exclusive iced beverages and custom manicures [3] - Consumers can receive a discount on the K-Brew + Chill™ brewer and a free set of Chill Tips with their purchase, enhancing the marketing strategy through direct consumer engagement [7]

Core Insights - The K-Mini Mate™ Brewer is set to launch exclusively at Target in June, with plans for nationwide availability through Keurig.com and other major retailers in the fall [1][5] - The new brewer is designed for compact spaces while maintaining high-quality coffee brewing capabilities, making it suitable for various environments such as small kitchens, apartments, and offices [3][4] Product Features - The K-Mini Mate™ Brewer is compatible with any Keurig K-Cup® pod and features a one-cup removable reservoir, brewing up to 12 ounces of coffee [3] - It is designed to fit travel mugs easily, enhancing its portability and convenience [3] Market Positioning - Priced at $79.99, the K-Mini Mate™ Brewer aims to provide value to consumers amid rising costs and inflation, offering consistent quality for various lifestyles [4][5] - The product is available in three color options: Matte Black, Glamping Green, and Red Rocks, catering to different consumer preferences [4] Company Overview - Keurig Dr Pepper is a leading beverage company in North America with over 125 brands and annual revenue exceeding $15 billion [6] - The company holds a leadership position in multiple beverage categories, including single-serve coffee systems, and focuses on innovative partnerships to drive growth in emerging categories [6]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry is characterized by strong growth potential driven by rising consumer demand for healthier, functional, and eco-friendly beverages [1] - Companies are innovating and diversifying their portfolios to capture new market opportunities [1] - The industry is experiencing a digital transformation with brands adopting direct-to-consumer channels and subscription models to enhance customer relationships [1] Current Challenges - The industry faces persistent headwinds such as elevated input costs, supply-chain disruptions, and tariff-related uncertainties that pressure margins [2] - Rising packaging and freight expenses, along with volatile commodity prices, challenge profitability [2] - Newly imposed U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico create additional financial pressure and uncertainty [6] Consumer Trends - There is a significant shift in consumer preferences towards healthier beverage options, including drinks made with natural ingredients and reduced sugar [4] - Plant-based beverages and functional drinks that promote hydration and energy are gaining popularity among health-conscious consumers [4] - Companies are expanding into adjacent categories, such as ready-to-drink alcoholic beverages, to capitalize on these trends [4] Digital Growth & Innovation - The industry is leveraging digital transformation to enhance consumer engagement and boost growth [5] - Brands are investing in direct-to-consumer platforms and subscription-based models to secure recurring revenue [5] - Product innovation remains a key growth driver, with companies refining their portfolios and launching new products [5] Financial Performance - The Zacks Beverages – Soft Drinks industry currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 63, placing it in the top 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating bright near-term prospects [8] - The industry has underperformed the Consumer Staples sector and the S&P 500 Index over the past year, with a collective growth of 0.4% compared to the sector's 3.5% and the S&P 500's 11.9% [10] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.68X, compared to the S&P 500's 21.97X and the sector's 17.75X [13] - Over the past five years, the industry's P/E ratio has ranged from a high of 23.8X to a low of 17.22X, with a median of 21.45X [13] Notable Companies - **Coca-Cola (KO)**: Positioned for long-term growth through strategic transformation and digital investments, with a projected sales growth of 2.4% and earnings growth of 2.8% for 2025 [17][18] - **Zevia (ZVIA)**: Focused on zero-sugar, naturally sweetened drinks, with a projected sales growth of 3.4% and earnings growth of 38.7% for 2025 [21][22] - **Monster Beverage (MNST)**: Continues to perform well in the energy drinks category, with projected sales growth of 5.9% and earnings growth of 14.8% for 2025 [24][25] - **Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)**: Expected to benefit from growth in the Refreshment Beverages segment, with projected sales growth of 5.6% and earnings growth of 6.3% for 2025 [28][29] - **Primo Brands (PRMB)**: Specializes in healthy hydration with a projected sales growth of 145.6% and earnings growth of 52.5% for 2025 [33]

Core Insights - The analyst has a strong background in equity research and investment analysis, with a focus on the U.S. equity market and consumer staples sector, indicating a belief in the resilience of defensive stocks for long-term investment opportunities [1]. Group 1: Analyst Background - The analyst holds certifications as FMVA and FPWMP, which provide skills in financial statement analysis, valuation modeling, and investment portfolio construction [1]. - Participation in the CFA Research Challenge has equipped the analyst with practical experience in equity analysis and industry research [1]. - The analyst graduated in 2024 with a CGPA of 3.6 from the Faculty of Business at Alexandria University [1]. Group 2: Professional Experience - The analyst has worked with a confidential client, preparing investment reports across various sectors including healthcare, consumer staples, and industrials, enhancing the ability to evaluate companies across diverse industries [1]. - In 2023, the analyst joined AIESEC, further developing leadership, communication, and teamwork skills through global exchange and project collaboration [1].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies Core Insights - Recent sales growth trends for non-alcoholic beverages have decelerated slightly, with overall dollar sales growth up +3.4% year-over-year for the two weeks ending May 17, 2025, compared to previous periods [1] - Pricing growth has softened to +2.7%, while volume growth remains stable at +0.7% year-over-year [1] - Energy drinks continue to show strong sales growth at +8.3% year-over-year, although this is a slight deceleration from previous periods [7] Summary by Category Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs) - Dollar sales growth in CSDs was up approximately +LSD% and stable sequentially, with pricing growth slightly stronger but offset by weaker volumes [2] - Coca-Cola Company and Pepsico Inc reported dollar sales growth of +2.7% and +0.3% respectively, with volume declines [9] Bottled Water - Dollar sales trends in bottled water were stable sequentially, with growth around +LSD% and stable pricing and volume growth [2] Energy Drinks - The energy drink category saw dollar sales growth of +8.3% year-over-year, with volume growth at +6.7% [7] - Monster Energy Co. (excluding Bang) reported dollar sales growth of +9.5% year-over-year, driven by stable volume growth [7] Salty Snacks - Dollar sales trends for salty snacks modestly accelerated to -0.9% year-over-year, with volume growth at -2.1% [8] - Pepsico Inc's salty snack sales growth was down -3.3% year-over-year [8] Specific Company Trends - PEP's dollar sales growth modestly accelerated sequentially, while MNST (excluding Bang) showed strong and stable growth at +HSD% [3] - KO's dollar sales growth remained stable at +MSD%, with stable volumes and pricing growth [3] - KDP's dollar sales growth was stable at +LSD%, with stronger pricing growth offset by softer volumes [3]