Core Insights - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) shares have increased by 17.4% over the past year, slightly underperforming the Finance sector's growth of 18.2% and the industry growth of 17.5%, but outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite return of 9.5% [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $10.74 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.2 million shares over the last three months [4] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kinsale Capital's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 10%, with revenues projected at $1.75 billion, reflecting a 10.2% improvement [5] - Earnings have grown by 44.3% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average of 20.8%, with a long-term earnings growth rate expected at 15%, compared to the industry average of 6.8% [6] Earnings Performance - Kinsale Capital has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 11.07% [7] Financial Metrics - The return on equity (ROE) for Kinsale Capital stands at 26.37%, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.8%, indicating efficient use of shareholders' funds [10] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) is reported at 22.7%, compared to the industry's 5.9%, reflecting effective capital utilization [11] Analyst Sentiment - Mixed analyst sentiment is observed, with six out of eight analysts raising estimates for 2025, while six out of seven have lowered estimates for 2026 over the past 60 days [12] Valuation - Kinsale Capital shares are currently trading at a price-to-book value of 6.79X, which is higher than the industry average of 1.55X, indicating a premium valuation [13] Price Target - The average price target for Kinsale Capital, based on short-term estimates from eight analysts, is $474.63 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 2.9% from the last closing price [14] Market Positioning - Kinsale Capital is well-positioned in the excess and surplus (E&S) market, benefiting from high retention rates and improved underwriting results compared to the broader P&C industry [16] - The company targets small to medium-sized accounts, which allows for better pricing and reduced competition, with management estimating low double-digit rate increases across its business [17] Operational Efficiency - Kinsale Capital's proprietary technology platform enhances operational efficiency and expense ratios, contributing to improved margins and lower loss ratios [18] - The company has maintained a free cash flow conversion rate exceeding 85% in recent quarters, reflecting stable earnings [19] Dividend and Share Repurchase - Kinsale Capital has a strong dividend history, with a seven-year CAGR of 12.1% from 2017 to 2024, and has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million [21]

Company Performance - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. closed at $464.51, down 1.27% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.84% [1] - The stock has increased by 1.5% over the past month, outperforming the Finance sector's loss of 0% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.44% [1] Earnings Expectations - Analysts expect Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. to report earnings of $4.36 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 16.27% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $432.2 million, indicating a 12.39% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] Annual Forecast - Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $17.67 per share and revenue of $1.75 billion for the year, representing changes of +10.02% and +10.27% respectively compared to the previous year [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates are important as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating analyst optimism [3] Valuation Metrics - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. has a Forward P/E ratio of 26.62, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 11.7 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.77, while the Insurance - Property and Casualty industry has an average PEG ratio of 2.74 [6] Industry Context - The Insurance - Property and Casualty industry is part of the Finance sector and holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 54, placing it in the top 22% of over 250 industries [7] - Strong individual industry groups, as measured by the Zacks Industry Rank, tend to outperform weaker groups by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Perspective - Berkshire Hathaway has delivered exceptional returns under Warren Buffett's leadership, but its ability to generate outsized returns is limited at its current valuation of over $1 trillion [1] Group 1: Berkshire Hathaway's Historical Performance - An investment of $10,000 in Berkshire Hathaway in 1985 would have grown to nearly $4.1 million today, highlighting the company's long-term success [2] Group 2: Potential Investment Opportunities - Markel Corporation is identified as a potential "early Berkshire Hathaway," with a similar business model and a focus on specialty insurance, which could lead to superior profitability [5][7] - Markel's intrinsic value has increased by nearly 130% over the past five years, while its stock price has risen by less than half that amount, suggesting it may be undervalued [9] - Howard Hughes Holdings, under the influence of Bill Ackman, is exploring a direction to build a conglomerate similar to Berkshire Hathaway, with plans to incorporate an insurance business [10][11] - Kinsale Capital Group focuses on specialty insurance for smaller clients and has demonstrated best-in-class profitability, with a combined ratio of 76.4% in 2024, indicating a nearly 24% underwriting profit [13][15] Group 3: Future Outlook - While it is unlikely that another company will replicate Berkshire Hathaway's extraordinary returns, the conglomerate-building method used by Berkshire can still yield significant returns over time [18][19]

Core Insights - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) shares are trading at a premium compared to the Zacks Property and Casualty Insurance industry, with a price-to-book value of 6.47X, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.52X and the Finance sector's 4.11X [1] - Kinsale Capital's stock has gained 14.3% over the past year, underperforming its industry growth of 21.8% and the Finance sector's growth of 17.1%, but outperforming the S&P 500 composite's return of 10.9% [2][3] - The company has a market capitalization of $10.23 billion, with a recent closing price of $438.99, which is below its 52-week high of $531.79 [4] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kinsale Capital's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 10%, with revenues expected to reach $1.75 billion, reflecting a 10.2% improvement [8] - Earnings have grown 44.3% over the past five years, outperforming the industry average of 18.9%, with a long-term earnings growth rate expected at 15%, compared to the industry average of 6.9% [9] - Kinsale Capital has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 11.07% [10] Efficiency and Returns - Kinsale Capital's return on equity (ROE) stands at 26.3%, significantly higher than the industry's 7.7%, indicating effective utilization of shareholders' funds [11] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) is 22.7%, also outperforming the industry's 5.9%, reflecting the company's efficiency in generating income [12] Market Position and Strategy - Kinsale Capital has a strong presence in the excess and surplus (E&S) market in the U.S., benefiting from high retention rates and improved premiums due to significant market growth [13] - The company targets small to medium-sized accounts, achieving better pricing and lower competition, with management estimating low double-digit rate increases across its business [15] - Kinsale Capital aims for a combined ratio in the mid-80s range over the long term, indicating a focus on maintaining profitability [15] Technological Edge and Investment Income - The company leverages a proprietary technology platform to enhance operational efficiency and scalability, driving profitability [16] - Despite a low-interest rate environment, Kinsale Capital's investment income is expected to benefit from the investment of excess operating funds, with free cash flow conversion remaining above 85% [17] Dividend and Share Repurchase - Kinsale Capital has a strong dividend history, increasing dividends since 2017 at a seven-year CAGR of 12.1%, supported by operational excellence [19] - The board of directors has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million of common stock, indicating confidence in the company's financial position [19]

Group 1 - Many insurance companies are lagging in adopting the latest technology for risk underwriting and cost reduction, while Kinsale Capital Group is effectively implementing these advancements [1] Group 2 - Kinsale Capital Group is positioned as a leader in the insurance sector by leveraging technology to enhance operational efficiency and improve risk assessment [1]

Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 25, 2025 03:56 PM ET Company Participants Michael Kehoe - Chairman & CEOBryan Petrucelli - Executive VP, CFO & TreasurerBrian Haney - President & COOAndrew Andersen - Equity Research Vice PresidentPablo Singzon - Executive DirectorJian (Bob) Huang - Executive Director Conference Call Participants None - AnalystBill Carcache - Equity Research AnalystMichael Phillips - Incoming Investment Banking AnalystMark Hughes - AnalystCasey Alexander - Senior Vice ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, Kinsale's operating earnings per share increased by 6% and gross written premium grew by 8% compared to Q1 2024 [6] - The company reported a combined ratio of 82% and an annualized operating return on equity of 22.5% [6][12] - Net investment income rose by 33.1% year-over-year due to growth in the investment portfolio [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Commercial Property division experienced an 18% decrease in premium, which was the largest underwriting unit last year [9] - Excluding the Commercial Property division, Kinsale's direct written premium grew by 16.7% [10] - Personal lines and small commercial property teams continued to grow at double-digit rates [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The E&S market remained steady in Q1 2025, but competition continued to increase [11] - Overall rates for the quarter were down 1%, with the Commercial Property division seeing rates down about 20% [20] - Casualty rates overall were up modestly, driven by construction and general casualty [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Kinsale focuses on disciplined underwriting and a technology-driven low-cost model, which provides a durable competitive advantage [21][25] - The company is expanding its personal lines book, particularly in high-value homeowners and manufactured homes [18] - Kinsale aims to maintain profitability over growth, prioritizing high-margin segments and controlling underwriting [41][90] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the business model and the ability to sustain underwriting performance despite competitive pressures [40][42] - The company is well-positioned to grow even in a contracting economy, with a low expense ratio compared to competitors [46] - Management remains optimistic about growth prospects and the ability to take market share from higher-expense competitors [25] Other Important Information - The estimated loss from the Palisades wildfire was revised to about $41 million gross and $22 million net of reinsurance [7] - Kinsale repurchased $10 million in shares during Q1 2025, with expectations for similar modest levels of repurchases in the future [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Submission growth trends between property and casualty lines - The commercial property is experiencing the biggest decline in growth rate, while the rest of the properties continue to show strong submission growth [28][29] Question: Impact of competition on property slowdown - Increased competition in the large property account space is noted, with more capital entering the market [34][35] Question: Confidence in sustaining underwriting performance - Management is confident in their business model, focusing on high-margin segments and controlling underwriting [40][42] Question: Kinsale's strategy in a potential recession - The company believes it can continue to grow even in a contracting economy due to its low expense ratio [46] Question: Changes in loss trends for property and casualty lines - A decrease in reported losses and a favorable mix of business contributed to strong underlying loss ratios [54][55] Question: Appetite for large commercial property - Kinsale has not changed its appetite for large commercial property, focusing on the right pricing terms [74][75] Question: Sustainability of high loss ratios in fronting companies - Management believes that high loss ratios are unsustainable for fronting companies, which will eventually change the competitive landscape [84][85] Question: Core loss ratio and willingness to sacrifice margin for growth - Kinsale prioritizes profitability over growth, managing profitability at a granular level [88][90] Question: Competition in the commercial property market - The competitive environment in the commercial property market is described as steady, with no significant changes noted [96][99] Question: Long-term mix between property and casualty - The E&S market is generally viewed as one-third property and two-thirds casualty, with ongoing efforts to expand into homeowners insurance [104][105]

Core Insights - Kinsale Capital (KNSL) reported first-quarter 2025 net operating earnings of $3.71 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 17.8% and reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase [1] - The company's operational strategy focused on disciplined underwriting and technology-enabled cost management [1] Operational Update - Operating revenues increased by 13.4% year over year to $423 million, driven by higher premiums, fee income, and net investment income, although it slightly missed the consensus estimate by 0.2% [1] - Gross written premiums rose 7.9% year over year to $484.3 million, influenced by strong broker submissions and a competitive pricing environment [2] - Net written premiums climbed 8.7% year over year to $381.7 million, falling short of the estimate of $412.8 million [2] - Net investment income surged 33.1% year over year to $43.1 million, surpassing the estimate of $42.5 million, primarily due to growth in the investment portfolio and higher interest rates [3] Expense and Profitability Metrics - Total expenses increased by 21% year over year to $311 million, attributed to higher losses, underwriting, and acquisition expenses [4] - Underwriting income was reported at $67.5 million, a 3.7% year-over-year growth, despite higher catastrophe losses [4] - The combined ratio deteriorated by 260 basis points to 82.1, better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 87 [5] - The expense ratio worsened by 70 basis points to 20, while the loss ratio increased by 330 basis points to 62.1 [5] Financial Update - Kinsale Capital ended the first quarter of 2025 with cash and invested assets of $4.3 million, a 4.9% increase from the end of 2024 [6] - Stockholders' equity rose by 6.7% to $1.6 billion, and book value per share increased by 6.5% to $67.92 [6] - Net operating cash flows were $229.8 million, reflecting a 9.2% year-over-year increase [6] Share Repurchase - The company repurchased $10 million worth of shares in the first quarter of 2025 [9]

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) came out with quarterly earnings of $3.71 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.15 per share. This compares to earnings of $3.50 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 17.78%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $4.34 per share when it actually produced earnings of $4.62, delivering a surprise of 6.45%.Over the last four quarters, t ...

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q ☒ Quarterly report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 ☐ Transition report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the transition period from _______ to _______ Commission File Number: 001-37848 KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP, INC. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 98-0664337 (State or other ...