Core Viewpoint - Moelis (MC) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of earnings surprises [1][5]. Earnings Performance - In the most recent quarter, Moelis reported earnings of $0.57 per share, falling short of the expected $0.64 per share, resulting in a surprise of 12.28% [2]. - In the previous quarter, Moelis significantly exceeded expectations, reporting $1.18 per share against a consensus estimate of $0.46 per share, leading to a surprise of 156.52% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Moelis, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8]. - The current Earnings ESP for Moelis stands at +1.82%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [8]. Zacks Rank and Success Rate - Moelis holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, historically results in a positive surprise rate of nearly 70% [6][8]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7].

Group 1 - LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton has a diverse portfolio across various sectors including Wines and Spirits, Fashion and Leather Goods, Perfumes and Cosmetics, Watches and Jewelry, and Selective Retailing [2] - The company’s Wines and Spirits division features renowned brands such as Moët & Chandon, Hennessy, and Château d'Yquem, among others [2] - In the Fashion and Leather Goods sector, LVMH includes prestigious names like Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, and Fendi [2] Group 2 - LVMH is also involved in the Perfumes and Cosmetics market with brands like Guerlain and Fenty Beauty by Rihanna [2] - The Watches and Jewelry division includes luxury brands such as Bulgari and Tiffany & Co [2] - LVMH operates in Selective Retailing through entities like Sephora and DFS [2]

Investor Presentation April 2025 Confidential Content must not go below this line Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which reflect the Firm's current views with respect to, among other things, its operations and financial performance. You can identify these forward-looking statements by the use of words such as "outlook," "believes," "expects," "potential," "continues," "may," "will," "should," "seeks," "target," "approximately," "predicts," "intends," "plans," ...

Core Insights - The article compares Goldman Sachs (GS) and Moelis & Company (MC), highlighting their distinct business models within the investment banking industry, with GS being a global financial giant and MC being a focused advisory-driven boutique [1][2]. Goldman Sachs (GS) - GS maintains a leadership position in global investment banking, particularly in M&A advisory, equity, and debt underwriting, with a 24% increase in IB revenues in 2024 due to a rebound in corporate financing activity [3]. - However, GS experienced an 8% decline in IB revenues in Q1 2025, attributed to market turmoil and uncertainty over monetary policy, though its leading position in deal-making suggests enduring client trust [4]. - The firm is strategically exiting lower-margin consumer finance businesses to focus on high-return sectors like investment banking and trading, including ending its partnership with Apple on the Apple Card and Apple Savings account [5]. - Goldman Asset Management aims for aggressive growth in private credit, targeting a portfolio of $300 billion by 2030, reinforcing its long-term growth potential [6]. Moelis & Company (MC) - MC demonstrates resilient performance driven by its high-quality advisory platform, achieving a 10% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years despite revenue declines in 2019, 2022, and 2023 [7]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from structural tailwinds in M&A and capital advisory, with elevated corporate debt levels driving demand for restructuring services [8]. - MC's business is diversified across various sectors and geographies, with no significant client concentration, and has advised on over $5.1 trillion in transactions since inception [9]. - MC projects a 42.4% year-over-year earnings growth for 2026, significantly outpacing GS's projected 13.1% growth, and offers a higher dividend yield of 4.64% compared to GS's 1.92% [10][22]. Performance and Valuation Comparison - Over the past year, GS shares gained 38.7%, while MC shares increased by 7.5%, both outperforming the industry average rise of 33.1% [11]. - GS is currently trading at a forward P/E of 13.26X, higher than its five-year median of 10.16X, while MC trades at a forward P/E of 25.65X, above its five-year median of 20.16X [14]. - Both companies have dividend yields exceeding the industry average, with MC having a notable edge [16]. Estimates and Growth Potential - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GS indicates a revenue rise of 3.8% and 5.1% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with earnings growth of 9.6% and 13.1% [19]. - In contrast, MC's estimates reflect a revenue increase of 2.8% and 20.9% for 2025 and 2026, with earnings growth of 0.6% and 42.4% [20]. - MC's advisory-driven model aligns well with the rising demand for restructuring services, indicating significant long-term potential [21][22]. - Despite trading at a premium valuation, MC's market capitalization of $4.4 billion compared to GS's $188.3 billion suggests more room for growth [23].

Summary of Moelis & Company Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Moelis & Company - **New CEO**: Naved Mamuzadigan will become CEO on October 1, 2023, transitioning from co-president, while Ken Moelis will become Executive Chairman and Jeff Rach will be appointed Executive Vice Chairman [2][4][5] Key Points and Arguments Leadership Transition - The transition is seen as a natural evolution of the firm, with a focus on promoting internal talent [4][5][6] - 45% of managing directors (MDs) are internally promoted, indicating a strong culture of talent development [5] Strategic Focus - The firm is focusing on major verticals with significant revenue opportunities, including technology and oil and gas [7][8] - A major expansion into private equity fundraising is planned, with a new focus on continuation vehicles [7][8] Market Environment - Optimism is expressed regarding the M&A environment, with indications of increased transaction activity despite previous setbacks [10][11] - The pipeline for new business is reportedly strong, with activity levels comparable to historical highs [13] Private Equity and Sponsor Clients - There is pressure on private equity firms to return capital to investors due to limited exit activity over the past few years [14][15] - Continuation vehicles are highlighted as a key opportunity for sponsors to provide liquidity to investors while retaining ownership of portfolio companies [15][34] IPO Market - The IPO market is beginning to open for certain types of companies, which could encourage more activity from sponsors [17] Interest Rates - While there is a desire for interest rate cuts, sponsors are not solely waiting for this to proceed with transactions [20][21] - Long-term concerns about elevated ten-year yields are acknowledged, but not seen as an immediate threat [22] Private Funds Advisory (PFA) - The PFA business is a significant growth area, with key hires made to strengthen this segment [23][24] - Continuation vehicles and LP to LP secondaries are identified as major opportunities within the PFA space [27][29] Restructuring Business - The restructuring segment is performing well, with steady activity levels expected even in a recovering economy [35][38] Hiring and Talent Acquisition - Competition for top talent remains high, with a focus on cultural fit and alignment with the firm's values [40][41] - The firm aims to maintain a nimble approach to hiring, especially during uncertain times [46][47] Financial Metrics - The compensation ratio was reported at 69% in Q1, with a target of low 60s for equilibrium in the long term [51][52] - Non-compensation growth is targeted at 15% year-over-year, with a focus on efficiency and technology adoption [57] Technology and AI - AI is seen as a potential tool to improve efficiency and enhance the capabilities of junior bankers [58][62] Overall Strategy - The firm aims to maintain its core values of collaboration, transparency, and a strong balance sheet while striving to be the best independent investment bank [64][65] Additional Important Points - The firm is committed to building long-term client relationships, which are central to its strategy and success [64][65] - The focus on internal promotions and talent development is a key differentiator for Moelis & Company in the competitive investment banking landscape [5][6]

Company Overview - Moelis (MC) shares have increased by approximately 7.5% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 [1] - The most recent earnings report is crucial for understanding the catalysts affecting the stock [1] Earnings Estimates - Estimates for Moelis have trended downward, with a consensus estimate shift of -14.05% in the past month [2] - The stock has received a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating expectations of below-average returns in the coming months [4] VGM Scores - Moelis has an average Growth Score of C, but it significantly lags in Momentum Score with an F, and also has a Value Score of F, placing it in the lowest quintile for investment strategies [3] - The overall aggregate VGM Score for Moelis is F, which is a critical indicator for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Industry Comparison - Moelis is part of the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry, where Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) has gained 22.3% over the past month [5] - Interactive Brokers reported revenues of $1.4 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +16%, with an EPS of $1.88 compared to $1.64 a year ago [5] - For the current quarter, Interactive Brokers is expected to post earnings of $1.73 per share, showing a year-over-year change of -1.7% [6]

Investor Presentation April 2025 Confidential Content must not go below this line Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which reflect the Firm's current views with respect to, among other things, its operations and financial performance. You can identify these forward-looking statements by the use of words such as "outlook," "believes," "expects," "potential," "continues," "may," "will," "should," "seeks," "target," "approximately," "predicts," "intends," "plans," ...

Core Viewpoint - Moelis & Company reported better-than-expected first-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings of 64 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 57 cents, and significantly improving from 22 cents per share in the prior-year quarter [1][2] Financial Performance - Net income on a GAAP basis was $50.3 million, compared to $16.6 million in the prior-year quarter [2] - Total revenues on a GAAP basis grew 41% year over year to $306.6 million, driven by increases in M&A and capital markets revenues, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $289.8 million [3] - Total operating expenses on a GAAP basis rose 27.4% to $269.9 million, attributed to increases in compensation and benefits costs as well as non-compensation expenses, with estimates for total operating expenses at $252.9 million [3] Other Income and Liquidity - Other income on a GAAP basis was $6.1 million, up 45.2%, surpassing projections of $5.5 million [4] - As of March 31, 2025, the company held cash and liquid investments of $336.3 million, with no debt or goodwill [4] Strategic Outlook - The company's hiring spree and rising revenue-related compensation may negatively impact bottom-line growth, alongside concerns regarding a delayed rebound in global deal-making [5] - However, global expansion initiatives and diverse operations across various sectors are seen as positive factors for future growth [5] Peer Performance - Morgan Stanley reported first-quarter 2025 earnings of $2.60 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.23, with a 28.7% increase from the prior-year quarter [6] - Goldman Sachs achieved first-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $14.12, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.71, and showing growth from $11.58 in the year-ago quarter [7]

Moelis & Company (NYSE:MC) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call April 23, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Matt Tsukroff - Vice President of Investor Relations Chris Callesano - Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Moelis - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Devin Ryan - Citizens JMP Securities, LLC Kenneth Worthington - JPMorgan Chase & Co. James Yaro - Goldman Sachs Brendan O’Brien - Wolfe Research, LLC Michael Brown - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC Ryan Kenny - Morgan Stanley Benjamin Rubin - U ...

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 Or ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to Commission File Number: 001-36418 Moelis & Company (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 46-4500216 (State or other jurisdiction ...