Summary of Microchip (MCHP) Conference Call - August 12, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) - **Industry**: Semiconductor Key Points Recovery Trends - Bookings have improved significantly, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.07 in March, above one in June, and July bookings being the largest in three years [4][5] - The company experienced a sequential growth of 10.8% in the last quarter, with improving metrics in gross margin and operating margin [5] Guidance and Inventory Management - Guidance for the third quarter is above seasonal at 5.1% growth, despite high inventory levels and short lead times [6][7] - The company is encouraging customers to book orders further out to manage lead times and prevent surprises in delivery schedules [8][11] Customer Feedback and Relationships - Early feedback from customers regarding the lead time extension communication is still pending [13] - The company has made significant progress in improving relationships with previously dissatisfied customers, particularly those affected by the PSP program [26][29] Market Segments and Performance - Strong traction is noted in the aerospace and defense sector, which constituted 18% of the business in fiscal 2025 [22] - The data center business is recovering, while automotive remains sluggish [23] Product Portfolio and Differentiation - The Microsemi portfolio, acquired in 2018, plays a significant role in the aerospace and defense market, with a focus on FPGAs and other semiconductor products [24][25] Pricing Environment - Pricing for Microchip products is stable, with a projected mid-single-digit decline for the fiscal year due to competitive pressures [49][50] AI Business Unit - A new edge AI business unit has been established to maximize the benefits of existing products and develop a go-to-market strategy [52][53] Gross Margin and Financial Outlook - Long-term gross margin target is 65% on a non-GAAP basis, with current quarter guidance at 56% [54] - Significant charges impacting gross margin include underutilization charges and inventory reserve accounting, which are expected to decrease as inventory levels normalize [55][56] Geopolitical and Tariff Considerations - The company is adapting its manufacturing strategy in response to Section 232 tariffs and geopolitical risks, maintaining a significant portion of wafer fab domestically [34][38] - The "China for China" program is being developed to address local sourcing pressures amid geopolitical tensions [44][46] Conclusion - Microchip is navigating a recovery phase with improved bookings and strong performance in specific sectors, while also addressing customer relationships and adapting to market dynamics. The focus on AI and maintaining a stable pricing environment positions the company for future growth.

Group 1 - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index increased by 1.5% [1] - Microchip Technology rose over 6% [1] - Qualcomm gained over 2% [1] - Nvidia declined nearly 1% [1] - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) fell by 0.15% [1]

Company Overview - Microchip Technology Incorporated is a leading provider of smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions [3] - The company serves approximately 105,000 customers across various markets including industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace and defense, communications, and computing [3] - Microchip is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona, and offers comprehensive product portfolios and development tools to reduce risk and lower total system costs [3] Upcoming Events - The company will present at the Mizuho 2025 Technology Conference on August 12, 2025, at 11:30 a.m. Mountain Time [1] - Mr. Eric Bjornholt, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will represent the company during the presentation [1] - A live webcast of the presentation will be available on the Microchip website [1]

Core Insights - Microchip Technology's international operations are crucial for assessing its financial resilience and growth prospects [1][2] - The company's reliance on global markets can provide both opportunities and challenges, impacting its overall performance [3][9] Revenue Performance - In the quarter ended June 2025, Microchip Technology reported total revenue of $1.08 billion, a decline of 13.4% year-over-year [4] - Revenue from Europe was $225.4 million, representing 21% of total revenue, exceeding Wall Street's estimate by 8.18% [5] - Asia contributed $542.5 million, accounting for 50.4% of total revenue, also surpassing expectations by 3.7% [6] Future Projections - Analysts project revenues of $1.13 billion for the ongoing fiscal quarter, a decline of 2.8% from the previous year, with Europe and Asia expected to contribute 18.6% and 48.3% respectively [7] - For the full year, total annual revenue is expected to reach $4.55 billion, an increase of 3.4% compared to last year, with Europe and Asia projected to contribute 19.2% and 48.8% respectively [8] Market Context - The increasing complexity of global interdependence and geopolitical issues necessitates close monitoring of international revenue trends for companies like Microchip Technology [10] - The company's stock has seen a decline of 17% over the past month, contrasting with a 2.7% increase in the S&P 500 [14]

Core Insights - Microchip Technology (MCHP) reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 non-GAAP earnings of 27 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 12.5% but down 49.1% year over year [1] - Net sales reached $1.08 billion, a decrease of 13.4% year over year, but surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.06%. Sequentially, revenues increased by 10.8% [1][8] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP gross margin contracted by 560 basis points year over year to 54.3%, but expanded by 240 basis points sequentially [5] - Non-GAAP operating margin declined to 20.7% compared to 31.5% in the year-ago quarter, although it expanded by 670 basis points sequentially [6] - Cash flow from operating activities was $275.6 million, up from $205.9 million in the previous quarter, while free cash flow was $257.7 million compared to $191.7 million [9][8] Segment and Geographic Breakdown - Sales from Mixed-signal Microcontroller, Analog, and Other segments accounted for 49.5%, 29.4%, and 21.1% of net sales, respectively [3] - Direct sales constituted 53% of total sales, while distribution accounted for 47%. Geographically, revenues from the Americas, Europe, and Asia contributed 28.6%, 21%, and 50.4% to net sales, respectively [4] Guidance and Outlook - For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Microchip expects net sales to be approximately $1.13 billion (+/- $20 million), reflecting a sequential growth of about 5.1% [10] - Non-GAAP earnings are anticipated to be between 30 cents and 36 cents per share, with gross margins expected to be between 55% and 57% [11][10] Shareholder Returns - Microchip returned approximately $245 million to shareholders through dividends in the fiscal first quarter, announcing a quarterly dividend of 45.5 cents per share [9]

Group 1 - Microchip Technology reported first-quarter earnings of 27 cents per share, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of 23 cents per share [1] - The company achieved quarterly sales of $1.075 billion, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.054 billion [1] - For the second quarter, Microchip expects adjusted EPS between 34 cents to 37 cents per share, compared to market estimates of 30 cents per share [2] Group 2 - Microchip projects sales for the second quarter to be between $1.110 billion and $1.150 billion, slightly below expectations of $1.115 billion [2] - CEO Steve Sanghi highlighted a 10.8% sequential revenue growth to approximately $1.0755 billion, indicating a strong start to fiscal 2026 [3] - The company is executing a nine-point recovery plan, leading to improvements in key financial metrics and a strengthened financial position [3] Group 3 - Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Microchip Technology, with Needham maintaining a Buy rating and raising the target from $66 to $77 [6] - Piper Sandler also maintained an Overweight rating, increasing the price target from $65 to $80 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Microchip reported a strong start to fiscal year 2026 with a sequential revenue increase of 10.8%, reaching approximately $1.0755 billion, although it experienced a year-over-year decline of 13.4% [3][7]. Financial Performance - For Q1 FY26, net sales were $1.0755 billion, with a non-GAAP net profit of $154.7 million, translating to diluted earnings per share of $0.27, down from $289.9 million and $0.53 in the same quarter last year [3][4]. - The gross profit margin was 54.3%, while the operating income margin was 20.7% [9]. Strategic Initiatives - The CEO highlighted a significant inventory reduction of $124.4 million, with distribution inventory days decreasing by 4 days to 29 days, and total inventory days down to 214 days, enhancing operational efficiency [8]. - The CFO noted that the company’s business model demonstrated leverage, achieving a non-GAAP gross margin of 76% and an operating margin of 82% for new revenue [8]. Future Guidance - For Q2 FY26, the company expects net sales to be approximately $1.13 billion, representing a sequential growth of about 5.1% [8][11]. - The company plans to maintain a cautious approach due to the changing macro environment while believing in its ability to achieve sustained growth and enhance shareholder value throughout FY26 [8]. Capital Expenditure - Projected capital expenditures for Q2 FY26 are estimated between $35 million and $40 million, with total capital expenditures for FY26 expected to be $100 million or less [11].

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Core Viewpoint - Microchip Technology reported quarterly earnings of $0.27 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.24 per share, but down from $0.53 per share a year ago, indicating a +12.50% earnings surprise [1][2] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $1.08 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.06%, although this is a decrease from $1.24 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Microchip Technology has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times and topped revenue estimates three times as well [2] Stock Performance - Microchip Technology shares have increased approximately 15.4% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 7.9% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating expectations for it to outperform the market in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.31 on revenues of $1.11 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.38 on revenues of $4.55 billion [7] - The semiconductor industry, particularly the Analog and Mixed segment, is ranked in the top 24% of Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook for stocks within this sector [8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a sequential sales growth of 10.8%, with net sales reaching $1,075 million, exceeding guidance by $5.5 million [7][13] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 54.3%, impacted by inventory write-offs and underutilization charges, while the product gross margin was calculated at 66.3% [11][13] - Non-GAAP net income was $154.7 million, translating to earnings per diluted share of $0.27, which was $0.01 above the high end of guidance [13][14] - Inventory decreased by $124 million sequentially, with inventory days dropping from 266 to 214 days [9][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales from microcontroller and analog businesses both experienced double-digit percentage growth sequentially [7][8] - The company noted a significant reduction in inventory write-offs from $90.6 million in March to $77.1 million in June [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company observed a sequential increase in distribution sales, indicating a correction in distributor customer inventory levels [22] - The backlog for September was reported to be higher than for June, with July bookings being the highest in three years [27][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on increasing wafer starts in December to meet growing demand while managing inventory levels [26][31] - There is a strong emphasis on expanding product offerings in aerospace, defense, and AI applications, with significant advancements in FPGA solutions and AI coding assistance [18][19][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in a structural demand recovery, indicating that the company is still below normalized end market demand levels [22][24] - The company expects continued improvement in gross margins as inventory write-offs decrease and factory utilization increases [25][31] Other Important Information - The company plans to maintain a capital return program for shareholders, expecting adjusted free cash flow to exceed dividend payments [32] - Management highlighted the importance of managing customer backlogs to avoid short-term shipment pressures due to low inventory levels [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Is the September outlook seasonal or above seasonal? - Management indicated that a 5.1% sequential increase in September would be considered well above seasonal, as typical seasonal increases are around 3% [35] Question: What is the macro environment outlook beyond September? - Management believes the recovery is strong, driven by inventory corrections at distributors and direct customers, rather than tariff-related pull-ins [39][40] Question: How do automotive and industrial markets compare in September? - Management noted strong growth across all product lines and end markets, with recovery seen in both automotive and industrial sectors [45] Question: What is the status of inventory levels and sell-through? - Management confirmed that sell-through is higher than sell-in, with a gap of $49.3 million, indicating that inventory levels are being corrected [49][50] Question: What is the outlook for lead times and customer orders? - Management reported that lead times are extending for certain products, and customers are encouraged to manage their backlogs to ensure adequate supply [65][66] Question: Are there any end markets lagging in demand? - Management identified automotive as the lagging market, while data centers and industrial sectors are recovering well [72] Question: How does the company view tariff exemptions related to U.S. manufacturing? - Management believes that their existing U.S. manufacturing investments qualify for tariff exemptions, potentially putting them in a better position than some competitors [76]