Core Insights - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE:MGY) is recognized as one of the 12 best crude oil stocks to buy amid rising tensions in the market [1] Company Overview - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company involved in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States [2] Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, Magnolia reported adjusted earnings of $0.38 per share, exceeding estimates by $0.01, with revenue surpassing $317.6 million, beating consensus by approximately $3.9 million [3] - The company achieved a record production level in Q4, averaging nearly 104,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, which is an 11% increase from Q4 2024 [3] - For the full year 2025, total output increased by 11% year-over-year to around 100,000 boepd, with oil production growing by 4% year-over-year, averaging nearly 40,000 bpd [3] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Magnolia generated over $425 million in free cash flow for FY 2025, returning approximately 75% to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [4] - The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.165 per share on February 6, resulting in a current annual dividend yield of 2.54% [4] Future Outlook - Magnolia is targeting a 5% production growth in 2026, with capital spending expected to remain flat compared to 2025 [4]

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from ___________ to ___________ Commission File Number: 001-38083 WASHINGTON, DC 20549 FORM 10-K (Mark One) ☒ ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the year ended December 31, 2025 Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (713) 842-9050 Securities registered pursuant to section 12 ...

Core Insights - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) reported a fourth-quarter 2025 net profit of 37 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 36 cents, although it decreased from 49 cents in the same quarter last year [1] - The company's total revenues were $318 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $312 million, but down 2.7% from $327 million in the previous year due to lower oil and natural gas liquids revenues [2] Revenue Breakdown - Revenues from oil amounted to $215.6 million, a 12.5% decrease from $246.5 million in the year-ago quarter, but slightly above the consensus estimate of $215 million [3] - Natural gas revenues increased significantly to $52.9 million from $28.4 million year-over-year, beating the consensus estimate of $49.6 million [3] - Natural gas liquids revenues were $49.1 million, down from $51.7 million in the previous year, but above the consensus estimate of $47.4 million [3] Cash Flow and Dividends - The company generated $208.4 million in net cash from operating activities and achieved a free cash flow of $74.7 million [4] - Magnolia declared a cash dividend of 16.5 cents per share for Class A Common stock and 15 cents per Class B unit, marking a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend rate, resulting in an annualized dividend of 66 cents per share [4] Share Repurchase and Returns - In the fourth quarter, Magnolia repurchased 2.4 million Class A Common shares for $53.4 million and increased its share repurchase authorization by an additional 10 million shares, totaling 12.9 million shares remaining for repurchase [5] - The company returned 110% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [5] Production and Prices - Average daily total output was 103,799 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d), an 11.5% increase from 93,096 boe/d in the year-ago quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 101,173 boe/d [6] - Oil volumes were 40,730 barrels per day (bpd), up 4.9% from the previous year, surpassing the estimate of 40,262 bpd [6] - Natural gas volumes reached 196,618 thousand cubic feet per day (Mcf/d), a 17.7% increase from the previous year, exceeding the estimate of 192,400 Mcf/d [7] - The average realized crude oil price was $57.54 per barrel, a 16.6% decrease from $69.01 in the year-ago period [7] Price Realizations - The average realized natural gas price was $2.92 per Mcf, significantly up from $1.85 year-over-year, beating the estimate of $2.83 [9] - The average realized natural gas liquids price was $17.63 per barrel, down 17.1% from the previous year, missing the estimate of $18 [9] - The average sales price was $33.26 per boe compared to $38.13 a year ago [9] Financial Position - As of December 31, 2025, Magnolia had cash and cash equivalents of $266.8 million and long-term debt of $393.2 million, resulting in a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 16.8% [10] - The company spent $116.5 million on its capital program in the reported quarter, with operating expenses increasing to $223.5 million from $202.5 million in the previous year [10] Guidance - For Q1 2026, Magnolia expects D&C capital spending to be about $125 million, with total production estimated at roughly 102 Mboe/d [11] - For the full year of 2026, total D&C capital spending is estimated to range between $440 million and $480 million, supporting approximately 5% total production growth [12]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, total company production grew by 11% to approximately 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with oil production growing by 4% to nearly 40,000 barrels per day [7][16] - Fourth quarter adjusted net income was approximately $71 million or $0.38 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA at $216 million [8][16] - Free cash flow for the full year exceeded $425 million, with approximately 75% returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [9][16] - The balance sheet ended the year with a cash balance of $267 million, providing ample liquidity [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a new production record in the fourth quarter, averaging nearly 104,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, reflecting a sequential increase of 3% [8][16] - Operationally, field-level cash operating expenses declined by 7% to $5.12 per BOE during 2025 [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue per BOE declined 13% quarter-over-quarter due to lower oil prices [21] - The company remains unhedged for all oil and natural gas production, with anticipated oil price differentials of approximately $3 per barrel [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company's strategy focuses on steady mid-single-digit production growth, high pre-tax margins, and reliable free cash flow while maintaining a low reinvestment rate [10][11] - The company plans to maintain capital spending at similar levels in 2026 while targeting a production growth of approximately 5% [13][23] - The company emphasizes a disciplined approach to capital allocation and operational efficiency, aiming to maximize returns while minimizing financial risk [11][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate product price volatility and highlighted the importance of maintaining low leverage [11][15] - The outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations for gradual production growth despite potential weather impacts in the first quarter [23][44] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 8.9 million shares throughout 2025, reducing the diluted share count by roughly 4.5% [9][17] - A 10% increase in the quarterly dividend was announced, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase [19][14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance of recent wells in Giddings - Management noted that recent wells have outperformed type curves due to improved drilling practices and better rock quality [25][26] Question: M&A activity and pricing trends - Management acknowledged increased competition and rising prices for acreage but emphasized a preference for undeveloped opportunities rather than PDP-heavy deals [28][30] Question: Well-cost reductions and capital efficiency - Management indicated that well costs have decreased, with current costs around $1,000 per foot for standard Giddings wells, and service costs are expected to remain flat to slightly down [35][36] Question: Production outlook for 2026 - Management expects steady growth throughout 2026, with a heavier capital outlay in the first half of the year [44][23] Question: Maintenance capital estimates - Management suggested that maintenance capital is likely around $400 million, reflecting efficiencies gained over the years [78][80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, total company production grew by 11% to approximately 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with oil production growing by 4% to nearly 40,000 barrels per day [7] - Fourth quarter adjusted net income was approximately $71 million or $0.38 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA coming in at $216 million [8][16] - Free cash flow for the full year exceeded $425 million, with approximately 75% returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [9][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a new production record in the fourth quarter, averaging nearly 104,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, reflecting a sequential increase of 3% [8] - Operationally, field-level cash operating expenses declined by 7% to $5.12 per BOE during 2025 [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue per BOE declined 13% quarter-over-quarter due to a decrease in oil prices [21] - The company remains completely unhedged for all its oil and natural gas production, with anticipated oil price differentials of approximately $3 per barrel [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company's strategy focuses on steady mid-single-digit total production growth, high pre-tax margins, and reliable free cash flow while maintaining a low reinvestment rate [10][11] - The company plans to remain fiscally prudent with capital spending expected to be approximately flat year-over-year while delivering total production growth of approximately 5% in 2026 [13][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate product price volatility and emphasized the importance of maintaining low leverage and a strong balance sheet [15][11] - The outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations for gradual production growth despite potential winter weather impacts in the first quarter [23][44] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 8.9 million shares throughout 2025, reducing the diluted share count by roughly 4.5% [9][17] - A 10% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.16 per share was recently announced, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance of recent wells in Giddings - Management noted that recent wells have outperformed type curves due to improved drilling practices and better rock quality, with no significant changes in completion design [25][26] Question: M&A activity and pricing trends - Management indicated that competition for acquisitions has increased, particularly for larger deals, and expressed a preference for opportunities with undeveloped upside rather than PDP-heavy assets [28][30] Question: Well-cost reductions and capital efficiency - Management reported a reduction in the cost of standard Giddings wells to around $1,000 per foot, with expectations for flat to slightly decreasing service costs [35][36] Question: Capital allocation strategy in a higher oil price scenario - In a scenario with higher oil prices, management indicated that excess cash would likely be allocated to dividends, share repurchases, or opportunistic acquisitions, rather than increasing rig counts [99][100] Question: Development approach and well pad sizes - The company continues to operate with an average of 3-4 wells per pad, with flexibility to drill longer laterals when possible [50][51] Question: Maintenance capital expectations - Management estimated maintenance capital to be around $400 million, with a focus on maintaining production levels without excessive spending [79][80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, total company production grew by 11% to approximately 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with oil production growing by 4% to nearly 40,000 barrels per day [7][9] - Fourth quarter adjusted net income was approximately $71 million or $0.38 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA at $216 million [9][17] - Free cash flow for the full year exceeded $425 million, with approximately 75% returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [10][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a new production record in Q4, averaging nearly 104,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, reflecting a sequential increase of 3% [8] - Field-level cash operating expenses declined by 7% to $5.12 per BOE during 2025, contributing to improved operational efficiency [7][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue per BOE declined 13% quarter-over-quarter due to lower oil prices, impacting operating income margins [21] - The company remains unhedged for all oil and natural gas production, which allows for upside potential in commodity prices [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company's strategy focuses on steady mid-single-digit production growth, high pre-tax margins, and reliable free cash flow while maintaining a low reinvestment rate [11][12] - Magnolia plans to maintain capital spending at similar levels year-over-year while targeting a production growth of approximately 5% in 2026 [13][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate product price volatility and emphasized the importance of maintaining low leverage for financial flexibility [15][20] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for gradual production growth despite potential weather impacts in Q1 [24][43] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 8.9 million shares throughout 2025, reducing the diluted share count by roughly 4.5% [10][18] - A 10% increase in the quarterly dividend was announced, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase [14][19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Performance of recent wells in Giddings - Management noted that recent wells have outperformed type curves, attributing success to improved drilling techniques and better rock quality [26][27] Question: M&A activity and pricing trends - Management acknowledged increased competition and rising prices for acreage but emphasized a preference for undeveloped opportunities rather than PDP-heavy deals [28][30] Question: Cost reductions and capital efficiency - Management indicated that well costs have decreased, with current costs around $1,000 per foot for standard Giddings wells, and service costs are expected to remain flat to slightly down [34][35] Question: Capital allocation strategy - Management stated that excess cash from higher oil prices would be directed towards dividends, share repurchases, or opportunistic acquisitions, without plans to add another rig [96][99] Question: Production outlook for 2026 - Management expects steady growth throughout 2026, with a heavier capital outlay in the first half of the year [42][43] Question: Development approach and well pad sizes - The average well pad size remains around 3-4 wells, with opportunities for longer laterals if adjacent acreage can be acquired [49][51] Question: Maintenance capital estimates - Management suggested that maintenance capital is likely around $400 million, reflecting efficiencies gained over the years [78][80]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding the company or industry [1]

Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2025 Earnings Presentation February 5, 2026 Adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDAX should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, net income as determined in accordance with GAAP. Certain items excluded from free cash flow, adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDAX, adjusted cash operating costs, adjusted cash operating margin, adjusted operating margin and return on capital employed are significant components in understanding and assessing a company's financia ...

Core Insights - The article promotes a free two-week trial for the investment group Distressed Value Investing, which offers exclusive research and access to a portfolio of over 1,000 reports on more than 100 companies [1] Group 1 - Aaron Chow, known as Elephant Analytics, has over 15 years of analytical experience and is a highly rated analyst on TipRanks [2] - Chow co-founded a mobile gaming company, Absolute Games, which was acquired by PENN Entertainment, showcasing his experience in the gaming sector [2] - The investment group Distressed Value Investing focuses on value opportunities and distressed plays, particularly in the energy sector [2]

Core Insights - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp reported quarterly earnings of $0.37 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.36 per share, but down from $0.49 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +2.41% [1] - The company generated revenues of $317.63 million for the quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.71%, although this is a decrease from $326.61 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Magnolia Oil & Gas shares have increased approximately 20.6% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Magnolia Oil & Gas shares will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.35, with projected revenues of $304.57 million, and for the current fiscal year, the EPS estimate is $1.44 on revenues of $1.27 billion [7] Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry is currently ranked in the bottom 6% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment for companies in this sector [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact investor sentiment and stock performance [5]