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SM Energy (SM) Up 4.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 17:36
Core Viewpoint - SM Energy reported a mixed third-quarter earnings performance, beating earnings expectations but missing revenue estimates, while also announcing a significant merger with Civitas Resources valued at approximately $12.8 billion [2][13]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings for Q3 2025 were $1.33 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.25, but down from $1.62 in the same quarter last year [2]. - Total revenues for the quarter were $811.6 million, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $838 million, yet up from $643.6 million year-over-year [2]. Production and Operational Metrics - Q3 production volume reached 213.8 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), a 26% increase from 170 MBoe/d a year ago, slightly above the consensus estimate of 213 MBoe/d [4]. - Oil production rose approximately 47% year-over-year to 113.9 thousand barrels per day (MBbls/d), while natural gas production increased by 11% to 418.2 million cubic feet per day [5]. Pricing and Costs - The average realized oil price decreased by 15% to $63.83 per barrel, while the average realized price of natural gas improved by 50% to $2.19 per thousand cubic feet [6]. - Unit lease operating expenses increased by 20% year-over-year to $5.67 per Boe, while total hydrocarbon production expenses rose to $229 million from $148.4 million a year ago [7]. Capital Expenditures and Cash Flow - Capital expenditures for the quarter totaled $397.7 million, with adjusted free cash flow amounting to $234.3 million [8]. - For the fourth quarter of 2025, production is expected to be between 206-212 MBoe/d, with capital expenditures forecasted at $225-$245 million [11]. Merger Details - SM Energy announced an all-stock merger with Civitas Resources, with the combined entity valued at approximately $12.8 billion, including net debt [13]. - The merger is expected to create a high-quality asset portfolio across productive U.S. shale basins, with identified annual synergies of approximately $200 million [14]. Guidance and Outlook - For full-year 2025, net production volume is expected to be in the range of 207-208 MBoe/d, with capital expenditures updated to approximately $1.375-$1.395 billion [12]. - The consensus estimate for SM Energy has shifted downward by 8.46% recently, indicating a bearish outlook [16].
Why Is Viper Energy (VNOM) Up 2.9% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 17:36
Core Viewpoint - Viper Energy Partners reported better-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings, but the overall performance shows signs of potential challenges ahead due to declining realized prices and rising expenses [2][4][14]. Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for Q3 2025 was 40 cents, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 38 cents but down from 49 cents a year ago [2]. - Operating income reached $418 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $403 million and significantly up from $211 million in the prior year [3]. - Total expenses surged to $594 million, compared to $75 million in the same quarter last year, and above the estimate of $245.8 million [9]. Production Metrics - Total production was 10,015 thousand oil-equivalent barrels (MBoe), up from 4,542 MBoe a year ago, surpassing the estimate of 9,709 MBoe [5]. - Oil production increased to 5,160 thousand barrels (MBbls) from 2,482 MBbls year-over-year, exceeding the estimate of 5,054 MBbls [5]. - Natural gas production rose to 14,655 million cubic feet (MMcf) from 6,150 MMcf in the same period last year [6]. Realized Prices - Average realized price per barrel of oil equivalent was $39.24, down from $45.83 in Q3 2024, and slightly below the estimate of $39.76 [7]. - Average realized oil price was $64.34 per barrel, down from $75.24 a year ago but above the estimate of $60.50 [7]. - Natural gas price was $1.02 per thousand cubic feet, significantly up from $0.13 a year ago, but below the estimate of $1.90 [8]. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - Net cash provided by operating activities was $281 million, an increase from $203 million in Q3 2024 [11]. - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents stood at $53 million, with net long-term debt reported at $2,241 million [12]. Guidance - Production for Q4 2025 is projected to be between 124-128 Mboe/d, with full-year 2025 net production expected in the range of 92.75-93.50 Mboe/d [13]. Market Sentiment - There has been a downward trend in estimates, with the consensus estimate shifting down by 8.12% [14]. - Viper Energy currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expectations for an in-line return in the coming months [16].
Why Is Range Resources (RRC) Up 9.9% Since Last Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 17:36
Core Insights - Range Resources reported strong Q3 2025 earnings, with adjusted earnings of 57 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 50 cents and improving from 48 cents in the prior year [2] - Total revenues for the quarter reached $717.6 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $691 million and up from $680.2 million year-over-year [2] Operational Performance - Average production was 2,227.8 million cubic feet equivalent per day (Mcfe/d), slightly higher than the previous year's 2,204.5 Mcfe/d but below the projected 2,256.4 Mcfe/d [4] - Natural gas constituted approximately 69% of total production, with a 2% year-over-year increase, while oil production decreased by 7% and NGL output fell by 1% [4] Price Realization - Total price realization averaged $2.98 per Mcfe, a 13% increase year-over-year, and higher than the estimated $2.95 per Mcfe [5] - Natural gas prices rose by 51% year-over-year to $2.56 per Mcf, while NGL and oil prices fell by 15% to $22.09 per barrel and $54.25 per barrel, respectively [5] Costs & Expenses - Total costs and expenses increased by 3% year-over-year to $565.2 million, slightly below the expected $566.6 million [6] - Transportation, gathering, processing, and compression costs decreased to $301 million from $306 million in the prior year, while depreciation, depletion, and amortization expenses rose to $93.8 million from $91.1 million [6] Capital Expenditure & Balance Sheet - Drilling and completion expenditures totaled $165 million, with an additional $16 million on acreage and $9 million on infrastructure and upgrades [7] - Total debt at the end of Q3 was reported at $1,216.8 million, net of deferred financing costs [7] Outlook - Range Resources updated its total production forecast for 2025 to approximately 2.23 billion cubic feet equivalent per day, with over 30% attributed to liquids production [8] - The capital budget for the year is expected to be between $650 million and $680 million [8] Estimate Trends - Since the earnings release, there has been a downward trend in fresh estimates, with the consensus estimate shifting down by 8.61% [9][10] - Range Resources currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [12] Industry Performance - Range Resources is part of the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, where EQT Corporation has seen a 13.9% gain over the past month [13] - EQT reported revenues of $1.75 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 26.7%, with an EPS of $0.52 compared to $0.12 a year ago [14]
Talos Energy (TALO) Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-11-06 00:01
Core Insights - Talos Energy reported a quarterly loss of $0.19 per share, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.35, representing an earnings surprise of +45.71% [1] - The company generated revenues of $450.05 million for the quarter ended September 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.10%, but down from $509.29 million year-over-year [2] - Talos Energy has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters and topped revenue estimates twice in the same period [2] Financial Performance - The company’s loss of $0.19 per share compares to a loss of $0.14 per share a year ago, indicating a deterioration in performance year-over-year [1] - Talos Energy shares have declined approximately 1.5% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 15.1% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.37 on revenues of $436.92 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$0.93 on revenues of $1.83 billion [7] - The Zacks Rank for Talos Energy is currently 3 (Hold), suggesting that the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry is currently ranked in the bottom 16% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment for companies in this sector [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact Talos Energy's stock performance [5]
Will SM Energy (SM) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-11-03 10:20
Core Viewpoint - SM Energy is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, continuing a strong trend of surpassing expectations in previous quarters [1][6]. Earnings Performance - SM Energy has consistently exceeded earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 15.98% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, the company achieved earnings of $1.5 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.23 per share by 21.95% [3]. - In the previous quarter, SM Energy reported earnings of $1.76 per share against an expected $1.6 per share, resulting in a surprise of 10.00% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for SM Energy have been revised upward, indicating a positive outlook for the company's earnings [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP for SM Energy is currently +4.97%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat [9]. Earnings ESP Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7]. - The Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8]. - It is crucial to check a company's Earnings ESP before its quarterly release to enhance the probability of success [11].
Antero Resources (AR) Lags Q3 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 22:56
Antero Resources (AR) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.15 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.22 per share. This compares to a loss of $0.12 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -31.82%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this oil and natural gas producer would post earnings of $0.48 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.35, delivering a surprise of -27.08%.Over the last four qu ...
Why EQT (EQT) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 17:10
Core Insights - EQT Corporation has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, with an average surprise of 8.98% [1][5] - The most recent earnings report showed EQT earning $0.45 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.44 per share by 2.27% [2] - In the previous quarter, EQT reported earnings of $1.18 per share against an expectation of $1.02 per share, resulting in a surprise of 15.69% [2] Earnings Estimates - There has been a favorable shift in earnings estimates for EQT, indicated by a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) [5] - The current Earnings ESP for EQT is +1.82%, suggesting analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] Earnings Release Information - The next earnings report for EQT is expected to be released on October 21, 2025 [8] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]
Evolution Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE: EPM) Impressive Q4 Earnings
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-09-17 22:00
Core Insights - Evolution Petroleum Corporation (EPM) is engaged in the exploration and production of oil and gas in the United States, operating within the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry [1] Financial Performance - On September 16, 2025, EPM reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.03, exceeding the estimated EPS of $0.02, with revenue reported at $21.1 million, slightly above expectations [2] - In the Q4 2025 earnings call, EPM's quarterly earnings remained consistent at $0.03 per share compared to the same period last year, despite a slight revenue decrease from $21.23 million to $21.11 million [3] - EPM's net income for Q4 surged by 176% to $3.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 7% to $8.6 million, attributed to its diversified energy portfolio [4] Production and Dividends - The company achieved an average production of 7,198 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOEPD) in Q4 [4] - EPM declared a cash dividend of $0.12 per common share for Q1 of fiscal 2026, returning $4.1 million to shareholders during Q4, totaling $16.3 million returned over the year [5] - Despite a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 124.37, the company's financial metrics indicate strong valuation and investor confidence [5]
Talos Energy (TALO) Reports Q2 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-06 23:21
分组1 - Talos Energy reported a quarterly loss of $0.27 per share, aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, compared to earnings of $0.03 per share a year ago [1] - The company posted revenues of $424.72 million for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.85%, and down from $549.16 million year-over-year [2] - Talos Energy shares have declined approximately 18.3% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 7.1% [3] 分组2 - The earnings outlook for Talos Energy is mixed, with the current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter at -$0.37 on revenues of $415.7 million, and -$0.89 on revenues of $1.8 billion for the current fiscal year [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States is in the bottom 27% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for the sector [8]
APA (APA) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-06 22:31
Core Viewpoint - APA reported quarterly earnings of $0.87 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.45 per share, but down from $1.17 per share a year ago, indicating a +93.33% earnings surprise [1] - The company generated revenues of $2.61 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 26.08%, although this is a decrease from $2.79 billion in the same quarter last year [2] Group 1: Earnings Performance - APA's earnings surprise of +93.33% reflects a strong performance compared to expectations, following a previous quarter where it also exceeded estimates by +27.71% [1][2] - Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped revenue estimates four times [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - APA shares have declined approximately 19.5% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 7.1%, indicating underperformance in the market [3] - The company's current Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold), suggesting that shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Group 3: Future Earnings Expectations - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.68 on revenues of $2.12 billion, while for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $2.92 on revenues of $8.97 billion [7] - The trend of earnings estimate revisions is mixed ahead of the earnings release, which could influence future stock performance [6] Group 4: Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry is currently ranked in the bottom 27% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact APA's stock performance [8] - Empirical research indicates that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1, highlighting the importance of industry performance on individual stocks [8]