Marvell Technology(MRVL)
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黑天鹅突袭!“AI交易”,全线重挫!
天天基金网· 2025-12-13 03:38
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in the US stock market, particularly in technology stocks, driven by concerns over the "AI bubble" and hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials [2][9]. Market Performance - On December 12, US technology stocks experienced a sharp decline, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.51%, the Nasdaq dropping by 1.69%, and the S&P 500 decreasing by 1.07% [3]. - Major tech companies saw substantial losses, with Broadcom plummeting over 11%, Oracle and TSMC ADR down over 4%, and Nvidia down over 3% [3]. - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell by over 5%, with Micron Technology down over 6% and AMD, Intel, and Applied Materials all declining by over 4% [3]. Oracle's Situation - Reports indicated that Oracle postponed the completion of data centers for OpenAI from 2027 to 2028 due to labor and material shortages, which heightened concerns about the "AI bubble" [6][8]. - Following these reports, Oracle's stock saw a significant drop, with a decline of over 6% at one point [7]. - Oracle later denied the reports, asserting that all milestones for the project remain on track and that they are in close coordination with OpenAI [7][8]. Federal Reserve's Influence - Several Federal Reserve officials released hawkish statements, leading to increased bond yields and prompting investors to withdraw from technology stocks [9][10]. - Kansas City Fed President Esther George noted that inflation remains high and the economy shows growth, advocating for a moderately restrictive monetary policy [9]. - The market is anticipating upcoming employment and inflation data, which could influence the Fed's decisions in January [10]. Interest Rate Expectations - According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 24.4%, while maintaining the current rate is at 75.6% [10]. - Morgan Stanley and UBS expect only one rate cut in 2024, likely in the first quarter [10][11]. - Analysts from Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and Barclays predict two rate cuts in 2024, potentially in March and June [11].
英伟达掘墓人:两大巨头,最新发声
半导体行业观察· 2025-12-13 01:08
Core Insights - The customized AI chip market is experiencing unprecedented growth, with Google's TPU leading the transformation by supporting the Gemini model and opening cloud services to other companies [2] - The market for customized XPU and related infrastructure is accelerating, with projections indicating that the scalable switch market could approach $6 billion by 2030, and the optical interconnect device market could exceed $10 billion [2][4] - Cloud service providers' capital expenditure expectations have surged from an 18% growth rate at the beginning of the year to over 30% [2] Company Performance - Broadcom reported a remarkable fiscal year 2025 with total revenue of $64 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, and AI business revenue of $20 billion, up 65% [4][5] - Marvell achieved a record revenue of $2.075 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, a 37% year-over-year increase, with data center business revenue of $1.52 billion, up 38% [4][6] XPU Development - Broadcom emphasizes that customers choose self-developed XPUs for hardware-level optimizations that significantly outperform software kernel tuning [8] - The company has secured substantial orders for XPUs, with a total order backlog exceeding $73 billion, nearly half of its total backlog [5][9] High-Speed Interconnect - The independent market for scalable switches is projected to approach $6 billion by 2030, with the optical interconnect device market potentially exceeding $10 billion [12] - Broadcom's AI switch order backlog has surpassed $10 billion, driven by the demand for its Tomahawk 6 switch, which supports a record 102 terabits per second [12][13] Photon Interconnect - Marvell's acquisition of Celestial AI highlights the importance of photon interconnect technology, which offers significant advantages in power efficiency and thermal stability [18][19] - Celestial AI's PF Chiplet can provide up to 16 terabits per second of bandwidth, significantly surpassing current mainstream capacities [19] CXL Technology - CXL technology is becoming crucial for overcoming memory bottlenecks, with Marvell making significant strides in this area [22][23] - Marvell's CXL solutions support both DDR4 and DDR5 memory, enhancing memory capacity and performance [23] Supply Chain Management - Both companies are addressing supply chain challenges, with Broadcom focusing on advanced packaging technology to ensure stability and security in supply chains [28][29] - Marvell is aggressively pursuing 2nm process technology to enhance power efficiency and operational cost savings for customers [30] Ecosystem Competition - The competition in the AI chip industry is evolving from single-point technology innovation to comprehensive ecosystem competition, requiring companies to offer complete solutions [31][32] - Both Broadcom and Marvell emphasize the importance of collaboration with ecosystem partners to drive innovation and market expansion [33] Future Outlook - The customized XPU market is expected to enter a rapid growth phase, with Broadcom projecting AI business revenue to exceed $30 billion in fiscal 2026 [35] - Photon interconnect technology is anticipated to reach a commercialization tipping point, with significant revenue contributions expected from Celestial AI starting in fiscal 2028 [35] - The industry is likely to see continued consolidation, with more acquisitions expected as companies seek to strengthen their technological capabilities [36]
Does Marvell (MRVL) Have the Potential to Rally 28.26% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-12-12 15:56
Marvell Technology (MRVL) closed the last trading session at $89.43, gaining 2.2% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $114.7 indicates a 28.3% upside potential.The mean estimate comprises 33 short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $22.86. While the lowest estimate of $58.20 indicates a 34.9% decline from the current price level, the most optimistic analyst ...
Stifel Sees Marvell (MRVL) Well Positioned Across the AI Data-Center Stack
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-12 15:07
Core Insights - Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) is recognized as a significant player in the AI sector, with analysts closely monitoring its performance [1] - Stifel has reaffirmed a Buy rating for Marvell, setting a price target of $114.00, indicating a positive outlook based on the company's data-center interconnect capabilities [1] Company Overview - Marvell specializes in the development and production of semiconductors, with a strong focus on data centers [3] - The company offers a comprehensive connectivity stack that spans all layers of data-center interconnect technology, making it a unique vendor in the market [1][2] Product Portfolio - Marvell's product offerings include VSR electrical links for chip-to-chip communication, scale-up technologies like AECs and custom fabrics, and optical PAM4 DSP platforms for high-speed connections [2] - The company also provides coherent-lite solutions for linking buildings within AI campuses and DCI coherent/ZR pluggables for multi-site connectivity [2]
Janus Henderson Forty Fund Sold Marvell Technology (MRVL) Due to Lack of Earnings Visibility
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-12 14:13
Janus Henderson Investors, an investment management company, released its “Forty Fund” third-quarter 2025 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. US equities surged in the third quarter on positive corporate earnings news and hopes for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The fund returned 8.38% in the third quarter, compared to the Russell 1000 Growth Index’s 10.51% return. Stock selection in the healthcare sector contributed to the relative performance of the fund in the quarter, while ...
3 Recently Downgraded Stocks to Avoid in 2026


Investing· 2025-12-12 07:02
Group 1: Marvell Technology Inc - Marvell Technology Inc reported strong quarterly earnings, with revenue reaching $1.5 billion, a 15% increase year-over-year [1] - The company highlighted growth in its data infrastructure segment, which contributed significantly to the overall revenue increase [1] - Marvell's strategic focus on cloud and 5G technologies is expected to drive future growth [1] Group 2: Robert Half International Inc - Robert Half International Inc experienced a revenue increase of 10% year-over-year, totaling $1.2 billion [1] - The company noted a rise in demand for skilled professionals in the finance and accounting sectors, which has positively impacted its business [1] - Robert Half's expansion into new markets is anticipated to further enhance its growth prospects [1] Group 3: Lucid Group Inc - Lucid Group Inc reported a significant increase in vehicle deliveries, with a total of 3,000 units delivered in the last quarter, marking a 25% increase compared to the previous quarter [1] - The company is ramping up production capabilities to meet growing demand for its electric vehicles [1] - Lucid's focus on luxury electric vehicles positions it well in the competitive EV market [1]
Stifel Defends Marvell’s (MRVL) ASIC Leadership Amid AI Chip Market Rumors
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 16:32
Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) is one of the Hot AI Stocks on Wall Street’s Radar. On December 9, Stifel maintained its Buy rating on the stock with a $114.00 price target. Firm analysts addressed recent market rumors as baseless, reaffirming confidence in the company’s ASIC platform positioning. Defending the company’s platform status against recent noise, the firm noted that the speculation that Marvell could lose its XPU socket to a competitor for “second and larger ASIC customer are without me ...
Jim Cramer Discusses Marvell’s Stock Price Drop
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 12:56
Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer recently commented on. Cramer noted the stock’s recent declines as he stated: “What a crazy difference a week makes. Seven days ago, Marvell Technology, the semiconductor networking equipment maker, you know I like, reported its latest quarter, and after an initial sell-off, the stock soared in after-hours trading as the forecast growth was huge and the company made a terrific acquisition. Then reports emerged saying that they’d lost s ...
Marvell (MRVL) Stock Downgraded as Concerns Grow Over Amazon Trainium Transitions
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-11 09:20
Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRVL) is one of the Trending AI Stocks on Wall Street. On December 8, Benchmark downgraded the stock from Buy to “Hold” following insights from a recent Silicon Valley bus tour. The firm said it is quite concerned about Marvell’s loss of Amazon’s Trainium chip. “Following two days of extensive industry meetings during our recent Silicon Valley bus tour, we are downgrading our rating on Marvell from Buy to “Hold”, as we now have a high degree of conviction that the company ...