Core Insights - MGIC Investment (MTG) has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, with an average surprise of 12.20% [1][4] - The most recent earnings report showed a surprise of 13.64%, with actual earnings of $0.66 per share against an expectation of $0.75 per share [2] - The previous quarter also saw a positive surprise of 10.77%, with actual earnings of $0.72 per share compared to a consensus estimate of $0.65 per share [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for MGIC, indicated by a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) of +2.37%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's near-term earnings potential [4][7] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that such combinations lead to positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [5][7] Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [6] - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [8] Importance of Earnings ESP - Companies often beat consensus EPS estimates, but this alone may not drive stock price increases; thus, checking the Earnings ESP before quarterly releases is crucial for investment decisions [9]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for MGIC Investment (MTG) despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - MGIC is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.70 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 9.1%, while revenues are projected to be $306.76 million, an increase of 0.4% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their outlook for the company [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP for MGIC is +2.37%, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate, although the stock holds a Zacks Rank of 3 [12]. Historical Performance - MGIC has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates, achieving a surprise of +13.64% in the last reported quarter and surpassing estimates in all of the last four quarters [13][14]. Market Reaction Factors - The stock's movement may not solely depend on earnings results, as other factors can influence investor sentiment and stock performance [15].

Company Overview - MGIC Investment (MTG) is a mortgage insurance company headquartered in Milwaukee, operating in the Finance sector [3] - The stock has experienced a price change of 9.11% since the beginning of the year [3] Dividend Information - MGIC Investment currently pays a dividend of $0.13 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.01%, which is higher than the Insurance - Multi line industry's yield of 1.8% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.52% [3] - The company's annualized dividend of $0.52 has increased by 6.1% from the previous year [4] - Over the past 5 years, MGIC Investment has raised its dividend 4 times, achieving an average annual increase of 20.17% [4] - The current payout ratio is 17%, indicating that the company pays out 17% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Growth - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MGIC Investment's earnings in 2025 is $2.92 per share, with an expected increase of 0.34% from the previous year [5] - Earnings growth appears solid for the current fiscal year [5] Investment Considerations - MGIC Investment is viewed as a compelling investment opportunity due to its attractive dividend and strong Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [6] - The company is positioned well compared to high-growth firms or tech start-ups, which typically do not provide dividends [6]

Company Announcement - MGIC Investment Corporation plans to release its second quarter 2025 financial results after the market closes on July 30, 2025 [1] - A conference call/webcast is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time on July 31, 2025, to discuss the results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025 [1] Participation Details - Individuals interested in joining the conference call should register to receive the dial-in number and unique PIN [2] - It is recommended to join the call at least 10 minutes before it begins, and the call will also be available via webcast on the Company's Investor website [2] Company Overview - Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC) is the principal subsidiary of MGIC Investment Corporation, serving lenders across the United States [3] - MGIC helps families achieve homeownership by providing affordable low-down-payment mortgages through private mortgage insurance [3]

Core Insights - MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) has reached a 52-week high of $28.28, closing at $28.10, with an 18.5% year-to-date gain, outperforming its industry and the S&P 500 composite [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $6.67 billion, with an average trading volume of 1.9 million shares over the last three months [3] - MTG is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum [4] Financial Performance - MTG is expanding its insurance-in-force portfolio through robust new business and high annual persistency [6] - The company has a price-to-book value of 1.3X, which is lower than the industry average of 2.68X, providing a favorable entry point for investors [7] - Return on invested capital (ROIC) has improved to 11.4%, significantly higher than the industry average of 2% [8] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 0.3% year-over-year increase in earnings per share for 2025, with revenues expected to reach $1.24 billion, reflecting a 1.8% improvement [9] - Earnings have grown by 12% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average of 10.1% [9] - MTG has consistently exceeded earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 15.88% [10] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have raised their earnings estimates for MTG for 2025 and 2026, with increases of 6.2% and 5.9%, respectively, over the past 60 days [14] - The company has a VGM Score of B, indicating potential upside and strong investor confidence [19] Market Dynamics - Factors driving MTG's growth include increased new business, solid persistency, and a favorable environment for home sales and refinancing [16] - The company is experiencing a decline in claim filings, which is expected to enhance its financial profile [16] - MTG has a solid capital position, with $232.9 million remaining in its share repurchase authorization through December 2026 [17] Conclusion - Higher premiums, excellent credit quality, and new business are anticipated to drive growth for MGIC Investment [18] - The company's share buyback activities reflect its strong capital position and commitment to generating long-term value for shareholders [18]

Core Viewpoint - MGIC Investment (MTG) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of changing earnings estimates in determining near-term stock price movements, making it a valuable tool for investors [2][4]. - The upgrade for MGIC reflects a positive outlook on its earnings, which could lead to increased buying pressure and a rise in stock price [3][5]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and stock price movements, highlighting the importance of tracking these revisions for investment decisions [6]. - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. Current Earnings Estimates for MGIC - MGIC is projected to earn $2.90 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year change of -0.3% [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for MGIC has increased by 7.1%, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates [8]. Zacks Rating System Overview - The Zacks rating system maintains a balanced distribution of 'buy' and 'sell' ratings across its universe of over 4000 stocks, with only the top 5% receiving a 'Strong Buy' rating [9]. - The upgrade of MGIC to a Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Group 1 - MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) has reached a significant support level and is considered a good pick for investors from a technical perspective due to a recent "golden cross" formation [1] - The golden cross occurs when a stock's short-term moving average (50-day) breaks above its long-term moving average (200-day), indicating a bullish breakout [1][2] - MTG has experienced a rally of 7.3% over the past four weeks and currently holds a 1 (Strong Buy) rating on the Zacks Rank, suggesting potential for further gains [3] Group 2 - The positive earnings outlook for MTG is reinforced by the fact that no earnings estimates have been cut for the current quarter, with three revisions higher in the past 60 days [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MTG has also increased, further supporting the bullish case for the stock [3][5] - Given the positive technical factors and the movement in earnings estimates, investors are encouraged to monitor MTG for potential gains in the near future [5]

Group 1 - Fortis Inc. (FTS) is a Canadian electric and gas utility company with a Zacks Rank 1, and its current year earnings estimate increased by 4.2% over the last 60 days [1] - Fortis' shares have gained 9.5% over the last three months, while the S&P 500 declined by 1%, indicating strong performance [1] - The company has a Momentum Score of A, reflecting its strong momentum characteristics [1] Group 2 - MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) is a mortgage insurance company with a Zacks Rank 1, and its current year earnings estimate increased by 1.8% over the last 60 days [2] - MGIC's shares have gained 8.9% over the last three months, compared to the S&P 500's decline of 1%, showcasing solid performance [2] - The company possesses a Momentum Score of B, indicating good momentum characteristics [2]

Core Viewpoint - MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) is experiencing strong investor confidence, with its stock price near a 52-week high, indicating potential for further price appreciation [1] Stock Performance - MTG shares closed at $26.61, close to its 52-week high of $26.92, and are trading above the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of $24.57 and $24.68, respectively, suggesting solid upward momentum [1] - The stock has gained 28% over the past year, outperforming the Finance sector and the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which grew by 18.6% and 12.1%, respectively [5][6] Market Capitalization and Trading Volume - The market capitalization of MGIC Investment is $6.31 billion, with an average trading volume of 2.45 million shares over the last three months [2] Valuation Metrics - MTG shares are trading at a price to forward 12-month earnings ratio of 1.23X, which is lower than the industry average of 2.45X, indicating a better entry point for investors [9] - The company has a Value Score of B, suggesting it is attractively priced compared to other insurers [9] Financial Performance - Return on invested capital (ROIC) has been increasing, currently at 11.4%, significantly higher than the industry average of 2% [10] - Earnings have grown by 12% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average growth of 10.3% [11] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is $1.25 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 2.9% [11] - Analysts have raised estimates for 2025 and 2026, with the consensus moving up by 1.4% and 2.4%, respectively, in the last 30 days [13] Business Drivers - New business and solid annual persistency are expected to drive growth in the insurance-in-force portfolio, supported by higher home sales and improved refinance activity [14] - A decline in claim filings is strengthening the balance sheet and improving the financial profile of MGIC Investment [14] Capital Position and Shareholder Returns - The company is improving its capital position through capital contributions and reinsurance transactions, with $232.9 million remaining in its authorization for share repurchases through December 2026 [15] - Higher premiums and outstanding credit quality are anticipated to continue driving growth, with share buybacks reflecting capital strength and attractive share price levels [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: MGIC Investment (MTG) - MGIC Investment currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating a positive momentum outlook [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting strong potential for outperformance in the market [3] Performance Metrics - MTG shares have increased by 7.76% over the past week, outperforming the Zacks Insurance - Multi line industry, which rose by 2.89% [5] - Over the past month, MTG's price change is 15.63%, compared to the industry's 12.15% [5] - In the last quarter, MTG shares rose by 4.12%, and over the past year, they gained 24.3%, while the S&P 500 saw movements of -6.46% and 11.69%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - The average 20-day trading volume for MTG is 1,973,910 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, two earnings estimates for MTG have increased, raising the consensus estimate from $2.73 to $2.79 [9] - For the next fiscal year, two estimates have also moved upwards, with no downward revisions noted [9] Conclusion - Given the positive momentum indicators and earnings outlook, MTG is positioned as a strong buy candidate for investors seeking short-term opportunities [11]