Core Insights - Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) is facing a challenging operating environment characterized by high tariffs, weak discretionary demand, and currency volatility, which have negatively impacted sales and earnings in 2025. The management believes that innovation is essential for reigniting growth [1][4] Group 1: Innovation and Product Development - Innovation is gaining traction in Newell's core categories, particularly in the Baby segment with successful product launches like Graco's smart car seats, which have outperformed the overall portfolio [2] - The Writing segment is also benefiting from brand-led innovation, with Sharpie and EXPO expanding into new formats and colors, contributing to market share gains and pricing power [2] - Newell is increasing brand investment alongside innovation, with advertising spending reaching its highest level as a percentage of sales in nearly a decade, indicating a commitment to long-term brand equity [3] Group 2: Brand Strategy and Market Positioning - The Home Fragrance segment has undergone a comprehensive restage of the Yankee Candle brand, featuring upgraded formulations and a 360-degree marketing campaign, aimed at improving consumer engagement despite short-term disruptions [3] - While innovation is crucial, it may not fully offset the negative impacts of tariffs and macroeconomic challenges in the near term, as elevated tariff costs continue to pressure margins [4] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Newell's shares have declined by 22.3% over the past three months, underperforming both the industry and the broader Consumer Staples sector [5] - The company currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 6.76X, significantly lower than the industry average of 17.65X and the sector average of 16.08X, indicating a modest discount relative to peers [9]

Core Viewpoint - Newell Brands Inc. (NASDAQ:NWL) is recognized as one of the best penny stocks to buy, with a Buy rating and a price target of $7 from Canaccord Genuity following investor meetings with management [1][2]. Management Confidence and Strategy - The management team, including CEO Christopher Peterson and CFO Mark Erceg, expressed confidence in the company's turnaround strategy, which has been in progress for approximately two and a half years [2]. - Canaccord Genuity anticipates that 2026 will mark the first year of net distribution gains for Newell Brands since its acquisition of Jarden, indicating potential positive outcomes from the turnaround efforts [4]. Workforce and Cost-Saving Measures - Newell Brands announced a workforce reduction of about 10% of its professional and clerical employees and plans to close around 20 Yankee Candle stores in the US and Canada [3]. - The company expects these productivity measures to yield annualized pre-tax cost savings of approximately $110 million to $130 million once fully implemented [3]. Mixed Analyst Perspectives - UBS has lowered its price target for Newell Brands from $5.50 to $4.00, suggesting that investors may adopt a cautious "wait and see" approach until clearer evidence of improved performance emerges [5].

Group 1 - Newell Brands Inc. has been identified as a low-cost investment option, with Citi raising its price target to $3.75 from $3.50 while maintaining a Neutral rating [1] - UBS has lowered its price target for Newell Brands to $4 from $5.50, also keeping a Neutral rating, indicating a cautious approach until market conditions improve [2] - In Q3 2025, Newell Brands reported net sales of $1.8 billion, a 7.2% decline year-over-year, with core sales down 7.4%, attributed to retailer inventory destocking and pricing challenges [3] - Despite the sales decline, Newell Brands achieved a net income of $21 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $198 million in the previous year, with normalized diluted EPS of $0.17 [3] - The company is planning for growth in 2026, supported by over 20 new product innovations and a global productivity plan that includes a 10% workforce reduction to save up to $130 million annually [3] - For the full year 2025, Newell Brands anticipates a net sales decline of 4.5% to 5%, with normalized EPS projected between $0.56 and $0.60 [3] Group 2 - Newell Brands operates in three segments: Home & Commercial Solutions, Learning & Development, and Outdoor & Recreation, focusing on consumer and commercial products globally [4]

Economic Context - Consumers are shifting their spending focus from discretionary items to essential needs due to economic concerns, with many accepting elevated prices as the new normal [1][2] - Nearly half of U.S. consumers identified inflation as a top concern, although worries about rising prices have decreased by seven percentage points compared to the previous year [2] Consumer Behavior - 50% of consumers plan to delay purchases in discretionary categories such as electronics, accessories, and dining out [3] - Lower-income consumers are particularly affected by high prices on essentials and are worried about tariff-related price increases [3] Company Actions - Yankee Candle, owned by Newell Brands, is implementing a global productivity plan that includes reducing its workforce by over 900 employees, approximately 10% of its professional and clerical staff [5][6] - The company will close about 20 underperforming stores in the U.S. and Canada, which represent roughly 1% of brand sales, with closures expected to take effect in January 2026 [7] Financial Impact - Newell Brands anticipates pre-tax restructuring charges of approximately $75 million to $90 million, primarily for severance costs, with most charges recognized by the end of 2026 [7] - The productivity plan is expected to generate annualized pre-tax cost savings of approximately $110 million to $130 million once fully implemented [7] Company Performance - Newell's third-quarter results indicated challenges, with the company holding $4.8 billion in outstanding debt [12] - Yankee Candle's net sales were reported at $1.8 billion, a decline of 7.2% compared to the prior year, with core sales down 7.4% [11] - Gross margin decreased to 34.1% from 34.9% in the prior year, while operating margin improved to 6.6% from negative 6.2% [11]

Core Insights - During market turbulence, investors often seek dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividends [1] Group 1: Newell Brands Inc (NASDAQ:NWL) - Newell Brands has a dividend yield of 7.71% [5] - Wells Fargo analyst Chris Carey maintained an Equal-Weight rating and increased the price target from $5 to $6 on July 9, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 60% [5] - Barclays analyst Lauren Lieberman maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $8 to $9 on May 2, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 61% [5] - Recent news indicates that Newell Brands plans to reduce its global workforce by over 900 employees as part of a global productivity plan [5] Group 2: Wendy's Co (WEN) - Wendy's has a dividend yield of 6.76% [5] - JP Morgan analyst John Ivankoe downgraded the stock from Overweight to Neutral and cut the price target from $12 to $9 on Dec. 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 71% [5] - Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull maintained a Hold rating and reduced the price target from $12 to $11 on Oct. 31, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 70% [5] - The company reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 24 cents, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of 20 cents on Nov. 7 [5] Group 3: Oxford Industries Inc (NYSE:OXM) - Oxford Industries has a dividend yield of 7.08% [5] - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey maintained a Market Perform rating with a price target of $52 on Dec. 5, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 63% [5] - Citigroup analyst Paul Lejuez upgraded the stock from Sell to Neutral and lowered the price target from $44 to $35 on Nov. 25, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 65% [5] - Recent news shows that Oxford Industries reported better-than-expected second-quarter earnings and raised its FY25 EPS guidance above estimates on Sept. 10 [5]

Core Insights - Investors are increasingly turning to dividend-yielding stocks during market turbulence, favoring companies with high free cash flows and substantial dividend payouts [1] Group 1: Newell Brands Inc (NASDAQ:NWL) - Newell Brands has a dividend yield of 7.71% [5] - Wells Fargo analyst Chris Carey maintained an Equal-Weight rating and increased the price target from $5 to $6 on July 9, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 60% [5] - Barclays analyst Lauren Lieberman maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $8 to $9 on May 2, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 61% [5] - Recent news indicates that Newell Brands plans to reduce its global workforce by over 900 employees as part of a global productivity plan [5] Group 2: Wendy's Company (WEN) - Wendy's has a dividend yield of 6.76% [5] - JP Morgan analyst John Ivankoe downgraded the stock from Overweight to Neutral and cut the price target from $12 to $9 on December 3, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 71% [5] - Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull maintained a Hold rating and reduced the price target from $12 to $11 on October 31, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 70% [5] - The company reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 24 cents, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of 20 cents on November 7 [5] Group 3: Oxford Industries Inc (NYSE:OXM) - Oxford Industries has a dividend yield of 7.08% [5] - Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey maintained a Market Perform rating with a price target of $52 on December 5, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 63% [5] - Citigroup analyst Paul Lejuez upgraded the stock from Sell to Neutral and lowered the price target from $44 to $35 on November 25, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 65% [5] - Recent news shows that Oxford Industries reported better-than-expected second-quarter earnings and raised its FY25 EPS guidance above estimates on September 10 [5]

Core Insights - Newell Brands, the parent company of Yankee Candle, is laying off over 900 employees globally, which constitutes about 10% of its professional and clerical workforce [1][2] - The layoffs in the U.S. will primarily occur this month, while international layoffs will extend through 2026, depending on local laws [2] - Approximately 20 Yankee Candle stores in the U.S. and Canada will close by January 2026, representing about 1% of the brand's sales [3][4] Financial Impact - The layoffs and store closures are expected to save Newell Brands between $110 million to $130 million in annual pretax costs [4] - Newell Brands' stock has seen a significant decline, down over 62% year to date as of the latest market close [6] Strategic Focus - The company's president and CEO, Chris Peterson, emphasized the need for a productivity plan aimed at enhancing efficiency and strategic focus to improve performance [5]

Core Insights - Newell Brands has announced a new productivity plan that includes a reduction of 10% of professional clerical employees, indicating a strategic shift in response to current organizational needs [3]. Group 1: Strategic Rationale - The timing of the productivity plan suggests that the company is addressing ongoing restructuring efforts and aims to enhance operational efficiency [3]. - The leadership is expected to provide insights into the origins of this plan and how it aligns with the company's broader organizational changes [3]. Group 2: Leadership Engagement - Chris Peterson, President and CEO of Newell Brands, and Mark Erceg, CFO, are actively participating in discussions regarding the company's strategic direction and financial health [2].

Core Insights - Global sales experienced a decline of 10% year-on-year in November, indicating a challenging market environment for the company [1] - Despite the overall sales drop, the company expressed optimism due to the growth in electric-car sales and increased deliveries of long-range plug-in hybrids in China [1] Sales Performance - The company reported a 10% decrease in global sales compared to the same month last year [1] - The decline in sales suggests potential challenges in the broader automotive market [1] Electric Vehicle Segment - The company highlighted encouraging growth in its electric-car sales, which may indicate a shift in consumer preferences towards more sustainable vehicle options [1] - The increase in electric-car sales could provide a strategic advantage in the evolving automotive landscape [1] Hybrid Vehicle Deliveries - Accelerated deliveries of long-range plug-in hybrids in China were noted as a positive development, reflecting the company's efforts to adapt to market demands [1] - This growth in hybrid vehicle deliveries may help mitigate some of the impacts from the overall sales decline [1]

Newell Brands (NasdaqGS:NWL) 2025 Conference December 02, 2025 03:00 PM ET Company ParticipantsMark Erceg - CFOChris Peterson - President and CEOConference Call ParticipantsDara Mohsenian - AnalystDara MohsenianHi, good afternoon, everyone. I'm Dara Mohsenian, Morgan Stanley's household products and beverage analyst. Just before we begin, a quick disclosure: please see the Morgan Stanley Research website at www.morganstanley.com for our research disclosures. And if you have any questions, you can reach out ...