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Has Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Outpaced Other Oils-Energy Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-03-10 14:40
Core Viewpoint - Oklo Inc. is outperforming its peers in the Oils-Energy sector, with a year-to-date return of 23.7% compared to an average loss of 1.9% for the sector as a whole [4]. Company Performance - Oklo Inc. has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook based on earnings estimate revisions and improving earnings outlooks [3]. - Over the past 90 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Oklo's full-year earnings has increased by 1.4%, reflecting improved analyst sentiment [4]. - The stock belongs to the Alternative Energy - Other industry, which has seen an average loss of 2.3% this year, further highlighting Oklo's strong performance relative to its industry [6]. Sector and Industry Context - The Oils-Energy sector includes 247 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of 8 out of 16 sector groups [2]. - Coterra Energy, another stock in the Oils-Energy sector, has also outperformed with a year-to-date increase of 2.2% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5]. - The Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, to which Coterra Energy belongs, has experienced a significant decline of 24.2% this year [7].
Oklo Participates in DOE Program: To Buy the Stock Now or Let go?
ZACKS· 2025-03-05 19:40
Core Insights - Oklo Inc. has joined the U.S. Department of Energy Voucher Program to test advanced structural materials for its Aurora powerhouse, aiming to enhance manufacturing efficiencies and accelerate commercial deployment [1] - The partnership is expected to attract long-term growth investors in the nuclear energy sector [2] Stock Performance - Oklo's shares have surged 189.5% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Alternative-Energy industry's return of 49.4%, the Oils-Energy sector's decline of 0.2%, and the S&P 500's increase of 16.2% [3] - Other industry players like GEV Vernova, Constellation Energy Corporation, and Bloom Energy have also shown strong performance, with share increases of 158.3%, 141.1%, and 113.7% respectively [4] Growth Drivers - The global shift towards clean energy and Oklo's strong quarterly performance have contributed to the increase in share price [5] - In Q3 2024, Oklo added two data center customers, increasing its announced customer pipeline to 2,100 megawatts, a 200% increase since July 2023 [6] - Oklo signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Lightbridge Corporation to enhance fuel recycling capabilities and a non-binding Master Power Agreement with Switch to deploy 12 gigawatts of projects through 2044 [7] Strategic Positioning - Oklo has finalized a Memorandum of Agreement with the DOE Idaho Operations Office, allowing site investigations at its preferred site in Idaho, positioning it to deploy the first commercial advanced fission power plant in the U.S. [8] - The company is developing next-generation fast-fission power plants, with the Aurora line designed to generate 15-50 megawatts electric, scalable up to 100 MWe [11] Financial Outlook - Oklo has yet to generate revenues, with its first Aurora powerhouse set for deployment in 2027, indicating limited near-term performance [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for losses per share for Q1 and full-year 2025 shows no movement, suggesting analysts expect current conditions to remain stable [14] - Year-over-year growth estimates indicate improvement, with a projected 98.12% growth for the current year and 95.73% for the next year [15][16] Valuation Metrics - Oklo's trailing 12-month Price/Book (P/B) ratio is higher than its industry average, indicating investor optimism about its growth prospects [18] Investment Consideration - Investors interested in clean-energy stocks may consider adding Oklo to their portfolio due to its impressive P/B ratio, long-term growth potential, and strong share price performance [19]
Time to Buy the Dip? 3 Rare Signals Appear
ZACKS· 2025-03-04 18:35
Core Viewpoint - Market corrections are a natural part of investing, and while they can be painful, they also present opportunities for savvy investors to capitalize on market extremes [1][8]. Group 1: Market Corrections and Investor Behavior - Over the past decade, Wall Street has experienced several corrections and bear markets, with amateur investors often losing money due to fear [1]. - Legendary mutual fund manager Peter Lynch noted that more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections than in the corrections themselves [2]. - Investors should adopt an opportunistic mindset during market corrections, understanding their time frame and risk management strategies [2]. Group 2: High-Beta Stocks Performance - High-beta stocks, which exhibit greater price volatility, have suffered significant losses during the current market correction, similar to the declines seen during the S&P 500's 30% drop in March 2020 [3]. - Notable high-beta stocks affected include Tesla (TSLA), Rigetti Computing (RGTI), and Oklo (OKLO) [3]. Group 3: Technical Indicators - The Nasdaq 100 Index ETF (QQQ) has retreated to its 200-day moving average for the first time since August, which historically has led to significant upward movements in the following weeks [5]. - The CNN "Fear & Greed" Index has reached its most fearful level since August 2024, coinciding with the QQQ testing its 200-day moving average [7]. - The VIX, a fear indicator, has seen a significant increase, reaching a level of 69, the highest since the COVID-19 market crash in 2020 [8].
Why this nuclear Sam Altman stock is soaring
Finbold· 2025-02-26 16:19
Core Viewpoint - Oklo Inc experienced a significant stock market fluctuation, dropping 13.37% before rebounding with a 12.65% increase following its announcement of participation in the U.S. Department of Energy's Voucher Program [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - Oklo's participation in the DOE Voucher Program will support the evaluation and testing of advanced structural materials for its Aurora powerhouse, enhancing scalability, supply chains, and manufacturing [2]. - The collaboration with Oak Ridge National Laboratory is expected to refine fast reactor technologies, enabling Oklo to provide scalable and cost-effective clean energy solutions [3]. - The company has a pipeline of 14 gigawatts of announced customers and partners, positioning it to meet growing energy demands across various applications [3]. Group 2: Market Performance - Despite being 36.09% below its 2025 price target of $55.49, Oklo's stock remains 65.82% up year-to-date and has increased by 316.62% over the last 12 months [8]. - The stock's performance reflects a bullish sentiment, bolstered by the company's strategic partnerships and management setup, including the involvement of Sam Altman from OpenAI [6][7]. Group 3: Strategic Context - The anticipated support from the DOE has been in the works, as indicated by a previous press release regarding a board member's departure to a government position [5]. - The overall energy strategy under the Trump administration and significant investments in AI infrastructure suggest a favorable environment for Oklo's business expansion [7].
Cathie Wood Is Selling This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Backed By OpenAI's Sam Altman. Here's Why I Think She's Right.
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-24 09:28
Core Viewpoint - Cathie Wood has been reducing her position in Oklo, a nuclear energy company backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, despite its rising popularity in the AI and nuclear sectors [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Oklo has seen a significant increase in its share price, rising by 500% since mid-August, with a notable 96% increase in January, largely influenced by Altman's involvement in a $500 billion AI infrastructure initiative [4]. - The company is currently pre-revenue and is not expected to scale operations for a couple of years, making it similar to a cash-burning startup [5]. Group 2: Investment Activity - Ark Invest sold over 335,000 shares of Oklo between October 21 and February 12, indicating a strategic decision to take profits amid the stock's rapid ascent [2][6]. - The historical performance of SPACs, through which Oklo went public, shows negative returns of 46% and 58% one and three years post-de-SPAC announcement, respectively, with renewable energy being one of the poorest-performing sectors [8]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - Oklo's recent rise appears to be driven by speculative momentum rather than solid operational results, likening it to a meme stock phenomenon [10]. - Investors seeking exposure to nuclear energy in relation to AI may find more established companies to be a safer investment compared to Oklo, which remains highly speculative [10].
The Smartest Nuclear Stocks to Buy With $500 Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-23 14:30
Industry Overview - The nuclear power industry is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.9% from 2024 to 2029, indicating a slow-growth market dominated by larger companies like NextEra Energy and Duke Energy [1][2]. Company 1: NuScale Power - NuScale Power specializes in small modular reactors (SMRs) that are prefabricated and assembled on-site, which reduces costs and construction time [3]. - NuScale is the only company with SMRs certified by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), currently approved to produce up to 55 megawatts of electricity [4]. - For NuScale's SMR clusters to be more cost-effective than coal-fired plants, they need to generate at least 77 megawatts, with expectations for NRC certification of these reactors in the near future [5]. - The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) has offered up to $900 million in funding for the development of more nuclear SMRs, and Amazon is also supporting this initiative [5]. - Despite a promising outlook, NuScale has faced challenges, including the cancellation of plans to build six reactors in Idaho and significant layoffs [6]. - Revenue projections for NuScale indicate growth from $23 million in 2023 to $193 million by 2027, driven by design approvals and new contracts [7]. Company 2: Oklo - Oklo is considered a more speculative investment as it has not yet generated revenue, but it has gained attention due to its former CEO, Sam Altman, of OpenAI [8]. - The company develops microreactors that use metallic uranium fuel, which is denser and cheaper than traditional uranium fuel pellets, producing minimal carbon emissions [9]. - Oklo's flagship microreactor, the Aurora, costs $70 million and can generate 15 megawatts of electricity, significantly less than the cost of traditional reactors for the same output [10]. - The Aurora reactors can be scaled up to 50 megawatts and can operate for over 10 years without refueling, with plans to bring the first reactor online by 2027 [10][11]. - Oklo's enterprise value is currently $6.2 billion, making it a risky investment, but a smaller investment may be justified if long-term goals are achieved [11].
This Sam Altman-backed energy stock is up over 135% in a month
Finbold· 2025-02-13 12:02
Core Viewpoint - Oklo Inc. has experienced a significant stock surge, driven by its role in the nuclear energy sector and its connections to AI infrastructure development, particularly through Project Stargate and favorable government policies [1][3][5]. Stock Performance - Oklo's shares have increased by 137% over the past month and 411% over the past year, closing at $54.38 after an 8.5% gain on February 12 [1][2]. - The stock's recent rally follows a brief sell-off in late January, with renewed investor interest fueled by positive energy policies and analyst endorsements [2]. Project Stargate - Project Stargate is a major catalyst for Oklo's growth, with a commitment of $500 billion for AI development, including an initial $100 billion investment [3][4]. - OpenAI's $19 billion investment in the Stargate joint venture has further enhanced investor confidence in Oklo [4]. Government Policies and Leadership - The U.S. government's shift towards energy expansion over net-zero goals has positively impacted Oklo, particularly with the appointment of Energy Secretary Chris Wright, a former board member [5]. Key Partnerships - Oklo has formed strategic partnerships, including an agreement with RPower to enhance power availability for data centers, addressing the demand for sustainable AI operations [6]. - A Memorandum of Understanding with Lightbridge Corporation aims to explore nuclear waste recycling, potentially increasing Oklo's attractiveness to government and institutional investors [7]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts from Craig-Hallum and Wedbush have raised their price targets for Oklo, reflecting bullish sentiment. Craig-Hallum set a target of $44, while Wedbush increased its target to $45 from $26 [8][9]. - Analysts believe that Project Stargate marks the beginning of a broader expansion in AI infrastructure, with nuclear energy being crucial for powering data centers [9]. Market Position - Oklo is positioned as a leading player in the nuclear energy sector, capitalizing on favorable policies, strategic partnerships, and increasing demand driven by AI technologies, making it a stock to watch in 2025 [10].
Should you buy Nvidia stock ahead of the earnings?
Finbold· 2025-02-12 11:26
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock has struggled to recover from a significant market capitalization loss, remaining down 3.98% year-to-date as of February 12, 2025, despite a potential upcoming earnings report that could act as a catalyst for growth [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Nvidia shares are currently trading at $133.37, slightly above the previous closing price of $132.80, indicating a lack of significant recovery [2]. - The stock has experienced substantial volatility around earnings reports, with notable price swings before and after announcements [5][6]. - Historical trends show that Nvidia's stock often rebounds strongly after earnings reports, with increases of 15.10% and 15.46% following previous filings [6]. Group 2: Upcoming Earnings Report - Nvidia is set to release its quarterly earnings report on February 26, 2025, raising questions about whether now is the right time to invest [3][4]. - The upcoming report is expected to be strong, covering the final quarter of 2024, which was not significantly impacted by recent challenges [11]. - Wall Street anticipates earnings-per-share (EPS) of $0.85 and revenue of $38.13 billion, which may be challenging for Nvidia to exceed given its recent performance [12]. Group 3: Market Challenges and Opportunities - Recent geopolitical factors, including export restrictions and tariffs, have contributed to a more cautious outlook for Nvidia [10]. - Despite these challenges, the current stock price may present a buying opportunity, as it has not fully recovered from previous dips [9]. - Investors may experience a pre-filing drop in stock price due to heightened nervousness surrounding the upcoming earnings report [9].
This Sam Altman stock bet is on fire—and Wall Street is taking notice
Finbold· 2025-02-10 13:25
Group 1 - Nuclear energy stocks, particularly Oklo Inc, faced a significant drop in late January 2025 due to concerns over the impact of DeepSeek's low costs on AI investments [1] - Despite the recent decline, Oklo shares have shown remarkable year-to-date performance, being up 162.60% since the beginning of 2025, trading at $55.75 [2] - The surge in Oklo's stock can be attributed to several favorable factors, including the announcement of The Stargate Project, a $500 billion AI infrastructure investment program [3] Group 2 - The turbulence caused by DeepSeek is likely to be temporary, with expectations that it will enhance AI advancement rather than harm Western tech companies [4] - Oklo's growth prospects are bolstered by new energy policies prioritizing production, creating a favorable environment for the company [4] - The recent departure of board member Chris Wright, who became the U.S. Secretary of Energy, is seen as a positive development for Oklo [6] Group 3 - Oklo's stock has shown impressive gains across various timeframes, including a 420.54% increase over the past 12 months [7] - The stock's momentum continues, with a recent 16.19% increase in the latest trading session and an additional 0.38% rise in pre-market trading [8] - Oklo's stock price surpassed the January 24 target of $45 set by Wall Street analyst Dan Ives in just over two weeks [8]
Why Oklo Stock Jumped 96% in January
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-05 21:56
Core Insights - Oklo's shares increased by 96% last month, driven by significant news events related to AI and nuclear energy [4] - The Stargate Project announcement, which involves at least $100 billion in AI data center investments, has heightened interest in nuclear energy as a power source for these facilities [2] - Oklo signed a memorandum of understanding for a fuel fabrication facility, contributing to its stock rally [3][5] Company Developments - Oklo is part of a growing sector focused on small modular reactors (SMRs), alongside companies like NuScale Power and Nano Nuclear Energy, indicating strong investor interest [5] - The stock began to rise on January 17 after a partnership with RPower to enhance power availability for data centers [5] - Following a temporary decline due to DeepSeek news, Oklo's stock rebounded after receiving a buy rating from Craig-Hallum, which projected a potential price of $80 per share [7] Industry Context - The AI sector's growth is expected to influence Oklo's stock performance, as seen with Alphabet's increased capital expenditures for AI [8] - Oklo plans to deploy its first Aurora powerhouse by 2027, which could further impact investor sentiment and stock performance [9]