Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Penske Automotive (PAG) despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Penske Automotive is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.56 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 1.4% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $7.87 billion, indicating a 2.2% increase from the previous year [3]. Group 2: Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.78% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Penske is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +2.60% [12]. Group 3: Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10]. - Penske currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12]. Group 4: Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Penske exceeded the expected earnings of $3.27 per share, achieving $3.39, which was a surprise of +3.67% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Penske has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Group 5: Industry Comparison - Lithia Motors (LAD), a competitor in the automotive retail sector, is projected to report earnings of $9.55 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 21.4% [18]. - Lithia's revenue is expected to reach $9.53 billion, up 3.3% from the previous year, with a consensus EPS estimate revised down by 0.7% [19].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Auto Retail and Wholesale industry is experiencing significant changes due to evolving consumer habits, policy shifts, and strategic actions by key players [1][3] - The industry is consumer-driven, with performance closely tied to economic conditions, where increased disposable income typically leads to higher vehicle purchases [3] - The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the industry's shift towards online tools and e-commerce, a trend expected to continue [3] Factors Influencing Industry Dynamics - Car affordability has seen a modest improvement due to rising consumer incomes and dealer incentives, but tariffs on imported vehicles continue to pose challenges, potentially adding up to $5,700 to the cost of new cars [4] - The EV market is in a transitional phase, with first-half 2025 U.S. EV sales reaching 607,089 units, a 1.5% year-over-year increase, but a decline in demand is anticipated in the fourth quarter without government subsidies [5] - Auto retailers are making strategic acquisitions to enhance market share and diversify offerings, while also investing in digital platforms to meet changing customer expectations [2][6][7] Market Performance - The Zacks Auto Retail & Wholesale industry ranks 91, placing it in the top 37% of 245 Zacks industries, indicating positive near-term prospects [8][9] - Over the past year, the industry has outperformed the S&P 500, returning 16.3% compared to the S&P 500's 12.6% growth [10] Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.95X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 17.64X and the sector's 20.66X [13] Company Highlights - **Penske Automotive**: Completed acquisitions in 2024 representing nearly $2.1 billion in annualized revenues, with a strong order backlog and a low long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of 15.5% [17][18] - **Lithia Motors**: Expanded its footprint through acquisitions, adding $3.8 billion in 2023 and $5.9 billion in 2024 in annualized revenues, with a focus on digital platforms to enhance customer experience [22][23] - **AutoNation**: Continues to grow through strategic acquisitions and digital transformation, with a recent purchase expected to add $200 million in annual revenues [25][26] - **Group 1 Automotive**: Achieved significant revenue growth through acquisitions, adding over $1 billion in 2023 and $3.9 billion in 2024, while focusing on an omnichannel strategy [31][32]

Core Viewpoint - Penske Automotive Group, Inc. will release its financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025, on July 30, 2025, and will hold a conference call to discuss these results later that day [1][2]. Company Overview - Penske Automotive Group, Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company and a leading automotive and commercial truck retailer, headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan [3]. - The company operates dealerships in multiple countries including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan, and Australia, and is one of the largest retailers of commercial trucks in North America for Freightliner [3]. - Penske Automotive employs over 28,700 people globally and owns 28.9% of Penske Transportation Solutions, which manages a large trucking fleet in North America [3]. Financial Communication - An investor presentation and earnings press release will be available on the company's website starting July 30, 2025 [2]. - A conference call will take place at 2:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on the same day, with specific dial-in numbers provided for U.S. and international participants [2]. - A replay of the conference call will be accessible for 7 days after the event [2].

Core Insights - Penske Automotive Group has acquired a Ferrari dealership in Modena, Italy, enhancing its luxury brand presence in the region to 29 automotive retail locations [1][2] - The new dealership is expected to generate annualized revenue of approximately $40 million [1] Company Overview - Penske Automotive Group, Inc. is a diversified international transportation services company with operations in eight countries and across four continents [2] - The company operates dealerships in various countries including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan, and Australia, and is a major retailer of commercial trucks in North America [2] - Penske Automotive employs over 28,700 people globally and holds a 28.9% stake in Penske Transportation Solutions, which manages a large fleet of over 428,000 trucks, tractors, and trailers [2]

Company Overview - Penske Automotive Group, Inc. operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships across multiple countries including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Italy, and Japan, and also distributes commercial vehicles and related services primarily in Australia and New Zealand [12] Investment Ratings - Penske Automotive is currently rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of A, indicating a solid overall performance [13] - The company has a Momentum Style Score of B, with shares increasing by 6.8% over the past four weeks [13] Earnings Estimates - For fiscal 2025, four analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards in the last 60 days, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.14 to $13.94 per share [13] - Penske Automotive has an average earnings surprise of 2.6%, suggesting a positive trend in earnings performance [13] Investment Considerations - With a strong Zacks Rank and high Momentum and VGM Style Scores, Penske Automotive is recommended for investors looking for potential opportunities [14]

Meetings with the top management of Group 1 Automotive Inc GPI and Penske Automotive Group Inc PAG highlighted industry trends in tariff responses by OEMs (original equipment manufacturers), new and used vehicle sales, as well as P&S (parts and service) trends, according to JPMorgan.The Automotive Analyst: Analyst Rajat Gupta reiterated an Overweight rating and price target of $435 for Group 1 Automotive, while maintaining an Underweight rating and price target of $160 for Penske Automotive.The Automotive T ...

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Dividend Increases 3.3% to $1.26 Per Share - the 18th Consecutive Quarterly IncreaseSecurities Repurchase Authorization Increases by Additional $250 MillionBLOOMFIELD HILLS, Mich., May 14, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (NYSE: PAG), a diversified international transportation services company and one of the world's premier automotive and commercial truck retailers, today announced that its Board of Directors has approved a quarterly dividend of $1.26 per share, representing an increase of ...

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