ATLANTA, Dec. 10, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Holzer & Holzer, LLC is investigating whether PagerDuty, Inc. (“PagerDuty” or the “Company”) (NYSE: PD) complied with federal securities laws. On November 25, 2025, PagerDuty announced financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 and revised its full fiscal year guidance. During the earnings call held the same day PagerDuty explained that: “Although the number of customers churning and downgrading is trending downwards, the dollar value of the contraction ...

Core Viewpoint - PagerDuty (PD) is currently rated as a hold due to a lackluster near-term growth outlook, despite having long-term potential that shows encouraging signs [1] Company Analysis - The investment approach focuses on identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential, blending value investing principles with a long-term growth focus [1] - The strategy emphasizes purchasing quality companies at a discount to their intrinsic value and holding them to allow for compounding of earnings and shareholder returns [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Law Offices of Frank R. Cruz is investigating PagerDuty, Inc. for potential violations of federal securities laws on behalf of investors who may have incurred losses [1] Investigation Details - The investigation is focused on PagerDuty's financial disclosures, particularly following the release of its third quarter fiscal 2026 financial results on November 25, 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - PagerDuty (PD) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on rising earnings estimates, which significantly influence stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of changing earnings estimates in determining stock price movements, making it a valuable tool for investors [2][4]. - The correlation between earnings estimate revisions and stock price movements is strong, particularly due to institutional investors who adjust their valuations based on these estimates [4][6]. PagerDuty's Earnings Outlook - The recent upgrade for PagerDuty reflects an improvement in its underlying business, with rising earnings estimates expected to drive stock appreciation [5][10]. - Analysts have raised their earnings estimates for PagerDuty significantly, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 154.8% over the past three months [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7][9]. - PagerDuty's upgrade to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Core Viewpoint - PagerDuty (PD) has experienced a significant downtrend, with a 26.6% decline in stock price over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround due to improved earnings expectations from analysts [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a key technical indicator used to determine if a stock is oversold, with a reading below 30 typically indicating this condition [2]. - PD's current RSI reading is 25.34, indicating that the heavy selling pressure may be exhausting, which could lead to a price rebound as the stock seeks to return to its previous equilibrium [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - There is strong consensus among sell-side analysts regarding an increase in earnings estimates for PD, with a 71.7% rise in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, suggesting potential price appreciation in the near term [7]. - PD holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further indicating a strong potential for a turnaround [8].

Upgrades - Baird upgraded Albemarle (ALB) to Neutral from Underperform with a price target of $113, up from $81, due to optimism regarding lithium end-market demand tied to energy storage [2] - Morgan Stanley upgraded DexCom (DXCM) to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $75, up from $63, citing signs of recovery from operational challenges while valuation remains at trough levels [2] - Argus upgraded Restaurant Brands (QSR) to Buy from Hold with an $85 price target, expecting strong brands to lead to higher domestic comparable sales and international unit expansion [3] - Truist upgraded Six Flags (FUN) to Buy from Hold with a price target of $23, down from $27, noting the new CEO's promising approach to improve underperforming parks [3] - Stifel upgraded Teradyne (TER) to Buy from Hold with a price target of $225, up from $162, anticipating accelerated growth due to a favorable shift in test revenue composition [4] Downgrades - Morgan Stanley downgraded Inspire Medical (INSP) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $130, up from $105, citing lack of visibility into the core business and long-term market potential [5] - Goldman Sachs downgraded Symbotic (SYM) to Sell from Neutral with an unchanged $47 price target, believing the valuation is stretched with a 185-times enterprise value to expected forward adjusted EBITDA multiple [5] - Oppenheimer downgraded Sound Point Meridian Capital (SPMC) to Perform from Outperform, removing the price target of $20, due to higher than expected negative impact on earnings from borrower call options [5] - Morgan Stanley downgraded 10x Genomics (TXG) to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $20, up from $17, following a stock rally that placed the multiple in a reasonable spot relative to growth [5] - BofA downgraded PagerDuty (PD) to Underperform from No Rating with a $12 price target, citing demand headwinds and a pricing model change that may delay growth stabilization [5]

Core Insights - PagerDuty's market cap has fallen to approximately $1 billion, reflecting a valuation of about 2x its annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $500 million, indicating a significant decline in growth expectations despite achieving profitability [3][4][8] Financial Performance - PagerDuty reported an ARR of $497 million, representing a modest year-over-year growth of just 3% [4] - The company's net revenue retention (NRR) has dropped to 100%, indicating no expansion among existing customers [4][14] - The customer count has remained flat at around 15,400 for three years, suggesting challenges in acquiring new customers [4][16] Growth Challenges - The growth rate has slowed to approximately 4-5%, a stark contrast to previous rates of over 30% [4][15] - The decline in NRR from 139% at IPO to 100% today highlights a significant deterioration in customer expansion [11][14] - The competitive landscape has shifted, with larger platforms like Datadog and ServiceNow bundling incident management solutions, posing a threat to PagerDuty's market position [28][29] Market Valuation - Companies with higher growth rates (30%+) are trading at multiples of 10-15x ARR, while PagerDuty's low growth has resulted in a valuation of only 2-3x ARR [9][20] - The market is currently valuing PagerDuty at a level that reflects its slow growth, positioning it as a value stock rather than a growth stock [21][40] Strategic Considerations - PagerDuty is exploring a potential sale, indicating a shift in strategy as the board seeks to enhance shareholder value amid declining growth prospects [25] - The company has attempted to expand its total addressable market (TAM) through acquisitions and new product offerings, but these efforts have not yet translated into significant growth [48][49] Competitive Landscape - The emergence of new startups focused on incident management, which are more affordable and user-friendly, is intensifying competition for PagerDuty [30][32] - The overall market for incident management has matured, leading to challenges in sustaining growth for established players like PagerDuty [36][37]

One of the biggest losers in the market this week has been PagerDuty, Inc. ( PD ). The digital operations management platform has been one of the more disappointing stocks in the market so farI am a market enthusiast and part-time trader. I started writing for Seeking Alpha in 2011, and it has been a tremendous opportunity and learning experience. I have been interested in the markets since elementary school, and hope to pursue a career in the investment management industry. I have been active in the market ...

Core Viewpoint - PagerDuty, Inc. has been identified as one of the biggest losers in the market this week, indicating significant disappointment in its stock performance [1]. Company Summary - PagerDuty is a digital operations management platform that has underperformed in the market, reflecting broader challenges within its sector [1]. Market Context - The article highlights the current market sentiment towards PagerDuty, suggesting that it is facing difficulties compared to its peers [1].

Core Insights - The company reported a successful financial year '24-'25 with a 4.3% like-for-like sales growth and a 5.8% operating profit growth despite facing unexpected costs related to National Insurance [1][2] - The company achieved the lowest team turnover and highest team engagement percentage, along with record guest review scores and a strong safety record, indicating a well-prepared business for future challenges [1] - The company acknowledges upcoming challenges due to high red meat costs but is actively working on mitigating these through its Ignite and capital programs, suggesting a temporary impact on growth [2] Financial Performance - The company delivered a 4.3% increase in like-for-like sales and a 5.8% increase in operating profit [1] - An unexpected GBP 11 million impact from National Insurance costs was noted in the second half of the year [1] - The company anticipates a reduction in debt service costs by GBP 130 million per annum as it approaches the years 2030 and 2031, positioning itself well for future opportunities [2] Operational Highlights - The company recorded the lowest team turnover and the highest team engagement percentage in its history [1] - Guest review scores reached an all-time high, reflecting improved customer satisfaction [1] - The remodel program yielded the highest return on investment ever, indicating effective capital allocation [1]